TradingPit Scalping Strategy - EUR/USD 15MThe strategy uses a short (30) and long period (200) exponential moving average which you can both change in the settings. The strategy is trend following and designed to only trade in the direction of the trend. It looks for pullbacks against the direction of the trend to buy and sell into the trend.
Long Entry Conditions:
- Short EMA above long EMA and price above short EMA
- Pullback below short EMA
- Entry on close above short EMA
Short Entry Conditions:
- Short EMA below long EMA and price below short EMA
- Pullback above short EMA
- Entry on close below short EMA
Eurusd-3
📚 Creating A Trading Plan and Executing A Trade 📚As with all great trades, we require a trading plan. This is a perfect example of how to analyse, execute and manage your trade. See linked chart for the initial trade idea.
See below for a step by step guide on how we entered this trade and what we looked for.
Goodluck and trade safe!
📚 Creating A Trading Plan and Executing A Trade 📚As with all great trades, we require a trading plan. This is a perfect example of how to analyse, execute and manage your trade. See linked chart for the initial trade idea.
See below for a step by step guide on how we entered this trade and what we looked for.
Goodluck and trade safe!
RSI (Relative Strength Index)RSI = Relative Strength Index
Is fluctuates between 0 and 100
• A momentum Oscillator
• Increasing RSI when: Average gains are greater than average losses = Bullish
• Decreasing RSI when: Average gains are less than average losses = Bearish
How to use:
1. Trend recognition: trading in the direction of the trend
1.1 Above 50: Uptrend
1.2 Below 50: Downtrend
2 Overbought and oversold entry signals.
2.1 In an uptrend look for oversold areas and open a long trade after the pullback above 30.
2.2 In a downtrend look for overbought areas and open a short trade after the pullback below 70.
How to trade round numbersRound numebrs are liquidity levels, where price usually STUMBLES OR REVERSES.
Trends move between round numbers and can be identified using closing prices (line chart).
To identify uptrend you connect DISTINCT higher lows on line chart
To identify downtrend you connect DISTINCT lower highs on line chart
Most of monthly HL breaks are FAKEOUTSThis happens most of the time. In 90 percent of breakouts below or above monthly HL price returns back to the monthly high or low.
Conclusion: dont expect price to trend below or above monthly lows or highs, expect a reversal. This applies to majors. Crosses are a different thing.
True breakouts below monthly HL do occur but usually in the end of month only.
(Review) Definition trend and change of trend ( Trend reversal)(Review) Definition trend and change of trend ( Trend reversal)
EX:
Discussion:
Downtrend - Definition
A downtrend comprises a repeating sequence of:
1) A downward extension
2) A swing low
3) An upward pullback
4) A swing high
A downtrend ends when price breaks the swing high which leads to the lowest swing low of the trend
Uptrend - Definition
An uptrend comprises a repeating sequence of:
1) An upward extension
2) A swing high
3) A downward pullback
4) A swing low
An uptrend ends when price breaks the swing low which leads to the highest swing high of the trend
EX: Prior analysis ( Downtrend)
- Countertrend
- Reversal trend:
- Downtrend forming=> Sell
- Continuous downtrend
Please support the setup with your likes, comments and by following on TradingView.
Thanks
(Review) Definition trend and change of trend ( Trend reversal) (Review) Definition trend and change of trend ( Trend reversal)
EX:
Discussion:
Downtrend - Definition
A downtrend comprises a repeating sequence of:
1) A downward extension
2) A swing low
3) An upward pullback
4) A swing high
A downtrend ends when price breaks the swing high which leads to the lowest swing low of the trend
Uptrend - Definition
An uptrend comprises a repeating sequence of:
1) An upward extension
2) A swing high
3) A downward pullback
4) A swing low
An uptrend ends when price breaks the swing low which leads to the highest swing high of the trend
EX: Prior analysis ( Downtrend)
- Countertrend
- Reversal trend:
- Downtrend forming=> Sell
- Continuous downtrend
Please support the setup with your likes, comments and by following on TradingView.
Thanks
How To Pair Currencies Like A Champ | Quick & Accurate🔵 As a forex trader, some of us stick to a pair or two, some of us trade several, and some just scan all of them for the exact setup that they trade in their strategy. Regardless, it’s a forex trader’s duty to have an awareness of how each currency is performing. If GBPJPY is going to rise, it will most likely be due to a combination of the pound gaining strength and the yen getting weaker.
