US T-Bonds - Will Buyers Continue To See Pain?Slowly we see the decline in price action and although it's a very choppy time we are in, the continuation to the downside, at least down to 115.30 going into the next weeks seem very reasonable.
Although bearish, placing shorts in market conditions like this is high risk.
It's worth, at times w
US T-Bonds - US Elections Is A Hot Topic Right Now!📉 U.S. Treasury yields dip ahead of key employment data and elections.
10-yr yields hit 3-mo high on less dovish Fed expectations.
76.6% odds of 25 bps cuts in Nov & Dec. Yields influenced by betting markets showing greater odds of Trump presidency & Republican majority.
Going into the future, I
US T-Bonds - Short Term Draw On Sellside119.14 weekly lows is the main point of contact going into next week as we have seen a rejection from the weekly/daily volume imbalance as well as the weekly order block indicating further downside action.
US T-Bonds - 120.08 Has Been DeliveredUsually, bonds and yields work together in harmony where price delivery is clear to see but when we are in times where bonds has delivered to a discount whilst yields is also trading in a discount and has still yet to reach premium levels, it makes me wonder how long this can go on for.
Sitting on
US T-Bonds - The 120.00 Region Looks Real Promising Similar to US10Y where we have seen 4 consecutive up close candles, with T-Bonds, we have witnessed 4 days worth of bearish price delivery with he volume imbalance on a higher timeframe (1W) consequent encroachment being met as support for the time being.
Not shying away from a manipulative run, ta
US T-Bonds - Has Delivery To The Upside Subsided? Similar to 10y yields, the reverse has taken place with buystops being delivered to.
Is this where we roll over from?
US T-Bonds - Sliding Further Into A Discount125.04 is the immediate dealing range equilibrium which delivered on Thursday and going into this weeks trading, I am not shying away from further downside movement.
Short-term rallies to volume imbalances is also something to consider this week
ZB1! - Making It's Way To Equilibrium?126.27 has been a prime area for bonds conducting business and if there was to be a retracement, i would like to see 125.04 met.
ZB1! - Failed To Deliver Buyside Liquidity. What's Next?In a scenario where US10Y has completed business @ 3.666, you'd expect the run on 126.27 to be seamless....
It isn't.
Expecting a short-term retracement
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The nearest expiration date for U.S. Treasury Bond Futures (Mar 2024) is Mar 19, 2024.
Traders prefer to sell futures contracts when they've already made money on the investment, but still have plenty of time left before the expiration date. Thus, many consider it a good option to sell U.S. Treasury Bond Futures (Mar 2024) before Mar 19, 2024.