Triangle patterns - All you need to knowToday, we will explain the most important concepts behind triangle patterns.
The first thing you have to know is that triangle patterns are composed of 5 waves which we can define using letters "a,b,c,d,e" This concept was created by Ralph Nelson Elliott, one of the fathers of modern technical analysis and mainly known because of the "Elliott Wave Principle."
Most of the times , we are used to observing corrections with Zig-Zag shapes
These are really easy to spot because C always goes below A, and we can say, "NOW is finished." However, with triangle patterns, we need more patience, its not that easy to say "now is ready" because we never have waves that go above or below the other ones; it's a constant compression. That's the reason it is imperative to wait for 5 clear waves.
Another important concept of triangle patterns is that we can start drawing these two lines that will intersect in the future. These two lines will tend to contain the pattern until the breakout or the cancelation of it.
Ok, let's assume that you had the patience to spot a clear triangle pattern. How should I trade them?
ENTRY LEVEL: ALWAYS above "D" but much better above "B." Why? Because at that level, the price would have broken 2 resistances zones which is a strong sign for the bullish thesis.
STOP LEVEL: ALWAYS below A that was the main support of the structure, so we want to exit our position if the price goes below that level
TAKE PROFIT LEVELS: USE fibo extensions on the previous impulse and pay attention to two levels, 1.27 and 1.68
Important concept: Remember that context IS EVERYTHING. You don't want to trade isolated structures; you want to trade a structure and a macro context aligned with the view you have.
Final idea: Here, we have used a Real example on TSLA. We think that the best way to show these theoretical concepts is by looking for real scenarios and testing them. Here we think that the corrective pattern is not finished, and we want to observe a clear ABDE before setting confirmation areas. It's important to know also that technical analysis is not mathematic; it's closer to soft sciences/disciplines. This means that Technical Analysis is not a fundamental science that explains all the movements of the market; that would be nonsense; technical analysis provides us with statistical guidance that can help us project a probabilistic scenario which can happen or not.
Thanks for reading! Feel free to share your vision and ideas in the comment box.
Correction
Power of compounding interest, but why do traders still fail ?
Hello everyone:
Welcome to this quick educational video on Compounding interest in trading.
Today I want to break down the benefits of compounding a trading account while keeping good risk management at bay.
The reason why compounding interest is so lucrative is due to investing interest on top of interest, and your trading account can grow much faster than traditional investment returns.
The important note is that, by having strict risk management rules, proper trading plan, the account can grow over time. But why do many traders fail to do so ?
Let's take a deeper look into this:
Many new/beginner traders often get involved in trading due to its profitable potential.
However, most of them do not learn about risk management, trading psychology on mindset and emotions.
They tend to over trade, over leverage their accounts in hope to double it in a short period of time.
This almost always leads to traders to blow their accounts, and re-deposit more money to “chase/revenge” their losses, and the cycle continues.
The truth is, growing the account by compounding can eventually double a trading account, but only in time and with strict risk management rules.
However, the greed, emotion and mindset often become the tread stone for the traders’ success.
It's important to understand that having a consistent, sustainable approach in trading can lead to profits and growth over time, but it's not something that is instantaneous, which is what most new/beginner traders often misunderstood.
This can be due to social media, and lots of typical trading “guru” out there promising guaranteed results and easy money.
Take a step back and think about compounding interest in time and scale. 5-7.5% return per month may not seem much for a small trading account, but it is sustainable and consistent by not over-risking and over-trading.
In time when the account is at a larger scale, a few % return with compound effect in a year can generate very sizable return and growth.
In today’s trading industry, there are many prop firms out there that allow you to trade their funds, if you can be consistent and sustainable.
Understand these firms are not looking for traders to double their larger capital, rather, to have consistent return and proper risk management.
When you can prove you can be consistent to compound a small account, then when you actually do trade a larger account, the % return would be the same.
Last Note:
Build up the right habits from the start. Your job in the beginning of trading is not to make massive returns, rather to focus on risk management, control emotion, and understand trading psychology.
Once all these are checked, then you will be miles ahead of other traders who are still struggling to understand the concept.
Any questions, comments or feedback welcome to let me know.
Thank you
Jojo
Taking advantage of day gamblers and bagholdersDay Gambling & Bagholding makes up most of the activity in stocks I reckon.
