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Euro-dollar

EURUSD - Long Term and Short Term Top Down AnalysisHey guys! Here is a top down analysis on the EURUSD pair. I see a great deal of bullishness currently, but i am convinced this bullishness is to take prices into the 4 hour zone sitting a few pips above the 1 hour liquidity target. If that happens, I will expect to see prices begin to u turn bearish and head in the direction of the 4 hour and daily liquidity for a start, and eventually go all the way down to the monthly and weekly liquidity point. On the whole, the market is sort bullish, up through the current 1 hour liquidity target and through to the 4 hour zone, from where we will expect to see the bears take over the market. This is the most likely perspective on direction with regards to market and price movement on this pair.
by PanzyPips
Bullish or Bearish...? Multi Time Frame Analysis Hey guys! Over the past 2 weeks, we have seen the EURUSD pair go deep down. The beautiful part is that it played out well according to our analysis and prediction. So let's try again. This time, we see this pair switch like a flipped coin from a long bearish to a steep bullish climb. Will this be the end of the bearishness, and are the Bulls to resume taking prices higher? Or is this just one of those usual bullish pullbacks within a larger timeframe Bearish swing? Watch this short Multi Time Frame Analysis to find out. Please share your thoughts on this pair's price movement. Dont forget to Boost and to share with other traders
Short
by PanzyPips
2
A quick Top Down Analysis on the EURUSDHelo students and traders. Here is a quick top down analysis on the EURUSD. By way of summary, we have come to the realisation that this pair is Bearish on the Monthly, Bearish on the Weekly, Bullish on the Daily and 4 hour, while holding a clear bearish perspective on the 1 hour time frame. Because we believe in trading the smaller timeframe in the direction of the larger timeframe, we will want to hold on to the perspectives of the Weekly and the 1 hour charts, and will be looking to trade this pair bearish. Find out how we arrived at this perspective...
Short
by PanzyPips
✨ MODIFICATION: EURUSD ✨ THE BIG PICTURE (5D)TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: TP5 @ 1.2115 (closing ALL Buy Orders) TP4 @ 1.17850 (shaving 25%) TP3 @ 1.1250 (shaving 25%) TP2 @ 1.1100 (shaving 25%) TP1 @ 1.0933 (shaving 25%) BLO1 @ 1.0820 ⏳ BLO2 @ 1.0800 ⏳ VIDEO TIMESTAMP: 00:00 ECB News 02:53 Where Do We Go From Here? 03:32 A Noisy Intermediate Time Frame (4H) 04:55 Key Support/Resistance Levels (4H) 06:01 Institutional Buying Targets 06:42 Safe Haven Currencies 05:52 Interest Rates and Safe Haven Currencies 08:47 Position Sizing with R:R @ 1:1 10:20 Best Buying Opportunities ⭐ 11:04 The BIG PICTURE Analysis ⭐ 13:28 BIG PICTURE Anticipatory Trend 16:31 Boost, Follow, Comment, Join FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS: During today's EUR News trading session, the EURUSD initially tried to rally or, as we call it, exhibited a false positive. Still, the market gave back gains as the European Central Bank raised its key interest rates as anticipated by 25 basis points up from 3.50% to 3.75%. So, considering this, where is Price Action going from here? Since April 02, 2023, @ 18:00, it's been a very noisy range. This range is our current price curve analysis. It lands between the Pivot Low of 1.0788 and the Pivot High of 1.1095 and, therefore, places Support @ 1.0945 and Resistance @ 1.1086. Based on the 4H chart, we should be clear for a downtrend breakout if price action opens and closes below our Support Level. A breakout pattern to the downside would also mean Price Action is pulling back from its BIG PICTURE uptrend pattern. Therefore, we should find Institutional Buying Targets around 1.0820 and 1.0800. Considering the US dollar to "safe-haven" currencies like JPY or CHF, we need to be cautious about our position sizing because this will continue to be a volatile range. We're going to have to "ride the wave" professionally. Right now, I see a lot of short-term buying and selling opportunities until Price Action reaches its 4-hour Demand Zone around 1..0800. Once we're there, the longer-term opportunity to buy will be ours.
