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Forex-trading-signals

TYPES OF TRADING STRATEGIESHello to all! Throughout the history of the forex market, several types of strategies related to the trading interval have been invented. Strategies have differences in the time of holding a position, and each trader must choose the type of strategy that suits him. SCALPING Scalping is a well-known style of short-term trading, using technical analysis. Scalpers, as a rule, enter into impulse movement, on breaking through levels or rebounding from them, in areas where large volumes of orders have accumulated, and close positions immediately after the end of the first impulse. They do not sit out in a position and do not hold it for a long time. Positions are usually closed within a minute. Scalpers use tick or minute charts for analysis. Impulse movements can be born during the period of news release, so the trader should follow the news. Since scalpers take a small number of pips, their profit also depends heavily on the spread, so they trade liquid pairs. Day Trading Day traders open and close positions within the day. They do not transfer transactions to the next day. 5- 30 minute charts are used for analysis. Day trading differs from scalping by holding a position for a longer time, up to several hours, if the trend allows. Day traders profit only from intraday fluctuations, so they can afford to use higher leverage levels than long-term traders. SWING TRADING Swing trading is a method of trading with holding a position from several hours to several days, that is, positions can be left overnight. Swing traders use hourly and higher charts to analyze the chart. Much attention is paid to trading formations and levels, indicators are used. Swing traders can profit from both trends and corrections, because the profitability may be higher than that of trend traders. NEWS TRADING Such traders pay attention to the news more than anyone else. The opening of a position is made during the release of important news that can push the market against the trend or, conversely, disperse it. As a rule, such traders do not leave their positions overnight. The idea is that during the release of important news, market volatility increases and it is here that traders who trade on the news earn. They wait for this liquidity, open positions before the news comes out and hold them under any circumstances. TRADING ON TREND Trend trading is a very well-known type of trading and perhaps the most profitable. Everyone remembers the rule: Trend is our friend. And this friend can bring big profits, without serious emotional burden. This type of long-term trading implies the ability to identify a trend with the help of technical analysis and opening positions in the direction of the trend. The main indicator for trend traders is the trend itself, so holding a position can be from several days to several months until the trend stops. Often, in order not to lose profit, a treling stop is used. To analyze charts, traders of this type use daily and weekly charts. They often use long-term models and resort to using fundamental analysis to open and hold positions. The spread does not bother them, as positions are opened for a long time, so trend traders can afford to trade illiquid pairs. Conclusion It is not enough to know what types of trading strategies there are, it is very important that the strategy suits you. Maybe you like to take profits quickly and leave the market? Or do you like to hold positions for a long time and you don't like to follow sharp short-term price fluctuations? Every trader should understand himself first, and only then choose a strategy.
Education
by DeGRAM
2
CORRELATION COEFFICIENTS on FOREXHello everybody! Professionals have been aware of correlation for a long time and use it profitably. The essence of correlation is not difficult to understand and using it in trading can significantly increase your profit. Correlation coefficient of currency pairs – what is it? Correlation is a statistical relationship between two or more random variables. The correlation coefficient is an index of the interdependence of quotations of different currency pairs. Correlation of currency pairs is divided into two types: direct (positive) and inverse (mirror or negative). A positive correlation is a similar movement of quotations of different currency pairs. Inverse correlation is the reverse movement of the exchange rate of different currency pairs. For example , EUR/USD and USD/CHF are in a mirror correlation because both European currencies are against the dollar. Any change in the euro affects the franc exchange rate and vice versa, on the chart, the price of the euro and the pound moves the other way around because in the EUR/USD pair, the dollar is in second place, and in USD/CHF in the first. Method Analysts have come up with a method that makes it easier to understand the correlation, it is called the correlation coefficient. Using it, you can understand in which range each pair is relative to the other, where +1 is a complete correlation, and -1 is the opposite. The stronger the link between the economies, the stronger the value tends to unity. Let's consider the main ranges of coefficient values and their impact on the currency pair: • 1 - Denotes the same movement of currency pairs. * From 0.9 to 0.5 – High dependence of currency pairs among themselves. * From 0.5 to 0.1 – There is a decrease in correlation. * 0 – There is no correlation, the instruments do not depend on each other. * From 0.1 to -0.5 - Characterized by a decrease in correlation. * From 0.5 to -0.9 – An increase in correlation and a change in the direction of movement of currency pairs in the opposite direction. * -1 – Inverse dependence of currency pairs. One price is going down, the other is going up. Trading options Novice traders often think that they reduce risks when they invest in different currency pairs, but at the same time they do not understand that a large number of pairs correlate with each other. Forgetting