How I Use Multi Timeframe Analysis to Capture LARGE Price SwingsDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. Trading involves real risk. Do your own due diligence.
TUTORIAL:
Today, I demonstrate the thought process and mechanical steps I take when trading my Multi-Timeframe strategy. We take a look at US Treasuries, which have offers a classic lesson in how to apply this approach.
As you will see, throughout the year, this approach took some losses prior to getting involved in the "real" move which we anticipated. No strategy is perfect, and I do not purport this to be perfect. It is a rules based and effective way to read price. This strategy is great for people who don't have a lot of time to spend at the charts. I would classify this more as an "investing" strategy when utilizing the 12M-2W-12H timeframe.
If you have questions about anything in this video, feel free to shoot me a message.
I hope you have all had a great week so far.
Good Luck & Good Trading.
Multitimeframeanalysis
Why WAITING on XAU Will pay BIG TIME The charts cover different timeframes of the XAU/USD (Gold/US Dollar) pair, and they reveal several key technical structures and patterns that are useful for trading analysis.
1. Flag Pattern and Breakout (5-Minute and 15-Minute Charts)
- On the 5-minute and 15-minute charts, there is a visible **flag pattern** following a strong upward move (bullish flag). This pattern typically indicates a continuation of the prevailing trend after a consolidation phase.
- The flag's lower trendline (support) and upper trendline (resistance) are marked in yellow. The price consolidated between these lines, and the breakout occurred upwards, confirming the bullish continuation. This breakout could be a potential entry point for a long position, with the stop loss below the flag's lower trendline and a target based on the flagpole's length (the initial strong upward move preceding the flag).
2. Descending Channel and Potential Reversal (1-Hour and 4-Hour Charts)
- The 1-hour and 4-hour charts display a **descending channel** (marked with yellow trendlines). The price recently touched the lower trendline and bounced back, showing signs of a potential reversal.
- If the price continues to break above the upper trendline of the descending channel, it could signal a bullish reversal, providing a possible entry for a long trade. The risk management strategy should include placing a stop loss below the recent low (or the channel's lower trendline) and targeting previous resistance levels or the channel's upper boundary.
3. Broadening Wedge Formation (4-Hour Chart)
- The broader view on the 4-hour chart shows a **broadening wedge pattern**, where the price has been making higher highs and lower lows. This pattern is generally considered a sign of increasing volatility and potential trend reversal.
- If the price breaks above the broadening wedge's upper trendline, this could further confirm a bullish reversal. Conversely, a break below the lower trendline would suggest further downside potential.
4. Support and Resistance Zones (Highlighted on All Charts)
- Several horizontal lines mark significant **support and resistance levels** around $2,507 and $2,532.144, respectively. These levels could serve as potential entry or exit points based on how the price reacts when approaching them.
- Observing how the price interacts with these levels can provide clues for future price action. For example, a sustained move above $2,507 could confirm a bullish sentiment, whereas a rejection or false breakout might suggest the continuation of the bearish trend.
Trading Strategy Recommendations:
1. Flag Pattern (Short-Term Bullish) If looking for short-term trades, consider entering a long position on a confirmed breakout of the flag pattern, with a stop loss below the flag's lower trendline. Target a move equal to the height of the flagpole added to the breakout point.
2. Descending Channel (Potential Reversal):If trading based on the descending channel, a break above the upper trendline could signal a reversal and a potential buying opportunity. In contrast, if the price rejects the upper trendline, consider shorting with a stop above the recent highs and target the lower boundary.
3. Broadening Wedge (Cautious Approach): For traders cautious about volatility, wait for a confirmed breakout from the broadening wedge to determine the trend direction. Enter long if it breaks upwards and short if it breaks downwards, setting stop losses just beyond the breakout points.
4. Support and Resistance Levels (Decision Zones): Use the marked support and resistance zones as decision points. Enter trades based on confirmation signals near these levels, and manage risk by adjusting stop-loss orders accordingly.
By combining these observations with confluence factors such as higher time frame trends, candlestick patterns, and multi-touch confirmations, you can refine your entry and exit points and enhance your trading strategy.
Chart Patterns Within Patterns: A Guide to Nested Setups Daily Chart Analysis:
Pattern Overview:
The daily chart shows an Ascending Channel formation, which generally indicates a bullish trend but can also signal a potential reversal if the upper trendline acts as strong resistance.
Within the ascending channel, there are continuation patterns such as smaller bull flags, which suggest bullish momentum continuation.
