2025/03/02 - 9th Calendar Week
Daily 4XSetUps - Trump Rally Is Underwater And Not On Its Feet
“russia's war of aggression on Ukraine and/or us tariffs burden!
why? what were the reasons? and now bullish back again?”
WallStreet
DJIA 
SP500 
NDX exploded bullishly on Friday 28,2025 after the previous day's heavy price losses. The Nasdaq 100 NDX index initially ended the sharp decline of the past few days with a premium of +1.62% to 20,884.41 points. The day before, high price losses in Nvidia 
NVDA shares had dragged down the entire tech industry, especially semiconductor stocks. The leading index Dow Jones Industrial DJIA ended up +1.39% at 43,840.91 points. The market-wide S&P 500 SP500 rose by +1.59% to 5,954.50 points. Both major indices continued their recent consolidation below their record levels. However, Wall Street DJIA SP500 NDX nevertheless ended the trading month of February 2025 with losses. While the Dow Jones Industrial DJIA fell by -1.6%, the Nasdaq 100 NDX fell further by just under -3%. On Friday it slipped to its lowest level in three months. The clash at the meeting between US President Donald Trump and his Ukrainian counterpart Volodymyr Zelensky, as almost all of Trump's opponents describe it, had a consequential effect. If you`re asking me? 
DXY long, WallStreet DJIA SP500 NDX long, and/or also Commodities incl. Cryptos short. No matter what his political green militants, under the guise of liberality, in our so-called West, claim and/or write. As long as there is hope that his policy will be successful - and not another daily duck tale. Because it was ad/or is precisely the green militant Keynesianism under the guise of liberalism that has brought our so-called West, since the financial crisis in 2008 as a reaction to it, and even since the attacks on the Twin Towers in 2001, once again as a reaction to it, if you ask me, especially the USA, into the whole disaster that we are all in - stagflation and wars."Sir Keir Starmer has told Volodymyr Zelensky he has "full backing across the United Kingdom" as the two met in Downing Street. The Ukrainian president told the prime minister he was happy his country had "such friends", after arriving in the UK in the wake of a White House meeting with US President Donald Trump that descended into a row between the two leaders." reported BBC on Saturday evening, London Time. After Ukrainian President Zelensky continued his journey in our so-called West - after his visit to the White House on Friday. On Sunday, Sir Keir and Zelensky will be joined by the leaders of France, Germany and Poland, the heads of the European Commission and European Council, and NATO's secretary general. A special European Commission defense package will be announced on March 6, according to Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk. So we can assume - must assume - that the price action will be significantly accompanied by geopolitical daily information. And that’s basically it! Do you still remember the price action of the last 2.3 hours from WallStreet
DJIA SP500 NDX last Friday, February 28th, 2025? That's right - the stock markets want to go up! When traders and/or investors can again assume that there is a well-founded hope for peace? "German Chancellor Olaf Scholz reached out to his likely successor, Friedrich Merz, to discuss the outcome of the meeting between US President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, Azernews reports, citing the foreign media. Scholz contacted Merz following a dispute between Trump and Zelensky at the White House. This call was surprising because it was previously stated in Berlin that Scholz did not see a reason to involve Merz more closely during the transition period. Government spokesman Steffen Hebestreit emphasizes that no coordination between the two was needed before the upcoming Ukraine summit in London on March 2." So we can remain curious to see whether Trump will manage to position himself as a peace broker? Or does Europe arm itself militarily? Will both work at the same time? Or both one day, in the future, looking back, we all will have to recognize that all were only just a waste of time? I don't know! I'm not a good political analyst - better about price action, fiscal policy, monetary policy, and/or even economic policy. However, be that as it may, I know and can imagine the economic consequences of tariffs! Even though I may repeat myself like an annoying coach, even a teacher, and press my keyboard impatiently like an NFL head coach with his headset on the sideline, I am absolutely passionate at this point - even like a banker and/or economist. Because as I wrote days and/or weeks ago, if the US tariffs get into account starting next month March 2025 and the US consumer dont get a better and/or cheaper Made In USA alternative for the goods, the goods and/or products will even be +...% more expensive!? And this could be the reason for the next US inflation wave! Because tariffs are fundamentally a useful instrument for every economy only if at the same time there is an internal national offer that is even better and/or cheaper for its own consumer! Otherwise the calculation doesn't add up - imports fall, the economy shrinks and/or a new wave of inflation rises, if consumers don't consume less because demand will get greater than supply. But Trump and his team certainly know that too. And/or hopefully how to create a peace deal between Ukrainians & Russians like the abraham accords. Which was organized by US President Donald Trump between Bahraini Foreign Minister Abdullatif bin Rashid al-Sajani, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and/or UAE Foreign Minister Abdullah bin Zayid Al Nahyan on September 15, 2020.“History has shown that we shouldn’t rely on governments to protect us financially.”
