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BTCUSD trade ideas

Bitcoin: With 70,000 Conquered, The Doors Are Open For 100KOne of the precautions we took when Bitcoin moved above 70,000 was to wait for the weekly close, in order to avoid getting caught in a bull-trap. It is still the same week and Bitcoin is now trading back below 70,000. 70,000 is a very important level because this is the price from which the major August bearish impulse got started. Moving and staying above this level would mean that the bulls win, trading below it means that the bears are in control. After exactly three days above this level, Bitcoin is now back below it. This move ended up either as a failed breakout or simply a bull-trap, makes no difference how we call it. What is important is to know, and be prepared, to what is most likely to happen next. Yesterday's session is quite decisive, it ended as a Doji. At one point, BTCUSDT tried to move higher and reached as high as 71,611 but then there was a strong rejection. The session ended with a long upper shadow and the close happening below the days open; bearish. What to make of this information? Will Bitcoin continue higher or go lower? A failed signal is a very strong signal. If there is a bullish signal that quickly turns into a bearish one it tends to be worth more than a normal bearish signal. That is to say that the rejection above 70K is strongly bearish. Now, considering all options, the week is not yet over. Moving back above 70K would strengthen the bulls massively and even open the doors for higher prices, so anything goes. As the chart is looking now, it is pointing down. So this is looking at Bitcoin. Both the daily RSI and MACD are weak. The RSI a bit better but the MACD has a strong bearish tendency. The bearish move is not fully in so the best we can do is to look around to see what we can find to help us predict what will happen next. The DXY is ultra-bullish, we have the USA elections and the Altcoins are crashing. Bitcoin is going down. Namaste.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by AlanSantana
9
Bitcoin prints life crossSharing an observation brought to my attention from a follower, a life cross or golden cross print has confirmed on the daily chart of Bitcoin price action. First a definition, a life cross is: 1) The 50 day SMA (blue line) crosses up the 200 day SMA (red line). AND 2) Price action is above the 200 day SMA. Currently both conditions are true. The last print, October 2023 saw price action rally 160% after the confirmed Life Cross. Should we expect the same this time? Not immediately on looking left (charts below). Previous life crosses on confirmation (as is now) were met with a nasty correction in price action before the rally continued. See below. February 2023, 15% correction September 2021, 16% correction May 2020, 13% correction April 2019, 13% correction Should we except the same with the October 2024 life cross? As it turns out there’s a little trick you can do that tells you the answer. I’ll save that reveal for somewhere else! Ww
INDEX:BTCUSD
by without_worries
21
Bitcoin's Bull Run Now Has Price TargetsThis was a historic Two Month Close . For only the 6th time in Bitcoin's History we have a Green Star Candle on the MRI Indicator. All Prior Green Stars have lead to bull runs of at least 6 months and gained over 100%. All but one led to MRI Tops with the only one that failed to reach it's MRI Top (with Down Arrow) would have been a 2nd consecutive MRI Top, which would have been an unprecedented and unreasonably extended bull run. We Also have a Cup and Handle Target of $105,000 based on the $45,000 dip in Q3 of 2022 & we have a similar target of $102,000 from the 1.618 Fibonacci Extension which has also been achieved quickly in all prior times of All time High Breaks coming out of a Bear Market. * All 3 Targets mention above are between the $100,000 - $140,000 Range, which is VERY Conservative for 2025 as the 4 Year Halving Cycle enters its most Bullish Phase! Thank You, Tone Vays
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by ToneVays
3
Bitcoin: You are not bearish enoughIf you had spoken to me last week I would have given you my expert opinion that my expert opinion was going to be WRONG. I have been of the sentiment that Bitcoin was not going to break the ATH this year and return back to the ETF launch level of 43k. As price rose to test the 2024 ATH I was just as sure as the bagholders I would be proven wrong. That did not happen... in a rather spectacular fashion. In my past posts and videos I laid out the possible scenarios for price action. One of which was the traversal from 69,420 up to the prior ATH of 73,575. This is something one can just assume when a secondary Resistance is broken that price will move unimpeded to the major Resistance. Breaking an ATH though is the test but often momentum is such that it will just... do it. What I honestly did not expect is for not only the failure to break to happen but also price close the week BACK INSIDE the three major levels of Resistance I have been harping on for the last two weeks. Bar closing are the great decider. It is always best to wait for them to occur before assessing. This has served me well. The meme I noted on social media last week was "you are not bullish enough." I think that Bitcoin investors got bullish for good reason but now the rejection has happened. If it was going to go... it should have gone. Trade wisely.
