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Elliott wave for beginners📓Back in 1930, Ralph Nelson Elliott decided to figure out how the market works. After a long analysis of the charts, Elliott made a discovery that still does not lose its relevance. Elliott was able to identify the "breath" of the market. This new method of graph analysis is called Elliott Wave Analysis . As it turned out, the theory of wave analysis can be used on all timeframes and assets. 🚀The basis of the analysis is the idea that the market moves by impulses and corrections. As Elliott noted, the trend movement consists of 5 waves - 3 impulsive and 2 corrective, after which a correlation of three waves against the trend begins. ❗️There are a couple of rules worth remembering when determining waves: 1. Wave 2 never recovers more than 100% of wave 1. Usually the recovery is from 50% to 61.8% of wave 1. 2. Wave 4 never recovers more than 100% from wave 3. It usually declines between 38.2% and 50% of wave 3. 3. Wave 3 always extends beyond the end of wave 1 and is never the shortest; Wave 3 usually expands by 161.8 x wave 1. It is important to remember these rules in order to correctly identify the waves. In order not to make a mistake or go ahead of time, it is worth looking for the end of the second wave and go to the third, since it is the strongest and will bring the most profit. Indicators such as: MACD, RSI can be used to accurately determine the wave. 📌There are a couple more observations that will help your profitable trading: -If wave 3 is the longest wave, then wave 5 will be approximately equal to wave 1. -Wave 2 and Wave 4 will alternate. If wave 2 represents a sharp correction, wave 4 represents a flat correction and vice versa. -After the sequence of five Elliott waves is completed, the ABC corrective waves usually end near the bottom point of wave 4. 🏆In order to learn how to correctly identify waves, enter a position in time and exit it in time, you need experience, so follow the charts, analyze and eventually the profit will come to you. Good luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by tima_tip
2
Elliot wave with Diagonal Ending Elliott Wave Count in Bitcoin Daily Chart In most cases, if wave 5 is formed as a diagonal triangle, it will cause severe falls after the end of the process. So after recognizing these diagonal triangles in wave 5 - you can close your long trades at the right point and make good profits from short trading in corrections waves. Please like our tutorial and follow us ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ You can see our analysis and signals in the following links :
Education
by HamidMojarrad
10
Wyckoff Basics part 2After my last educational wyckoff post - I had a lot of comments, questions and so on. The idea was to post the basics and show the concept - there has been a lot of the overlay, breakdown and other people jumping on this. It was a move we called on the 18th of March (see the "they blew up the rocket" post). In terms of some simple education, Wyckoff is deep and possibly too deep for newer traders. What I was trying to highlight was the existence of such techniques. In part one; I only covered the point of how the distribution phase was playing out in Bitcoin. In this post, I will share some additional depth - for those of you already familiar with Wyckoff techniques you already have this. So we are not covering here (volume, how to identify or any of the more advanced stuff or terms like creeks or mark-ups and downs) Just another simple intro to the basics & a step up from post one. So if you have not seen the first post; check it out here by clicking the image. 4 Major types of schematics The Accumulation and Distribution Schematics are a major part of Wyckoff’s work, These schematics are broken down into 2 patterns for accumulation and 2 for distribution. These sections are then divided into five Phases (A to E), along with multiple Wyckoff Events - we will cover this later. Distribution schematics So in the previous post & it was fortuitous that Bitcoin was a near textbook example of the distribution schematic #1. The second type of distribution schematic looks like this; As you can see, there are a lot of similarities & it can be confusing, but this is where it's best to dig deeper into the concept, why volume plays a big part in Wyckoff techniques and gain an understanding of the naming convention for each of the events inside. ** We have a naming convention key below ** Accumulation As well as distribution you also have accumulation and this also has 2 (major) schematics; #1 And #2 ====================================================================================================================================== Key; The first phase or ways to identify a schematic forming is with what is called a PS (Accumulation) or PSY (distribution) - this is basically the change of character as the trend moves towards a schematic; Preliminary Support (PS) and Preliminary Supply (PSY). The first significant reaction that occurs after a prolonged rally that indicates budding