EURUSD.... SEE WHY MANY PEOPLE LOST THIS TRADE... AVOID ITHello Traders,
So today I am doing a trade recap on a trade I lost due to lack of detail. Note, in trading, after knowing how trading works, every thing comes down to the level of attention/detail you give to your chart.
Detail, detail, detail... never forget.
I have labelled the chart accordingly so your understanding can be seamless. But if you still need clarity let me know.
I use my weekend to analyse why my trade won or lost. And this is an approach to trading that people should undertake. This should come after journaling your trade.
The thing is, you will make mistakes, you will not see everything (detail) but continue. Reduce the number of pairs you trade, reduce the indicators, reduce the trendlines and every other thing... Your chart should be clear and easy on the eyes. I only look at 10 markets (the 7 majors and AUDNZD, CADCHF & EURGBP). I add the 3 crosses only because I want to have alternative for all the currencies excluding JPY. I don't use indicators (not saying it is bad but reduce it), I don't use trendline (because price is moves horizontally - unpopular opinion).
When you have just a few pairs, you are able to understand the moves better and you can free your brain from analysing so many pairs. Just imagine using indicators, lines upon lines, and the market changes form... now you need to start all over again your analysis on all your multiple markets, looking at so many things. Trust me, you are bound to miss the obvious details not to talk of the hidden ones and its a lot of work. I am sure you must have experienced it.
I am still very bullish on EURUSD and right now, I am not looking for an entry, I am waiting for a break of the 4H high then I will look for an entry which I will share on my page.
If you would like to see it, all you need to do is click on follow.
I will also link my previous analysis on EURUSD, AUDNZD, USDJPY
Stay tuned for more.
BR.
David
Liquidity
Liquidity Run ExplainedLiquidity run is when price reaches for Buy Sell stops.
The wicks indicate price exhaustion.
"Liquidity Runs" are when price wicks just above the candle for Liquidity aka Buy/Sell Stops, then resumes trend.
This is also known as a #Pullback.
Notice how price doesn't break Resistance level. It wicks up to take out Liquidity then resumes the trend.
Institutional Maket Structure in action!
Bitcoin: Liquidity and Order blocks!This is an educational post! I have tried to combine the concept of liquidity with that of supply and demand to show you one of the most efficient trade setups in financial markets!
You basically have a descending trendline in 30m chart of bitcoin! Price reaches a confluence area in higher time frame analysis (let's not be concerned about that now) then it jumps a bit to create a range! We know range bounds are liquidity nests!
So price first grabs the upper range liquidity, breaking the market structure at the same time and hence confirming the long bias! Then it comes down to the demand zone, grabbing the lower range liquidity at the same time and then boom! It goes to the target!
LIQUIDITY MODELS🔹 Liquidity is like fuel to move the market in a specific price zone.
🔹 We can find liquidity in zones where a lot of people set their stop losses and buy/sell stops.
🔹 The market makers will manipulate the price to break these obvious zones and take the liquidity.
🔹 These are the most common liquidity patterns.
Why price reacts to s&d zones before breaking themWhy price reacts to s&d zones before breaking them.
We tend to see a reaction for one simple reason;
- BFI's need liquidity to accumulate a sizable position.
So, how would a reaction provide them with this liquidity?
- Retail traders will enter aggressively at these s&d zones
expecting price to move away from them. Now, BFI's will
use all this liquidity to accumulate a sizable position,
targeting the next pool of liquidity which is
retail's stop-losses on the opposite side of the zone.
📚 Inducement: What Is It ⁉️Inducement is a trap before an area of supply or demand.
Price will usually lure impatient buyers/sellers into the market before the zone is met to create liquidity.
Once the impatient traders get trap [ped and stopped out, the true move begins.
This just goes to show the importance of sitting on your hands!
Traders, if you have your own opinion about this idea, write in the comments section, I always reply. 💬
🚨 RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Crypto, Futures, Forex, CFDs, and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use a tight stop loss.
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Please like, subscribe, and share this idea with others! ⬇️
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Only Strategy You Ever Need! .. Liquidity Build&SweepHello everyone!
Liquidity is the main force that moves all markets, understand it well, and everything becomes clearer...