about the correlation, you can start getting double losses. Correlations can be used to confirm signals. For example , the analysis of the EUR/USD chart showed growth. To make sure that the forecast is correct, you need to get a reverse confirmation for USD/CHF. Sometimes, to confirm trading signals, a comparison of three assets that are minimally related to each other is used. Take for example EUR/USD, USD/JPY and EUR/JPY. • If EUR/USD is predicted to go up, then the forecast for the reverse currency pair USD/JPY should signal a fall. In the event that there is no signal for USD/JPY, then it is necessary to carefully study the behavior of EUR/JPY. No matter what tactics a trader uses, you always need to remember about correlation and use several pairs with positive and negative correlation in the analysis to increase the accuracy of the forecast. In addition, correlation helps to hedge transactions. Having decided to invest in one currency pair, you can divide the investment amount into two parts and invest the second part in a currency pair with Time interval in correlation analysis The correlation has the ability to change depending on time. It may be that the daily correlation = 0.6, but when switching to a monthly interval, this value increases and shows a strong correlation. There may be an inverse situation, when the correlation drops relative to the selected interval. Pay attention to this when analyzing. Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Education
by Lingrid
16
ACCOUNT DRAWDOWN – HOW TO AVOID IT?Today I want to touch on a very important topic - account drawdown. Every trader will face this problem sooner or later, because losses in the forex market are inevitable. And if a professional knows what to do and has experience dealing with such a problem, then beginners often get lost when faced with a drawdown, which leads to even greater losses. What is a Margin Call? Margin Call - is a "call"-notification of the broker with a requirement to deposit additional funds to guarantee open transactions. If no additional funds have been received to the trading account after the Margin Call, and losses continue to grow, then when the price reaches a certain value, the Stop Out procedure will be launched, and the brokerage company will automatically close part, and possibly all transactions on the trading account. Causes of drawdown. There are two possible reasons. The first reason for the drawdown is a bad trading strategy. Each strategy needs to be checked and only then use it. No risk management will help if the strategy is unprofitable. The second reason is psychology. Even if you have a proven strategy, you can still lose money because you lose control of the situation. Discipline is the key to profitable trading. To act according to the strategy and even after a series of losses to adhere to the plan and not exceed the value of risk management - that's what a professional does and a beginner misses. Newcomers try to regain what they have lost by opening deals with a large volume, risking even more money, driving themselves into an even greater minus. First of all, you need to put up with losses, it is impossible to avoid them! Accept losses, do not lose your head, trade further according to the rules and then you will not only return, but also earn even more money. An important thought! Every beginner should remember that the more he loses, the more he will need to make profits in the future in order to reach zero. It is very difficult to make 50% of the profit to the capital in one transaction. It is almost impossible to make 100%, but beginners do not understand this and invest a lot of money, open positions with a large volume and lose even more. Losing 1% is not so scary, losing 10% you need to do 11% already to get to zero. Having lost 50% in the future, you will need to make 100% to go to zero! Don't bring your account to this. Remember: it's better to move up slowly than to fall down quickly and crash. Decide on the drawdown level. Professionals do not let their account fall below reasonable values. A beginner brings his account to exhaustion in two or three transactions. For a beginner, a drawdown of -50% or -70% occurs easily and quickly, a professional cannot afford this. Each trader must decide for himself how much percent of the capital he can lose and still remain calm. For each person, these values are different, someone cannot survive a 20% drop in the bill, and someone lives quietly with -50%. Drawdown levels up to 15% – normal working drawdown. 16-30% is not a reason to panic, but the time is coming to reduce the risks and intensity of trading. And it is also worth reviewing the state, dynamics of the market and the trading instrument. 31 - 60% is the beginning of the end. If the account is down by more than 30%, trading should be stopped and a break should be taken. After that, come back with a modified strategy for making trading decisions. Drawdown is an unpleasant thing, but the main thing is not to start it and not to delay the time after exiting it. If you have already fallen into a drawdown, then you need to follow the following rules: If you use a proven trading strategy that has repeatedly made a profit, then you just need to fix losses and continue trading using the same strategy, but with a more gentle money management system. If the trading strategy used is no longer effective, then you should fix the losses and look for a new working trading system. Due to the fact that there are no exceptionally accurate methods to exit the drawdown, your further actions will be reduced to the same trade. In this situation, the trader should identify weaknesses in his strategy and try to eliminate them. The revision of approaches to risk management and funds will also allow you to balance trading and avoid deep drawdowns in the future. Be disciplined, follow the money management, trade systematically, and the drawdown on the deposit will not bother you. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with Like. Thanks for your support!