Have you ever had the same setup on several EUR pairs, but the one you traded didn’t perform as well as others? It’s most likely because you chose the pair out of the bunch that wasn’t diverging in strength.
Before I analyze anything, I assess the strength of each currency first, then I select the best matchups to increase my probability by default.
Common techniques I’ve seen traders use to filter pairs:
Currency strength indicator
Currency heatwave mobile app
Looking at DXY, EXY, BXY, CXY, etc.
Manually scanning each pair to get a feel for each currency strength
None of these are right or wrong, but there is another method that I use, and I will share it in this post.
The issues I faced:
I use to manually scan each currency pair, but it was too exhausting, by the time I started analyzing charts, my brainpower was weakened.
As for the indicator & heatwave, I never personally liked them because I felt like they were too slow, I was always a step behind the big moves.
The issue with looking at DXY vs. BXY is the BXY has too much weight related to the dollar, if you look at it you’ll probably see it moves just like GBPUSD.
Solution:
We need a way to not only analyze each currency but make sure they are equally weighted. I created custom formulas on tradingview to help me read currency strengths faster, and more accurately.
How To Do It:
If you open a chart on tradingivew, and you go to the top left of your chart where you can search an asset. Not only can you search assets but you can create formulas here, you should be able to see the math symbols.
So if we want to create a formula to find the USD strength this is what we can type in:
(USDEUR+USDGBP+USDJPY+USDCHF+USDCAD+USDNZD+USDAUD) / 7
*Note: Use the same broker for all of them when you add them to the formula, and make sure they are consistent. The USD is the first one listed on all of them, we need this consistency because we are comparing everything to the USD. At the end of the formula, I divide it by 7 because that will divide the entire formula and show us the average.
When you press enter you will now see a chart displayed on your screen, this is displaying how the USD is performing across the board.
I have done this for all the top 8 currencies, I have also created one for XAU versus the top 8 so I can see its performance as well.
Now let’s say you are a harmonic style trader. This is how you can use it to find the higher probability harmonics (you can do this for other signals too)
Example #1: GBPNZD
Here’s what the formulas say:
Based on this, they are both strong, so there should be some range behavior. Let’s see how GBPNZD actually behaved:
Example #2: GBPNZD
Let’s say you are a trend trader, here’s what the formula said:
Based on this, GBPNZD should rise with strength because of the divergence.
How I use this: I use these formulas to find when trends or sentiment switches are occurring. I spend probably 65% of my time analyzing on these 8 charts. It allows you to be one step ahead of everyone else, and to increase your probability. I’ve used it on 5-minute charts, H1, H4, Daily, and Weekly. I’ve had no issues with it for over two years.
Of course, I’m not saying throw away the DXY or anything like that, this is simply another tool you can put in your box. I hope you found this valuable, feel free to backtest or tweak it to your liking, if you watched my Sunday outlooks, I go through this process before the week begins, then I do it before each of my trading sessions during the week.
Let’s Elevate,
Gio
P.S. Every week I share a market outlook, educational content and trade ideas, right here on tradingview. Make sure to follow so you don’t miss them!
Comment your thoughts below, or if you need help setting it up!
Also, if you want to sharpen your psychology check this post I shared monday -> 5 Ways To Enhance Your Trading Psychology
5 Ways To Enhance Your Trading Psychology (Tips)Welcome to mindset Monday, where I will share something trading psychology-related.
In this post, I will be breaking down 5 things that have helped my trading psychology over the years. Trading is not only a game of strategy, but there is a level of self-awareness involved as well. The 5 things that have helped me are basic brainwave science, limiting social media, diet, letting go, and having a trading ritual. Let’s discuss them further.
1. Your Brainwaves & Binaural Beats
Did you know? When you wake up your brain is in what’s called “Alpha” state? Believe it or not this is actually not ideal for trading. When your brain is in Alpha state, it is actually in a more relaxed mode, Alpha is typically a state someone is in when they meditate or are about to fall asleep. It takes the average person 30-60 minutes after they wake up to transition out of Alpha and into the “Beta” state. Beta waves are what your brain is in when it feels “on.” When you are doing homework, working out, or even at a work, your brain is in Beta. How does this relate to trading? Well, back when I was obsessed with charts (in a dangerous way) I would wake up and just hop on the chart and try to trade. I would literally hop out of bed and look at my laptop. I now allow myself one full hour to transition into Beta before I begin trading, this allows me to operate at full capacity and stay sharp and alert. I also use an app on my phone called binaural beats. The app will actually play Beta waves through headphones, and while your listening to it will help your brain switch into it faster. I recommend looking into binaural beats apps, a quick google search will explain more to you. In trading, it’s important to find as many ways as possible to stay mentally sharp. This is one I use.
