Trend Analysis
Australian ASX 200 SPI futures look good if you're a bearThe picture for Australian ASX 200 SPI futures look good if you're a bear.
We've seen a bearish engulfing candle on Wednesday with follow-through selling today, accompanied by an uptick in volumes. Momentum indicators are providing bearish signals, too.
But it is month-end and the price does find itself sitting on the 50DMA, a level that has been respected consistently apart from a period between June and July this year.
Even though price and momentum signals suggest selling rallies may work better than buying dips in near-term, unless we see a close beneath the 50DMA, going short beforehand comes across as a low probability play given prior interactions with the level.
If the price closes and holds beneath the 50DMA, you could sell with a stop either above it or 8200 for protection. On the downside, 8080 is the first level of note, but to make the trade stack up from a risk-reward perspective, 7860 comes across as a more appropriate target.
Good luck!
DS
BUY EURCHF - trade strategy explained in detailTrader Tom, a technical analyst with over 15 years’ experience, explains his trade idea using price action and a top down approach. This is one of many trades so if you would like to see more then please follow us and hit the boost button.
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GU is volatile...but we need more data for direction...I cant really call it at the moment. Price is indecisive as we come to the monthly transition. The last day of the month and anything can happen. Watching for a solid direction and sitting on hands for now until London open. Expecting some good price action for both sessions going into Thursday.
Deciphering The Mysteries Within A TrendIn this video, I breakdown trend dynamics to help you understanding what is actually happening in a trend. I cover the following:
What is climatic activity?
What climatic activity means for a trend.
How to spot climatic activity with price action.
How to spot climatic activity with an indicator
How to measure trend strength with price action
How to measure trend strength with an indicator
When trading pullbacks, it is imperative to understand strength of trends. You do not want to enter a pullback at the end of a trend.
Amd - Break, Retest And New All Time Highs!Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) is about to start another +100% rally:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Amd just retested and rejected a major previous horizontal structure and is starting the next major bullish wave towards the upside. Looking at previous cycles and the rising channel pattern, it is quite likely that Amd will follow Nvidia and create new all time highs soon.
Levels to watch: $130, $270
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade EOD Update For 10-30: ConsolidationWhat an interesting day regarding how the markets reacted to the Flags and APEX setups.
My update video was perfect as we saw the market break away from the Flag Apex and trend downward almost all afternoon.
With BTCUSD moving into a Flagging formation within a potential Excess Phase Peak pattern near $72, things are about to get interesting.
Either we see the breakdown of support in the markets over the next 4-5+ days or we see support hold and the markets rally a bit higher going into the long weekend.
It's an either A or B type of scenario right now. I estimate fear and uncertainty drive the markets about 3.5 to 5.5% lower before the election.
Buckle up and prepare for real market volatility. By tomorrow's end, make sure you are protected from risk.
Beyond that, at this point, it is a wait-and-see type of situation.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
S&P500: In a channel, choppy, and likely breaking downAs forecasted, it was a choppy day & likely going to continue tomorrow.
If you want to be trading, then it's better to time your entry at the nearest to the support level & take profits at the next resistance level, and same on the Sell side.
Take care & always trade within your risk!
Trade Recaps: USDJPY-LONG, AUDUSD-SHORT, 30/10/2024UJ Bias Analysis: Price corrected deeper into the 1H range discount, entering a 1H OB and confluent 1-sded FVG. The deeper retracement protracted lower at London open, sweeping Tuesday's low as it mitigated the KI areas before entry confirmation was received.
Grade: High Quality Valid
AU Bias Analysis: Price distributed higher aggressively at London open. This distribution was misinterpreted as a protraction which was sweeping 1H TBL, where it was actually shifting structure to the upside. Price traded higher into a 4H OB, where entry confirmation was received and a short position was executed. This was an invalid trade as the shift of structure to the upside violated my trade parameters which require the entry to be in alignment with the 1H range.
Grade: Invalid
What I did well or could've done better:
- Executed aggressively on the setups during my forecasting session despite a shorter day at work. Focus was good.
- Managed the trades according to the plan.
- Misread the distribution AU as a protraction, when it actually shifted 1H structure long which did not align with my trade parameters
- Took a trade that violated my plan as the UJ loss closed out today, which meant I only had 1 trade I could execute on instead of 2.
- I did not identify what would've lead me to be risk off on a setup and was only focusing on execution characteristics.
- I had a strong bias towards Dollar strength today, which led to marrying my bias and resulted in an invalid trade.
MOBILEYE ($MBLY) : BUY OR FOMO YOUR CHOICE! TICK TOCK!!!NASDAQ:MBLY BUY OR FOMO YOUR CHOICE!
In this video, we talk about:
1.) Why the stock is down 5%
2.) Why everything on the Technicals/ Fundamentals point to a STRONG BUY.
3.) My earnings prediction & fair value
Thanks for watching! I know it was a longer video, but I always want to be thorough. Especially with a name as polarized as this one.
