NZDUSD REMAINS BULLISH: ANALYSISIn this video update, we take a look at how the NZDUSD is finishing this week.
We expected the NZD to benefit from the potential USD weakness this week and it rallied significantly.
If the market remains bullish we expect further upside next week as long as the USD can continue to move lower.
This along with the AUD will be under pressure as the trade war between Trump and China continues however any positive news will push these currencies higher.
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USDNOK DOWNSIDE TO CONTINUEUSDNOK looks likely to continue lower after forming a head and shoulders pattern on the 4hr chart.
The weekly chart is in an uptrend however price has recently tested a key area of resistance.
With the USD weakness combined with stabilizing oil prices, the NOK could see further upside pushing this chart lower.
If price retraces to the head and shoulders neckline we can look for potential shorting opportunities down to the key support.
DXY QUICK UPDATE...BREAKOUTIn this video update, we take a quick look at the DXY and how the USD is shaping up after closing below a key support zone.
If price continues to fall EURUSD should break and close above the 1.1500 level confirming a move higher.
Keep an eye on the 4hr chart here as it may pullback to the key support zone before moving any lower.
US30 OUTLOOK. BEARISH YEAR AHEADIn this video update, we take a look at the US30 and how it could be shaping up for the year ahead.
We could see a short-term rise in the market before seeing significant downside. The upside will largely come from the USD
weakness if it can break lower, however, with the slowdown in the Chinese economy we could see further downside back into the key support.
USD DOWNSIDE EXPECTEDIn this video update, we discuss the recent move on the DXY as we have seen the index break out of a key range between 97.50 and 96.20.
With the decline in the Bond market, it begs the question, will the USD follow suit?
Typically, when the 10 and 30 yr US bonds decline the USD follows over time and those markets have dropped significantly through December.
If the USD does breakdown further we expect the support zone of 94.00 to be the overall target of the move lower.
WHY WE ARE SEEING LARGE MOVES IN THE SAFE HAVEN CURRENCYIn this video update, we take a look at USDJPY as overnight APPL revealed their Q1 data which showed a potential slowdown in the Chinese economy. This caused investors to move their money from risk on to risk off with JPY and Gold benefiting from the poor data. Looking at the technicals price has bounced from the support of 105.20 however the move has been exaggerated due to low liquidity and we could see prices re-test this support again.
CADJPY DOWNSIDE CONTINUATION CADJPY has been sinking lower due to poor data and BoC Poloz playing down interest rate hikes.
We looked previously at a short opportunity at the minor resistance and now price has taken out the key weekly support we expect this to act as resistance
with likely targets of 80.65.
WHY WE ARE BEARISH USDWe have been looking for USD weakness for a while now due to the current situation in the Bond Market. There was risk to the upside however if the
FOMC were hawkish the USD could have spiked further. But despite them mentioning gradual rate hikes, they were focused on data and monitoring inflation which is under the current 2% targets.
This has seen the USD fall today and if price breaks and closes below the previous lows will be looking for USD weakness to continue.
GBPUSD UPDATE AHEAD OF FOMCGBPUSD has been a chart of interest for a while and downside looks likely when taking price action into consideration only.
However, with the FOMC interest rate decision tonight this chart could look very different by the end of the day. If the FED disappoint and look to slow down the rate in
which they continue to hike interest rates we could see GBP back above the key 1.2700 resistance. If the FED plan to continue hiking interest rates then the USD will see significant
upside leading to a break of the trendline support and GBPUSD heading down to the key support level.
USDSGD DOWNSIDE CONTINUATION LIKELYIn this video update, we take a look at USDSGD and how it is trading between to key significant levels.
Price action suggests we are going to see further declines in this market and the 4hr chart is starting to move lower in line with the daily price action.
The minor resistance level highlighted in the video would be a likely area for the market to find resistance again.
NZDCAD TREND CONTINUATIONIn this video, we look at a trend continuation trade on NZDCAD daily chart.
Looking at the daily chart we can see a clear uptrend with price forming higher highs and higher lows.
Price has now retraced to the previous structure highs and bullish moving averages.
Yesterday's candle printed as a bullish inside candle which typically leads to a breakout.
WHAT WE NEED TO SEE NEXT FROM THE USDIn this video, we discuss what we need to see from the USD going into the FOMC meeting tomorrow.
We are expected to see a hike of 0.25% which typically does see investment into the currency. However, we feel the FOMC may disappoint with the statement on future rate hikes.
If this happens we need to see the USD break below the trendline support and zone support of 96.30.
If we do see a break and close below we will be looking for short opportunities on the USD.
GOLD HIGHER IF FOMC DISAPPOINTGOLD seasonally moves higher throughout December and if the FOMC disappoint after hiking rates on Wednesday we could see prices rally in line with the seasonal move.
Price is currently sitting at previous structure highs and 20EMA where we could see a further impulse leg. The market may be subdued until the announcement so patience will be required here. Looking at the lower timeframes if the 4hr timeframe can push higher and form higher highs in line with the daily timeframe we have the opportunity for a better risk to reward profile.
AUDUSD BEAR FLAG BREAKOUTIn this video update, we discuss the potential for further downside for the AUDUSD, especially after the poor GDP report.
The market last week formed a bearish flag pattern and broke out on Friday. If we are to see further selling pressure the market
will likely head towards the key support level of 0.7050.
EURUSD BREAKOUTIn this video update, we talk about the EURUSD breaking out of a longer-term wedge pattern.
This could be the early indication that the USD strength could move into the market. Typically, through December the EURO has it's best month however with the current political problems with Brexit, we could see the seasonal patterns lost this year.
WILL THE USD FINISH THE WEEK STRONGIn this video update, we look at how the USD has performed this week and what could happen leading into next week.
USD is currently still sitting in the wedge pattern and looks likely to break higher despite the current situation in the Bond market.
If we do see a clear close above the highs expect the market to continue higher.
BREXIT VOTE TUESDAY...WHAT NEXT FOR GBPUSD?In this video update, we take a look at GBPUSD. The UK Parliment is voting on the current Brexit deal proposed by PM May and it is likely that she will lose the vote. If this happens then the likelihood of a no deal increases and with that so does the ongoing uncertainty.
DXY MONDAY OUTLOOKIn this video update, we take a look at the DXY and plan for the week ahead. We like to analyse this on a Monday to help gauge the strength or weakness of the greenback and where we can best position ourselves around it.
President Trump is questioning himself as to why the stock markets are falling and is it his fault. Trump wants a weaker dollar and higher stock market and he may start to put pressure on the FED to meet his demands.
DXY...WHERE WILL IT FINISH AFTER NFPIn this video update, we take a look at the DXY. We expect downside here however if we do see a shock in the numbers the $97.00 resistance that the market has struggled to get above of recent could be broken.
The numbers are forecast to be slightly softer, as well as the US Bond market selling off, the USD could be in for a decline.