Not as big with Forex but still here. They allow people to optimise their returns.
If markets were always fairly valued you couldn't really make more than 5% a year.
And I say 5%, but to get there you'd have to not make any mistake. Perfection ==> 5%. No thanks!
Day & swing gamblers, and bagholders, are here to transfer wealth. I describe how in this idea.
I cut to the chase, I try keeping it as short as I can, but the subject does take a bit of explaining and I try to not skip important things.
What do day gamblers do?
- Exacerbate short term moves, move the price away from its natural longer term trend for example.
- Hope to make money while paying to their brokers 25% of the money they risk as spread or commission. Roulette wheel takes 2.5%.
What do bagholders do?
- Sell out of their winners very quickly. The behavior of holding losers goes in pair with getting rid of winners.
- And of course hold their losers. Bagholders that bought near the top do not add sell pressure to the pullback.
- Bagholders also love to "buy the dip", when the price of something goes down, they buy.
- Finally they sell at breakeven both when they hold a loser recovering, or when they are in the green and it pulls back.
Can't really say for a fact this is what happened, but that's how I see it in a concrete example:
FXCM says its traders average risk-to-reward is 1-to-0.57, on EURUSD in the period 2014-2015. That takes into account all those that have a high RR.
FXCM typical gambler risk to rewards is probably closer to what I see on myfxbook, something ridiculous like 1-to-0.25.
Even on Bitcoin that goes down 80% and up 8000% I can bet the typical gambler risk to reward is poor.
People also "average down", sometimes they call it just that, sometimes they call it "dollar cost averaging".
When they average down they increase their risk, all they care about is getting their money back.
This is what we call a Martingale strategy. And yes, it is very stupid. And wipes out life savings once in a while.
Academics polled people and found that in the general population - or maybe it was in a population of students - about 85% of people would rather take a small guaranteed win than a chance to get a much larger win (with of course odds multiplied by the amount were bigger than the flat win), and the exact same percentage would rather risk an enormous loss than simply take a loss. Prey ruminant mentality. They go for leaves (small wins), and they want to avoid losing at any cost because that means likely death. Compare this to a tiger that has a win ratio of 5 to 10% but gets huge meals providing several orders of magnitude the amount of calories he spent to hunt it, and they don't take silly risk, you'll never see a tiger jump in the violent river to go after prey.
And this is why you have the famous:
Wave A: A pullback with the majority still bullish (Mainstream media in the case of a bubble...).
Bagholders that got in late are in complete denial. Bagholders that got in early enough often breakeven.
Not an exact science, they do all kinds of things. I don't know many things that are 100% true in trading.
Wave B: Bagholders are quite stressed out. You hear them scream things such as "DIAMOND HANDS", "LAST TIME THEY SAID", "THE BULL MARKET IS BACK".
Price does not simply continue up in the presence of bagholders. It tops usually at 78.6% to 100% fibonacci retracement.
Wave C: Most bagholders admit we are in a bear market. By the bottom of C, nearly everyone realizes (even the slow ones) that WE ARE IN A BEAR MARKET.
Typical extensions are of 1, 1.618, 2, 2.618 (commodities).
Wipes out the bagholders, in mainstream markets this is very often "the little guy" and they whine about manipulation
(natural selection => great traders end up rich)
It has always been like this and data shows they are the ones selling. But they still cry "manipulation" and whine and never learn.
This is very typical. Not that entries matters that much, but avoiding getting sucked in "back to normal", and expecting lower prices, can help.
I can point out plenty of other examples:
Wave C has many names. Capitulation, "AAAAAAAAAAAH", make it stop god oh make it stop, this is BS, as well as when will it stop?
When it stops is when it finds the majority of bagholders breaking point.
Take a slow trend that went parabolic, the breaking point of the baggamblers will often be spread between the top and the start of the vertical move.
This is not precise at all but to get an idea:
In theory if 71% of the market is made up of bagholders and 71% of those "take their profit" we can estimate a retrace of 50% (71% of 71%).
90% of people are bagholders I think, but survival selection means the number will be lower in the markets.
Day gamblers also have their trends and ABCS. No need to repeat what I already said about bagholders, much of the same applies to day day gamblers.