Key Resistance and Liquidity Zone (LQZ):
The upper trendline of the ascending channel aligns closely with the recent highs around the $2,530 - $2,540 region, creating a significant resistance area.
The 1-Hour Liquidity Zone (LQZ) at $2,486.793 is marked below the current price, indicating potential areas where price might retest before any significant upward or downward move.
Potential Reversal Signal:
The upper boundary of the ascending channel has recently been tested multiple times, and each time, there has been a slight pullback, indicating selling pressure. This could be a precursor to a possible reversal if this level is not broken with conviction.
4-Hour Chart Analysis:
Nesting Patterns:
The 4-hour chart also reveals several nested patterns within the broader ascending channel, including smaller bull flags and a potential double-top pattern forming at the resistance zone.
The price action is consolidating below the resistance line at $2,530.750, creating a possible Double Top scenario, which could indicate a bearish reversal if confirmed by a breakdown below the neckline support.
Impulse and Correction Phases:
The recent impulsive moves upwards have been followed by corrective pullbacks, which have been forming higher lows, reinforcing the bullish bias in the medium term.
However, the proximity to the resistance and the potential double-top formation might signal caution for long positions.
1-Hour and 15-Minute Chart Analysis:
Short-Term Structure:
The 1-hour chart shows a more detailed view of the recent consolidation phase near the key resistance level. There are signs of weakening momentum as prices approach the upper trendline.
The 15-minute chart further shows a tightening range and potential bear flag or a descending channel, which could indicate a short-term bearish continuation if the lower trendline of this smaller pattern breaks.
Critical Levels:
The support level around $2,486.793 (1HR LQZ) is critical for intraday trading. A break below this could lead to a sharper correction towards the lower boundary of the ascending channel on the daily chart.
For bullish continuation, a clear break above the $2,530 - $2,540 resistance with strong volume would be needed to confirm further upside potential.
Trading Strategy and Recommendations:
Bullish Scenario:
Look for a strong breakout above the $2,530 - $2,540 resistance on the daily chart, accompanied by increased volume and a break above the smaller continuation patterns (flags) on the lower timeframes.
Enter on a reduced risk entry after a pullback to the breakout level, with stops placed below the recent consolidation range or the 1-Hour LQZ.
Bearish Scenario:
Watch for a confirmed Double Top breakdown on the 4-hour chart, with a clear break below the neckline support around $2,486.793.
Consider short positions on the break of the neckline or after a retest of the breakdown level, with stops placed above the recent highs or the upper boundary of the descending channel on the 15-minute chart.
Risk Management:
Given the proximity to a key resistance level and the potential for a reversal, it is crucial to manage risk carefully. Use tight stops and consider reducing position size until a clear directional move is confirmed.
Unlock the Secrets of Gold Trading: Pericles' Ancient WisdomIn this video, we explore the profound perspectives on fear from historical figures like Pericles and modern thinkers like Ryan Holiday. Pericles, the esteemed Athenian statesman, saw fear as a natural emotion that should not paralyze us. He believed in confronting fear with courage, rational thought, and strategic planning, using it as a tool for effective decision-making.
Ryan Holiday, drawing on Stoic philosophy in his works, echoes these sentiments with stories of historical figures who turned fear into fuel for success. He recounts how John D. Rockefeller faced market crashes with calm calculation and how Theodore Roosevelt overcame health challenges by embracing adversity.
Both Pericles and Holiday teach us that fear, when managed correctly, can become a powerful ally. By acknowledging fear, confronting it with rationality and courage, and using it to sharpen our focus and strategy, we can transform challenges into opportunities for growth and success. This approach is especially relevant in the realm of trading, where mastering fear can lead to better decision-making and greater resilience.
Key Levels and Patterns:
Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL):
The chart shows a series of higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL), indicating an overall uptrend. This pattern suggests that the bullish momentum is still in play.
Ascending Channel:
There is a well-defined ascending channel where the price has been moving upwards within parallel trendlines. This channel can act as a guide for potential support and resistance levels.
Reversal Points (LQZ):
1-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: Located at 2,429.190. This level is a potential area where price may reverse or find support.
4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: Located at 2,391.394. This level also serves as a significant support zone.
Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP 1: 2,319.385
TP 2: 2,288.085
TP 3: 2,265.369
Recent Price Action:
The price recently reached a higher high at around 2,458.755 and then pulled back slightly, indicating a potential short-term correction within the overall uptrend.
The ascending channel suggests that if the price remains above the lower boundary of the channel, the uptrend is likely to continue.
