Bitcoin volume exploding todayBitcoin volume is exploding today. The Maxi's are trying to close it green on the day to advertise it as a "Safe Haven Asset." We are watching an All-In to keep it above 79k Support.
Will they win?
BTCUSD trade ideas
btc big comeback preparingCRYPTOCAP:BTC PREPARING FOR PARABOLIC RUN!
#Bitcoin Bollinger Bands and Momentum Point to Major Reversal in Weekly!
BTC Downtrend Resistance LineI want to at least see a break of this descending trendline before even considering taking Longs.
70-day Adjusted BTC-M2 Should BTC's last significant leg up repeat in similar volume following the 70-day adjusted BTC-M2 chart, we could see BTC achieve 127k by June, if not sooner. Stay patient.
BTC Swing Points (Linear Scale) ISTRUCTURAL AWARENESS
This analysis seeks to provide structural insights by identifying key levels and understanding historical price patterns to anticipate the limits potential future scale of price movements.
Indicators in use:
I'd start with retrieving HH LH HL LL points by script I've designed based on Pivot Points to be as aware as possible of key levels of the historic structure:
Adding altered Zig Zag that shows only percentage change of the swings. This would be another layer of the historic pattern capture:
BOTTOMS:
Wave analysis from '22 - '24
Logarithmic Trendline: It looks like a curve on linear scale, which we will use to link the composite but significant lows and extend it to the right. This gives a sense of a low levels which we assume would be hard to break anytime soon because of the price is a range away:
Breaking below and staying under that level for more than a few bars would signal a bearish trend, depending on emerging patterns at smaller scales as price nears the curve.
Since a Double Top pattern could develop, an additional line curve aligned with the HL and passing through the next bottom (black dashed curve) is necessary. If price breaches the main curve’s orange dotted line, it may descend toward the secondary curve, a significant lower boundary derived from historical curvature. A break below this level would require an even stronger bearish effort to actually keep it below because of high volatility and existing frequency of reversals.
Adding short-term trendlines which would be easier to break (Red and dark orange dotted continuation of the lines)
TOPS:
To anticipate how high it can grow, we'll connect the extreme tops as well.
2021 ATH ➡︎ 2024 ATH
2021 TOPS
2017 ATH ➡︎ 2021 1st TOP
Price breaking above "2017 ATH ➡︎ 2021 1st TOP" is a sign to switch to log scale where identical distance resembles identical % change to capture a bigger scale move relative to the structure.
You Thought $100K Was the Top ? Think Again...Hello Traders 🐺
Honestly my friends, I didn't expect this price target—but as a professional trader, I have to follow the chart and stay completely emotionless. Believe it or not, this BTC chart is going to blow your mind, so stick with me until the very end... ⚡️
I hope you didn’t panic sell any of your BTC—or even your Alts—because now everything starts to make sense when you look at this chart. Let me break it down for you:
If you open the BTC chart on the monthly timeframe and turn on the RSI indicator, you’ll see something really interesting:
In every bull cycle, we reached the overbought area on the RSI. I’ve drawn a resistance line on the RSI to make this even more clear for you.
And as you can see, once we reach the overbought area and touch the RSI resistance line, that’s the moment to start thinking about taking profits.
But… what now?
We’re getting to the interesting (and shocking) part now, so let me walk you through some facts:
1️⃣ After every breakout from the previous All-Time High (ATH):
We had a retest of that ATH, followed by multiple green months in a row, leading to a new ATH.
Right now, BTC is doing exactly that — testing the previous ATH and a major support line. 🧠📈
2️⃣ We still haven’t hit the RSI overbought zone:
That means there's plenty of room for BTC to move higher — both chart-wise and technically.
Currently, RSI is only around 60 on the monthly! We’re not even close to overheated yet. 🔥
3️⃣ The potential new high based on historical chart and RSI structure is mind-blowing:
It’s around $850,000. 😳
And honestly, it’s not even that surprising when you consider that every time BTC breaks a new ATH, it historically moves up at least 500%.
I hope you’re ready to take this life-changing opportunity, and I really hope you don’t sell too early.
Because trust me—it’ll hurt to see BTC at $1 million while you sold it at $80K...