Liquidity, simply, is "where orders are resting". Sometimes it is clear, other times not. So you have to look really well into where we have relative equal highs (sell-side) or lows (buy-side).Does that mean to jump into buying below relative equal lows/selling above relative equal highs right away? Of course no. As explained above, most of the time we have an indication as to whether the Market is responding as it shouldmd or not. Like a rejection or multiple rejections or a candle pattern or whatever.. you should see and indiction in price action, not indicators. Also pay attention to time frames. Equal highs/lows should not be treated the same way in small and big time frames... At least 15-min timeframe is recommended...
Your comments are highly appreciated...
Please don't forget to ▶️ FOLLOW & ▶️LIKE if you found my tutorial a help to you... Great content is to come yet.. hopefully..
Thanks Guys!
Crypto NotesHi traders!
I did not plan to make this post but as Crypto markets are currently falling I will share some of my Crypto
notes that have helped me to navigate in Cryptoverse.
Side note: This is not the only way how to trade Crypto markets. Sharing just some information. Eventually every trader have it's own methods and beliefs.
Being early is a great advantage in Crypto
If you want to discover good projects early that have high potential then some work is needed to put into research. Nowadays there are so many projects (not only BTC & ETH)
and it may feel sometimes overwhelming. Good way is to focus on some specific sectors - this will help to set some boundaries. Of course these sectors (or new trends)
can change as we are dealing with fastly moving technology. If you find something and are able to get in early then it means an entry with low price.
When project is successful you will make X multiple gains (you can replace X with any number you like). But research is only
one part of the work - trade management is also needed. Of course being early has its own risks - at the beginning there is a lot of uncertainty and not all projects are
going to succeed. Trader will have greater earnings potential but also greater risk of failure (compared with mature projects). Everything is in balance.
I personally feel quite comfortable being early - that's why I also like to invest into startups. I value high earnings potential more than risk of being wrong.
Being early gives me some sort of price protection or margin of safety ( check concept 'Margin of Safety' from book "Intelligent Investor - Benjamin Graham" ). This will allow
me to deal with volatile price swings more easily.
I guess it's just like my personal trait. If you don't feel that way then it is perfectly fine. As I said earlier, you can be successful with different strategies.
Just find out what style suits you best.
Scale In & Scale Out
As I have longer view with my Crypto holdings I like to scale in with my buying. For me good entry points are after selloffs - as long as I have a belief that
general market structure has not changed.
I have my core positions that I will plan to hold for years but I also have other positions that I am willing to sell. I try to scale out from those positions
when market is rising to lock in some profit. Doing that will allow me to put some money aside and have gunpowder to buy more after
selloffs or fund new early stage projects.
This takes some practicing because sometimes market rises so nicely that trader feels like there is no point to sell until whole market is down ...
It is hard to predict those events and that's why I prefer to scale out. I try to play the long-term game and I don't have to do all my buying or selling
with one trade.
Liquidity Planning
Basically I will ride all the ups and downs (hold strategy) with my core positions but scale out (trading) from other positions. Then I have always some reserve
to add more during selloffs or to fund new projects. I try to plan ahead how much reserve money I need and make myself available to as many opportunities as possible.
For long time I underestimated Liquidity Planning's importance and that has caused me to sell many positions too early (or when conditions were not most favorable) - simply
because I did not led my cash flows.
I thought that I just 'flow' and find money when opportunities lie in front of me.
Final thoughts about Crypto markets - as Crypto is going more mainstream every year and probably there are some new market participants who have never experienced
this kind of selloff then just relax - this is not the first and not the last market selloff. Remember - usually when fear is greatest there are also some good
opportunities. People tend to forget that and only focus on risks.
If some mistakes were made during previous leg up then now is good time to learn and plan ahead. That's how we evolve as traders and humans :)
Thank you and enjoy your trading :)
Replaying Trade Setups - Liquidity Grab Reversal - Trading ToolsHaving the right Trading Tools as part of your Technical Analysis setup can give you the edge.
When completing your Technical Analysis its good to know where high volume liquidity areas are.
This script automatically shows you where these unrecovered zones are.
This allows you as a trader to forecast Take Profits, closing your trade or when a reversal might occur.
This video shows that once the high volume liquidity zone was recovered price reversed.
This could have assisted your Technical Analysis if you where in a short to close your trade / Take Profits.
This could have assisted your Technical Analysis to place a long once the liquidity had been recovered.
Trade Safe.