So with much research, knowledge, practice, in theory one should be able to take advantage of day gamblers to get really good precise (enough) entries and exits. Thank you day gambler! Not only do they feed brokers ridiculous amounts (10 times the roulette wheel amount) allowing MY costs to go down, they also improve MY bottom in another way which is with better entries and exits.
Thank you day gamblers! You truly are altruists.
In this case...
We can note that the price after bouncing between 1 and 1.618 dropped and bounced again on the "1" level. Bagholders breaking even?
Rather than just buy at a vague price, it is in theory possible to use swing bagholders and day gamblers to have a very good entry.
Does not always work. And no point being greedy here, it's already tight enough. Enter at a likely reversal price = better entry = better RR.
Stop can be put way way far, further than the day gamblers capitulation, and even the swing bagholders, giving it many chances, and on a high timeframe it will still be a high payout for a small risk.
The goal is not to look for perfection, but to progressively improve risk rewards thanks to others mediocrity and gambling mentality.
On top, I repeat, of already all being at an advantage compared to decades ago, thanks to daygamblers taking the volatility in the teeth and cratering spread costs.
Warren and me, deep down we do the same thing:
In a concrete example, a trade I posted recently:
VIX always the best forecaster of the stock market!Hi friends!
As we all know, each market crash is accompanied by an increase in its volatility. Here's an example of how a low VIX perfectly predicted today's correction.
Therefore, it is always advisable to have the VIX on our watch list to be able to do a preventive monitoring of the market. When we see low volatility, we must close positions or be very cautious.
Please give me your like, your comments and follow me, you can see my other ideas.
Good luck!!!
📚 Understanding Price Action - Impulsive & Corrective Moves 📚For every currency pair, all the price action can be broken down into 2 different waves. Impulse waves and corrective waves.
Both of these waves have the same patterns within them such as flags, ascending/descending corrections, channels etc.
The tip to finding out what phase we're in is to zoom out to a bigger timeframe and look at price action as a whole and ask yourself "is this impulsive or is this corrective". Once you understand that, you can more often than not understand where price will be going next.
For CADJPY, we are in a flat ABC triangle and we are approaching the upper limits of the triangle. We also are in an ABC correction. On the smaller timeframe, if things line up, we can get in at the very top of the impulse and ride this back down!
Try spotting corrections and impulses and watch how your chart game levels up!
📚 Impulsive & Corrective Breaks - How To Identify & Trade Them 📚What is an Impulse?
An impulse is defined as a strong move whereby the market moves quite strongly or heavily in one direction, covering a great distance in a short period of time.
Typically, when there's a trend reversal occurring, we require an impulse in the opposite direction of the trend, indicating to us that there's a possible trend reversal. The question we face now is "What does an impulse need to look like for there to be a trend reversal?". Throughout my years in trading, I've found that if a significant level is broken during the impulse, we can expect a follow through of that impulse after a brief correction or a retest.
In the Impulse diagrams, you can see that I've marked out a recent significant level where price reacted. When there was an impulse, I kept an eye on the level to see if it breaks. If it did not break, I can assume that the impulse wasn't strong enough to create a trend reversal and it is merely a bigger more aggressive correction.
However, if the level did break along with the trendline, we can assume that there is a trend reversal taking place and we should keep our focus on the key level and price action for corrections such as flags, pennants , channels etc.
Please see chart updates for examples of Impulsive Breaks and how to trade them.
What is a Correction?
A correction is defined as a relatively short-term movement of the market in the direction opposite to the main trend.
To identify whether a break of a trendline is an impulsive break of corrective break, we must also identify the key level by looking at a significant level where price reacts. If the impulse that breaks the trendline does NOT break the level, we can assume that the trend isn't ready to reverse yet and it is a corrective break. Often a corrective break ends up with an impulse breaking the significant level, at which time we can look for a correction to take our trade.
See chart updates below for examples of corrective breaks and how to trade them.
Please leave a like and comment what you think!
As always, Goodluck and trade safe!
Mr Wick.
📚 Impulsive & Corrective Breaks - How To Identify & Trade Them 📚What is an Impulse?
An impulse is defined as a strong move whereby the market moves quite strongly or heavily in one direction, covering a great distance in a short period of time.