And as always, remember:
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable, but almost always profitable 🐺
🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
You Won't Believe Who Saved Bitcoin: GMEThis last week was interesting to say the least but the most interesting thing to watch was the incredibly influx of volume into INDEX:BTCUSD
As the week progressed into Thursday and Friday and equity markets sold off big the volume of trading in Bitcoin more than doubled... yet the price remained stagnant.
A month ago I did a study of correlation and relative movements between stocks and Bitcoin to answer the question: "What would happen to Bitcoin if Stocks Crash?" The TL;DR was that 75% of all weeks exhibited a positive correlation with nearly 50% a "high" correlation. Also, when equities have sold off big over the past decade Bitcoin had sold off at least two times or more.
Correlations are not an absolute and can change but this week something unique was clearly going on. If the standard correlation had been allowed to play out on Thursday INDEX:BTCUSD would have fallen more than -8% and Friday more than -11%. It would have triggered mass liquidations. But that did not happen.
This was a critically important Support for Bitcoin to hold and someone knew it... enter Ryan Cohen.
Michael Saylor with NASDAQ:MSTR is definitely NOT the one deploying cash to prop up Bitcoin.
His buys have been entirely NOT-Strategy-ic and has mostly bought highs. He has made a virtue out of being a really bad "trader" uncaring about price and timing. That plan has not worked to push Bitcoin to new a new All Time High nor saved it from the bear trend in 2025.
Cohen, however, is a renowned trader/investor that should know market structure and would have the sense to deploy cash at the perfect time. Just this week two things happened: Cohen took out a loan backed by his NYSE:GME shares and GameStop completed a convertible note offering, like Microstrategy has done, to raise 1.4 Billion in cash to buy Bitcoin. That gave him lots of cash at the critical point at the end of the week.
So do they get to win? Very possible. It depends on equities. If stocks rise in the coming week then the Bitcoin correlation may resume and INDEX:BTCUSD be lifted. If the U.S. economy enters a recession, the stock market route deepens, or if they used all of their available cash to exhaustion then the plan could fail and Bitcoin will fall in sync.
BTC weekly Cup & Handle pattern Hello Traders 🐺
I hope you are doing well during these unsatisfying days, because honestly, I’m personally starting to get a little bit bored. I know one of the toughest things during market crashes and sideways movement is to stay reasonable and committed to your strategy — and always try to stay calm, because the less you react to the market, the more you will earn!
Now let's talk about this BTC pattern:
As you might notice from the chart, we are currently above a very important level, which is the weekly support, and I’ve drawn it using a black line.
Currently, the price has retested it once as a new support. Also, it's the neckline for the Cup and Handle pattern — and if the price succeeds in breaking the downtrend and goes above the previous high, we could expect a massive rally to the monthly red resistance line, which I will talk about once we get back into bullish mode.
But for now, make sure to stay calm and pay close attention to that support line.
I hope you enjoyed this idea, and as always, remember:
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable, but almost always profitable 🐺
🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
$BTC RUNNING IS NOT OVER!CRYPTOCAP:BTC RUNNING IS NOT OVER!
Bitcoin will enter a new uptrend phase with the support it finds from the weekly uptrend support and the Bollinger Band lower point.
Bitcoin cycle structureThere are only 2 outbreaks from this cycle structure:
In 2010 and in 2019.
The rest shows the cycles, fluctuating around the power law trend.
The timing of the cycle is not stable and was adjusted but the overall structure is stable.
#BTC #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #BITCOIN #LONG #SWING #Analysis #Eddy#BTC #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #BITCOIN #LONG #SWING #Analysis #Eddy
BTCUSDT.P Swing Long Analysis With Entry Points.
This is my possible Scenarios 1&2 analysis of Bitcoin's future trend.
This Analysis is based on a combination of different styles, including the volume,ict & Price Action Classic.
Based on your strategy and style, get the necessary confirmations for this Swing long to enter the trade.
Don't forget risk and capital management.
First Entry point of Scenario 1 already touched.
The responsibility for the transaction is yours and I have no responsibility for not observing your risk and capital management.
🗒 Note: The price can go much higher than the first target, and there is a possibility of a 500% pump on this currency. By observing risk and capital management, obtaining the necessary approvals, and saving profits in the targets, you can keep it for the pump.
Spot Investing : ((long 'buy' position)) :
🟢 Entry 1 : 79285.50 (( Scenario 1 Entry point ))
🟢 Entry 2 : 61845.77 (( Scenario 2 Entry point ))
⚪️ SL : Behind the last shadow created.