If the price breaks below the 1-hour LQZ / Reversal Point at 2,429.190, it could test the 4-hour LQZ / Reversal Point at 2,391.394. A further breakdown below this level might lead to the next support at TP 1.
Analysis Summary:
Bullish Scenario: The price could bounce from the current levels or the lower boundary of the ascending channel, aiming for new highs. Traders might look for buying opportunities near the support levels of the channel and reversal points.
Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below the identified reversal points and the ascending channel, it might signal a deeper correction, potentially heading towards the TP levels for possible buying opportunities at lower prices.
By applying Pericles' wisdom of confronting fear with rationality and Ryan Holiday's insights on turning fear into strategic advantage, traders can approach these levels with a clear, disciplined mindset, making informed decisions even in volatile market conditions.
Revealing My Top Gold Trading Secrets for Huge Profits!In this video, I reveal my top trading secrets for making huge profits in gold trading (XAU/USD). This educational content will cover key technical analysis techniques and strategies that I frequently use in my charts, as well as valuable insights into trading mindset and proper risk management. Let's unlock the potential of your trading skills together!
Technical Approach:
In this educational segment, we'll focus on the core technical analysis principles that I use to make informed trading decisions. Here's a detailed breakdown of my approach:
Identifying the Trend:
Uptrends and Downtrends: Learn how to recognize market trends using higher highs and higher lows for uptrends, and lower highs and lower lows for downtrends.
Trendlines: Use trendlines to connect the highs and lows of price movements, helping to identify the direction of the trend and potential reversal points.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Levels: Identify areas where the price tends to find support as it falls, acting as a floor preventing further decline.
Resistance Levels: Identify areas where the price tends to find resistance as it rises, acting as a ceiling preventing further ascent.
Historical Price Action: Use past price movements to pinpoint key support and resistance levels that the market respects.
Liquidity Zones (LQZ):
Definition: Liquidity zones are areas on the chart where there is a high concentration of trading activity, often leading to significant price movements.
Identification: Learn how to spot these zones using volume profiles, order flow analysis, and historical price action.
Trading Strategy: Use liquidity zones to identify potential entry and exit points, as they often precede major price moves.
Volume Analysis:
Volume Spikes: Understand how volume spikes can indicate strong buying or selling interest, confirming the validity of price movements.
Volume Trends: Analyze volume trends to gauge the strength of a price trend and anticipate potential reversals.
Entry and Stop Loss Strategies:
Breakouts and Pullbacks: Enter trades on confirmed breakouts above resistance or below support, or on pullbacks to key levels within a trend.
Trailing Stop Loss: Implement a trailing stop loss to lock in profits as the trade moves in your favor, adjusting the stop loss level as the price progresses.
Mini Lessons: Mindset:
Patience and Discipline:
Patience: Wait for the right trading setups that meet your criteria, avoiding impulsive decisions.
Discipline: Stick to your trading plan and rules, even when the market becomes volatile or unpredictable.
Emotional Control:
Stay Calm: Keep your emotions in check to avoid making irrational decisions based on fear or greed.
Mindfulness: Practice mindfulness techniques to remain focused and calm, especially during stressful trading situations.
Proper Risk Management:
Position Sizing:
Risk Per Trade: Limit the amount of capital you risk on any single trade, typically 1-2% of your trading account.
Position Size Calculation: Calculate your position size based on the distance to your stop loss and your risk tolerance.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
Target Ratio: Aim for a risk-reward ratio of at least 2:1, meaning your potential profit should be at least twice your potential loss.
Trade Evaluation: Evaluate each trade based on its risk-reward ratio before entering, ensuring it aligns with your trading strategy.
By incorporating these technical strategies and mindset principles, you can enhance your trading performance and increase your chances of success in the gold market. Stay tuned for more educational content and trading insights!
Using Multi-Timeframe analysis for a major WinnerMulti-timeframe analysis is a key techniques for prepping a market prior to a trading session.
The first thing to do before trading is to understand the major moves and longer term price action. This enables us to get on the right side of a sessions move and avoid a lot of the chop.
We take a look at the DOW from the previous trading session and talk through the 30 min timeframe and why it was so important for the 500 pt rally into the close.
I talk through the key price action, the trap of shorts before the big move up and why we needed to be on the long side of the action.
ANY QUESTIONS, JUST LEAVE IN THE COMMENTS !!
