Natural gas weekly levelsMagic Lines:
All supports are not for buy level. As like all resistance are not for sell levels
After long research and back testing we find which S&R is for sell level & which S&R is buy level.
In that result we give the pure intraday levels in charts.
BLUE LINE ARE BUY LEVELS
ORANGE LINES ARE SELL LEVELS
IF OPENING 15MIN CANDLE TOUCH BLUE LINE GO FOR LONG/ IF OPEING 15 MIN CANDLE TOUCH ORANGE LING GO FOR SHORT.
There are 10 different pattern for getting entry in market with this line if anyone interested please command below ...
Natural
SELL NATURAL GAS BELOW 9 EMA FOR 200 EMASELL NATURAL GAS BELOW 9 EMA FOR 200 EMA CONSIDERING UPCOMING SHORTAGE IN DEMAND DUE TO DECRESING COLD IN UPCOMING WEEKS.
SELL NATURAL GAS BELOW 9 EMA FOR 200 EMANATURAL GAS PRICE HAS BOUNCED FROM 9 EMA ON DAILY CHART. THE BOUNCE WAS ALSO SUPPORTED BY COLD STORM STARTED ON THURSDAY. THE BOUNCE WAS NEUTRALISED BY THE DOUBLE HEAD FORMATION AND SELLING HAS ALREDY BEGUN. I MY VIEW SHORT POSITION CAN BE OPENED BELOW 9 EMA FOR 200 EMA TARGET CONSIDERING LESS DEMAND IN COMING WEEKS.
NG: UNG: BOIL: Natural Gas Rebounded on Feb 2021 RollNatural Gas prices rebounded after dropping earlier in the week from $2.5 to $2.25 on warm weather. Prices rebounded on tight balances, oversold technical conditions,
and roll into February 2021 contract. Support is expected to hold, as LNG flows are above 11 Bcf/d and balances are tight, with last draw at -152 Bcf.
Technical Analysis: 4 Hr chart shows oversold condition. Support is seen at $2.25. However, double bottom is still possible, before going higher around January 10.
Potential price target for the next leg up is $2.75 - $2.8. Upside potential for NG and BOIL may be limited due to roll into lower March 2021 contract on January 22 -27.
Fundamental Analysis: Bullish picture with tight balances and potential for a deficit is possible going into 2021. Lower 48 state production lost -4 Bcf/d vs. 2020,
while gas exports increased +4 Bcf/d, resulting in net increase in demand of 8 Bcf/d. Lower 48 production is expected to remain at 91 Bcf/d, while LNG flows and
Mexico exports will total 16 Bcf/d. HFIR energy believes, that forward curve is underpriced at avg. of $2.58/MMBtu. Should weather turn colder after January 11, 2021,
as projected by NatGasWeather, we may see NG prices bounce back to $2.7-$2.8 levels. Cash prices are likely to go much higher during winter. However, NG and BOIL,
will start rolling into lower March contract around January 22 -27, which may bring futures prices back to their current support level at $2.3-$2.5 at that time.
Overall picture for NG in 2021 is bullish, given lower production and higher LNG demand and exports remain in place. Traders are bullish EQT and BOIL (day trade).
Short sellers will still have their opportunities on selling 4 Hr tops. KOLD is an inverse daily ETF, that does well during March - April contract timeframe.
Potential Beginning of a New Bullrun on Natural Gas Going in into 2 CURRENCYCOM:NATURALGAS 021 we could potentially see the price of natural gas head into $3.00 and beyond in the first quarter of next year.
NG: UNG: boil: Natural Gas Looking for a Bottom - Mid DecemberNatural Gas futures dropped disproportionately to fundamentals on lower national demand in the first half of December and slightly higher recent production.
However, NatGasWeather forecasts for the storage draw covering next three weeks are not as bearish as the drop in gas prices. LNG flows are consistently
bullish exceeding 10.5 bcf/d. The fundamentals are still strong. It seems that bullish traders are waiting for colder weather patterns to settle in before driving
prices higher.
If we get the forecasted warming next week, the prices may go lower. Expected trough at around December 9-12.
Technicals: The 4 Hr chart is oversold. Yet, this condition may persist for another week. The double bottom is more likely before going higher.
Per NatGasWeather Report:
EIA Weekly Nat Gas Storage Report Outlook: EIA Weekly Report
Week 1 – December 10 -70 to -80 Bcf Slightly Larger vs Normal Draw
(Nov 27-Dec 3)
Week 2 – December 17 -80 to -90 Bcf Slightly Smaller vs Normal Draw
(Dec 4-10)
Week 3 – December 23 -85 to -100 Bcf Slightly Smaller vs Normal Draw
(Dec 11-17)
NatGasWeather.com Forecast
5-Year Average -61 Bcf -105 Bcf -127 Bcf
ridethepig | Natural Gas Breaking Out!A nice swing cooking right on time for December seasonality flows to kick in.
This leg higher threatens the sacrifice of resistance and creates freedom to manoeuvre towards $4 and $5 in 2021. We have a similar sized move cooking in energy to the leg we traded in Oil, only this time round the swing we are tracking is to the topside. See for example the following breakdown we traded in Oil;
In the ST, play with the flow and continue ride the leg higher towards something like +/- 3.5 and 4.0 as the extension. Sellers are quite paralysed.