How to Track Liquidity and Trade Them? | Sell_Side Buy_Side |Ever thought a price moves because it's on support level or below a resistance level? Or because your favourite indicators show a buy/sell signal and you want the price to see the same and move in you favourite direction? A Big No, dear. That simply won't happen...
The main gyrator of the market is "Liquidity"
What is liquidity?
Liquidity, in very simple terms, is where stops are. And that's (mainly) below relative equal lows or above relative equal highs... So you're now maybe thinking, "well, that's why I get stopped out just before the price moves violently in my previous direction.."
Exactly, that's it... Learn how to see where liquidity is resting and how to to become engaged in a good trade...
That's exactly what I want you to do...
And here is one lesson of many that I will post.. in addition to live calls when I see high-probability setups... I will turn your eyes to it...
Ther are a lot more to come, so don't forget to ▶️ LIKE ▶️ FOLLOW to keep updated with everything I post..
Let me know in the comments what you wanna be the second lesson on..
Good Luck&Be Safe
Elevate Your Trading | How to Track Liquidity and How to TradeEver thought a price moves because it's on support level or below a resistance level? Or because your favourite indicators show a buy/sell signal and you want the price to see the same and move in you favourite direction? A Big No, dear. That simply won't happen...
The main gyrator of the market is "Liquidity"
What is liquidity?
Liquidity, in very simple terms, is where stops are. And that's (mainly) below relative equal lows or above relative equal highs... So you're now maybe thinking, "well, that's why I get stopped out just before the price moves violently in my previous direction.."
Exactly, that's it... Learn how to see where liquidity is resting and how to to become engaged in a good trade...
That's exactly what I want you to do...
And here is one lesson of many that I will post.. in addition to live calls when I see high-probability setups... I will turn your eyes to it...
Ther are a lot more to come, so don't forget to ▶️ LIKE ▶️ FOLLOW to keep updated with everything I post..
Let me know in the comments what you wanna be the second lesson on..
Good Luck&Be Safe
ICT Concept_How to Spot Optimal Trade Pattern Extra Low Risk▶️Hello everyone;
Here is a chart annotations for a pattern that's of very high probability so when you see it...take advantage of it right away!
I hope you find this insightful and helpful.
If you want to see more this dont forget to▶️
Follow me @CatchBlueFX and LIKE to motivate me to share high-probability patterns and insights as they're forming....
Your comment is very helpful...
Understanding News ManipulationIt is crucial to understand the price action prior to a high impact news event.
Analysing the range to the left beforehand can help you determine what move is likely to come next.
In this example, we saw the price was driven down by the bears to stop out buyers, only to reverse immediately to the upside moments after the news had been released.
By studying and acquiring knowledge like this, you can predict market moves that are likely to come with fundamentals.
Find the liquidity and trade it, or be the liquidity.
How To Spot and Use Liquidity Zones In Your TradingIn this video we show how you can easily spot where liquidity is on a chart and how to use this information to profit from in your own trading
Of course for a successful trading strategy, this is only a small part of the puzzle and you will need to add many more aspects of analysis.
Please LIKE, SHARE & COMMENT on this video to show your support.
Let me know if you have any questions below!
Learning Parallel Channel TrapsSometimes we can get so caught up in the fear of missing out on the breakout that we forget it could be a trap.
It is always crucial to listen to your intuition when you see these easy setups because more often than not they are more complex than they seem.
In this example, a breakout occurred and buyers put stops below the last structure, a few days later this structure got raided for liquidity.
Once the liquidity was gathered we began to see the true move to the upside.
Do you see this often in the markets?
Eg.2: Viewing Break of Market Structures as Broken Expectations Another example of how market structure breaks can be viewed from a perspective of broken expectations of either parties (buyers or sellers). If you were a buyer or seller, where would you be getting involved? Had you gotten involved, would your expectations have been met? If not, how violently were they broken?
Viewing Break of Market Structures as Broken ExpectationsBreak of expectations is a perspective from which I look at market moves a lot of the time. Broken expectations manifest in the form of broken structures. It's the same thing, but just another way of looking at such moves which makes the liquidity story a bit clearer thereby inducing more confidence in taking trades off these zones. Obvious trend continuation zones, when broken, catch many a trader offside. These make for high probability trade locations (for trades in the opposite direction).
Understanding Equal High LiquidityThe concept around equal high liquidity comes from the understanding that stop losses hold above these points.
In this example, price broke out of bullish structure and began to form bearish market conditions.