Education
by DeGRAM
6
PRINCIPLES OF DRAWING UP A TRADING PLANHello traders! Today we will talk about WHAT should be in the trading plan of any self-respecting trader. Many, as it turned out, do not know the basic principles of building a trading plan. This article will help beginners understand WHAT should be added to their trading arsenal. 1. Timeframe. The first stage of drawing up a trading plan is to determine the timeframe. Every trader should know in what time interval he is going to look for entry opportunities and build a trading strategy accordingly. As a rule, timeframes are divided into three types: 2. Risk management. Risk control is probably the most important issue in any trading plan. The ability to control risks and follow principles distinguishes a professional from a beginner. In this section, the best rule is rule 1-3% 3. Market structure. Every trader should have a trading strategy even before opening a position during periods when the market is trending or in a sideways movement and, of course, be able to correctly determine when the market is moving from one phase to another. 4. Markets. Each market has its own characteristics. Not every trader, for example, can approach the forex market. You need to know where you are trading and use the appropriate tools. It may be worth trying all the markets to understand what is right for you. Study the markets, gain experience. 5. Entry conditions. The entry point must be chosen by the trader according to the rules prescribed in the strategy. A trader should know when and under what conditions to enter a position. Strategies can be different: based on a pullback or a breakout of the level, or maybe you want to trade according to the intersection of the indicator lines. And, yes, no one forbids using all strategies at once, the main thing is not to get confused. 6. Stops. Placing stops is an important part of the strategy. A properly placed stop can protect you from premature closing of the transaction. Failure to place a stop order may result in the loss of all capital. In any case, the strategy of placing stops should be in every trading plan. You can set a stop according to some percentage you have chosen, or you can set a stop for the maximum or minimum, it's up to you, but you need to decide before entering the position. 7. Target. A correctly set goal and a set take profit helps a trader to take profit and not stay in a position until it turns from profitable to unprofitable. There are different ways to fix profits: fixed - the value you have chosen according to your trading strategy. Trailing stop is a slightly advanced method, the essence of which is that the stop will move along with the price at the distance you choose and will close when the price goes against you too much. Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Education
by Lingrid
37
Principles Of Risk Management One of the main topics, and perhaps the most important, is the topic of risk management and risk reward. Beginners often do not take this topic seriously, trying to hit the jackpot in every transaction, risking all or almost all of the capital and not realizing what the consequences of such actions may be. Whatever trading style you use, whether it's day trading or scalping, the way you manage risk will still be decisive in the question of whether you will be profitable at a distance or not. Margin trading gives a lot of advantages, but most often it ruins newcomers who open deals with a large volume and quickly lose money when the price goes against them. The ability to manage risks correctly will help you stay in the game for a long time and be profitable at a distance. Focus on protecting what you have. In the pursuit of profit, traders forget about risks, forget about capital protection. It is important to remember that after each loss, the percentage of profit that needs to be returned to breakeven increases exponentially, depending on how much you lose. Fundamentals of Risk Management The market is changing every second and at any moment there may be news that will make the price go against you. The desire to risk everything in one transaction leads to the closure of novice accounts, instead, it is better to manage risks and stay in the