Natural Gas Stock Forecast | Gold Silver | Price Level Trend- Natural gas stock negated that hourly downtrend and bulls played defense
- natural gas natgas stock bounced off of strong support and now we have just have to break prior 2.8 high to continue the daily uptrend towards 3
- Gold & Silver Stock Falling Wedge Guide.
Natural Gas
NatGas Gold Silver Forecast | QQQ Market Analysis- Natural Gas stock slight red flag today
- Natural Gas NatGas bull break above resistance today with no bull follow through and came below the resistance.
- Gold & Silver Stock Falling Wedge Guide.
- Silver is outperforming Gold and if silver weakens more Gold would likely break bearish through the falling wedge.
- QQQ needs to confirm a hourly downtrend before we can have more confidence that the daily lower high is set. So far bulls played defense and we are still in a hourly uptrend.
BOIL Day Trade Recap and ReviewBOIL the 3x Leveraged ETF of natural gas futures has been highly volatile. Volatility yields high
profits if there are good entries and trade management. This past Friday BOIL was doing a
reverse split ( 20 shares become one) which I considered to be an opportunity for high profit
because a higher number of traders would have eyes on the chart.
The 15-minute chart is shown here with an anchored VWAP from 2 days earlier. At market open
price reversed a downtrend after the reverse split in the premarket. It got support from the line
one standard deviation below the mean VWAP. My first considered entry was the second green
HA candle in the reversal with a stop loss at the pivot low of the red candles. However
I passed on this entry and instead entered upon price crossing the mean VWAP. The entry
was supported by the indicators showing Z score and volatility. The entry was made more
precise by analysis on the 5-minute chart. The stop loss was set at the value of the close of the
last candle to close below VWAP. After that, trade management was routine. Every time
price went up 1% I raised the stop loss by the same amount until getting up 6% Once at that
level, I changed to a trailing stop loss of 2% so I could pay attention to other trading chores.
At the same time, I set an alert for when the price crossed to above two standard deviations
above the mean anchored VWAP. I did this because this is the overvalued overbought area
where institutional traders will set sell orders either short selling or closing profitable
trades. The resultant reversal would diminish my unrealized profits. In this case, I got
the alert and closed the position without the trailing loss. The trade resulted in a profit
of 12% without use of leverage or margin other than the leverage imbedded in BOIL inself.
Summer Heat expected to uptick energy demand-good for nat gasHot days mean more Air conditioning, which is good for natural gas since its 40% of electricity generation.
The Nat gas chart has been in a down trend since losing support in fall of 2022.
Will the chart turn directions? Currently its trying to begin higher highs.
BOIL / KOLD - a leveraged natural gas oscillatorHere on a dialy chart I have plotted the ratio of BOIL share price to that of KOLD, its leveraged
inverse. They both react to and reflect natural gas prices which are currently rising. I have also
plotted the supply demand indicator from Luxalgo and a better RSI indicator. As can be seen
on the chart the ratio ascended from relative weakness last fall into a long head and shoulder
pattern and then descended into its present range. The RSI bottomed abot 5/4/23 and
increasing since then. I see the present pattern as similar to what occurred last fall.
My thesis is that I should buy BOIL now as its price ascends until the ratio hits the supply
zone above and then flip by selling and buying KOLD instead. I see this as essentially a natural
gas buy and sell oscillator. To have more frequent trades and higher overall profits,
I would need to decrease the timeframe for the analysis down to 1-3 hours and follow
the ratio trending accordingly. At present, I will continue to accumulate further long positions
in BOIL
BOIL a scalp trade LONGBOIL had trended down from a high about May 19 until June 2nd when it reversed and gained
for one week before resuming its trend down. This can be seen on the half hour chart. The
The attached RS indicator shows the decreasing strength trending down from 65 to 40 over the
past few trading days. Upon drawing trendline support and resistance. I note that a descending
or falling wedge pattern is evident. This is a bullish chart pattern predictive of a price action
reversal. A volume profile is added to the chart showing the highest volume of trading at
the POC line corresponding to a price of $2.58.
I will trade a long trade on BOIL by way of a buy stop at $ 2.59 with a stop loss at $2.57.
The target will be the top of the high volume area of the volume profile @ $2.74.
This trade will risk $0.02 compared with a potential profit of $ 0.15 yielding a reward to
risk of 7.5. As it turns out, I did this exact same trade this past Wednesday June 7rh.
Besides 100 shares I will buy one call option striking $2.50 with an expiration of 6/30
to leverage the trade.