Typically, when there's a trend reversal occurring, we require an impulse in the opposite direction of the trend, indicating to us that there's a possible trend reversal. The question we face now is "What does an impulse need to look like for there to be a trend reversal?". Throughout my years in trading, I've found that if a significant level is broken during the impulse, we can expect a follow through of that impulse after a brief correction or a retest.
In the Impulse diagrams, you can see that I've marked out a recent significant level where price reacted. When there was an impulse, I kept an eye on the level to see if it breaks. If it did not break , I can assume that the impulse wasn't strong enough to create a trend reversal and it is merely a bigger more aggressive correction.
However, if the level did break along with the trendline, we can assume that there is a trend reversal taking place and we should keep our focus on the key level and price action for corrections such as flags, pennants, channels etc.
Please see chart updates for examples of Impulsive Breaks and how to trade them.
What is a Correction?
A correction is defined as a relatively short-term movement of the market in the direction opposite to the main trend.
To identify whether a break of a trendline is an impulsive break of corrective break, we must also identify the key level by looking at a significant level where price reacts. If the impulse that breaks the trendline does NOT break the level, we can assume that the trend isn't ready to reverse yet and it is a corrective break. Often a corrective break ends up with an impulse breaking the significant level, at which time we can look for a correction to take our trade.
See chart updates below for examples of corrective breaks and how to trade them.
Please leave a like and comment what you think!
As always, Goodluck and trade safe!
Mr Wick.
a Tip about reading VolumeHow to read volume in your stock:
General concept:
- You want to see volume increase on impulses and volume decrease on corrections
Volume analysis:
A:
Price is moving up, volume is increasing - as should be.
B:
Price is correcting, volume is decreasing - as should be.
C:
Price is moving up, volume is increasing - as should be, BUT the large volume is not pushing forward and the price is starting to correct - Red flag.
D:
Price is correcting, volume is decreasing - as should be.
E:
Price is keeping correcting further, volume is increasing on deep correction after breaking local low!!! (not as should be) + HUGE amount of volume greater than volume peaks 1 and 2 =====>>>> we are about to go into a large correction!
Large correction = deep or lengthy... but it doesn't tell you which one... maybe both, it is just telling you correction about to happen...
F:
Large correction is happening, volume is decreasing.
EXTRA ANALYSIS:
Remember that the market is fractal, so this pattern repeats itself on different structures.
- From point A to E you have an impulse on increasing volume. From point E to F you have a correction on decreasing volume (Bigger time frame).
- From point A to 1 to B there is an impulse and correction volume pattern, as stated above on the lower time frame:
A is an impulse with increasing volume
1 is like point E - volume on the RED day is greater than the Green day or any previous days on the rise.
B is a correction on decreasing volume
The whole concept of volume analysis is to help the trader be more in tune with the market cycle... So you will know when you are in a correction, and when you are in impulse.
Knowing this will help you HOLD ON, when you need to, or TAKE PROFIT when you have signs that correction is happening.
If you like it, follow and like this idea so it will save on your saved ideas for future reference.
How to identify a correction for the next impulse move ? How to identify if a correction is finished/completed and ready for the next impulse move ?
Hello everyone:
In this educational video I will go over how to properly identify a correction in price action analysis.
I recently made a price action workshop live stream video that went over everything on impulse - correction, structures/patterns, continuation and reversal corrections,
but I still get a lot of questions on identifying corrections itself.
How to draw, use the trendlines to identify a correction, and how to understand they are going to complete/finish.
In my opinion this is the most important part in technical analysis.
We need to understand that the market moves in phrases, it can only be in the impulsive phrase or corrective phrase.
The key to trading is to understand when a correction finishes, we are going to get the impulsive phrase which will give us traders a better edge in the market to enter, where the momentum is strong.
I have made many educational posts on price action analysis, specifically on continuation or reversal correction, which I will put the links below.
Any questions, comments, or feedback welcome to let me know.
Thank you
Jojo
Price Action Workshop
www.tradingview.com
Impulse VS Correction
Continuation and Reversal Correction
Multi-time frame analysis
Continuation Bull/Bear Flag
Reversal Ascending/Descending Channel
Reversal Double Top/Bottom
Reversal Head & Shoulder Pattern
Reversal “M” and “W” style pattern
Reversal Impulse Price Action
Expanding Structure/Pattern
📚 The Perfect Impulse - Correction - Impulse 📚NZDUSD has recently given us the perfect impulse, correct, impulse move, which is probably our favourite pattern to trade.
