Over the weekend, geopolitical tensions remained elevated:
A mortar attack targeted the vicinity of Aden Adde International Airport in Mogadishu, Somalia.
U.S. forces launched airstrikes on key targets in Saada, a city in northern Yemen.
Ukrainian forces conducted multiple strikes on Russian energy infrastructure.
Massive protests erupted across dozens of U.S. cities, marking the first large-scale demonstrations since former President Trump returned to office. Trump described the recent U.S. stock market plunge as “intentional” and urged Americans to “stay strong.”
In Europe, Germany is reportedly considering repatriating 1,200 tons of gold reserves currently stored in the United States—signaling potential mistrust in global financial stability.
Fundamental Outlook
Given the ongoing geopolitical uncertainty, investor demand for safe-haven assets like gold is expected to remain strong. As risk sentiment continues to deteriorate, buyers are likely to dominate the market, especially on price dips. We anticipate increased buying interest next week, which could support gold prices and potentially lead to a breakout from the current consolidation zone.
Additionally, macroeconomic data releases will play a crucial role. The U.S. CPI report, due Thursday, will be the most closely watched indicator. A higher-than-expected CPI could cause markets to reassess the timing and scale of potential Fed rate cuts, resulting in a temporary rebound in the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields. However, sustained higher borrowing costs would intensify recession risks, limiting any dollar strength. This dynamic continues to favor gold in the medium to long term.
We are entering a phase where the fundamental and technical landscapes are increasingly aligned in favor of the bulls. The recent pullback in prices presents a strategic opportunity for medium- to long-term buyers to accumulate positions.
Those already holding long positions—whether currently in profit or facing temporary drawdowns—are advised to remain patient and avoid emotional exits. The broader structure remains supportive of higher prices in the coming sessions.
I will continue to provide real-time updates, entry/exit suggestions, and risk control strategies during market hours. Be sure to stay connected and follow the guidance closely.
A mortar attack targeted the vicinity of Aden Adde International Airport in Mogadishu, Somalia.
U.S. forces launched airstrikes on key targets in Saada, a city in northern Yemen.
Ukrainian forces conducted multiple strikes on Russian energy infrastructure.
Massive protests erupted across dozens of U.S. cities, marking the first large-scale demonstrations since former President Trump returned to office. Trump described the recent U.S. stock market plunge as “intentional” and urged Americans to “stay strong.”
In Europe, Germany is reportedly considering repatriating 1,200 tons of gold reserves currently stored in the United States—signaling potential mistrust in global financial stability.
Fundamental Outlook
Given the ongoing geopolitical uncertainty, investor demand for safe-haven assets like gold is expected to remain strong. As risk sentiment continues to deteriorate, buyers are likely to dominate the market, especially on price dips. We anticipate increased buying interest next week, which could support gold prices and potentially lead to a breakout from the current consolidation zone.
Additionally, macroeconomic data releases will play a crucial role. The U.S. CPI report, due Thursday, will be the most closely watched indicator. A higher-than-expected CPI could cause markets to reassess the timing and scale of potential Fed rate cuts, resulting in a temporary rebound in the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields. However, sustained higher borrowing costs would intensify recession risks, limiting any dollar strength. This dynamic continues to favor gold in the medium to long term.
We are entering a phase where the fundamental and technical landscapes are increasingly aligned in favor of the bulls. The recent pullback in prices presents a strategic opportunity for medium- to long-term buyers to accumulate positions.
Those already holding long positions—whether currently in profit or facing temporary drawdowns—are advised to remain patient and avoid emotional exits. The broader structure remains supportive of higher prices in the coming sessions.
I will continue to provide real-time updates, entry/exit suggestions, and risk control strategies during market hours. Be sure to stay connected and follow the guidance closely.
Trade active
Gold has rebounded significantly, and long positions have now fully recovered from losses—this is the best validation of our strategy and patience. However, moving forward, traders must remain cautious. Sharp rebounds like this often come with high volatility and hidden risks—blindly chasing the rally could lead to serious losses.Although a drop below 3000 is unlikely at this point, a pullback toward the 3030 area remains quite possible. If you wish to continue riding the bullish momentum, carefully consider your entry points and strictly manage your position sizes. With the current volatility, even a small misstep could put your account at serious risk.
If you're planning to trade with large positions, don’t get greedy—set realistic targets and be ready to close at any moment. In markets like this, caution and discipline are the real keys to success.
If you’re uncertain about the market, stuck in a losing position, or unsure how to manage your account, feel free to message me anytime. You're not alone—I’m here to help you stabilize your trades and get back on track.
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.