game for a long time, making a profit. Anything can happen in the markets and it is simply unwise to risk everything in one transaction. You must remember: 1. You should not risk more than you can afford to lose. 2. Each trade must be opened with the correct risk reward ratio. (RRR) The Risk Reward Ratio (RRR) is how much you are willing to lose, compared to the expected profit in each trade. You should strive for a ratio of less risk / more profit. One of the best ways to manage risk is the 1% method. This method of risk control means that in each transaction a trader risks 1% of his capital. This is correctly used even by managers of large hedge funds and they do it for a reason. Do not think that only 1% of the capital can be traded. You can use at least all your capital for trading, but your stop loss should be no more than 1% - this is your risk. You can use leverage if you need to, but don't lose more than 1% in one trade if you want to become a professional. The Best Risk-Reward Ratio For Trading Before opening a position, you should know how much you can lose and how much you expect to win, and the ratio should not be lower than 1:1. A ratio below 1:1 means that you lose more than you can win, and this is an extremely dangerous activity that can eventually lead to the loss of the entire account. If the ratio is 1:1, you will be at breakeven, even if 50% of your trades are unprofitable. If the ratio is higher than 1:1, then you will be in the black, even if more than half of your trades are closed in the negative. Do not forget that it is impossible to win in every transaction and without proper risk management, such a game will lead to big losses. Do not forget about the rules of risk management, use a profitable strategy and act according to the rules, do not give in to emotions and then success awaits you. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with Like. Thanks for your support!
Education
by DeGRAM
1
UNSUCCESSFUL vs. SUCCESSFUL TRADERUnsuccessful Trader You are trading without a Specific Trading Strategy The main reason for opening positions for you is not clear strategy rules, but your own intuition. And even after several failures, you continue to repeat your mistakes due to the lack of discipline and the lack of a trader's trading journal. You often over-trade and get Margin Calls Your instincts make you trade too much, open new positions again and again, forgetting about the risk and thus getting frequent margin calls. Because of such disorderly market entries, you become very emotional, lose control and lose money quickly. You get attached to Open Positions Following your own emotions, you often hold on to an open position for too long, hoping that the profit will become even greater, while forgetting about the take profit that you set yourself. As a result, a profitable position becomes unprofitable, and you begin to believe and expect that it will become profitable again, overstaying the unprofitable position. You're Too Emotional Your mood changes with every price reversal. Forgetting about the analysis, you often open new positions and lose more than your risk management can afford. Successful Trader You have an Effective Trading Plan You have written on a piece of paper a strategy of actions for any market situation and always follow the rules prescribed in the strategy. You often analyze your trades in a trade journal and always remember your mistakes and hits. You Understand What Risk Is You have clear rules of risk management. Even before opening a position, you know how much you can lose in this trade and do not lose more than allowed by the rules of risk management. You don't move your stop loss and you don't act emotionally. You Control Your Emotions You clearly follow your strategy, leaving no room for emotions. Even before opening a deal, you have analyzed everything and know exactly what to do – you have a plan of action. You always fix a part of the profit You do not forget to protect your capital, so you close part of the position in plus or zero, and let the rest of the position grow further. Now you will not only not lose your money, but you can also earn. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with Like. Thanks for your support!