The market moves in waves. There's an impulse wave, followed by a brief period of consolidation/correction where buyers and sellers accumulate their orders. This is often followed by another impulse wave in the same initial direction as the first impulse.
The great thing about these patterns is that we can have a clear stop placement, which is above the correction. If you have a closer look at this chart, you will be able to notice various impulse waves followed by corrections.
Do your best to find them in your trading!
Risk Management: Entry in the impulsive phrase of price action Hello everyone:
Welcome back to another video on risk management.
Today I want to discuss a few possible entries that we can do in the market when we spot the next impulsive phrase of the market condition.
I will break down the 3 types of entries that I always look for when I am about to execute a trade.
Sometimes we will see all 3 entries present themselves, and sometimes we might only see 1 or 2. So let's dig into these entries.
All entries are based on the continuation or reversal structure on the LTF mostly.
So I need to see a LTF correction forming and potentially completing before setting any of these entries.
In addition, they have to be aligned with the HTF overall direction and bias. Multi-time frame analysis is key.
All my entries are stop entry order, meaning the market needs to hit a certain price before getting triggered. Buy Stop or Sell Stop order.
You may see variations of these entries in different strategies or styles, but here are my take on them and my way of using them in my trading.
Let me give a few examples of each on different markets and pairs to show the potential move and possible entry criteria.
Below are same other Risk Management you should know in trading.
Risk Management 101
Risk Management: How to set a Take Profit (TP) for your trades
Risk Management: How to Enter and set SL and TP for an impulse move in the market
Risk Management: How to scale in the impulsive phrase of the market condition?
Risk Management: Combine everything you learn to prevent blowing a trading account
Impulse VS Correction
Continuation and Reversal Correction
Multi-time frame analysis
📚 The Perfect Impulse - Correction - Impulse 📚NZDUSD has recently given us the perfect impulse, correct, impulse move, which is probably our favourite pattern to trade.
The market moves in waves. There's an impulse wave, followed by a brief period of consolidation/correction where buyers and sellers accumulate their orders. This is often followed by another impulse wave in the same initial direction as the first impulse.
The great thing about these patterns is that we can have a clear stop placement, which is above the correction. If you have a closer look at this chart, you will be able to notice various impulse waves followed by corrections.
Do your best to find them in your trading!
Does news events affect price action analysis in trading ?Hello everyone:
Today I want to discuss news events in trading. Often when a news event comes out in the market, we get some sort of volatility and we get a strong spike/impulse.
However, does news events affect our ways of understanding price action analysis ?
Let's take a look at a few examples of the recent FOMC volatility that happened in the forex, indices and commodity market.
Most of the market had a sharp quick move to one direction, hinting a sign of weakness in USD/JPY..etc.
However, all of them ended up with a reversal impulse, and recovered all the price from the volatility.
So, what can we take away from this ? News certain creates volatility, but not the overall price action trending direction.
We may get a temporary short term move, but eventually the market recovers it, and resumes its original direction.
Often beginner/newcomer traders will try to “jump” onto the news momentum, but usually end too late, and they will take a BE or losses.
We can not control the outcome of the news or whether the news will be positive or negative towards our trades, but what we can control is our entry, SL, TP, risk management, emotions and mindset.
Any questions, comments or feedback welcome to let me know :)
Thank you
Jojo
Expanding Structures/Patterns in Price Action AnalysisHello everyone:
Welcome back to another price action structures/pattern educational video.
Today I want to discuss the expanding structure that I always see in the market.
These structures/patterns are a bit more advanced, as they are not so clear on whether it's a continuation or a reversal correction.
Lets dig into some typical forms that I always see in the market, and discuss the possible opportunities we can get from them.
Expanding structure can come in all sorts of sizes and shapes.
They are not the typical channel, flag, pennant/triangle, Head and Shoulder that we usually encounter.
The key here is to identify them and observe if we are going to get trend continuations, or trend reversal after the correction finished.
Any questions, comments or feedback welcome to let me know below.
I will include all other types of price action structures/corrections that I have discussed in the past below, for everyone’s references.