Tellurian: Weekly Bullish Engulfing Falling Wedge BreakoutTELL is currently breaking out of a Falling Wedge after confirming a Double Divergence in the MACD at the 0.886 and also Bullishly Diverging the previous week's candle. A break of the $1.55 level could quickly take it back to $6.5, as that will likely also align with the RSI entering back into the Bullish Control Zone.
NATURAL GAS: Short term Sell opportunityNatural Gas got supported on the 4H MA50 yesterday but the rebound seems to be running out of steam. The R1 at 2.697 is so far a Double Top and as the 4H RSI is forming the same bearish pattern as in late May while the 1D technicals are losing strength (RSI = 59.608, MACD = 0.079, ADX = 32.120), we are shorting NG targeting the HL trendline (TP = 2.300).
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UNG continues to rise UNG the ETF that tracks natural gas futures has continued on a significant uptrend since June
1st The 2H chart suggests to be that the trend will continue this upcoming week. UNG is now
above the POC line of the long multi-session volume profile. UNG has had support from the
VWAP line representing two standard deviations below the mean. In recent days, price has
crossed that mean VWAP in a sign of bullish momentum. The volatility oscillator indicator
is showing bullish volatility while the RSI is high above 80 and staying there without any fade
to suggest bearish divergence. Overall, I will continue to run my position without any partial
take profit. My target is the VWAP line that is two standard deviations above the mean
anchored VWAP and so presently about 7.85. Any new trade would have the same target
while setting the stop loss just below the POC line.
Is KOLD getting chilled out ?KOLD's trend down may be continuing. They say weather climate conditions are for things
heating up. this trader concurs albeit from one of the traditional hottest places in the entire
USA and so with that bias come hell or bitter winter chill. On the chart, a persistent trend
down for KOLD underneath the Ichimoku cloud of the Luxalgo indicator is easily seen.
Luxalgo's Bollinger Band oscillator shows that price is riding down along the lower BB band
without any outlook for a reprive. Furthermore, price is well below the high volume
area of the volume profile and in the lowermost bands of the anchored VWAP. On the MACD
indicator, the MACD and signal are both trending down and well below zero.
In short, the value of KOLD is crashing down. Any traders long are best to consider liquidating
while any value remains. I am not long KOLD and happily continue my long positions in
BOIL, the inverse of it until analysis dictates otherwise.
NATGAS Bearish Correction! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NATGAS was trading in an
Uptrend but then hit a strong
Horizontal resistance of 2.683$
While trading in a bearish wedge
Pattern from where the
Price made a nice bearish
Breakout so I think that
Natgas will go down
Sell!
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NATURAL GAS Possible analysisThe NATURAL GAS trend is bearish for the last couple of months. The market placed a 1.9625 low on 14-Apr-2023. In a 4Hour time frame market reject the resistance area ( $2.35-2.42 ) as mentioned in the price chart and continued the bearish move. Now price is traded near the Support area ( $2.15-2.10 ).RSI ( relative strength index ) at over-sold levels and Volume indicates bears lose momentum. Price respected the trendline in the past two times and is now again near to test, so if the market close above this trendline with a strong bullish candle stick pattern then probably the market going up. So initiate long positions after closing above the Support area and also the trendline. On the other side, the Price traded below 200 MA (moving average ) which indicates the bearish trend is still in line. So Short selling is favorable if the price breaks the trendline to the downside and close below the support area as mentioned in the price chart after confirmation by a bearish price action structure.
Support and Resistance levels for day trading ;
Pivot Point Level: PP 2.1872
Support Levels: S1 2.0987, S2 2.0416, S3 1.9531
Resistance Levels: R1 2.2443, R2 2.3328, R3 2.3899
Bullish Setup in Range-bound MarketNatural gas has been moving within a range, and currently, we are at the lower part of the range.
We are patiently waiting for a shift in market structure (creating a HH). This would indicate a potential upward movement within the range.
Entry Point:
We plan to enter a trade on a pullback (LH) utilizing the (weekly FVG) with the trendline acting as a support.
Target:
Our target is set at the upper end of the range, with tp1 at 50% of the range.
NFA
Natural Gas: 1.618 Confluence Support Zone Has Held Natural Gas was trading at this Log/Linear 1.618 Confluence Zone for a while and even confirmed a 3 white soldiers pattern from the zone, but has since been very quiet. However, it's recently begun to bring us somewhat of a bounce and has confirmed a couple of higher lows with some hidden Bullish Divergence on the MACD after holding above the Bullish Control Zone on the RSI and now it's looking to make some higher highs and could take back the entire range.
It should also be noted that this 1.618 confluence zone is at the PCZ of a 1.13 Bullish Shark.