POP!! IT'S COMING!What people want me to do is tell them when the bubble is gonna pop!
Well, well - I can see the weather outside my home is setting up pretty badly, but I can't tell when a downpour of rain is gonna come! I'm as I'm so bad at weather forecasting - how on earth could I possibly forecast market crashes?
All I know is that when I see bad weather I'd better wear a raincoat or carry and umbrella - or alternatively don't venture outside! Is that okayyyyy? :) :)
Crash
REPOCALYPSE NOW!This is serious. Find out what 'REPOCALYPSE' is about. Protect your positions very carefully.
Get real - I don't know when it's happening nor does anybody else.
REPOCALYPSE is not just doom-saying stuff, though it might appear sensationalist. This is reality mates.
Those who keep there heads in the sand and do not take protective actions will be flushed out.
DISCLAIMER: All statements here are over-simplifications of very complex issues, and are speculative opinion. This is not constructed as advice for making decisions about trading in securities. Your losses are your own.
Declaration : This post is consistent with Tradingview's house rules on text-based analyses.
Using Time Fibonacci to predict the next MARKET CRASHUsing TIME FIBONACCI to connect the crash of 1877 and the crash of 1973 we get an accurate prediction on the 1.382 Fibonacci level for the bottom of the DOT COM bubble market crash in 2003 and a warning sign signaling to January 2021 being a significant date, either the beginning of the crash or the end of the crash and an entry point for investors.
For free education visit www.TopTradingSignals.us
GAME OVER! The big man says 'Game Over'. Well for traders the 'Game' may just be about to start or restart. This is geopolitical news - the important kind that could rock markets (stocks and forex) all over the globe. I point out some important findings from the Mueller investigation report (which I declare as accurate summary statements). I show possible market moves on two charts.
Note carefully that some of the big issues from Mueller, sequester around the alleged attempts by Trump to remove Mueller himself, and then cover up the 'tracks'. Jerrold Nadler - House Judiciary Committee Chairman - has reported on disturbing evidence pointing to the President's obstruction of justice (be careful - this is not my opinion - I only report what was said). Full text here .
So - I'm befuddled as to how Mr Trump can declare "No corruption. No collusion" with such confidence. Further more Mr Trump derides the very report which from his perspective, finds no wrongdoing on his part! I just don't get it. Full redacted report (in the public domain).
Sunday Wall Street is gonna be interesting. I'll be reporting on Wall Street moves over the weekend. Stay tuned.
Note & Disclaimer: No recommendation is made about going long or short on any market. Traders taking decisions are not to rely on my perceptions or opinions. Your risks are your totally your own.
Interest Rate Spikes Precede CorrectionsNotice the downward trend in the US10Y since the 80's, while government, corporate and consumer debt has exploded to all time highs. The achilles heel of massive debt levels are high interest rates, which end up causing slowed growth and economic contraction. With ever higher levels of debt, the level of interest required to put the economy in pain falls over time - thus why we see crashes and corrections even as the US10Y spikes to levels far below the historical average (~6.18%).
Last year we popped above the "danger zone" trend line and we saw what happened. Watch out for interest rate spikes, it can save your ass.
The fear in their eyesThe VIX is known as the 'fear index'. It has taken a pulse north which is not unexpected, as volatility on the P SPX500 took a leap recently.
The VIX is not an index I trade, nor do I know anyone who trades it. Its value is in keeping a finger on the 'pulse' of the stock market.
When the VIX begins to pulse, expect trouble. Some see trouble only after it has happened.
Stock buyback failures could herald a crashThe SPBUYUP index has not been shown in a published idea on Tradingview before now (I checked). It is the index which tells how much companies are buying back their own stock to keep the S&P500 afloat.
So if this fails, market 'manipulations' of the S&P500 could fail. Of course, this not the only thing that influences the S&P500 but it is a significant marker of influence or lack of it.
APPL - given the 'Newton' treatment by investorsApple - has had to obey the laws of 'physics'. Basically the higher you go the harder you fall.
People are of course living on hope - as you would if in a plane crash (by way of analogy only).
