Quick take US indices and the Fed's interest rate decisionQuick look at what can we expect from the Fed's rate decision and press conference on Wednesday.
TVC:DJI
TVC:SPX
TVC:NDQ
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77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
Federalreserve
Fed pleases everyone, except for one. BoE is next on the watchThe Federal Reserve came out with its rate decision and it seems that all market participants got pleased, except for one.
Today it's the BoE's turn to deliver rates.
Let's dig in!
TVC:DJI
TVC:DXY
FX_IDC:GBPUSD
MARKETSCOM:100UK
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
If you don't have DXY, keep an eye on USDCHF.Today we are waiting for the Federal Reserve interest rate decision, where the Bank is expected to keep the rates unchanged. However, it's the press conference, which we are more bothered about. Keep your eyes on TVC:DXY , but if you don't have MARKETSCOM:DOLLARINDEX , then MARKETSCOM:USDCHF will be just as good.
Let's dig in.
FX_IDC:USDCHF
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
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74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
Dow Jones 30 is near its all-time high. Can we create a new one?Can the Fed help the MARKETSCOM:US30 move a bit further north and establish a new all-time high? There is a possibility for that, however, we need to wait for the Fed press conference, when market volatility may increase significantly. That said, let the market settle and we can see what we can do. Check the video for more details.
TVC:DJI
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74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
WHAT'S HAPPENING? ⚡️ SUPPLY AND DEMAND IN LOCKSTEP 😢In this video I explain the current state of the Bitcoin market as seen through the lens of the latest pattern found in the forecast model, "The Lightning Volume". The Federal Reserves interest rate policy continues to create considerable headwinds for the Bitcoin price. When could it end? Watch this video and let me know your thoughts? Thanks for watching!
IMPORTANT! Bitcoin Long-term Price Projection Update!I have officially decided to update our long-term price projection for Bitcoin. A major key change is the elimination of the mini-bull market. Instead we are expecting the current bull market to develop into a major bull market. There is also a very high likelihood that this will be the only bull market for the 4th cycle. In this video we partially stepped outside of The Crypto Weather Channel world to explain our reasoning behind these changes. Thanks for watching!
Market Update - How Traders May Play the Feds Rate Hike?Traders,
The market expects 25 basis points tomorrow. What they are unsure of is how it will look in March. While the fed may indicate yet another rate hike in March, the dollar, vix, and treasuries are telling us else wise. Let's take a spin through our lead indicators today as well as Bitcoin.
Stew
The week ahead, US Dollar, Gold, AUD, Fed, US jobsIt is a big week ahead with the Federal Reserve and US jobs, Bank of England and the European Central Bank. My thesis is for a higher US dollar, a sell-off in Gold, hawkish Fed, a hawkish ECB, and firm US wage pressures. AUD/USD is one to watch for a sell-high opportunity in New York trade on Monday/Tuesday perhaps, same with Gold.
How to Adjust Your Stock Chart for Inflation, Dividends, and TaxUsing a pretty simple formula involving CPI , we can adjust the stock chart to show real returns instead of nominal returns. Real returns represent a more accurate picture of the return of the stock over time. In addition, we can easily adjust returns for dividends and estimated taxes.
Exciting Times for $ Denominated Pairs!In this video we look into DXY structure and how this is so exciting for a few USD pairs.
Generally across the board on the HTF we are seeing lots of corrective patterns completing their moves. These are nearly always followed by large impulsive movements in the market which are fantastic to capitalise on.
USDJPY and GBPUSD see some clear impulsive phases beginning and we forecast how those entries may present themselves.
Whilst we have to remain impartial, the Macro perspective on the $ looks like we could see some weakness and the £ seems like we could see some strength. This look particularly good for GBPUSD. If the markets are pricing the future rate hikes in this coming week then we could see some big movements. If not, we might be looking at some corrective behaviour until 14th December.
This will be a very interesting week, for sure.