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Trade in a sideways marketMain price pattern of financial instruments
So, when we talk about the price of financial stuff, like stocks or crypto, it often moves in specific ranges over different timeframes, right? Whether it's weekly, daily, hourly, or even minute charts, prices tend to hang out in these ranges for a while. Traders call this kind of price movement "consolidation," "range-bound," or simply a "sideways market."
In this article, we'll just call it a sideways market or range. When prices are stuck in this sideways action, they can break out with a sudden burst of momentum, kickstarting a trend, or they might just keep bouncing around, forming a new sideways pattern.
Let's check out the daily chart of BTCUSDT starting from October 2021. On the chart (see above), we've marked those periods where the price was moving sideways with blue markers. Since October 2021, we've spotted 7 of these sideways patterns. We label the first point of each sideways move as "1". Out of 884 trading days, the price was stuck in this sideways action for 758 days (884 - 72 - 39 - 15), which makes up about 85%. This means that throughout this whole period, you could've been looking at trades from one edge of the sideways range to the other.
Based on my estimates, most financial instruments spend more than 75% of their time in this sideways market mode.
So, knowing how to trade in sideways markets is a super important skill for traders. And for investors, understanding these sideways moves can really amp up the profitability of their investments by pinpointing better entry and exit points.
For example, right now, considering buying BABA stocks might be a good idea because the price is chilling at the bottom of a sideways range on the weekly chart.
Example1
Mastering the Skills for Successful Trading in Sideways Market
Being able to effectively trade within trading ranges, between their boundaries, requires not only a certain amount of knowledge but also the development of specific skills. Initially, one must grasp the theoretical foundations and then apply them in practice, gradually honing their skills. Let's look at the necessary skills:
Skill 1: Understanding and applying the Concept of Time Frame (TF) Interconnection: higher TF, lower TF. Grasping the context of the higher TF in relation to the sideways market TF.
Skill 2: Identifying sideways market: determining the absolute and current boundaries of the range, as well as the current direction (vector) of price movement.
Skill 3: Recognizing zones of interest for buyers and sellers.
Skill 4: Determining the presence of buyers at the lower boundary (bottom protection by buyers) and sellers at the upper boundary (top protection by sellers).
Skill 5: Adhering to risk management principles when entering trades (especially crucial for traders).
Each of these skills is based on a vast amount of knowledge that needs to be absorbed first and then applied in practice. The journey can be long and sometimes tedious. Is there a way to hack this system and shorten the time it takes to acquire knowledge, develop skills, and start trading? Well, there are options. For example, you can use technical indicators (such as RSI, Bollinger Bands, ATR, etc.) to make buying or selling decisions. Or you could completely bypass the process of acquiring knowledge and skills and rely on signals from Telegram channels or expert opinions. But what will you find there about trading in sideways market (ranges), where the market spends more than 75% of its time?
This series of articles is written for those who are ready to take control of their financial destiny, who strive to understand how financial markets work, and who want to master the skills of independent trading and making more informed investment decisions. Here you will find the knowledge and tools to start understanding what is happening in the financial markets and how to profit from it. I don't promise any magic pills or "money" buttons:).
So, let's get started.
Skill 1: Applying the Concept of Time Frame Interconnection
The higher time frame (TF) always takes precedence over the lower one. For instance, if we observe on the daily chart that the market is in a seller's zone (which is determined by Skill 3), then on the hourly chart, we need to analyze the seller's actions (Skill 4) and primarily look for selling opportunities. However, there might be a situation where the seller is inactive, and the price starts to rise due to buyer pressure (in this case, Skill 4 comes into play again).
Example2
On the provided chart, areas of seller interest are marked in red, while buyer interest areas are marked in blue. Let's examine the period from March 25th to March 27th, highlighted in yellow on the chart.
On the daily TF, we observe sideways movement since December 22, 2023, with the bearish vector (11-12) being relevant. The first target of the bearish vector, 3.119, was reached on March 19, 2024. The second target (2.822) and the third (2.611) remain valid. On March 25th, the price returned to the seller's zone on the daily chart (the red zone with the lower boundary at 3.680).
On the hourly chart, on March 25th, the price trend reached the daily seller's zone and formed a range with 7 points. The breakout from this range occurred downwards on March 27th. Therefore, in this range, it was advisable to look for selling opportunities from the upper boundary and riskily consider buying from the lower one.
Similarly, you can make investment decisions by analyzing, for example, the weekly and daily TFs.
To be continued...