I'm afraid the outlook isn't pretty - and that's not what people want to hear about. People need hope. Apologies. I only provide reality. I say what's on the charts. Trading is about harsh realities.
How to buy or sell Litecoin for Profit!SELF DEVELOPMENT/METHODOLOGY/PSYCHOLOGY
5 Litecoin Order Types
Order Types
a) Market order
A market order is considered as a buying and selling order, which should be executed based on
the current market prices. Market orders are utilised when execution certainty is prioritised by
investors on the execution of price. Investor produces market orders by using brokerage service.
b) Stop order/loss
1. The investor places a market order for the selling of any LITECOIN at a certain price level
determined by the investor. This can enable the investors to limit the generation of loss in
their investments or a security. The stop-loss order also instructs the broker to buy the
security at a price defined by the investor.
2. For instance, if the investor buys the security at a price of $40, he may order the broker when
it price comes to $45, this can enable the investors to avoid of loss as a result of decreased
prices.
c) Limit order
A limit order determines a specified price level or even better prices to the broker, so as to buy or
sell the currency within the price limits specified. Lower prices limits are determined in a buy
limit order, which needs to be executed when the price gets lower. Conversely, higher price
limits are provided in a sell limit order. However, this does not provide a guaranteed order for
execution as the price limits are not defined, exactly.
d) Buy stop order
1. This order is used in buying a security when the prices increase as compared with the level of
current price offering. The order is triggered when the price of a Litecoin touches or goes
beyond the price limit provided in the order.
2. The order can be accomplished automatically and this can enable the investors to generate
profit when the prices go upward.
e) Using leverage to trade
Today, investors and different organisation use to advantage, in order to increase the returns on
their investment. A broker who handles the account of investors provides the loan to them in terms of Leverage.
Leverage is provided to the investor on the margin of his investment. If 100:1. Leverage
determines that investor has invested $1000, and then this means the amount he can trade values
$100,000. However, this can increase the investment risk, as a result of changes in litecoin
prices. If the price changes are 1% or lower than that the situation seems to be less risky, higher
price changes can lead the investor towards the huge risks.
Follow your trading plan, remained disciplined and keep learning :)
Definitions: Every type of decline in priceUnderstanding the definitions. Here they are, well this is my own definition, but look into any book it will be quite similar.
I will post examples to show why that makes sense.
First, this applies to anything that has enough participants, and enough market cap. I do not have an exact number, but if something is not public or next to impossible to trade kind of "secret" or "underground" and has a market cap of 25 million, rules do not apply. If something is a NYZE listed company with a market cap of 500 million it applies. Applies to gold, does not apply to granular piss (actually maybe it does as people are really buying this stuff and using it well idk but let's just focus on anything that has lets say a mcap of at least 500 million, the definition could be pushed to anything over 2 billion to be "safe").
The time span for declines is 1 to 2 quarters.
The definition will be different for FX, numbers are smaller, and for crypto, numbers are bigger like 25% for Bitcoin is just a correction.
Here are the different categories - truer definitions would use percent drops compared to average market volatility:
Correction: 10% decline
Bear market: 20% decline
Crash: 35-60% decline
MegaCrash: 60%-80% decline (less than once in a lifetime)
Death: 80% decline
Ponzi: 90% decline
Here is the example of a correction:
Here are examples of a bear market:
Here are examples of market crashes:
Here is a mega crash:
Here is a death:
Here are a few examples of ponzis :):
1- Every single stock Jordan Belfort has ever participated in.
2-
3-
4-
5-
6-
7-
8-
9-
10-
11-
12- Well any stock or crypto you find in a "hot stock" list that is "very cheap" and "a great buy"
Dow Jones (Wall Street) - crash is an irrelevant issue.I explain in the screencast why I think 'crash' is an irrelevant issue.
It is impossible to know whether 'we're in a crash' because a crash can only be discovered well into into it or after it has happened.
True trend-followers will appreciate that all one can do is find a suitable trend - and follow it. Simple but I didn't say it was easy. In fact I will assert that true trend followers really don't care whether there will be a crash or the next market melt up.
