6S Swing Short Trade idea based on supply and demand, intermarket analysis and cross market valuation. Following a structured approach with clear entry, risk management, and confluence factors.
6SH2021 trade ideas
Swiss Franc LongRetail traders are currently in a crowded short position with price beginning to reverse. We aim to capture the losses of retail traders in a short squeeze. Additionally, a Swiss Franc long position could work in both a risk-on and risk-off environment given its long standing reputation as a safe haven currency.
Swiss Franc Futures Decline Amid Weaker US Dollar:Market InsightThe CHF Swiss Franc futures pair experienced a decline to approximately 1.308 during the early European trading session on Monday. This weakening can be primarily attributed to the broad softness of the US Dollar (USD), which has been under pressure lately. After an initial reversal at the pivotal level of 108.000, the US Dollar Index (DXY) managed to recover some ground, indicating a volatile session ahead for currency traders.
Today's market attention is squarely focused on a series of significant economic events that could influence currency valuations. Notably, European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde is scheduled to deliver a speech that many analysts anticipate will provide insights into the central bank's future policy direction. Given the current economic climate in Europe, her comments are likely to be closely scrutinized by market participants looking for hints on interest rate adjustments and other monetary policy considerations.
Additionally, the release of the US ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) later today is another critical data point that traders are monitoring. The PMI serves as a vital barometer for the health of the manufacturing sector, and its results can significantly sway market sentiment. A stronger-than-expected PMI reading could lend support to the USD, particularly in light of the Federal Reserve's cautious stance in recent months. A resilient manufacturing sector may fuel speculation about potential interest rate hikes, thus supporting the US dollar.
As the market digests these developments, a bearish sentiment appears to be forming for the CHF futures pair. The combination of a weaker Swiss Franc and the possibility of a stable or strengthening US Dollar suggests that traders may be looking to position themselves for a further decline in the CHF/USD relationship. In the current environment of uncertainty and varied economic signals, currency traders must remain vigilant, ready to adapt to rapid changes that could arise from today's pivotal events.
In summary, the interplay between the Swiss Franc and the US Dollar is accentuated by current macroeconomic factors, including central bank communications and key economic releases. With a bearish setup on the horizon and investors keenly anticipating these market-moving events, today's trading session promises to be both challenging and potentially rewarding for those engaged in forex trading.
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Weekly FOREX Forecast: BUY USD vs EUR GBP AUD NZD CAD CHf JPYThis is an outlook for the week of Nov 11-15th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets: EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD, CAD, CHF and JPY.
The USD is strong and showing no signs of weakness. But price is at the highs, so there is potential for a pullback to start at any time.
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May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST July 8-12th: FX PAIRS UPDATES!We are updating the Weekly Forecasts for FX Pairs I posted last Saturday.
Click the link below to check out the video in case you missed it.
Was the analysis accurate? Did we reach our targets?
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST June 8-12th Part 2: FX PairsThis is Part 2 of the Weekly Forex Forecast.
In this video, we will cover:
USD Index, EUR, GBP, CAD, AUD, NZD, CHF, JPY
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
USDCHF long positionI have long positions old in USDCHF, and the key level, and volume for me interesting
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST: UPDATES! DXY, EUR, GBP....Welcome to another Weekly Forex Forecast Update video.
In this video, we will cover the forecasts given in the Weekly Forecast, and allow you to
gauge the accuracy of the analysis.
USD Index, EUR, GBP, AUD, CAD, NZD, CHF
Like and subscribe if you like the video. Thank you!
May profits be upon you.
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST: DXY, EUR, GBP, CAD, AUD, NZD, CHFWelcome to another Weekly Forex Forecast.
In this video, we will cover:
USD Index
EUR
GBP
AUD
CAD
NZD
CHF
Like and subscribe if you like the video. Thank you!
May profits be upon you.
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST: DXY, EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD, CHFThis is Part 1 of the Weekly Forex Forecast.
Part 2 will follow! Look for it!
In this video, we will cover:
USD Index
EUR
GBP
AUD
CAD
NZD
CHF
Like and subscribe if you like the video. Thank you!
May profits be upon you.
Swiss Franc Long IdeaA potential Long opportunity in Swiss Franc. The "Swissie" has tended to make a seasonal bottom in May and is currently bouncing of support (demand) on the weekly chart.