supply showing up. You then have a BC or SC - buyer climax / sellers Climax; the obvious BC in an uptrend suggesting institutional operators cashing out. and the inverse with the SC. The next major event is the AR - Automatic reaction (rally) - The reaction that occurs after a Buying Climax. It occurs without previous preparation, hence the word “automatic.” and in layman terms it's the exit of large positions after a climax (SC and BC) event. ST next - this is a second test (ST) A name given by Wyckoff to the reaction following Automatic Rally, (or rally following the Automatic reaction.) If that test is associated with small range and light volume — it increases the likelihood that the previous trend is over. Next a move down if it is accumulation would be a SOW - this is "Sign of Weakness" and inverse we have SOS "Sign of strength" In distribution - you then have two major differences over the accumulation schematic; UT = Up Thrust and a UTAD = UP Thrust after Distribution. For distribution you have a spring, think of this like the last drop before moving up rapidly out of a schematic on the Bullish side. You then have "Test" phases usually of the support and resistance levels (zones) created by the schematic as shown in the images above. And finally you have LPSY for distribution Last Point of Supply - A point at the end of the process of distribution where the Composite Man (Large operators) recognizes that demand forces have exhausted themselves and it is safe to start marking down prices. Last Point of Support (LPS) which is the accumulation equivalent - A point at the end of the process of accumulation where the large operators recognizes that supply forces have exhausted themselves and it is safe to start marking up prices. This is still only the basics, not looking at phases or volume or anything else yet. It's worth going away and studying this in a little more detail to get familiar with the concepts and terminology and in the next post I will cover the phases. ======================================================================================================================================= I know a lot of you readers are here purely for the crypto/BTC calls made - and another logical reason we are still liking a slow move down at this level, comes in the current DXY situation. See this post below as to the current situation there. (the relevance might be small - But understanding the forces at work, with DXY to BTC. Is actually useful). Shorter term strength = will aid BTC slow moves. Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
COINBASE:XLMUSDEducation
by Mayfair_Ventures
23
📚 Understanding Price Action - Impulsive & Corrective Moves 📚For every currency pair, all the price action can be broken down into 2 different waves. Impulse waves and corrective waves. Both of these waves have the same patterns within them such as flags, ascending/descending corrections, channels etc. The tip to finding out what phase we're in is to zoom out to a bigger timeframe and look at price action as a whole and ask yourself "is this impulsive or is this corrective". Once you understand that, you can more often than not understand where price will be going next. For CADJPY, we are in a flat ABC triangle and we are approaching the upper limits of the triangle. We also are in an ABC correction. On the smaller timeframe, if things line up, we can get in at the very top of the impulse and ride this back down! Try spotting corrections and impulses and watch how your chart game levels up!
Education
by WicktatorFX
7
Wolfe Waves Example!This is not a forecast or a signal! it's just an example of an occasion which a pattern like Wolfe Waves worked well ! This chart has almost followed the rules of Wolfe waves , unless the first point is not exactly on the right place! 1st point: Start of the wave 2nd: First top of the channel 3rd: First low of the channel 4th: Second high of the channel regarding thee pivots! the next 2 pivots are useless since they are not a place to be considered as a Wolfe waves' points! 5th point: as it should be broke to channel! Open Trade: OT is breaking back to channel! Stop Loss: SL is just below the 5th point in long option and reverse of it, in short trades! I personally distinguish the pattern so late! but the Wolfe waves is a great way to find very profitable trades which is not so trending in these days
Education
by AliSignals
📚 The Perfect Impulse - Correction - Impulse 📚NZDUSD has recently given us the perfect impulse, correct, impulse move, which is probably our favourite pattern to trade. The market moves in waves. There's an impulse wave, followed by a brief period of consolidation/correction where buyers and sellers accumulate their orders. This is often followed by another impulse wave in the same initial direction as the first impulse. The great thing about these patterns is that we can have a clear stop placement, which is above the correction. If you have a closer look at this chart, you will be able to notice various impulse waves followed by corrections. Do your best to find them in your trading!
