Is Bitcoin Ready for Its Next Leg Up? Hereโs What We Know So FarBitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is so back โ not just back like โwe recovered the dip,โ but back like โnew all-time highs, letโs go shopping for Lambos on moonsโ back.
If youโve been following our Top Stories coverage, youโll know that the OG token vaulted past $109,500 last week, then kissed $111,900 in โTom Cruise falling off a buildingโ style. Only that there wasnโt a fall to the ground. Instead, Bitcoin prices got stuck near $110,000 and are now waiting for the next catalyst.
Where are we in the cycle? The memes are pumping. Maxis are chest-thumping (this oneโs for you, Saylor ). And the market? Well, itโs trying to figure out if this rocket still has fuel, or if weโre hovering at apogee before gravity reminds us itโs still a thing.
Letโs break down whatโs really going on โ with numbers, context, and just enough forecast to keep it spicy.
๐ Bitcoin Goes Bionic
Call it what you want โ a breakout, a blowoff, or a moonshot โ Bitcoin just rewrote the record books. The OG coin is up 48% since its April lows, a run thatโs as explosive as it is poetic.
Remember the bearish chants echoing when BTC dipped near $74,000 in early spring? And all those Bitcoin permabears saying itโs all going to zero? Yeah, those are suddenly hard to hear over the rocket engines.
This is the moment Bitcoin believers have been waiting for. Institutional interest continues to show inflows are strong. Adoption is real and making solid progress. And price action is loud โ loud enough to drown out the skeptics still quoting tulip bubbles from 1637.
๐ฅ Why the Breakout? A Perfect Storm
Looking at the fundamentals and the technicals โ this wasnโt a fluke. It was a perfect cocktail of macro tailwinds, regulatory green lights, and unrelenting digital gold fever.
ETF flows? Exchange-traded funds are collecting record levels of fresh capital โ all eleven of them .
Institutional demand? Climbing faster than Saylor can tweet.
Macro backdrop? Soft dollar, muted inflation, and a shiny 90-day trade truce between the US and China paired with one between the US and the EU .
Regulatory mood? A lot less hostile than the Biden administration, with a stablecoin bill clearing the Senateโs procedural vote and Texas passing a law to hold Bitcoin in its reserve fund.
Bitcoin didnโt ride the wave โ it was the wave. And with volatility finally working for traders, not against them, the rally gained real traction.
๐ Not All Risk is Behind Us
Now before we start naming stars after Satoshi, letโs pump the brakes (just a little). The flagship crypto might be chilling around $110,000, but this asset class has the emotional range (and discipline) of a toddler. Weโve seen rallies like this before. Weโve also seen how quickly they unravel.
Upcoming economic data could throw a wrench in the gears. Hereโs what to watch for this week:
Wednesday: Fed minutes
Thursday: GDP figures
Friday: Core PCE inflation
Any surprises here โ especially hotter-than-expected inflation or hawkish Fed sentiment โ could rattle the risk-on party. Bitcoin loves liquidity. If the Fed hints at tightening, the rocket might need to refuel mid-air.
๐งญ Key Levels to Watch
Technically, the $111,900 print is your short-term ceiling. Itโs the new line in the sand โ the price everyoneโs watching, waiting for a clean break or a hard rejection.
On the downside, $105,000โ$106,000 is developing as support. Break that, and $100,000 becomes the psychological safety net. Below that? Well, letโs not talk about it unless we have to.
Until then, price is consolidating. Think of it like a pit stop โ a chance for bulls to breathe, for bears to panic quietly, and for traders to argue about Fibonacci levels.
๐ฐ๏ธ Is $120K Next? Or Is This the Top?
But letโs dig into it a little bit. The real question is whether this rally still has legs. Some traders are calling $120,000 a โmagnet level.โ Others are treating current prices like the top and selling into strength.
The answer? Probably both.
Momentum is still there โ just cooled off a bit. Volumeโs down slightly. Social buzz is still high up there. The marketโs in a classic โwait-and-seeโ phase, prepping for a bigger move in either direction.
