AUD/USD - Triangle Breakout (02.06.2025)The AUD/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 0.6490
2nd Resistance – 0.6512
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AUDUSD trade ideas
#AUDUSD:We are yet to see weaken USD! AUDUSD to make yearly highAUDUSD hasn’t seen strong bullish volume yet, but tomorrow’s NFP will be crucial for determining the future trend of the AUDUSD. Based on your analysis, you can set multiple targets.
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AUD/USD Bullish Setup: Demand Zone Bounce Toward 0.65600📈 Price Channel Analysis
🔼 The pair is moving within an ascending channel: • Support Line 🟦 – lower trendline showing bullish structure
* Resistance Line 🟥 – upper boundary acting as potential target
💡 This suggests bullish momentum is intact unless the price breaks below support.
📌 Key Trade Levels
🔵 Entry Point: 0.64361
* 👇 Positioned just above the DEMAND ZONE
* 📍Near the 70 EMA — a key dynamic support
🟨 Demand Zone: Area between 0.6400 – 0.6436
* 🧲 Buyers are expected here
* Good spot for a bullish entry
🔴 Stop Loss: 0.63995
* 🚨 Below the demand zone = limited risk
🟢 Target Point: 0.65600
* 🎯 Aligned with the upper resistance line
* Nice upside potential
⚙️ Technical Indicator
📉 EMA 70 (red line) = 0.64510
* Price is bouncing near it
* 📊 Acts as trend support — confirming buy idea
📊 Risk-to-Reward Ratio
🔻 Risk: ~36 pips (Entry → Stop Loss)
🔺 Reward: ~124 pips (Entry → Target)
✅ R:R Ratio ≈ 3.4:1 👍
🧠 Trade Idea Summary
📘 Trade Type 🔼 Buy (Long)
💰 Entry 0.64361
🛑 Stop Loss 0.63995
🎯 Target 0.65600
🌟 Bias Bullish
🔍 Final Thoughts
✅ Strong setup within a bullish channel
📉 EMA support + 🟦 Demand zone = Good confluence
📅 Watch out for USD news (see icons below chart)
AUD/USD.1Day chart patternAUDUSD 1 DAY CHART
📊 Observations:
Price has broken out of a resistance zone around 0.65500.
There are two key targets drawn on the chart:
1. First target zone: ~0.66800
2. Second (major) target zone: ~0.69000
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🎯 Target Estimations:
Using the breakout base near 0.65000 and measuring the move:
✅ First Target:
Around 0.66700 – 0.66800
This aligns with previous structure and resistance from mid-2024.
✅ Second Target:
Around 0.68800 – 0.69000
Based on a larger measured move and previous highs from July–August 2023.
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🚨 Key Support:
Breakout support around 0.65000
Cloud (Ichimoku) support & structure at 0.64000 (critical invalidation level)
Let me know if you'd like help calculating stop-loss, lot size, or risk-reward for this setup.
AUD/USD 4H CHART PATTERNThe AUD/USD daily chart displays a clear upward breakout from a consolidation phase, following a prolonged downtrend. The price is moving within an ascending channel and recently tested a key support zone (highlighted in blue), which held firmly. The Ichimoku cloud shows bullish momentum with price action above the cloud. Projected targets are based on pattern continuation and breakout potential. The chart anticipates further gains as bullish pressure builds. The overall trend suggests buying opportunities with well-defined targets and risk levels. Momentum indicators and price structure support a potential rally in the coming sessions.
Entry Point: 0.64950
First Target: 0.6700
Second Target: 0.69380
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AUDUSD The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for AUDUSD is below:
The market is trading on 0.6477 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 0.6446
Recommended Stop Loss - 0.6495
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUDUSD sideways consolidation supported at 0.6360The AUD/USD pair maintains a bullish bias, underpinned by a steady rising trend on the higher timeframes. However, recent intraday price action shows consolidation, indicating a pause in upward momentum as the market awaits a fresh catalyst.
Key Technical Levels:
Support:
0.6360 – Critical near-term support and prior consolidation zone. A successful retest could reinforce the bullish setup.
0.6320 – Next support level; a break below 0.6360 may trigger a deeper pullback.
0.6280 – Broader downside support zone; loss of this level would signal a shift in trend.
Resistance:
0.6500 – Primary upside target on continuation of bullish momentum.
0.6530 – Secondary resistance; break above would confirm strength.
0.6570 – Long-term resistance zone; potential target if bullish momentum accelerates.
Technical Outlook:
A pullback to 0.6360 followed by a bullish rebound would suggest continuation of the current uptrend, opening room for gains toward 0.6500, 0.6530, and 0.6570 over the medium term. On the downside, a daily close below 0.6360 would invalidate the bullish setup, exposing the pair to a potential decline toward 0.6320 and 0.6280.