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Education
by WicktatorFX
19
📚 The Perfect Impulse - Correction - Impulse 📚NZDUSD has recently given us the perfect impulse, correct, impulse move, which is probably our favourite pattern to trade. The market moves in waves. There's an impulse wave, followed by a brief period of consolidation/correction where buyers and sellers accumulate their orders. This is often followed by another impulse wave in the same initial direction as the first impulse. The great thing about these patterns is that we can have a clear stop placement, which is above the correction. If you have a closer look at this chart, you will be able to notice various impulse waves followed by corrections. Do your best to find them in your trading!
Education
by WicktatorFX
7
Elliott wave Principle : Triangles There are 3 Types of Triangle, Triangle forms in Corrective waves, Triangle occurs in wave 2, 4 & B, 1) Contracting Triangle + Always Subdivides Into Five waves + at least four waves among wave A, B, C, D, each subdivide into a Zigzag or Zigzag Combination. +wave C never moves Beyond the end of wave A, wave D never moves beyond the end of waves b and D converges with a line connecting the eds of waves A and C. +A triangle never has more than one Complex sun wave, in which case it is always a zigzag combination or a triangle. 2) Expanding Triangle : most Rules are same as for contracting triangle differences is : + wave C, D and E each moves beyond the end of the preceding same- directional sub-wave. + sub-waves B, C and D each retrace the last 100% but no more than 150 Percent of preceding sub-wave. 3) Barrier triangle : + a Barrier Triangle has the same characteristics as a contracting triangle expect that waves B and D end at essentially the same level. We have yet to observe a 9-wave barrier triangle, implying that this form may not extend. + when wave 5 follows a triangle, it is typically either a brief, rapid movement or an exceptionally long extension.
Education
by Trade-Technique
6
🌀 Cycle Theory and Wave Analysis 🌊👋🏻Hi guys. 💋Well, let's continue develop ourselves???💪🏻 Today I would like to tell you about the 🌊wave analysis🌊 ☝🏻😉For those, who have recently joined, I would like to say, that we are studying technical analysis.💪🏻💪🏻 👇🏻👇🏻👇🏻Below you can find my previous educational ideas.👇🏻👇🏻👇🏻 Ok, now let's start from the few words about theory of cycles💪🏻 🌀The theory of cycles is more developed at the theoretical than at the practical level, and deals with cyclical fluctuations not only in prices, but also in natural phenomena in general. Almost all methods of technical analysis fit into this classification.✔ 💥 If you wanna be successful trader, you need to understand this method of analysis 💥 ☝🏻 The trend (impulse waves) has a 5-wave structure (waves are indicated by the numbers 1,2,3,4,5, A, B, C ) and consists of impulse waves and correction. 📌 Impulse Waves 1,3,5 - longer than correction waves - show the direction of the trend 📌 Correction Waves 2 and 4 - has a 3-wave structure (a-b-c) - show the direction opposite to the current trend ☝🏻 1st, 3rd, 5th impulse waves have a 5-wave structure of their subwaves. Correction waves (2 and 4) have a 3-wave structure and are denoted by A-B-C. 📌 Signs of a trend reversal in terms of wave analysis are: - finite diagonal triangle - extended 5th wave - truncated 5th wave 👉🏻 The 2nd and 4th waves are corrective. The movement on these waves takes the form of the following correction models: - zigzags (5-3-5) (Zigzags) or simple (zigzag) correction - planes (3-3-5) (Flats) or flat (flat) correction - triangles (3-3-3-3-3-3) (Triangles) or triangular correction - double triples and triple triples (combined structures) - incorrect correction In fact, wave analysis has nothing to do with the market. At least in the modern world. This theory once worked, but not now. ☝🏻Although it attracts a lot of people with its simplicity and visibility. Now you will not find two wave operators, that would give the same market assessment and forecasts. So many directions and methods of wave analysis have formed today. Wave analysis is an artificially invented method for predicting markets, that is, not natural even for human behavior. 💥If you use it, then be extremely careful. To say, that wave analysis doesn't work is too subjective. Each for himself decides what and how to use. 😆Right or wrong - the market will judge by adding or taking money to the account.😆 🤔I hope I have clearly explained you my vision of wave analysis, if you are interested, you can study this method more deeply.💪🏻💪🏻 😸Subscribe and don't forget to put like to my enthusiasm, I try for you😉😉😉 Stay with me🌞 Kiss You 💋 Your Rocket Bomb🚀💣
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by RocketBomb
