NFP DAY- WATCH USDJPY CLOSELYIn today's first video update, we take a look at USDJPY as the markets move from risk on to risk off the with safe haven currency taking hold of the market this week.
NFP numbers are expected to be a bit softer and if we see a decline in jobs and the averages hourly earnings we could expect a further drop in the price of USDJPY.
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USDCAD...1.3300 SOONIn today's video update we discuss what's next for USDCAD and the current uptrend we are seeing could see prices into the 1.3300 resistance level. The markets is currently testing the daily highs with a 50.0 fib retracement confluence. We are watching the 4hr chart next week for a double bottom pattern to take this market long.
GBPUSD...BREXIT WEIGHS HEAVYIn today's video we discuss the current situation with GBPUSD and how BREXIT talks have been affecting the market. We see further downside here as resignations from Prime Minister Mays Cabinet start to appear. The resignations show a lack of support for the current agreements and could force Prime Minister May to fight for her position. Technically the large bearish engulfing on the 4hr could be ideal to look for lower timeframe short trades down to the key support of 1.2700. If you are to trade this market do so at a reduced risk due to the swings in the GBP and the uncertainty surrounding it.
AUDCAD SHORT TERM DOWNSIDEIn today's video updated we look at a trading opportunity on AUDCAD 1hr chart. Currently the market has found resistance at the key weekly zone and looks to be forming a Daily double top pattern.
If the market can pullback into the 1hr area of structure we will look for short opportunities into the neckline support.
BRENT CRUDE COULD SEE LOWER PRICES In this video update we talk about how Brent Crude Oil could continue moving lower if it can hold below the key support at and lows at 70.44. We have been trading short from the highs and looks like price will continue further despite the market looking overextended to the downside.
WTI CRUDE OIL TO RE-TEST RESISTANCEWTI and BRENT has been a great source of trades for us this past month and downside looks likely to continue however we would like to see the market retrace after breaking through the key support level around 64.80.
Seasonally Crude Oil through the end of November to the middle of December sees significant downside which lines up with the technical analysis currently shown on the chart.
The 4hr trend is down and could just continue to fall, a bearish set up at the lows may offer us a good return on investment. Ideally we want to see the re-test of the double top neckline from the Daily chart is it offers a greater return.
NZDUSD...WHAT'S NEXT?We have been talking about NZD strength for a while now as the Long contracts saw another boost this the week from the Commitment of Traders Report. Looking at the market technically we can see price has created a higher high on the daily chart. This indicates we could see further upside to come. Looking for a retracement into the previous daily highs with 61.8-50% Fib confluence before looking for a long opportunity.
HOW WILL THE USD FINISH THIS WEEK?With NFP just round the corner, how will the USD shape up by the end of the week?
The job numbers are expected to be good with Trump himself suggesting they are, so this move may be priced in already.
If the market closes lower today we expect prices to continue this way as technically the market failed at the highs and could
lead to a weekly double top pattern.
USDNOK SHORT TERM DOWNSIDEIn this video we explain how the USDNOK pair could move lower into the key support zone of 8.3000. The market
is back into a key weekly trendline resistance and looks to be rejecting with the 4hr timeframe breaking a key supporting
trendline. Looking for shorting opportunities on the re-test of structure making stops are above key highs.
GBPNZD CONTINUATION TRADEWe had a fantastic trade on this market last week trading from the previous structure lows. Now that the market has broken through key support we are looking for this market to continue lower targeting the next support zone around the 1.9200 area. Applying our fibs we can see that the previous 4hr lows are sitting up at a 50.0% Fib retracement and would be a likely area for the market to continue lower from.
Be aware that there is a BoE rate announcement tomorrow and should be taken into account when trading the GBP pairs this week.
SILVER TO PUSH LOWER...XAGUSD (SILVER) has been consolidating for a few weeks now without any clear indication that buyers have stepped back in.
Technically we can see a bearish breakout of the previous weeks low and would look for this to continue on a break and close below the
supporting trendline. Looking at the 4hr chart if the market can break lower and start to produce lower lows and lower highs we can look
at trading the market short in line with the 4hr trend. The 13.80-13.60 zone pointed out in the video offers a great support that we expect buyers
to step back in.
WHAT WILL HAPPEN TO THE USD THIS WEEK?Looking to the week ahead and what to expect of the the USD.
We have Non-Farm Payroll coming up this week which is forecast to be higher than last months, backed by President Trumps tweet suggesting the jobs number will be good.
Seasonally the USD is strong and looks likely to continue however we are sitting at a key resistance level with 127.2 Fibonacci extension confluence. This could show the market
is currently over extended and we could see a retracement at this level. If the market breaks and closes above the highs of $97.00 we can continue to look for long opportunities.