For the MT and LT as we know, the philosophy of transition towards a 'Green new Deal' or 'Build back better' in such a short period of time constitutes a pipe dream. Already power grids are coughing badly with so much activity from lockdowns and more people at home, the theory that we will all be driving electric cars and etc looks quite far... one cannot rebuild energy without great difficulties is important to understand.
Thanks as usual for keeping the feedback coming 👍 or 👎
NG: UNG: BOIL: Natural Gas Oversold, Roll into January ContractNatural gas futures NG moved higher as it started rolling into January contract on Nov 20. Technical conditions are oversold on 4 hr chart. We have an unfilled gap at $3.1 level, a possible target for an upside move. Weather forecasts into early December are less bearish than last week, but still alternate shots of cold air with periods of warming.
Next week EIA report is expected to be on a bullish side, a draw of about 20 Bcf, as demand exceeded supply for the period ending Nov 18. Expecting a gradual move to higher prices, unless weather forecasts change showing more cold temperatures coming.
NG: UNG: BOIL: Natural Gas Looking for Support NG: Natural gas NG contract may find its support at $2.6 level before moving higher into January contract. Prices dropped on warmer weather forecast Nov 18 -Dec 2. From technical perspective, NG is approaching oversold condition on 4 Hr chart. Lower prices are still possible due to bearish EIA report on Nov 19, as built is expected on the backdrop of low demand through November 20. However, roll into January contract Nov 22 - 25 may provide support for this transition into colder temperatures starting first week of December. Should NG start rolling into January as early as November 19, the dip may not be a slow as expected due to warm weather.
NATURAL GAS Long-term Buy SignalPattern: Channel Up on 1D.
Signal: Buy as the price bounced on the 1D MA200 which has been holding and acting as a buy entry since March 31. Also the RSI bounced on its multi-month Support level.
Target: 3.350 (right below the Resistance).
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Natural gas updatewe have seen natural gas drop significally since covid possible retracements
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ISSAFX1
NATURAL GAS: long. /section fast transactions/Buy on 3.001
TP 3.18
SL 2.84
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the market.
This section is intended for short-term speculation. Be ready to leave a position at any time.
Natural GasAt Natural Gas, I found a very attractive chart. This is interesting to me. I found the highest performance back to the date 12 December 2005, with 16.475 points and the lowest performance on the date 18 February 1992 with 1093 points. I see a powerful movement every day with strong direction and seems not affected by the pandemic. Amazing. At this time, I need to watch on my watch list at moment. And when it comes to the best moment, I will make an excellent transaction for the long term.
NATURAL GAS Still some downside left before recoveryPattern: Channel Up on 1D.
Signal: Buy on the 0.500 Fibonacci retracement level.
Target: 3.350 (just below the Resistance).
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NG: UNG: BOIL: Natural Gas testing support before moving higherFundamentals remain bullish. NG Natural gas futures are getting ready for December roll. November contract made a rally up to $3.1 on Wednesday and now is testing support at $2.97 - $2.95 level. A three dollar price level needs some digestion. To break above $3.2 December price will require support from colder weather forecasts and higher LNGs. Rise in seasonal demand is confirmed by weather forecasts for the second half of November and into December - January. Last week in October forecast has now turned colder predicting high national demand for the next week (NatGasWeather). Supply/demand balance is tightening. LNGs are at 8-8.5 bcf/d with expectations to increase to 10 bcf/d within the next a couple of weeks.
Technicals are pointing toward a pullback before the roll begins and prices move higher. Currently, support for November contract is seen at $2.97-$2.95 level. Even if lower prices are seen on Friday, the dip may represent a buying opportunity before the roll.
NG: UNG: BOIL: Natural Gas Upside Potential vs. Bearish WeatherNatural gas NG is getting ready to roll into higher priced December contract, Oct 25-29. The upside potential on a roll is $3.2 price level vs. current $2.8. However, weather forecast is bearish for the rest of the week and into early November. LNGs are higher at 8 bcf/d, but Cameron facility and Sabine pass are still blocked and expected to stay that way for the next a couple of weeks. NGI predicts trough in demand later this week. NatGasWeather predicts low national demand Tue -Fri on warming in high consumption areas. November contract may dip toward expiration.
Technical Indicators: MACD chart has formed a double bottom pointing to higher prices. RSI has potential for a move higher, but may also form an island top with a dip lower before going higher, should traders react negatively to bearish weather forecast for end of October - beginning of November.
The Volume bars on a price chart (see circle on top chart) showed limited buying at $2.8 level. Support for November contract is seen at around $2.7 level. Some analysts see support at $2.595 - $2.572 levels, should weather models lose TDDs later in October.
Higher prices on Monday afternoon were supported by cold shot over Plains and Rockies and trader optimism.
NG:UNG:BOIL: Natural Gas Futures testing supportNatural gas prices are testing support zone at $2.6-2.5. Price retracement on lighter US demand this week. However, LNG flows are back up to 7 bcf/d and are expected to keep increasing to 10 bcf/d later in October and November - December (NGI). Seasonal demand is expected to improve within the next 2 weeks. A cold shut this weekend, if confirmed, may change price action to bullish.
Will October be Déjà vu for NATURAL GAS?Quick observation here. NG traders that are deep into the commodity's technical dynamics agree that Natural Gas is trading on patterns that are cyclical on the very long-term.
If cyclical behavior and seasonality play a big part on this, then why should the month of October be any different? Every 4 years since 2012, NG makes a bottom around March-April, then rises aggressively up until October, which initiates a pull-back. That pull-back appears to be a Bull Flag for a new High a few months later.
Will history repeat itself?
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