What could break the stalemate?
A blockbuster inflation report (bullish if soft).
Another policy win from Washington.
Or the most powerful force of all: a dovish stance from the man who moves markets with a simple โGood afternoonโ (bonus points if you guess who that is!)
๐ข Final Word: Celebrate, But Stay Sharp
If youโve been long since the dip, this is your moment. Pop some virtual (or real?) champagne. Screenshot that green PnL. Post a gif of Elon and Trump dancing.
But if youโre entering now, zoom out. Yes, momentum is bullish. Yes, fundamentals are stronger than ever. But Bitcoin doesnโt do straight lines for long. And your stop-loss isnโt going to set itself.
Whether $120K is next or we pull back to reset, the next few sessions will be crucial.
Your move : Are you buying this breakout? Waiting for confirmation? Or just enjoying the view from orbit? Let us know how youโre playing this Bitcoin beast โ because one thingโs certain: itโs never boring up here.
BTCUSD trade ideas
BTCUSD NEXT MOVE (EXPECTING MILD BEARISH)(28-05-2025)Go through the analysis carefully, and do trade accordingly.
(TODAY ANALYSIS IS LOW ACURACY ANALYSIS)
Anup 'BIAS for BTCUSD (28-05-2025) (SHORT TERM)
Current price- 109000
"if Price stay below 1,10,000 then next target is 1,08,000, 1,07,000 and 1,06,000 above that 1,11,000.
-POSSIBILITY-1
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening )
-POSSIBILITY-2
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening)
Best of luck
Never risk 2% of principal to follow any position.
Support us by liking and sharing the post.
BTCUSD Analysis Today: Technical and On-Chain !In this video, I will share my BTCUSD analysis by providing my complete technical and on-chain insights, so you can watch it to improve your crypto trading skillset. The video is structured in 4 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the on-chain data analysis, then I will be moving to the liquidation maps analysis and lastly, I will be putting together these 3 different types of analysis.
BITCOIN No different than all the Bullish Legs since 2023!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has just completed a Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame, the 4th such pattern since February 05 2023. All those Golden Crosses have been formed marginally after the Channel Up bottoms and start of their respective Bullish Legs.
The current pattern is no different than any other of those Bullish Legs. On top of that, the 1W MACD has also formed its usual Bullish Cross that has technically always preceded the 1D Golden Cross.
Given that, when this happens, BTC tends to be at least near the 0.5 Fibonacci level from the eventual top, we can estimate that the next peak might be around $165000. This is another indicator that makes our $150k Target for this Cycle more than realistic.
But what do you think? Are you also expecting the market to explode past $150k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN Desperately needs that weekly closing!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke last week above its January Resistance, effectively making a new All Time High (ATH). Technically, within BTC's dominant 2.5-year Channel Up, that is not enough to generate a bullish extension on its own and the reason is that a 1W candle closing above the Resistance level is needed and not just a break.
At least that's what happened during the last two Bullish Legs, where it required a convincing 1W candle close considerably above the Resistance, to confirm the Bullish Extension. In fact the break-out candles on both previous Bullish Legs is fairly identical.
The minimum % rise on the pattern's three Bullish Legs has been +96.75% with the others not falling way off that range (+98.74% and +106.94%). As a result, the bare minimum Target we can be expecting, in the event of a 1W candle closing above the $109500 Resistance, is $147000.
Do you think that' within the market's immediate reach? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTCUSD NEXT MOVE (EXPECTING MILD BEARISH)(02-06-2025)Go through the analysis carefully, and do trade accordingly.
Anup 'BIAS for BTCUSD (02-06-2025) (SHORT TERM)
Current price- 104500
"if Price stay below 1,07,000 then next target is 1,03500, 1,02500 and 1,00000 above that 1,11,000.
-POSSIBILITY-1
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening )
-POSSIBILITY-2
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening)
Best of luck
Never risk 2% of principal to follow any position.