2. Limit Social Media
I’ve seen it and I’m sure you have, the people on Instagram, Facebook, and other platforms flashing pictures of how many pips they are catching and how they are scaling accounts by 5000% in 8 days. That’s great and all, but this could potentially DESTROY you when you sit down and look at the charts. As humans, we are always comparing ourselves to other people, and when we see someone else doing better we either get down on ourselves, get inspired, or think that we need to do that too, or we aren’t performing up to par. Trading is unlike anything out there. You aren’t competing with anyone, it’s about you and the chart, your mind needs to be clear to tap into your zone. The issue with social media is people get googly-eyed at money and the lavish life but trading is not about that, it’s simply about building habits, when you take your mind off of your execution and systems and you start thinking you need to scale up quicker, you are going to be trading simply off emotion and probably make mistakes. Silencing my social media from flashy traders was one of the best decisions I have ever made.
3. Your Diet
What you put into your body can affect your mind greatly. If you eat more whole foods, and get some exercise regularly these actions lead to a good feeling. Your brain will release more serotonin, this will help increase your mood. When you feel good about yourself. You usually have more confidence, and when you have more confidence, that is going to come through in your trading and your life, you’ll feel more confident in your intuition and decisiveness, and as traders, all we do every day is make decisions!
4. Let Go
Let go of everything, let go of yesterday’s bad trade, let go of an argument you had with a loved one, try and let go of any stress you may feel. Meditate for 15 minutes if you need to. Beat the crap out of a pillow. Release that energy because if you don’t you may exert it onto the chart. Every trade is a brand new trade, the market doesn’t care about your problems, it will tick on with or without us. I have tried yelling at EURUSD when it stops me out, and I found that I never get a response from my computer screen. If you’re having a bad day, just step away and get a fresh start tomorrow.
5. Consistent Ritual
Man, I can’t emphasize this enough, when you have a strategy, the name of the game just becomes execution really. You need to train your brain/subconscious to simply repeat your strategy over and over. In my opinion, the best way to do this is to trade from the same location. If you trade at home, do it in the same spot every time. Do something that puts your brain into “trading mode,” for me, it is making a cup of tea. I wake up, eat food, and once that cup of tea gets made, I started thinking “it’s game time.” Did you know that Tom Brady takes a nap two hours before every game? This is an example of his ritual, yours can be anything you want, affirmations, visualizing, anything you feel you can do before sitting down that will trigger your “trader state of mind.”
I’m not a psychologist, but I hope this article gave you value, or maybe just gave you a break from reading posts about charts and setups. Just sharing my experiences.
Let’s Elevate,
Gio
P.S. Every week I share a forex outlook, educational content and trade ideas, right here on tradingview. Make sure to follow so you don’t miss them!
📚 The Beauty of Combining Technical & Fundamental Analysis 📚What is Fundamental Analysis?
Fundamental analysis is a way of looking at the forex market by analysing economic, social, and political forces that may affect currency prices. The idea behind this type of analysis is that if a country's current or future economic outlook is good, its currency should strengthen (Baby Pips - www.babypips.com)
What is Technical Analysis?
Technical analysis is the study of historical price action in order to identify patterns and determine probabilities of future movements in the market through the use of technical studies, indicators, and other analysis tools (Forex.com www.forex.com)
Technical analysts look for similar patterns that have formed in the past and will form trade ideas believing that price could possibly act the same way that it did before.
From the chart above, you can see how key fundamental news created incredible volatility in the market but the underlying technical analysis was still intact. From this, we can gather that although fundamental analysis is important, technical analysis is just as important.
See charts below to identify how we could have traded the key fundamental moments over the past few years.
See links below for more trade ideas and in-depth analysis!
📚 The Beauty of Combining Technical & Fundamental Analysis 📚 What is Fundamental Analysis?
Fundamental analysis is a way of looking at the forex market by analysing economic, social, and political forces that may affect currency prices. The idea behind this type of analysis is that if a country's current or future economic outlook is good, its currency should strengthen (Baby Pips - www.babypips.com)
What is Technical Analysis?