Thank you
Jojo
Impulse VS Correction
Continuation and Reversal Correction
Multi-time frame analysis
Continuation Bull/Bear Flag
Reversal Ascending/Descending Channel
Reversal Double Top/Bottom
Reversal Head & Shoulder Pattern
Reversal “M” and “W” style pattern
Reversal Impulse Price Action
Trading Strategies and Style - Price Action Analysis
Hello everyone:
Recently I have many newcomers/subscribers/followers on my various channels and platforms, so I want to make this video to summarize what exactly are my strategies and style in trading.
It's important to understand everyone trades differently, and different styles and strategies.
What's more important is to understand if the strategies and style work for you and you only as a trader.
Does a typical style/strategy satisfy your vision in trading ?
Does the risk/reward make sense to you as a trader ?
Does the trading plan and management sound feasible and realistic to you ?
Do you have the right mindset and emotion when it comes to trading these types of strategies and style ?
These are the questions to think about when you are serious about trading.
So, let's take a look into how I trade and what are the key important aspects that I look for in trading.
-Price Action Analysis
-Impulse VS Correction
-Continuation VS Reversal Correction/Structure
-Multi time frame analysis (top down approach)
-Risk Management (3:1 RR)
-Trading Psychology (Mindset and emotion) (FOMO, Revenge Trading, Over Leverage Trading)
As always, any questions, comments or feedback welcome to let me know.
Thank you
Jojo
Crypto backtesting and chart work in price action analysis
Hello everyone:
Today let's do some backtesting and chart work on the crypto market.
I have done similar videos on Forex and Indices’ market, and I want to do one as well for crypto to showcase price action that will happen in any market, any time frame.
Make sure to check out the below videos on why I backtest and do chart work. This is to help us to get better at trading as a whole, and remove emotional decisions.
I will dig back some crypto pairs and look at the bullish impulse on the HTF, and go down to the LTF for confirmation and entries.
Any questions, comments, or feedback please let me know :)
Thank you
Jojo
Backtesting & Chartwork on Forex Market
Backtesting & Chartwork on Indices Market
How & Why I backtest:
Prevent Blowing an account by backtesting:
Reversal Impulse Price Action - Trend Change Confirmation Hello everyone:
Welcome back to another price action structures/patterns video.
Today let's take a look into the reversal Impulse price action from the market.
I have back tested and seen these types of price action happen very often in any market, any time frame. Its signaling a very strong trend change and reversal momentum from the price.
Let's take a look into what it looks like usually, and how to effectively take advantage of these types of price action in the market.
Seeing them on the HTF, giving us strong bias for a reversal trend change coming.
Seeing them on the LTF, signs of reversal from the LTF first, and leading towards the beginning of the HTF reversal move.
Remember, Multi-time frame analysis is key. If we spot a potential HTF reversal impulse, then likely LTF price action is also showing reversal price action structures/patterns.
We want to pair as many positive confluences as we can together to give us an edge entering the trades.
As always, any questions, comments or feedback please let me know.
Thank you
Jojo
Is there stop loss hunting in trading ? How to deal with it ?Hello everyone:
Today I want to discuss a common discussion about new and experienced traders.
“Is there stop loss hunting in trading?”
Many wonder, since they can all recall the moment where price just hits their SL on a trade, and then the market quickly turns around towards their desired profit direction.
I want to dig deeper into this and explain it with different viewpoints, from a technical and psychological view.
The vision I am trying to provide is that, thinking about is there stop loss from the brokers won't help you to get better in trading.
It's a mindset thing we need to understand. For example, whether there is or isn't a stop loss hunting, it's nothing you or I can change or control. It is what it is.
However, if you understand this, then it's about adjusting your plan, strategies and trading style to these types of volatility moves and come up with the correct mindset to work around it.
Technical part:
More often, people set their SL and see their trades get taken out just a few pips above before reversing the opposite way.
Dig deeper into this. Is it a fake breakout, is it just being impatient and jumping the gun?
Is there LTF continuation/reversal correction that gives you bias to enter a long/short ?
Is your analysis aligned with the higher time frames ?
Many factors on why a trade is at a loss, no need to jump right into a conclusion that it's the broker who is stop hunting you.
This is why we always look for confirmation and confluence when we enter trades.
Just because the price breaks the support and resistance line people often use, it's not an automatic buy or sell.
Same goes with trend lines and other indicators people use.