Support us by liking and sharing the post.
Bitcoin Daily: It Will Go Lower, I Will Explain WhyIt is hard to make these predictions because there are so many different points of view, so many opinions. There is so much data available that one can easily become confused. We can write an entire book about Bitcoin's next move and still not know what will happen next. I will keep it simple and straight forward and you will be able to understand and appreciate how easy it is when we focus on the chart only. Bitcoin is breaking below 100K.
Bitcoin is already trading at support. The mid-May consolidation range. From this range Bitcoin produced an advance and hit a new all-time high. The all-time high is a triple-top when we take the highs from January 2025 and December 2024. The fact that the action happens below this level now is bearish and this range has been confirmed as resistance.
The market will look for strength and this simply means lower.
Since resistance has been confirmed after a 50% rise, it is normal to see a retrace, can be medium-sized to balance out the strong-long bullish wave. Bullish action was present between 7-April until 22-May, 45 days.
The current retrace can take only a few weeks, think about 15-21 June as a rough estimate but nothing more (can end much sooner).
If you are unprepared and don't have map of the bigger picture, this can become terrifying and even lead to poor decisions at some point. If you know that this is only a retrace and the market will continue growing after a test above 90K, you can rest easy or even take advantage of this situation.
Now, what Bitcoin does is not the entire market. In a bull market, when Bitcoin moves down, money flows to the Altcoins. When Bitcoin goes sideways, the Altcoins grow. So dynamics will be much, much different now compared to what you saw in 2024, 2023 and 2022. The way the market will behave it is basically new for most participants.
The conclusion is that all is good and the chart is pointing lower short-term. After a short-term retrace, we get additional growth. Simple isn't it? It is...
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
BTC/USD..4H CHART PATTERN.technical breakdown of your BTC/USD 4H trade setup based on the data I'm provided:
---
BTC/USD 4H Chart Pattern Analysis
Current Action:
SELL @ 106,000
---
Key Technical Levels:
Entry Point (Sell): 106,000
(Indicates rejection at or near resistance or possible trendline breakdown)
Target 1: 102,000
(Short-term support or previous demand zone)
Target 2: 93,500
(Major support zone โ likely a high confluence area from past structure)
---
Pattern & Price Action Analysis:
Bearish Reversal Signal Likely at 106K:
Potential rejection wick, double top, or bearish engulfing at this level.
Descending Triangle or Rising Wedge Breakdown:
If price broke support of a wedge or triangle pattern, this would justify bearish continuation.
Volume Analysis (if applicable):
Decreasing volume on the push up followed by a heavy sell-off = confirmation of a trap and reversal.
---
Trade Setup:
Sell Entry: 106,000 (activated)
Stop Loss (suggested): 107,500โ108,000 (above key resistance or invalidation zone)
Take Profit 1: 102,000 (watch for bounce)
Take Profit 2: 93,500 (major target if trend continues)
---
Risk-Reward Outlook:
Risk-Reward Ratio to 102,000: ~2:1
Risk-Reward Ratio to 93,500: ~4โ5:1 (strong swing trade potential)
---
Summary:
This is a bearish swing trade setup based on a potential rejection or pattern breakdown at the 106,000 level, with high-probability targets at 102,000 and 93,500. Risk management is critical due to BTC's high volatility.
---
Bitcoin: Bear Flag Formation Implies Weakness.Bitcoin has retraced as anticipated in my previous article (see Wave 5). So much for all the nonsense hype at the Bitcoin conference. Bitcoin has tested the 103K area and found some support but is developing a mini bear flag (see arrow). IF the 103,500K level is broken, that confirms the corrective structure is still in play and a test of 102 to 100K can still be the dominant scenario for the coming week (NFP this week). This means for swing traders on this time frame, it is likely too early for longs.
The 102 to 100K area is still the major support that I anticipate. A long signal here can look like a pin bar on this time frame, or a double bottom formation on a 4h or 1h chart. It often pays to wait for these scenarios but there is always a risk of missing the move if price confirms a reversal pattern sooner.