P.S. This is indeed an interesting point! Despite the fact that the market spends more than 75% of its time in sideways movement, indicators and strategies specifically designed for trading in this mode have not gained as much popularity as other trading approaches. Even on the internet, including TV and trading Telegram channels, signals or analyses based on identifying sideways movement are very rarely encountered. If you have experience or knowledge about trading methods in sideways markets (including indicators), please share them in the comments!
SPG - Trade analysis & Multi-time frame confluenceThis video is more of a tutorial on why I took a short trade on SPG today. We fell out of our strong buying continuation channels with a rejection of HTF tapered channels and selling channels. Confirmation was the support from our more tapered buying algo and rejected of the bottom of our stronger buying algo (in addition to it lining up with our strong magenta selling channel)
Happy Trading :)
XAU - Understanding how to analyze Multiple Time FramesYes - This way of seeing price action works on any time frame and in any market -
Why? - Because it's using basic understanding of how the market works and utilizing these channels as a way to see the strength of buyers and sellers at any given price. In a way, it's a third eye (Price, Volume, Strength). Utilizing this alongside any indicators you'd like to add can lead you to real vision in the crazy and "unpredictable" world of trading.
I personally don't use any additional indicators aside from straight up Volume - and that's what works best for me. But if you can find confluence with any of the thousands of indicators out there, that's amazing and i'm sure you'll be able to find real success.
Hope this was helpful! And as always,
Happy Trading!
Understanding Momentum to filter out the Best SetupsIn the video I discuss how I analyse momentum using MACDs and the 5min and 1min charts when daytrading.
Knowing these key concepts helps me filter out the best setups to get on the right side of the market and in the right trading zones.
The basic concepts discussed are :
- Momentum
- Price Action
- Candle Analysis
- Multi-timeframe Analysis
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Trading 101: The benefits of hard closesIntroduction:
In the world of technical analysis, traders are constantly searching for new and innovative methods to gain an edge in the market. One such technique that has gained popularity in recent years is the use of "hard closes." In this idea, we will delve into what hard closes are, why they are considered superior to conventional crossover methods, and the benefits and practical applications of incorporating hard closes into your trading strategy.
Understanding Hard Closes:
A "hard close" is a unique approach to analyzing price movements in financial markets. Unlike traditional moving average crossovers, which rely on the intersection of two moving averages, hard closes focus on the closing price of an asset. In essence, a hard close is an inflexible criterion that triggers a signal when the closing and opening price of an asset meets specific predetermined conditions.
How to Spot Hard Closes:
Let's say we have a level of resistance, and we are waiting for the price to break out so that we can long it, an up candle must open above the level of resistance, as well as close above it (because it also has to be an up candle). Similarly, if we are looking for a support breakout, we need a down candle to open below the level of support and close as a down candle. Hard closes can be used on both horizontal levels and trendlines.
Why Hard Closes Are Better:
Reduced Noise: Hard closes eliminate a significant amount of noise present in conventional crossover methods. By focusing solely on opening and closing prices, they filter out intra-period fluctuations as well as fakeouts and provide a cleaner and more precise signal.
Benefits of Hard Closes:
Risk Management: By reducing false signals, hard closes help traders make more informed decisions. This, in turn, enhances risk management strategies, preventing traders from entering ill-timed trades.
Versatility: Hard closes can be applied to various assets and timeframes as well as different kinds of levels, making them suitable for day traders, swing traders, and long-term investors alike.
Practical Uses of Hard Closes:
Trend Confirmation: Hard closes can be used to confirm the strength and direction of an existing trend. A bullish hard close, for example, can reinforce the conviction of a bullish trend.
Entry and Exit Points: Traders can employ hard closes to identify precise entry and exit points for their trades. This approach minimizes the guesswork involved in trading decisions.
Filtering Signals: Hard closes can be integrated into existing trading strategies to filter out less reliable signals, enhancing the overall effectiveness of the strategy.
In conclusion, hard closes represent a powerful and innovative approach to technical analysis that offers several advantages over conventional crossover methods. Their ability to reduce noise, improve accuracy, and adapt to different trading styles makes them a valuable addition to any trader's toolkit. Whether you are a seasoned professional or a novice trader, consider exploring the potential of hard closes to enhance your trading strategy and gain a competitive edge in the financial markets.
Learn Why You Should Study Multiple Time Frame Analysis
In my daily posts, I quite frequently use multiple time frame analysis.
If you want to enhance your predictions and make more accurate decisions, this is the technique you need to master.
In the today's post, we will discuss the crucial importance of multiple time frames analysis in trading the financial markets.