This would of course attract sellers, especially at the double top point marked.
The idea is simple, tackle the impulsive sellers before the trend continues.
You can see that price began to lure sellers in from the double top but then came back to take them out before continuing with the true move.
This type of move falls under all concepts of money distribution within liquidity and is definitely worth adding to your strategy.
⚡️ Understanding Breakout Traps ⚡️If we see a pattern form that retail likes to trade,
It is highly likely that this pattern may get manipulated.
The reason these common patterns get manipulated is
because of liquidity forming.
Banks want to make sure they can create enough liquidity
for themselves to get positioned nicely in the market.
They do this by driving the price up/down into stop loss areas.
To avoid being caught out we need to sit on our hands,
wait for the stop loss hunt to occur before we go-ahead
with our initial position bias.
The Liquidity GrabI'm going to do my best here at explaining the basics around a liquidity grab (some times called a stop hunt), why it happens and how it works (ignore the chart I'm using, I'm not saying this is a manipulated move just showing you an example of how it works)
I often refer to this in my playbook as an STL "Sweep The Legs" coupled with a picture of Johnny Lawrence from the karate kid lol
First you need to understand that Big money plays a different game to retail.
When you want to place a buy order at a specific price point, lets say your buying a thousands dollars worth of BTC @ $30,000, you can put an order in and boom it gets hit your filled and your ready to go to the moon.
Now imagine some bigger traders who play with a lot more money than you, lets say there order is more like a billion dollars.
Well in order for them to fill there position, there needs to be a large amount of selling at that level other wise they may only get a small piece filled...... theeeeeen of course the price moves away and your priced out of the market (imagine putting your $1000 order in, only getting $10 of it filled and then having the price moon....yeah it would suck)
They do not want to chase candles or buy up the order book, thats just not good business, and if you have to do that in order to get your orders filled thats a good indication that there is already liquidity issues within this market and you may have a similar problem trying to cover of your position later on.
So these players some times need to hunt down and find or even artificially create liquidity pools for them to take a big bite at like pigs at the trough.
One of the easiest ways to do that is to look for the most obvious levels of support with in a trend of sideways channel and look at the buying thats happening on that level.
If we dont get an instant recovery or bounce at that level it can normally indicate price being trapped or held down in order to encourage more retail to "buy the dip" or buy on support as these are some of the most basic tools and strategies taught to retail traders.
Now one thing to remember when all of these traders/investors are in there positions from this level, there will be a large number of these traders protecting capital with stop losses, normally under the level they where buying at.
This now created a liquidity pool...... You see every stop loss on a BUY order, becomes a SELL order, and with so many BUY orders created and entered at a specific level that means the stop loss orders are stacking more and more on top.
Think about it like this, if we hit 30k and someone buys $1m worth, that means there is possibly a SELL order (via a stop loss) of roughly 1m under that level.... now we hit that 30k level again, and someone buys some more, maybe another $1m worth... well now there is roughly $2m worth of SELL orders in that stop loss zone. Hit that 30k super sweet safe support level 5 or 6 times and all the sudden you could have 8-10m worth of SELL orders at a single price point below support.
Now if I wanted to enter this market long and I had 10m order to fill, it would make sense for me to run the price down to clip these stop losses creating a large amount of selling straight into my pig of a buy order.
Once my orders filled I can stop holding the price down and let the price begin to organically rise again, this often creates fomo for all the retailers who just got knocked out of there trades from "tight stop losses" to chase the market back in only adding to the momentum and mark up of my position.
The same thing can happen in vice versa when they are covering or exiting a position as well, and its often followed by a square up to reduce or remove the risk taken on to manipulate the price during there accumulation or distribution of there order, more specially into a short position as they take on more exposure to the underlying asset to manipulate the price, in a long there exposure is fiat and there isnt any need to cover. (ill explain square up in detail next time)
This is often what is referred to as a liquidity grab and its how big players enter the market, they do not chuck a limit order in on Binance and hope for the best...
I hope that made sense and added some value, but if you have any questions please chuck them below
UNDERSTANDING LIQUIDITYIn this quick and easy lesson, I will break down the concept of liquidity.
If you retain the thought that liquidity stands for an area where stop losses are you will grasp this concept quickly.
We often see spikes into areas of liquidity before true moves continue, this is so that banks can capture as many orders as possible before they depart from the area.