IF the current candle closes much higher (above 106K) then it will invalidate the bear flag. This means the bullish continuation would be in play. In my opinion this is a lower probability, but you have to be open to it. In the bullish scenario a test of 110 to 112 servers as a profit objective. While a breakout beyond 112 can happen, the more you expect, the more RISK you must be exposed to. A test of high is more probable than a new high. Along with that, I suspect current price action is more likely to consolidate rather than continue high over the short term because 5 waves are clearly in place. That usually means a corrective structure is likely to follow, and that is what we are currently in.
The bullish candles are too early to buy into. If the bear flag plays out, there will be more attractive prices to wait for reversal formations. Otherwise, work smaller time frames, look for small bites going either way and keep the size small. This is not an easy environment.
Trading Signals for BTC/USD Sell below106,036 or buy above 106,3Scenario #1: My plan to buy Bitcoin today at the entry point $105,370, aiming for a rise to $107,600. Around $107,600, my plan to exit the buys and immediately sell on a pullback. Before buying on a breakout, ENSURE THE 50-day moving average is below the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is in the positive zone.
Scenario #2: Bitcoin can also be bought from the lower boundary at $105,300 if three is no market reaction to its breakout, aiming for $106,300.
Sell Scenario
Scenario #1: my to sell Bitcoin today at the entry point around $105.400, my plan to exit the sales and immediately buy on a pullback. Before selling on a breakout, ensure that the 50-day moving average is above the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is in the negative zone
Scenario #2: Bitcoin can also be sold from the upper boundary at $106,300 if there is no market reaction to its breakout, aiming for $105,400 and $104,400.
BTC Trap & Reverse: The Power of SFPs in ActionBTC continues to chop in a tight range near its previous all-time high. While price action may appear messy at first glance, traders using a combination of structure, Fibonacci levels, and order flow tools are spotting clean opportunities โ especially through Swing Failure Patterns (SFPs).
๐ What Just Happened?
Bitcoin recently rejected from the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level โ a classic reaction zone. What made this move powerful was the SFP that formed at that level. Price swept above a prior high, triggering breakout buys, only to reverse. This type of move traps late longs and offers an ideal short entry.
๐ง Educational Insight: Why SFPs Are One of the Best Setups
SFPs (Swing Failure Patterns) are some of the highest-probability trades you can take for a few key reasons:
1๏ธโฃ Liquidity-driven: They form where stop losses cluster โ above highs or below lows โ creating a magnet for price.
2๏ธโฃ Clean invalidation: The wick high/low gives a natural stop-loss level, keeping risk tight.
3๏ธโฃ Fast reaction: Once trapped traders are forced to exit, price often reverses sharply โ giving you strong follow-through.
4๏ธโฃ Confirmable with order flow: Using tools like Exocharts, you can see aggressive longs/shorts piling in just before the reversal. This adds conviction to the setup.
๐ Current Confluence:
Rejection from the 0.786 Fib retracement
SFP confirmed on high volume
1:1 trend-based Fib extension sits at ~$105,410
That level also lines up with the 0.666 Fib retracement
Anchored VWAP around $105K
Liquidity pool right at that zone too โ a likely magnet
๐ฏ Trade Idea:
Short triggered at the SFP wick, stop just above it. First target: the 1:1 extension near $105.4K. Risk-reward is excellent with high probability if price continues to unwind late longs.
โ
Key Takeaway:
In ranges like this, you donโt need to guess direction โ you need to react to structure. SFPs give you that edge. When paired with real-time tools like Exocharts and anchored VWAPs, these trades become sniper entries rather than coin flips.
Let the market show its hand โ and trade the reaction, not the prediction.
๐ Summary:
This is how you avoid overtrading in chop: wait for key levels, watch how price reacts, and let trapped traders create the move. If BTC revisits the $105K region, itโs a major area to watch for reaction โ or to take partials if youโre in a short.