Long
by ProfessorCEWard
4
✨ NEW: EURUSD ✨ Counter-Trend Swing ✨SLO @ 1.1050 ⏳ TP1 @ 1.0890 TP2 @ 1.0800 BLO1 @ 1.0775 ⏳ (aggressive) BLO2 @ 1.0750 ⏳ (conservative) TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: The EUR/USD pair has been in a bullish trend since early June, breaking above the 1.0800 Resistance Level. On the other hand, the EURUSD pair is coming into the Supply Range from ~1.1015 up to ~1.1055 (16H). If this level is NOT broken and holds, then I'm anticipating this pair could see a downtrend retracement. As far as Support, I don't see anything major until price reaches 1.0792 and/or Demand @ 1.0772 (16H). Overall, the technical analysis for the EURUSD pair is BULLISH, but we also need to be prepared for some potential risks to the upside — supply and resistance — and hopefully capitalize off of these levels. KEY TECHNICAL INDICATORS: — Moving Averages: The 20-day simple moving average (SMA) and the 100-day SMA are both sloping upwards, which suggests that the trend is bullish. — Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is currently in the overbought zone, which suggests that the pair could see a pullback. — Bollinger Bands: The Bollinger bands are currently expanding, which suggests that volatility is increasing. Overall, the technical analysis for the EUR/USD pair is bullish in the near term, but there are some potential risks to the upside. Traders should monitor the pair closely for signs of a pullback. Fundamental Factors (Near Term): (1) USD: FOMC Member Waller Speaks (2) USD: Unemployment Claims (3) USD: Fed Chair Powell Testifies (4) USD: Existing Home Sales (5) EUR: ECB President Lagarde Speaks "Manage your position, monitor the price, and you'll make some profit!" — Professor Cornelius Ward
Short
by ProfessorCEWard
7
✨ UPDATE: EURUSD ✨ GDP/UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS (2H) ✨IMPORTANT FACTORS: —The Department of Labor will release the weekly Initial Unemployment Claims report on Thursday, May 25, 2023, at 05:30 PT. —The report measures the number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time during the past week. —The market impact of the report can vary from week to week. Still, it is typically more significant when traders must diagnose recent developments or when the reading is at extremes. —Although it is generally viewed as a lagging indicator, traders care about the number of unemployed people because it is an important signal of overall economic health and because consumer spending is highly correlated with labor-market conditions. —Unemployment is also a significant consideration for those steering the country's monetary policy. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS: The USD could be affected by the Unemployment Claims report in several ways. First, if the number of claims is higher than expected, it could be seen as a sign that the economy is slowing down, leading to a sell-off in the USD. Conversely, if the number of claims is lower than expected, it could be a sign that the economy is strengthening, leading to a rally in the USD. It is important to note that the Unemployment Claims report is just one data point traders will consider when making decisions about the USD. OTHER FACTORS: Other factors that could also affect the USD include the release of other economic data, such as GDP growth and inflation, as well as geopolitical events.
Long
by ProfessorCEWard
2
✨ NEW ENTRY: EURUSD ✨ DAY TRADE (4H) ✨SLO @ 1.1085 (80m) TP3 @ 1.1055 (closing ALL Buy Orders) TP2 @ 1.1020 (shaving 50%) TP1 @ 1.0980 (shaving 50%) BLO 1.0915 📈 -SL @ 1.0885 🚫 🚫 Unfortunately, my SL was too tight and "they" got me. Price Action on the 3m chart appears to be based on the Wyckoff Accumulation Phase, so I re-entered @ the same BLO (see above) Wyckoff Accumulation Phase (s3.tradingview.com)(High Probability) 1. We have the “Preliminary Support” (PS) After a long move down, we start to see signs of high volume and gaps getting bigger. As buyers start to show up, we also see the first sign that selling might end soon. 2. Referred to as the “Selling Climax” (SC) Prices drop quickly during this fear-selling phase, which starts when Preliminary Support stops working. This can cause prices to jump way out of their normal range and gaps to get very big. In some cases, the ending price can be far from the low. When this happens, the candlestick chart will show a big "wick." 3. The Automatic Rally (AR) When sellers stop putting as much pressure on prices, prices often go back the other way with almost as much force when buyers start putting pressure on prices again. This change happened because short sellers bought back the instrument they were shorting. It's important to keep in mind that the peak at this time often marks the top of the stabilization. 4. The Secondary Test (ST) With a more measured approach, Price Action tends to return to the structure's lower levels. As a result, sellers are in play; however, the volume will only increase once sellers find a better opportunity. During this time, it is not uncommon to have a few more tests, like this. 5. The Spring (S) At this juncture, the bottom is unexpectedly retested with sufficient force to deceive market participants into thinking the downward trend has resumed. A "swing failure pattern" describes this kind of behavior nearly precisely. It is basically a shakeout. However, it's essential to remember that this movement is only sometimes necessary. As a result, we anticipate that Price Action will react by regaining control from a lower major Support Level.
Long
by ProfessorCEWard