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AW Euro Dollar Analysis - Support Broken, Wave C In Progress...During my last few videos, I have consistently mentioned that if we break this support at 1.08376 then Wave C has started. Well Wave C has started and according to the larger degree analysis we are falling within Wave 4, and I expect this move to continue lower. Price should fall down towards 1.04802. As long as Wave C is in progress there is no reason to expect a bounce back to the highs. Even during high volatility news, I believe it will continue to unfold as expected either during or after. Remember to use Disciplined Money Management Principles to ensure longevity as a trader. If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd? Just remember: I am not a financial adviser; I suggest using this only as a guide. Always do your own research. ***AriasWave is not the same as Elliott Wave so your counts may differ to mine if you happen to use it.***
Short
by AriasWave
AW Euro Dollar Analysis - Possible Irregular Top Forming...Price action throughout the day has given away some clues as to what we could be seeing here. Look for the first 5 Waves up for Wave (A) and then by the time the FOMC meeting occurs we should have a pretty good setup for Wave (C). In the video I explain the thinking behind this, I believe we are in Wave 2 and may very well see this Wave B expand to the upside. 1.08531 is the line in the sand and I am using this as a stop level but if it is broken without going much higher then the last high would become resistance. Summary: Short term long position unless we see a break of the level mentioned above. Remember to use Disciplined Money Management Principles to ensure longevity as a trader. If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd? Just remember: I am not a financial adviser; I suggest using this only as a guide. Always do your own research. ***AriasWave is not the same as Elliott Wave so your counts may differ to mine if you happen to use it.***
Long
by AriasWave
AW Euro Dollar Analysis - Looking For Wave 2 To Begin...Similar to what is happening in the Aussie dollar it looks like we are preparing a new bull market in the Euro. Expected end to this trend will be at around $2.30. In order to prepare that we need to for a base within Wave 2 after seeing what appears to be a completed 5-Wave move. That means that it is still early days, and we will be able trade within this corrective structure during that time. Now it will be all about understanding where each wave begins and where each wave ends in order to generate some profits. Check out the bigger picture analysis below. Remember to use Disciplined Money Management Principles to ensure longevity as a trader. If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd? Just remember: I am not a financial adviser; I suggest using this only as a guide. Always do your own research. ***AriasWave is not the same as Elliott Wave so your counts may differ to mine if you happen to use it.***
by AriasWave
AW Euro & Aussie Dollar Analysis - This Changes Everything...In 2023 I will leave no stone unturned and if I am wrong, I will be the first to admit it. When it comes to my previous ideas about the bigger picture, I was completely wrong. In this video I explain my views of the bigger picture and what I believe is coming next for the Euro and Aussie Dollar. I think it comes down to being able to switch between small and large degree analysis seamlessly. All I had to do was look again at these long-term patterns and everything suddenly cleared up. Remember to use Disciplined Money Management Principles to ensure longevity as a trader. If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd? Just remember: I am not a financial adviser; I suggest using this only as a guide. Always do your own research. ***AriasWave is not the same as Elliott Wave so your counts may differ to mine if you happen to use it.***
by AriasWave
1
MARKETS: DebtCeiling 2013& What FollowsHi Traders, Investors and Speculators of the Charts 📈📉 I am passionate about economics and history. Together, these two can tell a compelling story of ow interlinked everything is, and give a glimpse into the future should certain events repeat itself. That is the core of my argument today as we look at the previous time he US Government hit a debt ceiling, and what happened after. It would be great if you could watch the video , but if you can't spare 10min here's the summary: 📈 VTI : Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF I love using the VTI as a general overview of the trend on stocks. You could also use the S&P, it's just a personal preference considering they have interest and hold 50% plus shares of nearly EVERYTHING. The VTI mostly consolidates and sees some downward price action for three years after USA announces debt crisis. VTI recovers in Jan 2016, three years later. In other words, in the stock market you may see some down, some up. A near equal amount of buyers and sellers to balance out the total environment. China50 seems to be a precursor of what is about to happen on VTI. 📉 Look for buy opportunities during this time, prepare to hold long term. 📈 GOLD Gold starts declining before the debt crisis is officially announced. A multiyear bear market follows, one of the worst. Continues up until 2016. 📉 Seems like a good idea to take note of the above and get out of gold, enter again during new lows 📈 BTCUSD / Crypto We didn't have an overwhelming amount of alts during that time, so only the Bitcoin USD chart can give an idea of what may happen to crypto after a debt ceiling is announced. Interesting to note that BTC rallies almost parabolically and reaches it's first ATH. Then, at the same time the debt crisis is announced. Bitcoin continues into a multi year bear market, only to recover in Jan 2016. 