Please comment below and engage with the post - would love to hear your thoughts.
Oil Breakdown - Fundamental and technical analysisIn this video I breakdown some headlines to look out for that should move the oil market one way or the other. I also run through the USD situation right now and explain how that could create moves in the oil market. Then I run through the chart to show you what I'm looking for to enter a trade.
BEAR AND BULLS CLASH!!! BITCOIN/ US DOLLAR CHART ANALYSISWelcome back to another video, today's video is about analysing BITCOIN (BTC) using the monthly, weekly and daily timeframe to understand and see price movements for possible next direction (either downwards or upwards trend).
P.S NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR... JUST EDUCATIONAL AND LEARNING PURPOSE ONLY...
US500/SPX enters into a bear market The last time this happened was in 2018 but the market some how management to rally which resulted in a false breakout.
In 2020 the market came back to this level and spiked around this area before turning into an almost 2 year rally.
2007 was a different story as market broke structure and the result was a sell of that lasted one year.
What will happen in 2022? Will the bulls take control and result in the SPX hitting another all time high.
Or will we see similar events of what happened in 2007 which resulted in a huge sell off that one year.
Interest Rates vs Everyone - How Crypto Can Bounce BackA pretty rough week for the markets - especially crypto. The recent dips are a result of mainstream money (crypto curious, but not necessarily dedicated) leaving the space as a response to inflation woes and the Federal Reserve planning to increase interest rates over 2022. The US housing markets are also set to slow down as well, possibly leading to a recession in the US markets and the global economy as a whole.
What's the silver lining? Well, the last time the housing market dipped was in 2008-2012, which coincides directly when Bitcoin itself was invented by Satoshi Nakamoto. Will the same sort of sentiment emerge as a result of fiat money crashing this time around? Time will tell.
This is A Bear Market Rally, Be CarefulWe saw a strong move to the upside after the Fed hiked interest rates by 50 basis points yesterday but does that mean that the trend has reversed? Most definitely not! Watch this video to see my forecast and what we need to see before we can assume a trend change.
Happy trading!
Linton
GBP/USD - Short Sell Fundamental and Technical Set Up UpdateThe Pound has extended its weakness against the U.S Dollar as the UK economy slips closer to a recession.
The UK cost of living crisis, which is down to high energy prices, rising taxes, and now higher interest rates is increasing the public mortgage, credit cards, car loans, student debt and other debt payments, causing investors to question the amount of interest rate hikes the Bank of England can deliver without causing a recession.
I break this down in more detail in the video.
Will sanctions on Russia backfire on the U.S.? What about crypto- Sanctions, led by the U.S. in hopes of punishing Russian aggression may NOT have the impact the U.S. is hoping for? Could they actually backfire?
- Saudi Arabia rejects Biden's request for talks on increasing oil production and instead announces that they are considering accepting Yuan instead of dollars for Chinese Oil sales (per house rules, links to sources are not allowed)
- India's move to "explore" alternative payment channels with Russia to avoid sanctions (per house rules, links to sources are not allowed)
- With official inflation numbers running at 8% and climbing the Federal Reserve is being forced to raise interest rates for the first time since 2018 (per house rules, links to sources are not allowed). Multiple rate hikes are projected. The last time rates were raised markets crashed and the Fed quickly reversed course. This leads many to say that the Fed won't really raise rates as much as projected, because the market won't let them, but what these people don't seem to get is that in order to finance the U.S. national debt, new debt has to be sold every year. As inflation rises countries like Saudi Arabia become more and more inclined to invest in assets that show a return or at least hold their value. This means that unless you raise the rates to a level that offsets inflation many investors will move elsewhere and you won't be able to take on new debt. Central banks are cornered. Once they start raising rates government budgets will quickly hit a wall as interest payments on existing debt become unmanageable.
- This may devastate the dollar along with the U.S. economy, but it may be great for crypto