The best trades come from patience + precision.
_________________________________
If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
BTC/USD Rebound in Play! | Key Support Holding, Eyes on $112K๐ BTC/USD Technical Analysis
๐๏ธ Chart Date: May 25, 2025
๐ Key Levels:
๐ต Support Zone: $106,800 โ $107,300
Notably, price bounced twice in this region, indicating strong buying interest.
This area aligns closely with the 200 EMA (currently at $107,213.51), adding further confluence as dynamic support.
๐ด Resistance Zone: $111,800 โ $112,300
Previous highs and consolidation make this a significant area where sellers may re-enter the market.
๐ Indicators:
๐ต EMA 200 (Blue): $107,213.51
Acts as a strong dynamic support; price bounced off it recently.
๐ด EMA 50 (Red): $108,182.91
Price is currently below the 50 EMA, suggesting short-term bearish pressure remains until this level is reclaimed.
๐ง Market Structure & Price Action:
After a sharp drop from the resistance zone, price found solid footing at the support zone.
Recent candles show rejection wicks from the downside, hinting at potential bullish reversal.
A breakout above minor consolidation and 50 EMA could trigger a bullish continuation toward the resistance.
๐ Forecast:
โ
If the price holds above the support zone and breaks above $108,200, we can expect a bullish move toward $112,000.
โ ๏ธ However, a failure to break above the 50 EMA could lead to a retest of the support zone.
๐งญ Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice):
๐ฅ Long Bias:
Entry: On confirmed breakout above $108,200
SL: Below $107,000
TP: $111,800 โ $112,300
๐ Conclusion:
The chart setup suggests a potential bullish reversal ๐ from a key support zone, supported by EMA 200. Watch for a break above the 50 EMA for momentum confirmation.
๐ง Always confirm with volume and wait for confirmation before entering a position.
BTCUSD..Chart pattern..Trade Setup (Short / Sell BTCUSD)
Entry: 105,000
Resistance (Potential Invalidator): 109,000
Take Profit (TP):
1st Target: 96,000
2nd Target: 92,000
No stop loss specified โ it's essential to define one for risk management. A common approach is placing SL just above resistance (e.g., 109,500 or 110,000).
Risk & Reward (Assuming Stop Loss = 110,000)
Risk (SL - Entry): 110,000 โ 105,000 = 5,000 points
Reward:
TP1 (96,000): 9,000 points โ Risk/Reward โ 1:1.8
TP2 (92,000): 13,000 points โ Risk/Reward โ 1:2.6
Trade Notes
Resistance at 109,000 should be monitored closely; a breakout above could invalidate the setup.
Bearish confirmation (e.g., rejection candles or breakdown from trendlines) would add confidence to the short.
Consider scaling out at 96,000 and trailing your stop for a potential move to 92,000.
Market context matters โ this type of short trade assumes BTC is overbought or facing macro resistance.
Using Previous Dayโs High and Low to Decide Intraday TrendIntroduction and Disclaimer
This article explains how to use the daily chart to understand and plan for short-term or intraday market direction.
To fully understand this, you should already know what directional bias means. If youโre not familiar with it, I highly recommend reading my previous article on the topic before continuing here.
Disclaimer
I'm not a financial advisor.
This article does not offer financial, investment, legal, or any kind of regulated advice.
It's made for educational and entertainment purposes only.
Trading involves risk. You can lose all your moneyโor even moreโif youโre not careful.
You're reading the thoughts of a 22-year-old.
The goal of this article is to show you how to use the previous dayโs high and low on a daily chart to:
Get a clear intraday bias (bullish or bearish).
Find entry signals for your trades.
Set clear invalidation points, meaning when a trade idea becomes invalid.
This is part of whatโs called multi-timeframe analysisโlooking at higher time frames to understand what might happen on lower ones.
Even if you trade short-term (like on 5 or 15-minute charts), it's still helpful to know what the bigger picture (like the daily chart) looks like. Why? Because it shows the main trend, important levels, and key zones that may not appear on lower time frames.