Technical analysis is the study of historical price action in order to identify patterns and determine probabilities of future movements in the market through the use of technical studies, indicators, and other analysis tools (Forex.com www.forex.com)
Technical analysts look for similar patterns that have formed in the past and will form trade ideas believing that price could possibly act the same way that it did before.
From the chart above, you can see how key fundamental news created incredible volatility in the market but the underlying technical analysis was still intact. From this, we can gather that although fundamental analysis is important, technical analysis is just as important.
See charts below to identify how we could have traded the key fundamental moments over the past few years.
See links below for more trade ideas and in-depth analysis!
Q-Stick IndicatorThe QStick can generate trade signals based on signal-line ( I prefer 50% of the first swing after trend reversal) or zero-line crossovers.
A descending QStick signals the price is closing lower than it opened, on average.
An increasing in QStick indicator signals the price is closing higher than it opened, on average.
WHY PIPS DON`T MATTER#ExplanationHey tradomaniacs,
ever since I`m in this business I see posts about "Profit in pips" and how important allegedly pips are.
I can tell you... this is non-sense unless you trade the same PAIR with exact the SAME Risk-Reward over and over again!
In this post, I want to clarify and show you that it is absolutley senseless to count the profit in pips as it says nothing about your actual profit!
NOTICE: THERE IS A BUG IN THIS POST SO OPEN THE SNAPSHOTS AND CLICK ON IT AGAIN!
So let`s have a look at the first chart and see what we got here...
In this scenario you see two trades with exact the same risk-reward-ratio of 5:25. This means you risk 1$ for 5,25$ or can win 5, 25x more than you can lose.
We assume here that we risk 1% per trade.
Scenario 1️⃣: 👉You win EUR/USD and lose USD/JPY
EUR/USD:
Risk: 1%
Profit in pips: 68 pips
Profit in %: 5,25
USD/JPY:
Risk: 1%
Loss in pips: -5 pips
Loss in %: -1%
Result in pips: 68 pips - 5 pips = 63 pips profit
Result in %: 5,25% - 1% = 4,25%
Scenario 2️⃣: 👉You lose EUR/USD and win USD/JPY
Risk: 1%
Loss in pips: 13 pips
Loss in %: -1%
USD/JPY:
Risk: 1%
Win in pips: +25 pips
Profit in %: +5,25%
Result in pips: 25 pips - 13 pips = 12 pips profit
Result in %: 5,25% - 1% = 4,25%
The real profit on your account is 4,25%, no matter which trade you`ve won and how many pips you`ve made! The pip-difference is 51 pips, but you still have these 4,25%, no matter which trade you win!
Why is that? Now look at USD and at JPY-Pairs.
A pip in USD, or MAJOR-PAIRS is always the fourth figure behind the komma. 👉 1,248(0)0
A pip in JPY, or JPY-PAIRS is always the second figure behind the komma. 👉 107,6(8)5
Let`s calculate the pip-difference from Entry to target for both pairs:
1️⃣ EUR/USD:
Take-Profit - Entry
1,2547 - 1,2479 = 0,0068 = 68 pips
2️⃣USD/JPY:
Take-Profit - Entry
107,935 -107,685 = 0,25 = 25 pips
Also notice that if you lose both trades that a -5 PIP loss and a -13 PIP loss are both the same LOSS of 1 % if you stick to a consistent risk! IT DOESN`T MATTER!
Okay, let`s say you trade the same pair with the fourth figure behind the comma as a pip, but you trade with different risk-rewards but a huge move you catch!
In this case you trade with a different risk-reward as you need a wider stop-loss due to volatility and you want to advoid to get stopped out!
You use the same strategy to follow the trend, but now we had news that pumped EUR/USD like hell!
Scenario 1️⃣: 👉You lose the first EUR/USD trade and win the second EUR/USD trade
EUR/USD #1:
Risk: 1%
Loss in pips: -13 pips
Loss in %: -1%
EUR/USD #2:
Risk: 1%
Win in pips: +140 pips
Win in %: 4%
Result in pips: 140 pips -13 pips = 127 pips profit
Result in %: 4% - 1% = 3% profit on your account
Scenario 2️⃣: 👉You win the first EUR/USD trade and lose the second EUR/USD trade
EUR/USD #1:
Risk: 1%
Win in pips: +68 pips
Win in %: 5,25
EUR/USD #2:
Risk: 1%
Loss in pips: -37 pips
Loss in %: -1%
Result in pips: 68 pips - 37 pips = 31 pips profit
Result in %: 5,25% - 1% = 4,25% profit on your account
Even though you`d make 127 pips in scenario 1, the real profit would be 1,25% less on your account!