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by norok
11
BITCOIN made new ATH and the rally has only just begun!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is marching towards our 88k short-term Target as we called on October 16 (see chart below): As the U.S. elections have now been concluded with Trump's victory, we can now once more focus on the long-term horizon, particularly looking 1 year ahead. Basically, the last time we looked at this pattern was back in August 14 2023 (see chart below), where we used the KSI indicator on the 3W time-frame, which has just made a Bullish Cross, to call the upcoming parabolic rally correctly: This time we bring to you the last bullish signal of the upcoming multi-month Parabolic Rally, which is the 2W LMACD that is about to form a Bullish Cross. As you can see such a Cross was formed exactly on the November 08 2016 U.S. elections (Trump's 1st win), and a few months before the November 03 2020 elections. What followed was the most aggressive rally (green Rectangle area) of the Bull Phase (green parabolic channel) that started when the price broke above the 2W MA50 (blue trend-line). As a result, we expect BTC to rise aggressively from here, entering the post-U.S. elections bullish phase that may very well exceed the $100k psychological barrier, as we've shown in previous analyses. But what do you think? Will the new ATH today spark a full year of Bull for Bitcoin? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
4
Like it or not, it really is this simple.Some of you may not appreciate this chart, but we have to trade on facts not wishes. Right now (and it pains me to say this as a technical analyst), you can throw all your technicals out the window. The market is trading U.S. election results. That's it. Trump looks to be winning the popular vote by a large margin. Once the results are official and Trump is declared the winner, the rocket ships will fire up, take off, and may leave many traders in the smoke with FOMO. On the other hand, if there enters any doubt whatsoever that Trump will be the next POTUS, down we'll go.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by stewdamus
5
BTC and the previous three US Election DatesThis charts the dates of the previous three US Elections (2012, 2016 and 2020) on a log chart, with price on the horizontal axis at daily candle close. As you can see, once price breaks above (sometimes next day, as in 2020, sometimes a week or more later, as in 2016 and in 2012) price has never returned - ever. Plotted are the time and percentage difference from election date to cycle ATH. On average it's 387 days apart. If things play out this time in a similar fashion we can expect this week into mid next week to be the final time BTC will be in the mid 60k per coin - ever.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Jaekus
2
BTC Swing Points (Linear Scale) ISTRUCTURAL AWARENESS This analysis seeks to provide structural insights by identifying key levels and understanding historical price patterns to anticipate the limits potential future scale of price movements. Indicators in use: I'd start with retrieving HH LH HL LL points by script I've designed based on Pivot Points to be as aware as possible of key levels of the historic structure: Adding altered Zig Zag that shows only percentage change of the swings. This would be another layer of the historic pattern capture: BOTTOMS: Wave analysis from '22 - '24 Logarithmic Trendline: It looks like a curve on linear scale, which we will use to link the composite but significant lows and extend it to the right. This gives a sense of a low levels which we assume would be hard to break anytime soon because of the price is a range away: Breaking below and staying under that level for more than a few bars would signal a bearish trend, depending on emerging patterns at smaller scales as price nears the curve. Since a Double Top pattern could develop, an additional line curve aligned with the HL and passing through the next bottom (black dashed curve) is necessary. If price breaches the main curve’s orange dotted line, it may descend toward the secondary curve, a significant lower boundary derived from historical curvature. A break below this level would require an even stronger bearish effort to actually keep it below because of high volatility and existing frequency of reversals. Adding short-term trendlines which would be easier to break (Red and dark orange dotted continuation of the lines) TOPS: To anticipate how high it can grow, we'll connect the extreme tops as well. 2021 ATH ➡︎ 2024 ATH 2021 TOPS 2017 ATH ➡︎ 2021 1st TOP Price breaking above "2017 ATH ➡︎ 2021 1st TOP" is a sign to switch to log scale where identical distance resembles identical % change to capture a bigger scale move relative to the structure.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by fract