In my opinion, smart trading involves breaking down the price chart from top to bottomโstarting with the big pictureโthen making decisions based on your trading strategy.
The ideas in this article work well for:
Intraday traders who want to capture moves during the day, and
Swing traders who want to catch bigger moves by entering early.
This concept can also be applied to higher time frames, such as the previous weekโs high and low.
BTCUSD Up trend breakdown ahead selling strong๐จBTC/USD Breakdown Alert ๐จ
BTC has officially broken down from the previous uptrend, confirmed by a strong bearish engulfing candle โ signaling a clear shift in momentum. This is a prime opportunity to look for short setups.
๐ Sell Entry: 107,400
๐ฏ Technical Targets & Demand Zones:
๐น 1st Target: 103,700 โ Minor demand zone
๐น 2nd Target: 96,400 โ Stronger structural support
๐น 3rd Target: 85,100 โ Deep liquidity zone
๐น 4th Target: 77,000 โ Bullish Order Block
๐ก Breakdown confirmed. Trend shift validated. Selling pressure likely to continue.
Trade smart. Manage risk.
โ Livia ๐ผ๐
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 1H Chart Analysis โ Double Top Signals BearishPattern Formed: DOUBLE TOP
โ ๏ธ Bearish Reversal Pattern Spotted!
๐ Formed near 111,794.8
โฌ๏ธ Price tested the top twice and failed โ strong resistance confirmed!
Key Zones:
๐ถ SUPPLY ZONE (Resistance):
๐ง 111,794.8 - 111,829.8
๐ผ Expect selling pressure here!
๐ท SUPPORT Zone (Broken!):
๐ป Price fell below this level, confirming a bearish breakout
๐ฉ TARGET ZONE:
๐ฏ 102,500.0
โ
This is the likely drop target based on the pattern
๐ง Other minor supports:
* 102,820.6
* 102,750.8
* 102,227.0.
Indicators:
๐ Trend Line
* Supported the price during the uptrend
* โ Now broken โ indicates momentum shift
๐ EMA 70 (Red Line)
* Current Price (108,238.6) is below EMA 70 = 109,245.0
* Indicates bearish pressure.
Trade Setup:
๐ฝ Short Entry Idea: After support break
๐ Stop Loss: 111,829.8
๐ฏ Take Profit: 102,500.0
โ๏ธ Risk-Reward looks attractive!
Summary:
๐ Bearish bias confirmed by:
* Double Top pattern
* Supply zone rejection
* Support break
* EMA crossover
๐จ Traders Watch Out: Bears are in control โ next major stop likely at 102,500.0!
BITCOIN targets 165k based on VIX's 10-year SupportBitcoin (BTCUSD) has started a new (and possibly last for this Cycle) Bullish Leg following April's bottom and has already made a new All Time High (ATH).
The BTC/VIX ratio on that very same day (April 07 2025) hit and rebounded on its 10-year Higher Lows trend-line, a Support level that has been holding since the August 24 2015 market bottom.
Every rebound on this Higher Lows trend-line, has produced a strong medium-term rally, the 'weakest' of which has been the most recent (August - December 2024), which rose by +121.44%. If BTC repeats this 'minimum', we are looking at a $165000 High, which aligns perfectly with the majority of projections for this Cycle's Top.
Do you think we will see that price by October? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN Is this even a possibility?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is currently on a short-term pull-back, following the impressive rally to new All Time Highs (ATH) from the April 07 bottom. This first 'serious' short-term relief correction has stopped on the former Lower Highs trend-line, which previous acted as a Resistance and is now holding the price from further downfall, acting potentially as Support.
This is the exact same price action that BTC had during its break-out from the previous Lower Highs trend-line last October. The symmetry between the two fractals is remarkable as not only did they both form their 1D Death Cross patterns on their bottoms and their 1D Golden Cross patterns on the Lower Highs break-out but also their Phase 1 rallies (1st Bullish Leg) have been exactly the same: +49.58%.