The 4H chart then appears to show a potential accumulation schematic. The breakout above the range aligns with our bullish, seasonal bias as mentioned above. We are monitoring to initiate a long position if price pulls back into the range below 1.106. This would be a test of the schematic. If price trades below the Spring at 1.090, the idea is invalidated.
CHF - Futures - 14/5/20241. CHF - Swiss Franc
COT Report: 58,283 net positions as of 04/30/24 - Yearly high
Fundamentals:
Swiss Central Bank Rates: 1.50%
Positive CPI Report for CHF (Forecast 0.1%, Actual 0.3%)
Negative USD Non-Farm Employment Change (Forecast 238k, Actual 175k)
Summary:
Recent downtrend following the Swiss Bank's interest rate reduction from 1.75% to 1.50%.
Signs of potential CHF strengthening post Non-Farm Payroll week.
Previous is the as the same trade but this is an update, We have entered long after last nights Core PPI news
CHF (Swiss Franc Futures, CHFUSD)... BULLISH!The Monthly +FVG was filled, then the CISD was formed.
Price traded through the BB, forming the +FVG on the way.
I am expecting the BB+FVG to hold, and price to move higher from here next week.
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Thank you for viewing.
CHF (Swiiss Franc Futures, CHFUSD).... BULLISH!Waiting patiently for a buy setup.
It's coming!
CHF Futures is CHFUSD, the inverse of the FX pair USDCHF. If you are trading FX, then look for the SHORT setup on USDCHF.
CHF - Futures - 6/5/20241. CHF - Swiss Franc
COT Report: 58,283 net positions as of 04/30/24 - Yearly high
Fundamentals:
Swiss Central Bank Rates: 1.50%
Positive CPI Report for CHF (Forecast 0.1%, Actual 0.3%)
Negative USD Non-Farm Employment Change (Forecast 238k, Actual 175k)
Summary:
Recent downtrend following the Swiss Bank's interest rate reduction from 1.75% to 1.50%.
Signs of potential CHF strengthening post Non-Farm Payroll week.
Swiss Franc Long 4/19/24Last night, the Swiss Franc surged by over 100 basis points in response to an Israeli airstrike on Iran, causing ripples across the market. Despite the widespread apprehension, the Franc stood firm as a trusted safe-haven asset. Now, as risk appetite returns, we witness the market bouncing back. Over the past 24 hours, the Swiss Franc has demonstrated a consistent uptrend during both risk-averse and risk-on conditions. Moreover, it presently holds the distinction of being the most heavily crowded short trade globally. Should prices persist in their ascent, a significant number of short positions may be compelled to unwind, amplifying the Franc's ascent further.
CHF - Futures - Possible tradeCHF - Futures, there is interesting levels of positioning by the commercials are taking place, it has not yet been confirmed from my end, but there is quite bit of long positions are being taken up by larger traders. Will keep an eye out for turning points in the near future in the next few weeks.
Swiss Franc FuturesTo confirm the USDCHF trade, a look at the Swiss franc future also shows that the franc is likely to face a few weaker years ahead.
Data-Driven Based Support Level for FuturesDuring the strengthening of the franc, option traders actively gained 'naked puts' levels.
To create a spread strategy, traders can add a long position in the underlying asset, resulting in a breakeven call or a spread when selling an out-of-the-money call in the same series. This allows the trader to enter the market with no risk or even a small profit immediately.
Based on this advantage, we expect a surge in buying activity at the current level or slightly lower.
Swissie Future Full AnalysisThe video includes a full analysis of Swiss Franc Futures.
The price is continuing its BULLISH structure BUT approaching the probable reaction zone.
Rather than a Trading Signal the video is an observation of the opportunity to trade.
STRONG SUPPORTThere is an active position set at strike 1.145 for the second day in a row. The portfolio consists of naked puts, and the volume for the current contract is already significant. The synthetic formula enables the owner to take a long position with zero risk when the price reaches the specified strike.
!!!!!We consider this level a strong support level when reached. !!!!!!!
Currently, there are no grounds for opening short positions. Keep in mind, the portfolio's appearance at the strike does not guarantee that the price will move in its direction.
Major multi-year breakout in progress in Swiss FrancThe Swiss Franc is in the process of completing a massive multi-year scalloping bottom against the USD that should send CHF into new ATHs
CHF Futures Trade PlanWe are observing a rise in activity and open interest at the 1.125 Put strike. A surge of purchases is expected if the price hits the level marked on the chart (put breakeven point). The appealing graphical illustration supports this scenario, while the 11-day period before the option contract's expiration goes against it.