Bitcoin and Crypto US Election Day Forecast and Bullish TargetsHi everyone, In this video I break down how my Bitcoin forecast over the last few weeks has been playing out (nearly exactly) and where we likely go from here... I think Bulls are in control, and we'll see Bitcoin at ATH to $80k in the coming weeks... We review an article form POMP today, saying that who wins the election isn't really that important, and showing very bullish outomes after every previous election cycle... But I do think a Trump win is likely, and will propel Bitcoin higher faster. We look at the DXY and how that's rolling over nicely here, potentially taking us to "Bitcoin Rally Zone" and even the Vall-halla "Bitcoin Super Pump Rally Zone" where prices can really PUMP! I'm hearing more and more people talk about an early left-translated cycle and parabolic blow-off top by the end of THIS year, followed by an everything bubble bursting and deflationary bust. This is where a Trump win could save the long-tail of the 4-year cycle, by saving the economy. If nothing else, a Trump win would be more pro-crypto because it's not jus him but a very pro-crypto cabinet with RFK, Elan Musk, Cythia Lummis, and more. But we're not here to talk about politics! It's the markets reaction to the news, that matters. I've said 100 times THIS year and EVERY year... "Show me the charts, and I'll tell you the news". Lastly, I review my now Top 11 factors that could push Bitcoin to $100, $150k, and even $200k. And the charts showing the same... Interesting that the 1.618, 2.618, and 3.618 almost perfectly align with $100k, $150k, and $250k. I also show how these targets can be achieved by measured moves of the Bitcoin Bull-Flag breakouts, using 2 different scenarios. Let me know what you think below, and as always would appreciate a like, tip or share with someone you like in the crypto world! I we can get to 100 likes, I'll do more of these on a regular basis.. and do an end of week post-election breakdown. Thanks, and thanks again to TradingView for making this great platform we all use. Brett Fogle Moonstream Crypto
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by BrettFogle
Post Election Bitcoin and Crypto Market UpdateThis is a shorter version of my video yesterday, just recapping what I've been seeing and forecasting in these markets. Didn't expect to see the rally to new ATH so quickly. Or the DXY to push up higher at the same time... But here we are breaking and apparently holding new ATH, so I do think we continue to push higher. Even if we get one more sell off, to re-test the ATH as support. Yesterday's pump was part short-squeeze, and part SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B in BTC ETF inflows. In this video we look at BTC and SOL, which I believe will lead the next leg of the Bull. Also an interesting speculative study on the Pi Cycle Top, and the idea we could see a double top or dual-cycle in the next 12 months, like we did in 2013. As well as recapping why my targets are $100k (conservative), $150k (base case), and $200k (aggressive) along with confluent targets based on measured moves from the Bull Flag breakout. Let me know what you think, and if I missed anything! Brett
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by BrettFogle
Bitcoin to 68k - Bull flag** short term analysis - daily chart ** 24 days have passed since RSI entered a downtrend channel. The channel resistance has now printed a breakout at the same time as price action from its resistance. A bull flag print has now confirmed with the downtrend in price action. A measured move takes price action to the 68k area by the end of the month. Is it possible price action continues to correct? Sure. Is it probable? No Ww
Editors' picks
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by without_worries
61
Trump is another name for #bitcoin's parabolic movements!🟢#Trump’s influence, especially in 2016, created a huge shift in the political arena, and this increased people’s interest in alternative financial systems like #Bitcoin. 🟢2016 was a time when Bitcoin started to be noticed by the wider public. 🟢Now, with Trump’s return, there will be a similar wave of excitement in CRYPTOCAP:BTC and the crypto markets. 🟢Interest in assets like #BTC will increase, especially when there is a lack of trust in traditional economic systems or a search for alternative solutions.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by EtherNasyonaL
Btc will probably the last bull ride. Until next retracementHey everyone! Here's a quick look at Bitcoin's possible path based on some popular chart patterns. 🎢📈 Imagine riding a rollercoaster with 5 big hills—up, down, up, down, and then up again! In these charts, each number (1 to 5) shows those ups and downs that experts look for in prices. 🚀📉 The colorful lines help us see where Bitcoin might go next. The yellow lines show the path it's following, like train tracks keeping it on course. The blue boxes and dashed lines show "power-up zones" where Bitcoin might stop, bounce, or change direction, kind of like a game checkpoint! 🟦🎯 The whole idea? Bitcoin might keep going up, but it'll have some bumps along the way. This pattern helps people guess where those bumps might happen. 💡 Remember, these are just guesses based on patterns, like predicting the next moves in your favorite game! 🎮🔥 Stay curious and keep learning!"
INDEX:BTCUSD
by EpicM