Gold Futures (Oct 2018) forum

• Price had a strong impulsive breakout above the 3354–3360 zone during the 8:30 AM news, followed by range compression under the 3398–3401 supply zone (premium).
• On the 1-min, price printed LHs just under supply and failed to break 3401.
• On the 5-min, price is holding a series of HLs with EMAs stacked bullish, but struggling to reclaim HHs.
Two Scenarios for A++ Setup
1. Short Setup (More likely for now)
• Trigger: Rejection and failure to hold above 3398–3401, especially on a liquidity sweep.
• Entry: Ideally on a sweep of 3401 with absorption or bearish engulfing candle.
• TP Zones:
• First target: 3388–3386
• Final target: 3380–3375 (low-volume area)
Avoid shorting early — need clear failure or rejection + weakness.
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2. Long Setup (If breakout occurs)
• Trigger: Break and close above 3401 with strong volume and continuation structure.
• Entry: Pullback to 3398 or 3401 (flip level).
• TP Zones:
• 3410 minor extension
• 3416–3420 strong imbalance from July
Current Levels:
• Immediate Resistance:
• $3,407 – $3,410 zone (Strong Heatmap and Premium Zone rejection likely)
• Support/Reaction Zones to Watch:
• $3,385.8: Clean impulse base before launch – 54-handle rally zone
• $3,372.8 – $3,374.8: Fair value gap + PDH
• $3,361.4 – $3,353.7: Layered liquidity cluster (can be base for bounce or reload)
• $3,344.6 – $3,335.8: Deep discount demand zone
What to Wait For:
• A++ Setup: Return to FVG/PDH with bullish BOS or CHoCH, large volume + absorption, then engulf structure back upward.
• Trap short scenario: Fake breakdown of $3,385 then V-shape reclaim.

Bias: Bearish under 3332
Breakdown setup: BOS below 3320 with retest
• TP1: 3312
• TP2: 3305
Invalidation: 3335 reclaim and hold
Alternate Long Setup:
If BOS and HL form above 3338 with confirmation:
• TP1: 3346 gap fill
• TP2: 3355 supply zone
Prime trading hours for both instruments are 1:30 PM to 4:00 PM ET.
Wait for structure confirmation and volume alignment. No raw scalps.