Are you a BUYER, will you FOMO, or am I WRONG? Let me know in the comments.
YouTube:
@TheRonnieVShow
NFA
#BuyingOpportunity #BuyTheDip
ARE WE HEADED FOR ALL TIME HIGHS ? MY NEXT PLAYS Bitcoin has closed above a critical trendline. Why is this trendline significant? Because it has historically acted as strong support, repeatedly rebounding price. The question now is whether we'll see a retest before reaching all-time highs or if it will surge straight to new levels. Let’s watch how the price action unfolds.
For my next move, I’m looking for a retracement followed by a continuation setup.
For any of these plays, I want to see a flip in structure on the 10 - 15minute chart or higher before entering. Let’s be ready!
Make sure to follow for regular updates and insights! 🔔💡
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Review and plan for 31st October 2024Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
Result analysis.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
GOOGL Strong Move Post-Earnings. My AnalysisHey, guys. Not going to go into too much detail on the description here. Just wanted to get my thoughts out there on NASDAQ:GOOGL . Certainly seems to have a strong long term trend here. As always, in long term trends, there could be various counter trend moves so always be prepared in that regard. Hopefully this offers some more insight for you as you think about NASDAQ:GOOGL from an investment perspective, or even a trading perspective. Even if you are looking for short term trades in GOOGL, I find it helpful to know how your trade might fit in to the longer term trend (whether to the downside or upside).
Hope you enjoy the review, and best of luck out there!
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update : Shift Market Trends - BUCKLE UPThis update is to show you why I believe the markets have already started moving into the low-liquidity phase I have been suggesting for more than 3+ weeks. This low-liquidity phase will happen as we move closer to the US elections.
Simply put, traders are very anxious regarding the outcome of the election and the chaos that may happen after the election. Because of this, I believe many traders have already pulled capital away from the markets and are sitting on CASH.
This lack of market liquidity could present a very real risk of a FLASH-crash type of event.
So, BUCKLE UP.
Metals shifted downward (silver is leading almost all other markets with very clear patterns/setups).
BTCUSD appears to have peaked and is rolling downward.
The SPY is about to APEX into a new FLAG APEX - thus we should expect extreme volatility over the next 3+ hours of trading. Possibly leading to a strong downtrend near the end of trading today.
And, I believe all of this points to the lack of liquidity event taking shape. Moving the markets into a type of low liquidity PANIC mode (downward).
Play safe and Buckle Up!
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Why Nailing the Perfect Entry Won't Make You a Winning TraderWhen I first started trading, I spent an absurd amount of time obsessing over the “perfect entry.” I believed if I could just pinpoint the exact right moment to enter, my trades would take off like clockwork. I’d spot my pattern, line up my indicators, and wait for that split-second trigger. But as my journey evolved, I found that success in trading hinges far more on how you exit than on the entry itself.
Aggressive Entries: Simple and Straightforward
Let’s be clear—there is no “perfect entry,” no mythical timing trick that’ll guarantee success. Aggressive entries, for example, are straightforward: you spot the trigger candle, recognize the pattern, and take action at the close. That’s it. No endless analysis or hesitation, just decisive entry. This type of entry is powerful because it’s intentional, capturing the setup in real time rather than waiting for confirmation that could lead to a delayed entry.
While aggressive entries get you in at an ideal price, focusing on entry alone doesn’t cover the full picture of trade management. Without a plan for managing the trade after entry, you’re just hoping the market follows through—and hope is not a strategy.
Exits Matter More Than the Entry
Successful traders don’t just focus on getting in; they put more thought into getting out. If the goal is to grow and protect capital, then exits are the difference between locking in profit or watching it evaporate. After countless hours in the market, I learned that getting the exit right, or at least having a disciplined exit plan, is what shapes your profit curve.
For example, some traders aim for a certain percentage of profit or wait for the price to hit a key level. Others may use stop-loss strategies to protect gains by trailing the stop along the way. The exit strategy you choose is personal, but having one at all is non-negotiable. Think of it this way: without a solid exit plan, even a perfect entry is likely to unravel at some point.
Practical Tips for Developing a Strong Exit Strategy
Define Your Exit Before You Enter: Every trade should begin with a clearly defined exit plan. Before you even click “buy,” know exactly where you’ll exit for both a win and a loss. Setting realistic profit targets and stop losses not only protects you from over-trading but also keeps you focused on executing your plan.
Set Alerts and Automate: Using tools like TradingView’s alert feature is a lifesaver. Alerts allow you to step away from the charts without stressing over every price movement. Let’s be real—the market can be a hypnotic place, and constantly watching it can lead to impulsive decisions. Set your alerts and detach; you don’t need to be glued to your screen for every tick.
Use Incremental Exits: Instead of going all in or all out, consider taking partial profits at different stages of the move. For instance, you might exit half your position at a certain level and let the rest ride to maximize your gains. This approach allows you to capture profit while giving the remaining position room to potentially yield a larger win.
