Crude
XOM OUTLOOK 06/05 -06/09After finishing March and April strong and making all time highs at 119.92, NYSE:XOM pulled back in May to a key support level around 102. With $CL_F setting up for a bullish week, and the Saudis plan to cut their OPEC+ oil supply by 1 million barrels per day, we could see gas prices rise and a potential buying opportunity in $XOM.
Technical Analysis:
NYSE:XOM tested a breakdown of the macro channel we’ve been watching, but was able to reclaim the support during Friday’s session. As long as we respect this channel, I can see us continuing higher. We also have a dirty inverted head and shoulders with the daily 102.33 level as the neckline.
Bulls will want to hold above 106.26, reclaim the 200 day moving average and break above the weekly level at 107.90. My lean is bullish, and will look at the 50% short retrace at 110.59 as a potential price target this week.
Bears will want to see price action below 102.33.
Upside Targets: 106.26 → 107.55 → 107.90 → 109.58 → 109.61 Extended: 110.59
Downside Targets: 105.00 → 103.32 → 102.33 → 101.26 → 99.18 Extended: 97.02
USOIL is getting cheapWe recently noted that an interesting opportunity to go long oil could be on the horizon soon. Accordingly, we waited patiently for the price to fall below $70 per barrel. Now, with the price trading near $68.80, we are starting to consider the price attractive to go long. However, we think it is proper not to use all the firepower yet as technicals still point to more downside. Therefore, our plan is to start accumulating in very small batches and unload the stash with the price retracing back above $70. With that said, we would like to set a price target for USOIL at $71.
Technical analysis
Daily time frame = Bearish
Weekly time frame = Bearish
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
USOILSPOT H4|Falling to support?USOILSPOT is falling towards a key overlap support and could potentially reverse from this level. Price could hit our buy entry at 66.859 and bounce up from here. Our stop loss will be at 64.959 which is an overlap support. The take profit level will be at 70.025 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
CRUDE OIL ( XTIUSD ) Long Term Technical AnalysisHello Traders
In This Chart XTIUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By World of Forex
today nzdcad analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (XTIUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on XtiUsd Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This Video is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts.
WTI OIL Sell now and buy back on this levelWTI Crude Oil had a heavy rejection on the MA50 (1d) that broke today Support (1).
The selling can extend beyong Support (2) before we get a new buy signal on the (1d) time frame.
The long term pattern remains a Channel Down and every MA50/100/200 (1d) test is a sell opportunity.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell on the current market price.
2. Buy at 66.00.
Targets:
1. 66.00 (Fibonacci 0.1 as it happened on January 5th, a similar fractal).
2. 75.00 (the MA100 (1d)).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) is under its MA level, which is exactly what happened on January 5th on the short term Low. If the RSI crosses back above its MA, it will be a confirmed buy signal.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
Bullish opportunity for oil might be on the horizon soonFor some time now, we held the view that the price of West Texas Intermediate crude oil would remain volatile, trapped within a wide range between $70 and $82. Then more recently, we stated that the oil price was likely to break below $70 as the U.S. administration sought to unload more crude oil from its Strategic Petroleum Reserves. Today, we would like to highlight (again) how the United States has continued to play a carefully calculated game in the oil market for the past two years.
Between 7th January 2022 and 6th January 2023, the U.S. administration drained its crude oil in Strategic Petroleum Reserves (SPR) by approximately 221,8 million barrels (by 37% in the respected period), selling a significant portion of the stockpile at a relatively high price. By doing so, the administration put pressure on rising energy costs, which, combined with other factors, helped drive the price of WTI crude oil from nearly $130 per barrel on 8th March 2022 toward the $70 price tag in the first half of 2023.
With the oil prices being down by approximately 45% from their 2022 highs and SPR being drawn by 39% from 7th January 2022 (up to date), the U.S. government is (unsurprisingly) changing its policy concerning Strategic Petroleum Reserves. Last week, U.S. Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm notified the public that the Energy Department would begin refilling SPR as soon as next month.
We think this process could make a good case for a temporary rebound in the oil price and thus bring an interesting opportunity to go long (though only for a very limited time) if the price falls below $70 again. Until then, however, we will stay on the sidelines and patiently wait. If the price drops below Support 1 at $69.44, we will reassess the situation and (potentially) start looking for attractive entry-level.
Technical analysis
Daily time frame = Neutral/Slightly bearish
Weekly time frame = Neutral/Slightly bearish
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
USOILSPOT H4 | Falling to overlap support?USOILSPOT is falling towards a key overlap support and potentially reverse from this level. Price could hit our buy entry at 69.405 and bounce up from here. Our stop loss will be at 67.418 which is an overlap support. The take profit level will be at 73.562 which is a recent swing-high.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
USOUSD H4 | Falling to an overlap support?USOUSD is falling towards a key support level and could potentially reverse from here. We could see price bounce up to our take profit target.