ERGO: More pips = Less profit
So let`s head into a very extreme example of HOW pips don`t tell you a s**t about your profits! ;-D
In this example we compare a GOLD-TRADE with our recent EUR/USD-TRADE.
I don`t want to spamm this post with too many calculations so I try to keep it simple here.
Important to notice is that the PIPS for GOLD are represented by the second figure behind the comma.
In this scenario we buy Gold at 1.800$, or 1800,0(0) <- Cents
A dollar change in Gold , for example 1800 to 1801, is called a POINT.
A dollar change in Gold would be 100 Cents, or 100 pips!
So let`s say you buy gold with a risk-reward of 2:1, means you risk 1$ for 2$ or can win 2x more than you can lose.
In this case you would make 20 POINTS as the price moves from 1.800$ to 1.820$. In pips you would make 2.000 friggin pips but only 2% profit compared to your 68 pips in EURO /USD with 5,25% profit.
One last example:
In this scenario you win the EUR/USD trade and LOSE the GOLD-TRADE:
EUR/USD #1:
Risk: 1%
Win in pips: +68 pips
Win in %: 5,25
XAU /USD:
Risk: 1%
Loss in pips: -700 pips
Loss in %: -1%
Result in pips: +68 pips - 700 pips = -632 pips profit
Result in %: 5,25% - 1% = 4,25% profit on your account
You would lose -632 pips but make a real profit of 4,25% on your account!
So when do PIPS really matter? If you would trade the same PAIR with the same RISK-REWARD over and over again as you would always win and lose the same amount in %.
If you`d trade the same EUR/USD trade, PIPS would actually make sense to be counted. But who trades that way? Almost noone!
What does that mean for your positionsize in LOT?
They always VARY! Use a position-size-calculator to get your right position-size.
But thats a topic for another post... :-)
IF YOU WANT TO SEE MORE EDUCATIONAL CONTENT PLEASE LEAVE A LIKE AND A COMMENT.. especially when this helps you! :-)
Peace and good trades
Irasor
Wanna see more? Don`t forget to follow me
Backtesting retest Break of Market Structure on Multi TimeframeStrategy
Create a zone from the order block which created break of market structure on 1D timeframe
Wait for it to be tested on 4H timezone => which will create new 4H order block
Trade the retest of that 4H order block
Color coding & icon use
Green boxes : 1D order block zone
Yellow boxes : 4H order block zone
Tick icon : Trade won on 4H
Cross icon : Trade lost on 4H
Circle with cross icon : Trade in breakeven
Win / loss assumptions
Win : 3R movement without breaking -1R
Loss : -1R movement
Breakeven : 1R movement, followed by -1R movement
Risk Management
50% TP @ 1R
25% TP @ 2R
25% TP / Trade closure @ 3R
RR achieved = 3R
Net R achieved = 1.75R
Strategy results
Testing duration : Jan 2020 - Jan 2021
Wins = 16
Loss = 7
Breakeven = 4
Non-losers = 74%
Absolute Winners = 59%
Net RR = 21
Avg R/Win = 1.31R
Avg R/Trade = 0.78R
10 Awesome 'Hidden' Gems on TradingViewWelcome Traders!
In today's trading episode, you will learn and get to see some of the best 'hidden' gems on TradingView. A lot of you are new to TradingView and may not know some of these features. TradingView has a lot of really neat features so take time to click on different elements to see what they do.
Thank you @TradingView for creating such an amazing platform!
Take time to practice what you learned in today's video.
Until next time, have fun, and trade confident :)
Price Oscillator StrategyThe Price Oscillator uses two moving averages.
✔ One shorter-period, and one longer-period.
✔ When 2 MAs cross each other the PO reads 0.
The Price Oscillator technical indicator can show overbought and oversold areas.
Strategy:
Only go long in an uptrend.
Only go short in a downtrend
Uptrend strategy: Look for an oversold situation to open a buy position. Close when get to overbought then close some more when crossing back to the zero line.
Downtrend strategy: Look for an overbought situation to open a sell position. Close when get to oversold then close some more when crossing back to the zero line.