Education
by DeGRAM
2
TRADING PRINCIPLES THAT EVERYONE SHOULD KNOW. PART 1.Hello traders! For a long time, the Forex market has created a large number of trading methods. Finding your strategy that suits you specifically is one of the main steps in achieving success in the Forex market. And it is worth remembering that successful traders do not use anything magical in their trading. Everything has been invented for a long time for both a novice trader and a successful trader. The main task of beginners is to choose a fairly easy strategy and strictly follow its principles and rules. So what does a beginner need to know in order to trade profitably? Price levels. It is difficult for a beginner to determine price levels and trade them correctly. There are no specific rules in this topic, since the price does not draw clear points, but forms zones. Many traders use support and resistance levels in their trading and for beginners, the main task at the beginning of the journey will be the concept of selling from resistance and buying from support. There are three types of trading systems based on price levels. 1. If the price moves within the framework of a sideways movement, the trader can sell from resistance and buy from support. 2. If there is a prevailing trend in the market, for example, bearish, a trader can sell from resistance and expect support to break through. 3. The same rules work in the bull market, only in a different direction. If the price breaks through the resistance, then this zone becomes a support from which you can buy. Consider the principles of trading from price levels. #1 Understanding the market context. The key to profitable trading from the levels is the ability to correctly understand the market context. Bearish pressure leads the market movement through an impulse movement that breaks through support and creates new lows – in this context, selling strategies will not work well. That is why it is so important to follow the concept of the market context: When the market falls, creating new highs and lows, we are talking about an impulsive bearish context. The correction is created by an impulse that is weaker than the main trend. A sideways movement occurs when both demand and supply are approximately equal and the price cannot move in a certain direction. As soon as the bulls or bears take over, the price will make an impulse in the direction of the strong side. #2 Top-Down Analysis The market is ruled by big money, which pays great importance to large timelines. And it is vital for an ordinary trader to know where smart money is pushing the market. To do this, it is worth noting strong levels on the monthly-weekly-daily timeframes in order to know exactly where the price is most likely to rebound. On the other hand, if the price is above the key levels, then the market is bullish. #3 Candlestick Patterns Almost every trader uses candlestick patterns in his analysis, which are a very strong analysis tool. Reversal candlestick patterns create an excellent opportunity to enter a trend reversal. The higher the timeframe on which the pattern was formed, the stronger its signal will be. Knowing candlestick formations is a very important part of a trader's professional growth. #4 Risk Management Any trader should be aware of the risks and be able to control them. Although this topic goes beyond the definition of the market context, it is still very important. There are many ways to control risks. An important rule is to set a stop loss and risk in each position, as recommended, no more than 2% percent. Hedge fund managers risk an even smaller percentage in each transaction, sometimes 1% or even lower. It is better to grow slowly than to fall quickly. If you lose 2% of the capital, in the next transaction, in order to get your money back, you will already need to make 4%, which in general is not difficult to do. But if you lose 50%, you will need to make 100% profit already, which is almost unrealistic. Conclusions Summarizing the above, you can make the following sequence of actions: Identify the key support and resistance levels. Wait for the candle to form in the desired direction. Stop loss above or below the candlestick pattern. Take profit is placed at the following support or resistance levels. Always make sure to use proper money management for each trade, and never take on a risk that exceeds the return. Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
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Education
by Lingrid
117
History of Forex | From Ancient to the Modern Day TradingWe have come a long way from the previously practiced barter system to the modern-day system of trading currency. Following is a brief summary of the evolution of currency and how it gave rise to Forex Trading. Here are the main stages that are illustrated on the chart: 1️⃣The Ancient system of Trading - Trading with Gold As early as 6th century BC , the first gold coins were produced, and they acted as a currency because they had critical characteristics like portability, durability, divisibility, uniformity, limited supply and acceptability. 2️⃣Bank Notes Originated - Deposited Gold in banks in exchange for banknotes 3️⃣Role of Geography - Various banks of different regions printed different currencies Gold Standard - Currency pegged to gold In the 1800s countries adopted the gold standard. The gold standard guaranteed that the government would redeem any amount of paper money for its value in gold . This worked fine until World War I where European countries had to suspend the gold standard to print more money to pay for the war. 4️⃣Bretton Woods System - Currency pegged to USD The first major transformation of the foreign exchange market, the Bretton Woods System, occurred toward the end of World War II. The Bretton Woods Accord was established to create a stable environment by which global economies could restore themselves. It attempted this by creating an adjustable pegged foreign exchange market. An adjustable pegged exchange rate is an exchange rate policy whereby a currency is fixed to another currency. In this case, foreign countries would 'fix' their exchange rate to the US Dollar . 5️⃣Birth of Floating Currency - Currency that is not pegged to any assets or other currencies is known as a 'floating currency'. And what will be next? Very hard to say but blockchain technologies will make the system change again.
Education
by fxpremiere