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Keep your eyes on the ECB today. EURUSD in the spotlight!EASYMARKETS:EURUSD Disclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
by easyMarkets
Euro H1 | Will ECB drive the Euro lower?The Euro (EUR/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 1.05684 which is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 1.06000 which is a level that sits above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level and an overlap resistance. Take profit is at 1.05256 which is a pullback support level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 72% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
2
Understanding Interest-rates & InflationHey Traders So, I have been asked by many of my clients to explain the relationship between interest-rates and inflation and how to translate that information into their analysis. For this reason I put this little mini lesson together to explain: - The core role of the central bank - Reason and objectives for interest-rates and inflation - How you can use this information to enhance your analysis - How to take advantage of this info when taking, managing or closing your trades. PS. if you would like me to do more of these types of videos be sure to leave a comment in the comment section.
TVC:DXYEducation
by DeanMuller
✨ MODIFICATION: EURUSD ✨ THE BIG PICTURE (5D)TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: TP5 @ 1.2115 (closing ALL Buy Orders) TP4 @ 1.17850 (shaving 25%) TP3 @ 1.1250 (shaving 25%) TP2 @ 1.1100 (shaving 25%) TP1 @ 1.0933 (shaving 25%) BLO1 @ 1.0820 ⏳ BLO2 @ 1.0800 ⏳ VIDEO TIMESTAMP: 00:00 ECB News 02:53 Where Do We Go From Here? 03:32 A Noisy Intermediate Time Frame (4H) 04:55 Key Support/Resistance Levels (4H) 06:01 Institutional Buying Targets 06:42 Safe Haven Currencies 05:52 Interest Rates and Safe Haven Currencies 08:47 Position Sizing with R:R @ 1:1 10:20 Best Buying Opportunities ⭐ 11:04 The BIG PICTURE Analysis ⭐ 13:28 BIG PICTURE Anticipatory Trend 16:31 Boost, Follow, Comment, Join FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS: During today's EUR News trading session, the EURUSD initially tried to rally or, as we call it, exhibited a false positive. Still, the market gave back gains as the European Central Bank raised its key interest rates as anticipated by 25 basis points up from 3.50% to 3.75%. So, considering this, where is Price Action going from here? Since April 02, 2023, @ 18:00, it's been a very noisy range. This range is our current price curve analysis. It lands between the Pivot Low of 1.0788 and the Pivot High of 1.1095 and, therefore, places Support @ 1.0945 and Resistance @ 1.1086. Based on the 4H chart, we should be clear for a downtrend breakout if price action opens and closes below our Support Level. A breakout pattern to the downside would also mean Price Action is pulling back from its BIG PICTURE uptrend pattern. Therefore, we should find Institutional Buying Targets around 1.0820 and 1.0800. Considering the US dollar to "safe-haven" currencies like JPY or CHF, we need to be cautious about our position sizing because this will continue to be a volatile range. We're going to have to "ride the wave" professionally. Right now, I see a lot of short-term buying and selling opportunities until Price Action reaches its 4-hour Demand Zone around 1..0800. Once we're there, the longer-term opportunity to buy will be ours.
Long
by ProfessorCEWard
4
EUR/USD -19/01/2023-• Daily EURO/DOLLAR chart, zooming out back to 2021, where the 1.5 year downtrend started • Short term, trend is bullish, higher highs higher lows • Rising wedge forming, a bearish reversal pattern • Resistance levels becoming support levels, a clear sign of an uptrend • However, looking at the big picture changes the outlook a little bit • Drew Fibonacci retracement levels 50% and 61.8% of the long term downtrend • 50% level is around 1.09 and 61.8% is around 1.1225 • Bulls are now fighting to break the 50% level, without success till now • Last area of defense for the bears is the 61.8% critical correction level • If 1.1225 level stays intact, the pair will resume the long term downtrend • Only if bulls manage to break the above level, we can safely say that the long term trend reversed and we are in a bullish market
0
by RamziAbouAbdallah-CMT
6
Tug of War Among Central BanksThere is a tug of war situation among the central banks to hike interest rates. What is the bad and the good that will come out from this? i. Last week of October, European Central Bank officials announced another massive 75 basis point hike, increasing interest rates at the fastest pace in the history of the euro currency. ii. This week, the Federal Reserve is expected to increase rates by 75 basis points for the fourth time in a row. iii. The Bank of England could join the club on Thursday. Content: . The Interest Rate race has just started, why? . The impact on different currencies . It may not be all bad news, why? With higher interest rates, it attracts investors to buy its currency, in this case the USD. Currency is always a pair, when USD strengthens, the other side weakens. When a currency gets weaker, it is very bad news for inflation because they will have to pay more on their imports. Therefore in order to counter inflation, one of the best measures is to hike rate Expect more volatility in the currencies market, meaning currencies will take its turn to move. And if you are a trader, you should welcome volatility. Because with volatility, there are opportunities. GBP Futures 0.0001 = $6.25 0.001 = $62.50 0.01 = $625 0.1 = $6,250 1.1000 to 1.2000 = $6,250 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
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CME:6B1!Education
by konhow
77
EUR/JPY - BUY SET UP ON ECB RATE HIKES The EURO now sits under 138.000 on the exchange rate, a key resistance level that will now surely break after European Inflation hit 8.1% for the month of April 2022, igniting the debate about whether the ECB should be raising rates at 0.50% increments instead of 0.25% increments as signaled by Christian Legard. With European Bond Yields climbing and paying a premium over Japan, the EURO will likely continue to strengthen against the YEN as interest rates rise in Europe. The overnight carry trade will start to become profitable for the EURO into 2023, which is likely to attract investors into buying the currency pair.