⚫️ TP1 : 250000
⚫️ TP2 : 500000
⚫️ TP3 : 999000
‼️ Futures Trading Suggested Leverages : 3-5-7
The World Let it be Remembered...
Dr. #Eddy Sunshine
4/4/2025
Be successful and profitable.
My previous analysis of Bitcoin (a view of one of the reasons for my first scenario):
Do you remember my first Bitcoin swing long signal entry & targets?
My first swing long signal was provided on BTC, which was spot pumped by more than 150% and was profitable :
bitcoin halving effect#Bitcoin Halving pricing is still in its early stages.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC 2024\2025 bull run is not over!
btc bullCRYPTOCAP:BTC BULL RUN CONTINUES!
#Bitcoin Corrections are healthy and fuel for the next parabolic run!
Bitcoin Daily ChartBitcoin has broken 0.618 on the fib chart there could be a 1:2 Risk to Reward here as Bitcoin stalled in Sunday Session.
observation: This could be a move back to 90k how long it will last will depend on the News over the Next couple of Day's. A long is in a the moment its looking as small push to the upside.
Disclaimer: Never trade more than your prepared too loose SL should be active in all trades . This not financial advice
Gold’s Last Bull Run? Bitcoin’s Big Move Is Coming!Strong institutional money is flowing into gold and precious stones. Historically, this has been a sign of a prolonged bear market in traditional markets. In other words, strong hands have sold stocks at high prices, securing significant profits, and are now moving to the ultimate safe haven: gold, which has been considered a store of value since ancient Egypt.
However, in my opinion, Bitcoin still has hope. When the Buy Climax happens in gold, Bitcoin will rise quickly. I believe this will take a few weeks or months to unfold. In other words, Bitcoin needs to consolidate first and accumulate enough while they sell their gold bars—especially the Chinese.
Gold is likely in its last bull run of the century. I believe that by the end of April or beginning of May, gold should form a top, although I'm not certain. And since Bitcoin typically shines after gold finishes its distribution, Bitcoin is likely in its last bull run of the decade.
BITCOIN - Limp Inverted CreekThe upside pop has slumped significantly and this action now looks to be further coiling as part of a cause building channel.
We could call this a Wyckoff Inverted Creek, ascending channel, bear flag etc.
Whichever we choose, the trajectory is very limp and this appears to be building cause for a downside impulse wave.
Previous bounces have failed at the 0.786 retracement and that appears to be the extremity failure ratio for the entire downtrend.
It has already climbed to the 0.618 of the retracement Golden Window...
So it still has some space to move up and yet again pivot around the 0.786.
And so perhaps we may see another push up.
At terminal high time frame pivots we often see a fast whipsaw; up and down and perhaps that may happen here.
Or having already hit the retracement Golden Window and considering the limp trajectory, perhaps this will simply roll over.
Its not really possible to know either way; either an upside shakeout or it just rolls over.
But for anyone daring enough to short, the 0.786 @ $90.6K would be the retracement ratio extremity of the trend so far.
If an upper wick did print there, then that would be an ideal moment to enter a short either in Bitcoin, or perhaps a weaker related coin / stock.
Staying flat can be a good option as shorting is dangerous; especially in month 28 of the supposed holy 35 month bull market.
That said, if we did get the whipsawing outcome at the 0.786 then I may gently open some short positions.
Bitcoin may well be a leading indicator to the stock indexes that have yet to print anything bearish since the bounce.
If it is a leading indicator and stock indexes do enter another another wave down then we may see significant impulsive downside
For that reason altcoins are particularly dangerous in this area.
Of course, this is the area that Altseason should be kicking off if Bitcoin is to fulfil the prophecy of another 35 month bull market.
But as I covered in the video update yesterday, perhaps there has only been one 35 month bull market last cycle and the previous one actually being 28 not 35.
This would mean that the cycles are actually extending.
Therefore this current bull market could be longer; 42 - 45 months which would allow time for a significant bearish phase and still have time for Altseason.
For simplicity, this is a great moment to watch and see how it unfolds with capital either in the "bank" of Bitcoin or fiat $£€ 🧐.
Not advice
The Coming Bitcoin Death CrossThe Bitcoin daily price chart will likely show a death cross within the next week. In the above chart, I have extended both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs based on their current trajectory. The result shows that they will intersect on or around the 7th of April.