📉 Do I really need to share my unpopular opinion here ... It all depends on how much you believe in history repeating itself. 📈 USOIL / OIL Industry The oil industry sees the second worst bear market yet, only recovers in Jan 2016 but does not make a higher high until 2020. 📉 Oil saw a sharp v Shape recovery after the announcement of Covid. Oil is still in higher demand than usual considering scarcities so I believe there is another push upwards towards the 3.618 Fibonacci Extension, also the next immediate resistance zone around 200. 📈 EURUSD / strength of the Euro The announcement of the 2013 debt ceiling sends the Euro into a bear trend against the dollar, bottoming out at 0.76 three years later, again only in 2016. 📉 Euro recently saw a strong V Shaped recovery, but considering the next point you may want to rethink holding Euros: 📈 DXY / Dollar Strength Index In comparison by percentage, the DXY surpasses every other market. The DXY increases nearly parabolically over this period of time all the way until November 2016. Which naturally ames sense because when there is talks of an economic crises, people tend to sell their assets for CASH which would explain why markets dropped but DXY increases due to higher demand. 📉 Dollars gain against all in Forex markets. Here's more info on the debt ceiling and what happens if a country defaults: What are your thoughts on this? _______________________ 📢Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates and trade ideas on crypto , stocks and commodities 💎Hit like & Follow 👍 We thank you for your support ! CryptoCheck
AMEX:VTIShort
by CryptoCheck-
14
AW Euro Dollar Analysis - Officially In Bear Mode...The break of support signaled me to go straight into bear mode with on-the-spot analysis live in this video... As a result of the previous idea on what I expect to happen in the market over the coming weeks this was a timely update which is why I was quick to make this video. As this point the markets will definitely psych you out if you do not follow this method. Resistance is at 1.08776 if you want to short now. (Not financial advice.) Check out my previous idea linked below that spell's disaster over the coming weeks. Remember to use Disciplined Money Management Principles to ensure longevity as a trader. If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd? Just remember: I am not a financial adviser; I suggest using this only as a guide. Always do your own research. ***AriasWave is not the same as Elliott Wave so your counts may differ to mine if you happen to use it.***
Short
by AriasWave
1
AW Euro Dollar Long Trade Buy Setup - Possible 18:1 Risk Reward.Check out the latest wave count for the Euro. In this setup we are one step closer to the EURUSD pair moving higher. There is one wave that occurred at this recent high that explains the confusion experienced recently. I also went back and corrected some potential misidentified counts at the beginning of this recent Wave 2 correction. Hopefully this time we actually start to see impulsive price action moving higher. Entry: 1.09297. Stop: 1.08518. Target: 1.23436. Remember to use Disciplined Money Management Principles to ensure longevity as a trader. If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd? Just remember: I am not a financial adviser; I suggest using this only as a guide. Always do your own research. ***AriasWave is not the same as Elliott Wave so your counts may differ to mine if you happen to use it.***
Long
by AriasWave
AW Euro Dollar Analysis - Looks Like Wave 3 is About to Begin...In this Euro update the waves have made themselves pretty clear in that we could be about to breakout higher. These shallow corrections consolidating at the highs conform with Wave 3 price action. Would not be surprised if we start to move up with extreme force in the coming days. Regardless of the waves all I see here is continuous higher highs and good reasons to consider long positions. The line in the sand for this view would have us placing a stop at 1.08742. ***AriasWave is not the same as Elliott Wave so your counts may differ to mine if you happen to use it.*** Remember to use Disciplined Money Management Principles to ensure longevity as a trader. If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd? Just remember: I am not a financial adviser; I suggest using this only as a guide. Always do your own research.
Long
by AriasWave
AW Euro Dollar Analysis - The Wave E Idea Lives On...It appears that all that was required was patience... Eventually it has led me to a fairly clear count that indicates further strengthening of the Euro versus the US Dollar. The setup is becoming much clearer now that we have a 1-2 setup evolving for what appears to be the start of Wave 3. After trying many combinations of labelling using AriasWave, I must admit, this count looks compelling. We still have a little lower to fall here in order to lower the risk and before I post an official long idea based off this count. The whole point of going through every possibility is the type of effort required to get to where we are now. Planning and preparing for a decent swing trade based on some very clear wave structures. Remember to use Disciplined Money Management Principles to ensure longevity as a trader. If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd? Just remember: I am not a financial adviser; I suggest using this only as a guide. Always do your own research.
by AriasWave