5
Applying Elliott Wave Theory on MC DONALDS by ThinkingAntsOkToday we will Use Elliott Wave Theory as a method to bring extra information to the chart, remember that this is a tool that must be combined with other trading analysis methods, and the final objective is to bring a clear framework for decision making. We will give a Real example on MC DONALDS chart, Elliot Wave Theory was developed by Ralph Nelson Elliott by observing the behavior of the Stock Market. This is a complex Theory, if you are interested in learning more about this, we recommend Robert Balan´s Book "Elliott Wave Principle" Remember the Basic 3 Rules of Elliot Wave Theory: 1) Wave 2 will not retrace past the starting point of wave 1. If the impulse waves are going up, wave 2 cannot go below the origin of wave 1. If the impulse sequence is going down, wave 2 cannot exceed the peak from whence wave 1 originated. 2) Wave 3 can not be the shortest of the "impulsive waves". Wave 3 is not necessarily the longest, but it is almost always the longest 3) In an upward sequence. Wave 4 cannot overlap the peak of wave 1. In a downward sequence, Wave 4 can not rally above the bottom of Wave 1. If any of these combinations is violated the particular sequence is not impulsive in nature. Another important concept is that Markets are Fractals by Nature, that means that the structures that you find on a 1D chart, for example, will be replicated on lower timeframes like 4HS. This Rule keeps going independently of the timeframe you are working on, the same happens on a 1H chart and a 10 minutes Chart. That's the reason you will see different symbols on the Elliott Count on this Example. Observe how we can make a new Count on the 5th Wave we see on the Weekly Chart (is composed by a new 12345 full count). And if we go to the Daily chart, we can make a new count over the 5th wave of the 5th wave, I know this might sound complex but when you take the idea of Fractals, this process becomes really logical. In this case, Elliott Wave Theory will tell us that all the Cycles are completed, if we combine this with price action for example (using trendlines) we can see that also the price is against a major trendline that is working as resistance, and the last Item will be the Divergence on MACD. This doesn't mean that the price will go in that direction, but if we have to put our money on something, for sure you want to do it in the strongest direction of your analysis. Hope this Educational post is Usefull for People interested in Elliot Wave Theory. Thinking Ants
NYSE:MCDEducation
by ThinkingAntsOk
3
DJIA Dow Jones Industrial Average- MARKET CYCLES Lesson OneIntroduction to Market Cycles Lesson One Markets are more predictable than you and I have been led to believe. We have been told that historical data cannot be used to predict what will happen. But is that statement actually true? Answer -- YES and NO. It is not a lie. Even with the best techniques of technical analysis and analyzing the repetitive and predictable cycles which occur, we can make a fairly accurate prediction of future movements, but it is not 100% reliable. We must always leave some room for the unexpected to occur at any moment. That is true! But, can we learn to analyze market cycles in such a way that we can get a fairly accurate prediction of a rough prediction of future movements? My answer is YES! Not with 100% accuracy though. But honestly, even a 60% accurate prediction would be good. But I think we can do much better than 60 percent. I expect if we work at this method we can approach 80-90% accuracy But How? I am going to take you on a journey of discovering market cycles which occur in every chart on every time frame. These cycles have been staring at you in the face, but you likely have not noticed them. They are hidden in plain sight. Perhaps some of you already see these cycles, and some of them are more obvious than others. Maybe you already know all you need about market cycles on every level, in which case, why read more? My prediction is that not all of you will be able to understand or believe what I will tell you, maybe you will say I am crazy! If I am crazy, then let me be crazy, because this is working for me, better than other methods have. But if this is not helpful for you, then of course, I wish you well and hope you find something that is helpful. This method of analyzing charts does take a lot of work, mental effort and concentration. There is nothing easy about it. If you are looking for a quick and easy way to trade successfully then you should try looking somewhere else. It will take hard work and time and motivation to perfect this strategy. All this to say, if you don’t like what I am writing for any reason, you do not have to read