Ray Dalio
45227 : 2025/01/31 - Annual High 2025
45176 : 2024/12/04 - Annual High 2024
44421 : 2025/02/07 - last price action
43965 : 2024/11/06 - Trump Election Day High
42416 : 2024/11/06 - Trump Election Day Low
41873 : 2024/10/31 - October 2024 Low
41791 : 2024/11/04 - November 2024 Low
The price action of the
YM1! in the past week is quickly told - quickly broken down and brought to the point: After we suffered a minus of -0.99% and -1.79% on Thursday, February 20th, 2025 and the following Friday at the end of the week before last, the price action in the first 3 days of last week was relatively relaxed and/or even restful, at an admittedly lower level. It was, as I also wrote, if I'm not mistaken, the calm before the storm - the staring of the rabbit before the snake. Precisely the days leading up to Trump's US tariffs. And/Or also the week in which Trump wanted to act as a peacemaker for the first time in concrete peace negotiations with regard to Russia's military war of aggression against Ukraine. And so relatively nothing happened until Wednesday, February 26th, 2025, until Trump publicly questioned for the first time whether the tariffs against Canada & Mexico, as well as China, might not be postponed until April 2nd, 2025. And that only, on the following Thursday, shortly before the Wall Street bell, he announced that the US tariffs would officially come into force next week, March 4, 2025. It is clear that the price action on the stock markets worldwide went down on Thursday - and even until Friday evening - until on Friday evening Donald Trump made it unmistakably clear to the world public in a 40-minute live appearance in the presence of Ukrainian President Zelensky that he indeed wanted to act as a verbose peace broker. Even if he was talking himself into a rage in the last 5 minutes - and could avoid it in public - if you ask me. But for better or for worse, his Christian, Jew-friendly temperament broke out of him because he didn't feel understood as a peace broker - and at least the Green Democratic military Keynesianists under the guise of liberality, in our so-called West, since then in the reporting, seems to have been dehypnotized and don't want to believe what they heard and or even saw. If I correctly interpret the reaction of his political oppositions - in the usa, in our so called west. And that's why the price action on WallStreet DJIA SP500 NDX more than recovered in the last few hours of trading - precisely because now, in our so-called West, politicians will have to finally talking about peace with regard to Ukraine also since now - and not about war! How long does this last? Whether he can cultivate peace? Yes, even conservative it? We will experience this in the coming days & weeks, and probably even months & quarters, one way or another. But in any case, this weekend, if you want a fundamental outlook in context about the Trump policies, it seems that the DXY and/or WallStreet SP500 NDX can go even higher - while I would stay away from commodities for the reasons just stated. Yes, I would even go short on a case-by-case basis. But more on that in the future.-----------------------------------------------
50000 : 2025/12/31 - Target Price
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43889 : 2025/02/28 - last price action
43681 : 2025/01/21 - Entry Price
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40000 - 2025/12/31 - Stop Price
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Have a good time
- regardless of the price action!
Aaron
“daily 4XSetUps - …” is pure information material!
By trying to give you even more information about some trading capabilities to trade and/or invest in some securities. This post is not a call to action - it only provides information. You decide (not) to decide. Even if I am writing daily 4XSetUps with concrete entry prices, target prices and/or also stop prices! It is like it is - like I said; You decide to respond to the analysis I just formulated to buy, to sell, or to do nothing! More information about my approaches to investing in something specific or just trading it, or even just describing it, can be found in the daily "Another 48h - DXY ...! Analysis Post. Where I try to track the price action in
DXY every day so that we learn something new daily.
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.