What people (in general) want, is to be able to foretell the future. Sorry, they can't - and no guru has such powers. We might prepare for the future in various ways. This is not ordinary life. It's not everyday activities like trying to find the safest point in time to cross a road. The reality is that markets are wild random things - pure chaos of a different order - where the 'normal rules' we may apply in everyday life just fail miserably. As I've said in other posts, a whole new mindset is needed to manage this very different sort of chaos.
With 76 to -90% of real trader accounts consistently losing money (hard data), the battle is not with the charts or the markets. The battle is with yourself and your psychology.
Skulls, Bones And Candlesticks - The Margin CallIf you are a beginner in the wonderful world of charts, patterns and indicators, this post is for you...
Almost all traders have on day faced an account crash and anyone knows that it is a damn bad moment to go through.
My goal here is to identify what is the main reason leading to this morbid situation that make us crash our accounts...and provide some tips to avoid being in panic when the margin call happens.
The leverage and margin level.
The trading world is seen as an eldorado for most of people, especially because it seems so easy to make much money very quickly. It is also a path to financial independency which is a dream for many people. Working from home or simply working with only a smartphone and make money like that. It seems so nice.
Let's be clear, If the leverage did not exist we would not be here on Tradingview. If trading knows as much succes, it is also because we can invest much more than we have in fact. With $1,000, we are able to invest up to $500,000 in the market... from our smartphone... Simply insane.
Difficult to stay cold being aware of that.
Who has never been in margin call here? This situation should never happen. If so, then your trading behavior is at risk and you will crash your account sooner or later.
My solution: Always respect the 10% rule. Your overall margin including all opened position should never exceed 10% of your account.
If your capital is $1,000 then your max margin would be $100. Even there it is only for agressive traders.
Why the 10% rule can help you to succeed?
In fact, you can use it as psychological barrier.
As an example, you can face the case where you have a position in loss. I identify 3 main situations:
A) You position is in an important loss. You are tempted to average down the entry price of the position by adding a new one on the same pair. Clearly the badest behavior. With the max margin at 10% you cannot add multiple positions without breaking the rule. It is your alert.
B) You can also let the position run in loss without doing anything. Your stop loss? Psychologically, you are not able to handle such a loss so you pray for the market to reverse. It is possible depending of the fundamentals and technical configuration, if a huge support is broken, better worth closing the position. Letting the position run is risky but clearly much more acceptable than the A situation.
C) Your position is in loss but you use a stop loss. The stop is hit but you accept this loss and look for a better opportunity to enter in the market again. Ideally on a support or a resistance.
In definitive, being in margin call should warn you that your trading behavior is dangerous in a medium to long run. The probability for you to crash your acccount sooner or later is damn high.
Today's Lesson (#2) : Don't trade before major event & catalystsHope this idea will inspire some of you !
Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;)
Indicators used in this forecast are PRO Sinewave BETA & PRO Momentum .
You can check my indicators via my TradingView's Profile : @PRO_Indicators
Kindly,
Phil
If you want to learn more about the basic rules to trade with my indicators here's the educational video link :
Today's Lesson (#1) : Step out of reactional tradingToday I'll start the first of a new serie, I'll call them the "Today's Lessons".
I'll make one whenever the market will have nothing to give in terms of actual trading. So instead of losing your time in from of irrelevant pricings... you'll learn something to get a little better in trading !
Hope this idea will inspire some of you !
Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;)
Indicators used in this forecast are PRO Sinewave BETA & PRO Momentum .
You can check my indicators via my TradingView's Profile : @PRO_Indicators
Kindly,
Phil
If you want to learn more about the basic rules to trade with my indicators here's the educational video link :
BTCUSD / Tutorial : How to avoid getting stuck in a rangeHope this idea will inspire some of you !
Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;)
Indicators used in this forecast are PRO Sinewave BETA & PRO Momentum .
You can check my indicators via my TradingView's Profile : @PRO_Indicators
Kindly,
Phil
If you want to learn more about the basic rules to trade with my indicators here's the educational video link :