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Natural Gas "Historical Evidence discovered"Yep. The title says it all. I have found evidence to support what I believe is future upward price movement over the next 2 months. After many many hours of exhaustive research, I can say with 100% certainty, backed up by years and years of historical data that......IT GETS COLD IN THE WINTER! Just some light humor. So I have two price targets for this upward move. This is not to be confused with what I think is going to happen by February (a much higher high at least $4.10), I'm talking short term...2 weeks from now before a decent pullback. The first is for Natural gas to reach the 100% measured move of "W" at $3.30, which happened in the beginning of November. There is a pretty good resistance level there as well. The 2nd price target, which is what I am hoping for and which makes a little more sense to me, is the 100% measured move of the first part of this current "Y" wave that began last week. That is the FIB that is colored purple. There is a gap to be filled there AND, a 50% typical correction for this WXY wave move would bring it down to retest the trend line and also stay within the yellow path. As far as how this would equate to UGAZ prices.....I really don't know yet. I watch the NG chart to get an idea of when we are close to a trend change for UGAZ. I will be watching the structure on the daily to try to figure out where we are in the wave count and weather or not we are close to a warm weather reversal. GL
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by SalN
13
NATGASUSD Short Hello, I think NATGASUSD is in for a bigger drop and report may be the catalyst . Consider the scenario. 1. It consolidated in a range for a long time 2. Made a higher but was unable to hold gains 3. Second wave up after the last report failed to make a newer high 4. It closed on channel below the channel 5. Almost half the volume on the upswings and new highs That's how I look at things. Trade accordingly. I'd wait until it hits the Declining channel then short. 3.315 would be my stop if I short at around touch of declining channel. Will be a good risk/reward because I'd short it at touch of channel and stop at 3.315. However, if it breaks the channel with conviction goes to set another high, this idea has failed it's validity.
OANDA:NATGASUSDShort
by viktor89
Natural Gas Mini Futures Swing Trade OutlookI have NG currently in a downtrend. With expectations that it will continue dropping over the near term. Daily chart observations: 50-day moving average recently dropped below the 200-day moving average. MACD is illustrating downward movement. RSI is trending down Woodies CCI still shows upward momentum, but also that the upward momentum is weakening Stochastic has dropped below the lower boundary (20), illustrating oversold level The Awesome Oscillator also shows upward momentum weakening Spring/Summer weather typically brings lower nat gas prices. Over the next few months I'm looking for the price to move towards the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level with the price around 2.516.
NYMEX:NG1!Short
by dougbebber
1