As a result, as long as the Pivot holds, there is a good chance we see a strong rebound, which if it holds the same total symmetry of the previous fractal, it should peak at +120%, which gives a $164000 Target.
Do you think that's even a possibility? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin: Too Early To Buy The Retrace.Bitcoin may be entering a brief corrective formation within the broader bullish trend. The large red candle that rejected the 113K resistance (see my previous article), could be the beginning of a retrace that can take price as low as the 102,500 to 100K area IF bearish momentum persists. The mistake to avoid is buying this pullback too early, especially since there is no bullish confirmation on this time frame.
The red candle off the 113K area is what I like to refer to as the "mother bar". As you will notice, the following candle is a bearish pin bar which failed to break back above the 50% point of the mother bar (see blue arrow). This is a "mini" lower high and is typically a bearish sign for those operating on smaller time frames. A break below 106,500 would confirm a sell signal on this time frame as well as smaller time frames like 4H and 1H. This can be attractive for aggressive shorts, BUT it is very important to keep the broader trend in perspective.
This bearish development does NOT constitute a change in the broader trend. This means support levels are still more likely to hold, and resistances more likely to break. The higher probability scenarios in my opinion are bullish reversal patterns between the 102,500 - 100K area. Double bottoms, failed lows etc. on 1H, 4H or this time frame would be ideal for swing trade longs (see illustration). IF the bullish trend is going to stay intact, then a higher high is within reason which can see price test 113K or higher (120K is my next resistance).
Another VERY important consideration is the overall location of price. Currently in a Wave 5 (v) configuration which signifies limited potential in the near future. In other words, RISK is elevated and only continues to increase as price climbs higher. As "optimistic" as everyone may seem to be, this is a time to be more defensive, NOT aggressive. This can be accomplished by reducing expectations, operating on smaller time frames, and taking smaller positions. My Trade Scanner Pro helps to quantify risk which is especially helpful in rising risk environments such as this one.
In contrast, the location to be aggressively bullish was the 76K area low. Sure I can say this after the fact, BUT if you read my analysis and watch my streams from that time, I was pointing out the potential and the bullish signs as they were developing in real time.
Market situations like the one Bitcoin is in right now can be very confusing at times. Navigating this environment successfully depends on how you interpret price structures, trends and levels across multiple time frames and letting the MARKET validate ideas or not the other way around. Always consider arguments on both sides of the market and weigh those arguments against the style or strategy that you intend to deploy. And if confusion ensues, then the easiest thing to do is walk away. When potential is limited, there is nothing to fear in terms of missing out.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
BITCOIN repeating every Cycle's final rally!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been on a strong rally since the April 2025 bottom on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and that's perfectly aligned with the 1W MA50 rebound it had on the previous two Cycles in June 2021 and June 2017.
As you can see, those (blue circles) where the All Time High (ATH) Pivot trend-line test before the final (parabolic) rally of the Cycle started, which was its most aggressive part.
In 2017 it was much stronger and the price rallied much higher, which is natural as the market was much less mature (institutionally) than today, but it is not improbable to get a rally similar to July - November 2021.
Can that be enough to push BTC to $150k and beyond? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN Can the 4H MA200 hold and kickstart the next rally? Bitcoin (BTCUSD) almost hit on Saturday its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line), which has been holding since April 16, and immediately rebounded. So far the bullish reaction is moderate as the price action is still being restricted below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), which is now acting as the short-term Resistance.
The blue Arc pattern that BTC has formed in the past 3 weeks, resembles the last two peak formations and pull-backs since the early April bottom. On top of all this, the 4H RSI got oversold (30.00) actually for the first time since the April 07 bottom.
With the weakest rally of this long-term Bullish Leg being +16.06%, if the 4H MA200 holds and a 4H MA50 break-out confirms it, we can expect a minimum short-term rise of almost $120k (+16.06%).
Do you think that's what's coming next? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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