Review and Refine Your Exits: One of the best ways to improve your exit strategy is to backtest it. Use TradingView’s replay feature to “replay” past market conditions and test out various exit strategies. This is invaluable as it gives you a chance to fine-tune your approach based on actual data, not just theoretical setups.
Create Realistic Expectations: The reality of trading is that the market doesn’t always move according to plan. Stay flexible. Some trades might require a quick exit, while others might reward you for holding on. Don’t be afraid to adapt based on the conditions and price action unfolding in front of you.
Why Traders Fail Without an Exit Plan
For many traders, focusing solely on entries becomes a crutch. They mistakenly believe that if they just find the right entry, the trade will manage itself. But the market is unpredictable. Even the best entry can’t secure a win if the trader doesn’t know how to get out.
The hard truth is, obsessing over entries often masks a lack of strategy or confidence in the bigger picture. I’ve seen traders who hit excellent entries repeatedly, but without disciplined exits, they end up handing their profits back to the market. Don’t let your gains evaporate because you didn’t think about your way out.
Trading Success Is Built on Execution, Not Perfection
In the end, what separates successful traders from the rest isn’t a “perfect entry.” It’s a systematic approach to execution. The best traders don’t need flawless timing—they need consistency, discipline, and a clear plan that includes both entries and exits.
So, next time you’re studying a chart, ask yourself not just “Where would I enter?” but also, “Where and how would I exit?” It’s the exit, not the entry, that ultimately decides how much you keep—or give back—to the market.
So, how do you handle exits? Are you still chasing perfect entries, or have you found a balance? Share your strategy below—your insights might be just what another trader needs.
Massive Live UpdateBitcoin Breaks Out 🚀 - Altcoins Ready to Shine? 🌟
Hi everyone! It’s time for a market check-in, starting with Bitcoin’s massive breakout that’s captured all eyes. With my last five ideas centering around Bitcoin, we’ve now hit that sixth attempt I mentioned. And the target? We’re looking at $79,000! 📈 The new supports stand strong at $72,051 and $71,800, critical zones to watch as we aim higher.
With Bitcoin dominance nearing a major resistance level, altcoins may finally have their moment. As dominance hovers close to 58%, we could see money shifting to alts—a positive scenario for those watching Ethereum and other key coins! 🌐
ETHEREUM TIME?
Ethereum BTC is showing early signs of strength, and I’m targeting a 53% potential rise. While Bitcoin has had its breakout, Ethereum looks set to make waves. Keep your eyes on $2,800 for ETH as we could see an even bigger breakout in the works. Should it hold, we’re talking levels reaching up to $3,649 and beyond.
I’ll be posting all these charts independently on TradingView for a closer look. Give a like if you find value, or drop a comment to dive into the discussion!
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
$QS : A QUANITIFIED SWING SETUP! 80%+ MOVE LOOMING! NYSE:QS A QUANITIFIED SWING SETUP! 👊
NASDAQ:TSLA DEAL INBOUND?!
3 Reasons Why in this Video: 📹
1⃣ My "High Five Trade Setup" strategy
2⃣ Catalyst: #QuantumScape started shipping Battery cells to carmakers and had price target increased to $7
3⃣ Symmetrical Triangle Breakout (MM: 80%+)
Company Overview:
QuantumScape Corp, a company focused on developing next-generation battery technology for electric vehicles (EVs) and other applications.
Video analysis 3/5 dropping today. Stay tuned!🔔
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Are they gonna be a batter cell goliath in this space?! Comment below if you are a believe in NYSE:QS
Not financial advice.
AMEX:IWM NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:SPY NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:IBRX NASDAQ:UPXI NASDAQ:WULF #ElectricVehicles #TradingSignals #TradingTips #options #optiontrading #StockMarket #stocks
IS SUPER MICRO COMPUTERS ($SMCI) FINALLY BOTTOMING?! IS SUPER MICRO COMPUTERS ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) FINALLY BOTTOMING?!
3 REASONS WHY:
1⃣ We have DIVERGENCE on the Weekly Chart
2⃣ It's almost a "High Five Setup"
3⃣ Take a BREAK and find out by watching. 👇
Stay tuned for more!🔔
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Will Super Micro finally get back on track after the insane negative sentiment and news articles?!
Not financial advice.
BTC - NEW ATH Approaches and ALTSEASONThe first time I started talking about my outlook for BTC in 2024, was in MAY. This is the original post where I first propose the Elliot Wave theory, with a 30% multi-month correction:
It's been a painful journey that required a lot of patience - but today, I am pleased to see that the idea has payed out by 95% so far.
The play has always been a "multi-month" approach, and now it is the last push towards the new ATH which I believe to be anywhere from 82K upwards.
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OKX:BTCUSDT
GBP/USD +50 Pips 0 Drawdown , New Important Update Now !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.