1️⃣ Trading on a single time frame, you may miss the important key levels that can be recognized on other time frames.
Take a look at the chart above. Analyzing a daily time frame, we can spot a confirmed bullish breakout of a key daily resistance.
That looks like a perfect buying opportunity.
However, a weekly time frame analysis changes the entire picture, just a little bit above the daily resistance, there is a solid weekly resistance.
From such a perspective, buying GBPUSD looks very risky.
2️⃣ The market trend on higher and lower time frames can be absolutely different.
In the example above, Gold is trading in a bullish trend on a 4h time frame. It may appear for a newbie trader that buyers are dominating on the market. While a daily time frame analysis shows a completely different picture: the trend on a daily is bearish, and a bullish movement on a 4H is simply a local correctional move.
3️⃣ It may appear that the market has a big growth potential on one time frame while being heavily over-extended on other time frames.
Take a look at GBPJPY: on a weekly time frame, the market is trading in a strong bullish trend.
Checking a daily time frame, however, we can see that the bullish momentum is weakening: the double top pattern is formed and the market is consolidating.
The sentiment is even changing to a bearish once we analyze a 4H time frame. We can spot a rising wedge pattern there and its support breakout - very bearish signal.
4️⃣ Higher time frame analysis may help you to set a safe stop loss.
In the picture above, you can see that stop loss placement above a key daily resistance could help you to avoid stop hunting shorting the Dollar Index.
Analyzing the market solely on 1H time frame, stop loss would have been placed lower and the position would have closed in a loss.
Always check multiple time frame when you analyze the market.
It is highly recommendable to apply the combination of at least 2 time frames to make your trading safer and more accurate.
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Trading is SimpleSelect number of stocks based on your own fundamental criterias. After that you just need to identify the sentiment/trend of each stocks. The most basic and easy way to identify it is the 20ema/50ema situation in the Daily TF (you can zoom in or zoom out to different TF. Up to you).
When 20ema is above 50ema, then move to a smaller TF to time your entry, to find optimal entry point.
CURRENCY CORRELATION HEAT MAPCurrency correlation is important to understand in forex trading because it could impact your trading results often without you even knowing it.
In this post, I will share some information about correlations in forex trading and how you are able to use it to your advantage to avoid unnecessary losses. Throughout my journey as a beginner trader, I have bought or sold 2 different currency pairs many times without knowing they are negatively correlated just to let the gains be offset by
the other pair.
My aim in this short post is to bring awareness about the positive and negative correlations between the currencies, specifically the most traded major pairs in the forex market.
What is correlation in forex trading?
A foreign exchange correlation is the connection between 2 different currency pairs. There is a positive correlation when 2 pairs move in the same direction, a negative correlation when they move in opposite direction, and no correlation if the pairs move with no relationship. In order to understand the relationship between 2 currencies, you must know the correlation coefficient and how it relates.
What is correlation coefficient?
A correlation coefficient represents how strong or weak a correlation is between 2 forex pairs. They are expressed in values and range from -100 to 100 or -1 to 1, with the decimal representing the coefficient. The higher the value of the correlation coefficient will largely reflect the movement of the other pair.
See Figure 1. Correlation Heat Map
For example, If the reading is -70 and above 70, it is considered to have strong correlation between the two. Readings anywhere between -70 to 70 means that the pairs are less correlated. With coefficients near the 0 mark, means little or no relationship with one or another. As traders, implementing risk management in our trading plan also reflects to correlations as you may think its a good ides to buy 2 highly correlated pairs thinking you will double your profits when in reality you may lose double the money as both trades could end up in a loss as you're doubling your risk.
Figure 2 . Positive Correlation: EURUSD / AUDUSD
As we can see on this line chart between EURUSD / AUDUSD, both pairs have a strong correlation coefficient as they are moving in almost the same direction. The correlation coefficient is valued at 75 as noted on the heat map. For example, if you place a buy order EURUSD and place a sell order on AUDUSD, expect a win and a loss in most cases.
Figure 3. Negative Correlation: EURGBP / GBPUSD
On this line chart, we can see that both of these parts are moving in opposite directions which are showing a negative correction between the two which in fact is also known as an inverted correction. The correlation coefficient is valued at -90 on the heat map which means if you place a buy order on EURGBP and a place a sell order on GBPUSD you may double your profits, but again you're doubling your risk.