Long
by KayansMarkets
EUR/CAD - Long Set Up As ECB Signals Rate Hikes Are ComingThe EURO is likely to strengthen against the Canadian Dollar as the European Central Bank signals interest rates are going up in July and September, to move the overnight cash rate from -0.50% to 0.00%. The reason the EURO will strengthen is down to the fact that interest rate differentials will narrow from the market's previous expectation, so investors who are short EUR/CAD will likely look to cash in on the carry trade as it's now hit its peak unless the Bank of Canada goes further then markets expect with rate hikes. Oil prices are also a bullish beneficiary to the Canadian dollar, but Oil looks to have peaked since it hit $130.00 on March 8th 2022.
Long
by KayansMarkets
German Dax Can See Deeper Correction; Support at 14000 - 13500DAX is waking up, making higher highs and higher swing low which is a bullish trend since March low, so we can expect more upside after any retracement since this is wave A, still only the first leg of a higher degree A-B-C recovery. We can actually see a completed five-wave cycle within first leg A in the 4-hour chart so looks like correction in wave B has just started. That said, an upcoming A-B-C setback can retest 14000 - 13500 support area. Also, keep in mind that if ECB turns out to be more hawkish and if we will not get any positive news out from the Ukraine-Russia situation then DAX can be easily come down into wave C. Grega
EUREX:FDAX1!
by ew-forecast
ORBEX:BoJo Pushes for Election, Draghi Hints to Fiscal Measures!In today's #marketinsights video recording I analyse #GBPUSD and #EURUSD #FXMajors! GBPUSD Dragged down by: - BoJo push for an early election on December 12 - Increasing likelihood of October exit failure EURUSD Under Pressure as: - ECB reiterates downside risk, stubbornly low inflation - Draghi hints to fiscal policy measures Stavros Tousios Head of Investment Research Orbex This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice
by Orbex
ORBEX: EURGBP - Ready to Take Break-even Stops Lower?EURGBP could move a tad lower to complete intermediate wave 2 near 0.8480 before continuing higher. The said level is the 100% FE of the first minute degree zig-zag and could be duplicated as minor X was somewhat dominant. Look for a valid reversal above last zig-zag's minute b wave but expect minute c to complete first. Minute c should be truncated to support this outlook, otherwise, fresh lows can be expected. Should prices move below minute a low the complex minor W,X,Y pattern could come to an end. Stavros Tousios Head of Investment Research Orbex This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice.
Short
by Orbex
ORBEX: GBPJPY, EURGBP - BoJo Wants Election, Adios Draghi!In today's #marketinsights video recording I analyse #GBPJPY and #EURGBP #FXMinors! GBPJPY Supported by: - Increasing expectations EC will grant January extension - BoJo win in case of early election - Weak safe-haven flows - Japan manufacturing to 3yr low EURGBP Under Pressure as: - Investors eye ECB and last Draghi meeting - Disappointing Business Climate (French) - Poor EA Consumer Confidence Stavros Tousios Head of Investment Research Orbex This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice
by Orbex
ORBEX: EURUSD, USDJPY - The Risks Of A US-EU TradewarIn today's #marketinsights video recording I analyse #EURUSD and #USDJPY #EURUSD weak on: - US-EU potential trade conflict (airbus illegal state aid - WTO depended) - ECB's Germans board member resignation Medium-term #Euro led flows will hang on Lagarde's policy. A potential transition to fiscal tools will be euro positive #USDJPY strong on: - Dovish Evans turned neutral - Positive home sales - No GDP revision - No safe-haven flows - Dollar seen as risk positive Stavros Tousios Head of Investment Research Orbex This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice
by Orbex
ORBEX GBPUSD, EURUSD, AUDUSD Under Pressure! But For How Long?In today's #marketinsights video recording I analyse #fxmajors #audusd, #gbpusd and #eurusd. They are all under pressure for different reasons: EURUSD - ECB's Lane dovish on ECB's inflation target - Italian CPI weakening GBPUSD - BoJo goes to Brussels empty-handed - Brussels not sure if extension will help AUDUSD - RBA reveals plans to cut more if necessary - Bank could cut twice more in 2019 to support inflation and employment goals Meanwhile, everyone stresses out about #FOMC! Stavros Tousios Head of Investment Research Orbex This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice
by Orbex