this. You are completely free by me to stop reading now. First – we are taking about Market cycles – what is a market cycle ? People may mean different things but I am talking about recurring cyclical patterns in any chart. Sometimes we draw cycle diagrams in a circle – which is perfectly fine, but if we want to stretch out the cycle and measure a recurring cycle over time, then we need to use the example of a SINE WAVE. Sine waves are everywhere in nature. We have sine waves in SOUND WAVES, alternating current electricity, signal data, electromagnetic waves including radio, magnetic waves, light waves, xrays, gamma rays, etc. We can also use the sine wave to describe natural changes in the world – if we were to measure the quantity of light in the 24 hour cycle where we live, it would look like a sine wave. If we were to measure the cycle of inspiration and expiration, it would be a sine wave. If we were to measure temperature fluctuations in a temperate zone around the year, it would roughly form a sine wave. What about waking and sleep cycles, etc? There are many other examples. But in terms of the market, our sine wave describes two important phases – GROWTH and REST. GROWTH and REST, GROWTH and REST. Depending on the overall position of multiple cycles Rest can be a major correction, or just a flat zone, or even simply slower growth. But one thing is very important to understand – every chart and every market has MANY MANY MANY different cycles or sine waves of many different time durations, and amplitudes which are all occurring at the same time. If it were just one sine wave on a flat pattern, it would be obvious to everyone and there would be no need for me to point this out. (Continued in update section)
DJ:DJIEducation
by cedarfox
Elliot waves. Why cant fully trust this theory. You can find many websites, even free books of Elliot Waves Theory. But if you read it by on eye, can understand its kind of shamanistic predictions. law of the universe - from small to big, law of complication and development. To build waves, should start from max. minimum time frame -1 min. than 1 min group in 5-15 min, than to 30 min, 30 min group to 1 hour, 1 hour to 4-8, and than to daily. the waves are divided into 10 degrees, *subminute, *minute ,*minor , *intermediate, *primary, *cycle, *supercycle, * grand cycle.Depending on the source, there may be different names and divisions, but the essence is about 10 of them. The length of the wave depends on the length of the previous wave, this is calculated by Fibonacci extensions. The waves can contain impulses and elongations, the waves can be lateral or the extensions can be pulses. And the main thing is how to understand this all. Where the exact coordination of movement, measurement, distribution ,. what if to miss? Suddenly it was an impulse but I built it like a wave, maybe it was an extension in wave 3, or is it ABC? in general, you understand that this algorithm is based on your personal judgments and experience, and from those sources that you used in studying waves. When this system of construction attends 2-3 internationally recognized postulates, then it is worth starting to study it. Now it all depends on who and how he sees, and you can prove that there is no way, but skolko people, so many opinions. Not waves determine the movement of prices, but people, their judgments, analysis, the market's opinion of the traded instrument, the conclusions based on previous levels of support and resistance and the general trend. Now the theory of waves is a guessing on the coffee grounds and dancing with tambourines around the fire under the starry sky.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by GeorgeVeritas
12
THE IMPORTANCE OF VOLUME ANALYSIS: Part IIThe wave is currently finalized and is working as planned: I ended the previous post pointing at the lack of the volume required to confirm trend reversal at supposed point 5. And in fact, for quite a while the price kept slowly drifting up and down without substantial moves in any direction. This situation lasted until bearish volume spike on 07/11 that initiated real trend reversal. It is also necessary to point out that though that spike was only medium in nature, but the change in its volume compared to previous data was sudden and drastic. Later the volume changes were driving the price accordingly up and down, but most importantly the local bearish trend was established and continued successfully. Currently, the price is close to the crossing of the line 2-4 at which volume dynamics should be carefully monitored as this may provide a good tip if this is really the end of the analyzed downtrend. If you have any questions, feel free to ask in comments or PM me.
OANDA:UK100GBPEducation
by OceanBlue