Entry: 69.435
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support
Stop Loss: 67.454
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support
Take Profit: 73.466
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement
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WTI OIL aiming for an UPSIDE reversal.WTI net buys has been steadily increasing this past few days -- conveying accumulation at the current discounted price range.
WTI just touched 1.0 FIB LEVEL -- the most discounted price range you can get. Expect some notable bounce from the present levels.
The 70.0 level is a strong solid support which has been tested many times in the last 6 months -- and price keeps bouncing off it.
Weekly higher lows has been created signifying that the present price as the last base before the incoming series of ascend.
Spotted at 72.0
TAYOR
Safeguard capital always.
USOILSPOT H4 | Resistance overhead?USOILSPOT is rising towards a key overlap resistance and could potentially reverse from this level. Price could hit our sell entry at 74.552 and potentially move lower from here. Our stop loss will be at 76.931 which is an overlap resistance that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. The take profit level will be at 71.726 which is an overlap support.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
Oil is shaping to a bearish wedge pattern.Hi, I can see a wedge in the Oil 4H time frame. The entry level is between 74.20-74.8. You can set your stop loss at 75.1 and your target for this pattern should be at 71, 70.1 and 69. It's better to wait and watch for price consolidation at the entry point before entering the trade.
USOILSPOT H4 | Rising into 61.8% Fibo resistanceUSOILSPOT could rise towards a key overlap resistance and potentially reverse from this level. Price could hit our sell entry at 76.759 and drop down from here. Our stop loss will be at 78.944 which is an overlap resistance. The take profit level will be at 74.203 which is an overlap support.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
USOIL Local Pullback From Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USOIL is about to retest
A local resistance level of
74$ and from where a local
Pullback is to be expected
So I think that the price
Will soon hit the rising support
Sell!
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WTI OIL Triangle closing decides the trend.WTI Oil (USOIL) has easily hit our short-term target (see chart below) and is now consolidating:
This consolidation is being done within a Triangle pattern, which as we saw on Friday it remained valid despite the fact that the price broke marginally above it, as the 4H candle closed eventually back inside it. This suggests that the (currently neutral trend) will change only when we have a 4H candle closing outside of the Triangle.
If that is above it, then we will buy and target within the 76.50 Resistance and the 4H MA200 at 75.50. If it closes to the downside, we will sell towards the Support and target 68.00. The fact that the 1D RSI is above its MA line, indicates that the bullish case is slightly favored.
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Crude Oil (WTI) 2 Scenarios Explained 🛢️
WTI Crude Oil is stuck between 2 solid structures.
Depending on the reaction of the price to these structures, I see 2 potential scenarios.
Bullish Scenario.
If the price breaks and closes above 74.3 resistance on a daily,
a bullish continuation will be expected to 76.57 level.
Bearish Scenario.
If the market drops and closes below 69.4 support,
a bearish movement will be expected to 65.0 level.
Wait for a breakout, it will show you the future direction of the market.
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WTI CRUDE OIL Confirmed buy opportunityWTI Crude Oil is rebounding on the Rising Support, internally inside the Channel Down pattern.
The 1day RSI remains under 50.00, so there is still time to buy this bullish wave to the top of the Channel Down.
Target the 1day MA100 at 76.00.
Open 1st Sell there and 2nd (if required) on the 1day MA200 (which formed the previous top) at 79.50. Target on both Support A at 64.50.
Additional indicator to sell, when the 1day RSI hits 60.00.
Previous chart:
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Will WTI follow Natty into the basement? Is WTI going to suffer the same fate as Natural Gas ? Endearingly referred to as Natty ? Well the good ship Natty got REKT last week. The long side which was overcrowded, overleveraged caught the "to da moon" bagholders off guard . Stunned whilst spitting out the kool aid they were seen gasping for air when the dead cat bounce rocked the boat ., Natty was batterred and was last seen heading into shallow water dangerously close to the rocks . Choppy water ahead alert the marine units.
The setup on CL very same chart right before the dump so spread out grab your umbrellas !!!
The trade : Let price action have the final say on your entry get the best price you can very important! Patience pays when shorting! Monday may get some purchasing for the week early on so shorts may get pinched a bit before any ride either way. Wednesday the EIA inventory numbers are relesed at 10:30 EST. OPEC meeting also this week I believe so expect volatility. Sell 83.60 & higher use stops longer time frames target 59.50 might be best move of the year if it goes. Record or near record inventory build over the last month so stay tuned! Not a trade recommendation or a reccomendation to buy or sell securites of any kind.