Even though the death cross seems inevitable, does that necessarily mean that the bullish phase of this market cycle is over? In my opinion, it is still a little too early to make that call. We only have to look back at the previous market cycle for an example where a death cross didn't lead to the death of the market cycle.
Looking at the chart above, we can see that Bitcoin experienced a death cross following the first peak in April 2021. About three months later, a golden cross formed, which led to the final market cycle peak in November 2021. We can also see that in this current market cycle, there have been two other instances where death crosses have occurred. Both were followed two to three months later by golden crosses, which ended consolidation phases and led to substantial price increases over the following months.
As I see it, there are now two possible scenarios for this market cycle.
The first is that Bitcoin's price peak on January 20th was the market cycle peak, and Bitcoin is now in the bear market phase of this market cycle.
The second scenario is that the peak for this market cycle has not yet occurred, and we will we will see a similar outcome as the two previous death cross-golden cross occurrences earlier in this market cycle.
I am also still watching the Stochastic RSI indicator on the monthly chart. What I have noticed is that when the Stochastic RSI reading has dropped substantially below the "20" level, that has signaled that the previous price peak was the peak of that market cycle.
Looking at this chart, we can see that the Stochastic RSI is currently at 11.31 however, this can change. If the price of BTC can substantially increase over the next few weeks, it is possible that when April's monthly candle closes, the Stochastic RSI reading could be back over the "20" level.
If, however, the Stochastic RSI reading is substantially below the "20" level when the April candle closes, then based on previous history, I would have to conclude that Bitcoin's price peak on January 20th was the market cycle peak.
I am trying to remain hopeful that the bullish phase of this market cycle will resume at some point while still keeping an open mind to other possibilities.
What are your thoughts? Do you agree, or is my analysis flawed?
Can Trade War Push BTC Below 80KI do think at sometime Bitcoin will rest the support from the 2021 ATH and it is all because the bigger time frame have bearish divergences we are currently ranging from 89K-110K anytime the price break above or below the move will be big and fast.
Revisit to a BITCOIN idea posted in Mid March- TAKE OFF SOON ?
I first posted this idea on 19 March ( link at end of this post )
The idea is that because MACD on the weekly is still Falling bearish and is likely to remain doing so till at least Neutral is reached. This would Mean that PA had to Range in a region to allow that Drop
Things Excellerated though and that date of Mid Late April has now been pushed forward and Now, MACD reaches Neutral around 7th April - NEXT WEEK
Once MACD Neutral is reached, PA could rise with strength behind it....... This moment is getting nearer.... and so the original idea that this would happen over months got condensed in to Weeks and we now have DAYS to wait.
So, on the main chart, we wait to see if PA crosses that overhead resistance ealy next week
HOWEVER, we need to watch this Close as MACD could Drop below Neutral.
This would likely take PA down to that 618 retrace Fib line originaly arrowed.
Another thing backing a possible push is the BITCOIN DOMINACE cotined strength.
This, to the cost of the ALTS, has contained to rise and as long as it remains above that trend line, people shold buy BITCOIN more than ALTS.
It is that simple
So, lets see what happens next week. This cold be VERY GOOD
Bitcoin Cup and HandleBitcoin has form a rounding bottom and handle this is bullish pattern and if it breakout we can go to 112K-130K for the next leg up we should also consolidate at this range for a few months before making a next leg up to 180k. This can also be the top for this cycle if we go to the 3.618 fib level. Bearish side of this if we reject here we can form 3 lows and a triple top which will most likely end with a lower low then last month .
To the moon? Hang on a second...I'm reluctant to jump to a conclusion on this count as yet, but it certainly looks like that centre line strike is as much as we get. I can't imagine there would be as big an announcement possible as American Bitcoin, with Eric T "all in ".
Well, seems like moon it is then, but nothing wrong with some skepticism nonetheless. I'm not convinced it can't still get down to that 41k ish level although it might be wishful thinking. Maybe more realistic is an accumulation around here plus or minus 5k or so, while it rolls around the converging daily moving averages, perhaps even with another spikey test of the 75k region. Losing that level would be great for a 41k superbuy, with 59 another potential barrier on the way to it.
If break outs to the upside happen, there will always be a back test to look for good buying opportunities.
41k though one time please thanks