Figure 4. No Correlation: GBPJPY / USDJPY
This line chart shows that both of these pairs move in the same direction with a correlation coefficient of -9 which has almost no correlation. If you place a buy order on GBPJPY and place a sell order on USDJPY, one of these trades will most likely end up in a loss. The pairs that have no correlation usually have different and separate economic conditions therefore coefficient values tend to be lower.
In summary, understanding which pairs are correlated with one another will be able to help build your strategy and improve your trading results. Every trading strategy NEEDS to have Risk Management implemented in it as it is the key to sustainability for the long run.
Trading is a marathon NOT a sprint.
To learn more about forex correlations and their relationships, please see the following links.
References:
www.tradingview.com
ca.investing.com
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Trade Safe
Why Multitasking is Dangerous for Traders – 6 REASONSWe have come to believe that juggling multiple tasks, will somehow reward us eventually.
But with trading, I can’t think of anything worse.
In fact, I think it’s counterproductive to multi-task when making financial decisions for your trading.
And no! Lying on the couch, or on the beach with your phone while talking to friends is ALSO a no go.
Here’s why I think multi-tasking is dangerous…
DANGER #1:
You miss crucial opportunities:
If you’re focused on watching TV, eating chips and watching TikToks at the same time, I guarantee – you will miss out on high probability trades.
You need to have full focus and pay attention to the markets, when you’re trading or it will affect the quality of your trading and setups.
Danger #2:
Delays in trading decision making
Multitasking can slow down your decision-making process and prevent you from acting in a timely manner.
Think about it… It’s one more video to watch, it’s 10 more minutes until the show ends. Let me just finish my beer first.
The market waits for NO ONE!
So act accordingly.
Danger #3:
Stress levels through the roof
You’re going to make impulsive, emotional decisions.
You have your heard earned money in an account ready to take on the local and global markets.
If you have sounds, food and other distractions in the background – it will affect your stress.
This will not only put you off trading but might also scare you out of it completely. These types of decisions can be costly in trading.
I mean, trading can be stressful enough on its own.
Add multitasking to the mix and your levels of stress and increase feelings of anxiety will sky rocket.
This can lead to burnout and negatively impact our overall performance.
Danger #4:
Drop in prod
You might feel that you can get more done by multi-tasking but it actually will decrease your productivity and efficiency.
When we try to do too many things at once, it takes us longer to complete each task and we may not do them as well as if we had focused on them individually.
Danger #5:
More mistakes
Trading needs to be laser focused!
If you multi-task you need to remember something. You are human and you are susceptible to making mistakes and errors.
You might miss a trade setup.
You might type in the wrong trading levels.
Or worse… Trading volume.
You might miss opportunities to lock in profits through adjustments.
Just take it one trade at a time and focus on the time in the markets…
Danger #6:
Ruin relationships
Ok this one is a bit of a stretch, but I think it relevant.
If you multi-task while trading, what about the rest of your life.
You most likely will multi-task while eating dinner, talking to friends, driving or even spending time with your children.
This can most definitely have a negative effect on not only your trading but your life, relationships and will lead to even more stress…
If you’re still reading this then I want you to do something for me.
I want you right now to take a DEEP breath in….
.
.
.
.
.
And out…..
Just slow down. Take it easy. Focus on one thing at a time and enjoy the process.
Be more present and you will find life will be a lot more easier in your everyday.
I am writing this because I want you to start your year on a calm, focused and powerful note.
You got this.
Trade well, live free and take it EASY!
Timon
MATI Trader
Multi-Timeframe-Structure ExplainedHello traders
- In this example, we will explain why focusing on the multi timeframe structure is important.
- It is crucial to observe the chart on multiple timeframes. If we consider several time frames and they match, we will be able to have more confirmation for entry.
- How can multi timeframe structure help us in our analysis?
-Multi-time frame analysis is simply utilizing both higher and lower time frames together. Lower time frames become higher time frames; for example, one 1D candle has 24-1H candles or 6-4H candles. When we are using LTF and HTF, we should focus on the major trend direction as it is very easy to get lost in the lower time frame.
-The following example will help you better understand the importance of multi timeframe structure.
- For example, follow the chart on the 1H timeframe. At that moment, you see a bullish trend, but if you look at the chart on the 1D timeframe you can see that we are in a bearish trend, and that the bullish trend on the 1H timeframe is actually a pullback to the supply zone on the 1D timeframe.
- That is why it is important to follow the multi timeframe structure in order to have more confirmations.
-We hope this post helped you to better understand multi timeframe structure, if you have any questions, you can ask below in the comment.