We need to confirm it with price action. After an impulse phrase, was there a continuation correction phrase? If not, then it doesn't justify a buy entry.
This is also why we backtest so we see these types of price action often, and acknowledge what we need to do in order to work our ways around it.
Psychological part:
When traders take a loss in this way, hitting the SL and reverse, this creates a negative emotion in them.
They often get frustrated and upset, hence in human nature, we tend to blame others.
But take a step back and understand this:
The market can do whatever it wants to do.
Most beginner and newcomer traders think the market MUST follow their strategies and style. If it doesn't, then something is wrong with the market, the brokers, their mentor/coach, their strategies...etc.
This negative mindset needs to change.
First of all no strategies and style will promise you 100% strike rate and profit.
Any strategies you take will incur a loss, it's how you deal and manage it that will show you as a consistent or inconsistent trader.
Second, if you have experienced several losses due to the “Stop hunt” in your own mind, then instead of blaming the brokers or the markets, start looking into your trading plan and management.
Are you experiencing FOMO ? Are you over leverage trading, and revenge trading ? Are you taking into consideration your risk management ? Entry, SL/TP, how much to risk ? Is it consistent with your plan ?
These are the things you can control, rather than external factors which you can not. Adjust yourself.
Third, remove your negative emotion from your losses. Take it as a learning curve and experiences earned.
Then the next time you enter a trade, you will remember the lessons that were taught to you by the market.
This is why we journal our trades so we can look back at them and understand what we did.
I hope these few pointers will help some of you to get back on the positive direction of trading.
No need to think and get upset if there is a stop hunting of your trades. Instead, use that towards your advantages.
If you consistently see a false breakout and reverse, then come up with a strategy and plan to capture that reversal move.
No need to blame the market or the broker, that is something you can not control. Jumping brokers to brothers simply won't help you to eliminate that psychological mindset of a stop hunting.
I will put below several other educational videos on the topic we discussed today.
As always, any questions, comments or feedback welcome to let me know :)
Trading Plan:
Risk Management:
Trading Psychology:
FOMO:
Revenge Trading:
Over Leverage:
Risk Management: How to set a Take Profit (TP) for your trades Hello everyone:
Today let's dig into an important topic of setting a Take Profit (TP).
While many traders will often have different strategies and methods on a TP, let's take a look on my approach and style on this.
ITs important to understand there is no right or wrong when it comes to setting a TP.
ITs what you have in your plan and what makes sense to you as a trader. It should align with your strategies and trading style also.
Some may take profit quicker and move on, while others hold for longer term. Understand that both methods can have drawbacks, it's what trading is, double edge.
So, make sure we follow our plan and executive accordingly to our management. Otherwise we are just making emotional decisions again.
Let's look at a few scenarios on how I would set a TP.
Directly tie in TP is a SL. I usually will only enter a trade if I have 3:1 RR.
Meaning risking 1% to gain 3% or more. Therefore my TP will almost always be 3 times of initial SL amount or room.
Few TP scenarios:
-Beginning of the the previous correctional structure
-Double Bottoms/swings low area, watch for LTF reversal price action and correction
When price breaks ATH, monitor the price action on the LTF for bearish reversal.
I would want to see a trend change, rather than a pullback.
Few things to consider:
-Understand you will never enter at the lowest point, and exit at the highest point
Make sure you have a plan before so you will not get into an emotional decision.
Always know what you plan to do before it happens.
No Right or wrong as long as you follow your original plan.
You can of course in time modify your plan based on market conditions.
Any questions, comments or feedback please let me know :)
Thank you
Detail look into “M” & “W” Structures/Patterns in Price Action
Hello everyone:
Welcome back to another price action structures/patterns video.
Today let's take a look into the “M” and “W” style structures/patterns.
Many traders may use these types of structures/patterns in their trading plan/strategies.
Let me show you guys my interpretation of them, and how I utilize them in my trading as well.
It's important to understand many of my previous price action analysis, structures/patterns videos all tie into this one as well, I will put those links below.
Essentially, a “M” or “W” style pattern is a double tops/bottoms pattern that appears mostly towards an end of a run of the current price.
They are “reversal” price action structures/patterns. They are most effective when we tie in other price action structures/patterns with it.
Let me give multiple examples of these structures/patterns in different markets and time frames.