Conclusion:
AUD/USD remains in a bullish structure, but near-term direction depends on the 0.6360 level. A rebound from support keeps the upside scenario in play, while a confirmed break lower may lead to a corrective retracement. Traders should watch for price behavior around 0.6360 for confirmation of the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
AUD-USD Short From Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-USD went up and hit
A horizontal resistance level
Of 0.6541 and as the level
Is strong we will be expecting
A local pullback and a
Bearish correction
Sell!
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AUDUSD Asia SessionWe could see bullish momentum during the Asian session pushing price into the upper supply zone around 0.65200. From there, we’ll be monitoring for bearish price action (PA) to potentially confirm a short setup.
If confirmation aligns, the short idea targets the demand zone between 0.64600–0.64500.
This is a forecast — not a signal. Trade execution will depend on what price does upon reaching the supply. We’ll drop to the H1 or M15 to refine entries if bearish confirmations present themselves.
Higher Timeframe Context: clearly marked HTF supply. Price has made a corrective leg up into this zone.
Liquidity & Reaction Area: There's likely resting liquidity above the most recent highs before the 0.65200 zone — perfect for a sweep.
Entry Plan: Smart to wait for CHoCH or BOS on LTF once we enter the supply zone. Avoid rushing — let the zone prove itself.
Target Area: The 0.64600–0.64500 zone aligns with previous structure and a minor FVG — solid short-term TP.
AUDUSD A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on AUDUSD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 0.6494 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 0.6464
Safe Stop Loss - 0.6512
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUDUSD DistributionI will look for a valid entry from this 15m supply to enter a short to at least the range low of this model 1 distribution. This would then be a extended model 1 going over into a model 2 with a good return to zone so let's see. A entry would already be valid but i will either wait or skip for a better R/R.
AUDUSD Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a buying opportunity around 0.64900 zone, AUDUSD was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.64900 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
audusd sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
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P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
AUDUSD Hello traders. Today I spotted a buy opportunity on the AUDUSD pair and wanted to share it with you as well. We’re seeing an ideal pullback setup on this one.
🔍 Trade Details
✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1.50
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 0.64987
✔️ Take Profit: 0.65088
✔️ Stop Loss: 0.64920
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
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AUDUSDAUD/USD Analysis: Bond Yields, Interest Rate Differential, Carry Trade, and Upcoming Fundamentals
1. 10-Year Bond Yields and Interest Rate Differential (May 25–30, 2025)
Australian 10-Year Bond Yield: ~4.42% (as of May 23, 2025) .
US 10-Year Treasury Yield: ~4.51% (as of May 21–23, 2025) .
Interest Rate Differential:4.51% (US)−4.42% (AUD)=+0.09%
so the IRD is 4.51% (US)−4.42% (AUD)=+0.09%
The US held a slight yield advantage, though the spread narrowed due to RBA rate cuts and weaker Australian data.
2. Policy Rate Differential and Carry Trade Advantage
RBA Cash Rate: 3.85% (cut by 25bps in May 2025) .
Fed Funds Rate: 4.25% (lower bound) .
Interest Rate Differential:4.25% (US)−3.85% (AUD)=+0.40%
The USD held a carry trade advantage, incentivizing investors to borrow AUD (lower rate) and invest in USD assets (higher rate).
3. AUD/USD Price Action (May 25–30)
AUD/USD fell to 0.6425, down 1% weekly, pressured by:
Weak Australian retail sales (-0.1% MoM) and building permits .
RBA’s dovish pivot, signaling potential further cuts amid trade tensions and slowing inflation .
Reinstated US tariffs under Trump’s policies, boosting USD safe-haven demand .
4. Key Fundamentals for June 1–7, 2025
Australia:
Retail Sales (May 30): Weakness could reinforce RBA easing expectations .
Building Approvals (June 3): Further declines may pressure AUD .
RBA Rhetoric: Dovish guidance likely to persist, with markets pricing rates to 3% by early 2026 .
US:
Nonfarm Payrolls (June 6): Strong data may revive Fed rate hike bets, widening the USD yield advantage.
Tariff Developments: Escalating US-China/EU trade tensions could strengthen USD .
Global Risks: Stagflation fears and bond market volatility may amplify AUD/USD swings .
Summary Table
Metric Australia (AUD) United States (USD)
10-Year Bond Yield ~4.42% ~4.51%
Policy Rate 3.85% 4.25%
Interest Rate Differential +0.40% (USD over AUD) —
Carry Trade Bias USD favored —
Conclusion
May 25–30: AUD/USD weakened due to RBA dovishness and USD strength, with a +0.40% rate differential supporting USD carry trades.
June 1–7: Focus on Australian retail sales, building approvals, and US jobs data. A soft AU data mix and resilient US economy may extend AUD/USD’s downtrend toward 0.6360
Monitor RBA/Fed rhetoric and trade policy shifts for volatility.
#audusd