Multiple Timeframe AnalysisWhen traders ask "what was your light-bulb moment in trading", I often say 2 things:
1) stop worrying about what other traders are doing and focus on yourself making sure you are consistent with the trading strategy as that's how you will get consistent results.
2) understanding multiple timeframe analysis.
Once I started focusing on myself and was consistent with my trading, I was able to review my journaled trading results and noticed by best trade setups happened when price has multiple timeframe correlations with both my enter timeframe and higher timeframe.
The main purpose of the higher timeframe is to help me determine if I should be looking for buys, sells, or staying out of the market. The 2nd purpose of the higher timeframe is to determine the trend.
Multiple timeframe analysis can be used on all trading strategies whether you trade supply and demand, support and resistance, chart patterns, or use trading indicators.
All we are trying to do is determine whether we should be looking for buys, or sells as this will help us increase the probability of our trade.
See Chart For Analysis. I also have a full break-down on my youtube: Moneyball Austin
STRUCTURE - The key to success!STRUCTURING - The key to success! (Part 1)
That structuring and order is the key to success, most will have already heard and partially applied in their own lives.
- Chart analysis is no exception and after correct application the results are even monetarily noticeable.
- How this can be implemented specifically in "TradingView", I present to you in this article.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
1st Part = THE PROBLEM
2nd Part = THE SOLUTION
3rd Part = CONCLUSION
PART 1 = THE PROBLEM
"EVERYONE WILL KNOW THE EXPERIENCE,
TO HAVE SET A TRADE, TO BE SURE OF VICTORY,
ONLY TO BE MERCILESSLY STOPPED OUT."
In hindsight, you analyze your failed trade and realize that in another "Time Frame" an important support/resistance level was below/above your "Stop Loss" and the "Trade Idea" was already - BEFORE - INVALIDATED.
-> So one could have saved the "LOSS".
Most of us will analyze several "Time Frames" to know - which levels are strong/weak and relevant.
-> Regardless of the preferred "Time Frame", one will include the next larger/smaller "Time Frames" in one's analysis.
-> The more "Time Frames" you analyze and include in your final decision, the more confusing it gets.
-> The chart looks like a battlefield and the probability to make a profitable decision diminishes - significantly.
The time spent to put together the individual pieces of the puzzle to the big whole is no longer presentable.
= Headaches and a bad decision are pre-programmed.
To avoid this problem and to make the "Multi-Time-Frame" analysis as effective as possible. I have tested the possibilities provided by "TradingView" and worked out solutions that work for me.
-> I will present these in the following posts to inspire you and possibly provide a solution for an already existing problem.
The benefits of a working structure are:
"LONG-TERM TIME SAVINGS" + "SIGNIFICANTLY BETTER DECISIONS".
2. PART = THE SOLUTION
2.1. INTEGRATION OF THE OBJECT TREE
The platform provides an "element" overview - of all objects drawn in.
-> this option is an excellent way to structure all the objects located in the chart.
- If you haven't used this option before, you will probably belong to the majority.
- Unfortunately, this tool has not been sufficiently promoted by "TradingView", which is why it is unknown to many.
You can find the "Object tree" on the right side, at the very bottom. (Image 1)
If you have never used / structured the object tree before, it will look similar to our "UN-ORDERLY" example. (Image 2)
In the third image, you can see how it can be once you take the time to add order. (Image 3)
To get an overview, you can sort the drawn objects into groups and label them, depending on your own preference / structure.
- This works with a simple right click on the object (e.g. Fib-Retracement).
- There is then the selection "CREATE A GROUP OF DRAWINGS".
Once several groups have been created, you may need a placeholder.
Any is not provided by the program, but can be easily created yourself.
= Simply draw a point with the BRUSH tool.
-> switch off all Time Frames at Visibility
-> create own folder for this point with e.g. "- - - - - - -".
3. PART = CONCLUSION
With a little effort, order and structure can be provided here in the "much" edited charts.
How you want to set up this structure is entirely up to you. In case you need a little inspiration, you can take the one I created.
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
IDT - Supply&Demand
IDT - Fibonacci
IDT - Trendlines
IDT - Point of interest
IDT - Market Structure Break
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HTF - Supply&Demand
HTF - Fibonacci
HTF - Trendlines
HTF - Point of interest
HTF - Market Structure Break
HTF – Volume level
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LONG IDEA
SHORT IDEA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
IDT = Intraday
HTF = Higher Time Frame
If this idea and explanation has added value to you, I would be very happy about a review of the idea.
Thank you and happy trading!