“M” Style Pattern
-Double tops structure after price failed to continue the first initial push down.
-Top of the Right M, needs to have a reversal structure on the LTF or smaller time frames (ascending channel, H and S pattern..etc)
-Can either enter at the breakout of the reversal structure or the first correction after the impulse down
“W” Style Pattern
-Double Bottoms after price failed to continue the first initial push up.
-bottom of the Right W, needs to have a reversal structure on the LTF or smaller time frames (descending channel, Inverse H and S pattern..etc)
-Can either enter at the breakout of the reversal structure or the first correction after the impulse up
Double Top/Bottoms:
Ascending/Descending channel:
Head and Shoulder Pattern:
Continuation/Reversal Correction:
Multi-Time Frame Analysis:
As always, any questions, comments or feedback please let me know.
Thank you
Jojo
Risk Management: prevent blowing a trading account
Hello everyone:
Today I want to go in depth into this particular topic as many beginner traders will make this similar mistake in trading sometimes in their trading journey.
It's important to understand that it's all part of a learning curve you must endure when it comes to consistency in trading. I myself had done this in the beginning of my trading time, and it ultimately comes down to how you manage your emotion that is going to help you to learn from this mistake and move forward. Some may go ahead and start making the mistakes that I will mention below, and accelerate into blowing their account. Some may acknowledge what's happening, and learn from their mistakes to prevent such things from happening in the future.
There are several key factors on what a trader should do and understand in order to not blow a trading account. I have made several key videos on these different topics which I will include below. I will touch on all these topics to provide a well-rounded suggestion and feedback on this matter. It's very important that you must have a good understanding of each area so it will help you to not only be consistent but to also continue to grow and compound your trading account in the future.
Few key points:
Trading Plan
A trading plan outlines your plan, rules and management for your trades. You must have a good written plan to guide you in situations. We don't make emotional decisions that may lead to many trading errors. Focus on creating one is the start. Have a few go to setups that you always look for in the market. Identify them and screenshot them so you know to take those over and over again.
Backtesting
We backtest so we are familiar with price action and the market’s movement. By backtesting, we train our brain to recognize the same/similar price action that has happened in the past. This allows us to execute without fear, or fear of missing out.
Backtest & Chartwork
Forecasting/Scanning the market:
Forecast the market is how we get a bias with the current live price action of the market. We see setups we like, and have confirmations to enter. If they don't happen or develop, no trade and move on. No need to have “ego” to prove everyone you are right.
How to scan the market
Risk management
Stick to proper risk management. 1% or a set amount is usually the best. Having a 3:1 RR is ideal when trading so even if you are less than 50% strike rate trader, you will see at least BE or small profits. Make sure you understand the exposure you are putting yourself into.
Stop Loss
When it comes to calculating your entries, you must set a Stop less on every trade. Don't just remove it in hope the price will turn around. Many new traders often don't set SL or move them as price gets close. This is how you will lose more money in the long run.
Trading Psychology: (FOMO)
Fear of missing out and fear of losing are the biggest trading psychology trader encounter. However, if you do enough backtesting, and have a plan in place, you can potentially remove these emotions. Understand that you will never capture all the moves that happen in the market, be graceful and positive on the opportunities you get.
Over Leveraged
Most new traders over leveraged their account. Having a small account with huge leverage is why traders blow their account in a short time. Leverage can work for you as well as against you. You must understand properly on leverage, margin and more. This ties you with your risk management and your SL.
Revenge trading
When new traders start losing money, they tend to want to “revenge” their losses by entering random trades, multiple trades and more. This combining with over leverage is how a new trader can blow their account in 1 day.
Journal:
Last but not least, journal down every single trade that you have taken. Whether it resulted in profit or loss. This is how you can learn from your past experiences. Do not deviate from this. Most new traders feel this is unnecessary and choose not to do it. Unfortunately, if you don't do them, your trading journey will not move forward. You will still make the same mistakes over and over again. Blowing an account is something no one wants to go through, but if a trader does not acknowledge his/her mistakes, then it is very likely to happen again and again.
So these are the few key areas where a trader should pay close attention to in order to not blow their trading account. The different strategies you trade aren't the issues why some blow their accounts, rather it's about their plan, management, mindset, emotion, psychology and expectations that ultimately decide the faith of the trading account.
Thank you
Jojo