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EURUSD trade ideas

Euro will exit from pennant and grow to resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at this chart, we can see how the price, after a strong upward impulse, the price entered into a consolidation phase, forming a classic upward pennant pattern. Throughout this structure, the price repeatedly respected both the support line and resistance line, tightening inside the pennant while still holding above the support level at 1.1300. This zone, between 1.1280 and 1.1300, marked as the buyer zone, has acted as a strong floor multiple times. Every touch to this area sparked bullish reactions, and most recently, we can see the rice once again starting to grow after dipping into this zone. On the upper side, the resistance level at 1.1430 coincides with the breakout target of the pennant, and also lies just below the seller zone, making it a logical TP 1 area for bulls. The current price action suggests that after a minor pull-back, the price may test the lower pennant edge and then rebound, potentially initiating an impulsive breakout toward 1.1430. Given this structure and the strong base forming around 1.1300, I expect Euro will grow upward toward my TP 1 at the 1.1430 level, thereby exiting from the pennant. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
24
EURUSD Bearish Structure Forming Amid Dollar UncertaintyEURUSD appears to be carving out a series of lower highs, showing potential signs of distribution. With price compressing inside a symmetrical triangle following multiple failed breakout attempts, the stage could be set for a bearish breakdown. This comes as U.S. inflation and Fed policy hold the spotlight and the euro faces political and structural crosswinds. 📉 Technical Breakdown (4H Chart) Triple Top / Head & Shoulders Variant Forming: Price action has traced a rounded top sequence, forming a triple top or complex head and shoulders structure. Each rally attempt has been followed by steeper declines and faster recoveries—typical of a topping process. Triangle Contraction Zone: Current price is consolidating into a symmetrical triangle, which is often a continuation pattern. Bearish breakout is expected if support around 1.1330–1.1320 fails. Key Bearish Targets: TP1: 1.1090 – former resistance turned support. TP2: 1.0890 – April breakout base and key structure low. Trade Setup (as per chart): Sell Entry Zone: Break and retest of 1.1320–1.1300. Stop Loss: Above 1.1527 (supply zone high). Targets: TP1: 1.1090 TP2: 1.0890 🌐 Macro Context USD Side: Fed is holding rates steady amid rising inflation fears triggered by tariffs Tariff shocks are already pushing prices up, while growth slows—a tough environment for the Fed. Dollar could strengthen if market sentiment shifts risk-off. Euro Side: Former EU Commissioner Gentiloni calls for unified borrowing to boost the euro’s global role, as U.S. stability is questioned Political uncertainty around German leadership transitions may also weigh on the euro short term. ✅ Conclusion EURUSD is trading at the apex of a tightening triangle pattern following a distribution structure. With a clean break of 1.1320 support, expect increased volatility and bearish momentum toward 1.1090 and 1.0890.
Short
by ultreosforex
36
EURO - Price can rise to top part of flat from support areaHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Some time ago, price entered to wedge, where it bounced from support line and rose to $1.0860 level, breaking $1.0470 level. Then price broke $1.0860 level too, but then it made correction to support line of wedge and then made upward impulse. Euro exited from wedge and continued to grow to $1.1260 level, after which broke this level and started to trades in flat. Inside flat, price rose to top part of flat and then made correction to support area, where it some time traded close. At the moment, Euro trades inside support area, near support level, so, I think that price can correct to $1.1260 level. After this movement, in my mind, EUR can start to grow to $1.1570 top part of the flat. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Long
by WalterMoon
13
EUR/USD - Channel Breakout (02.05.2025) FX:EURUSD The EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 1.1387 2nd Resistance – 1.1430 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. TVC:DXY Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
41
EUR/USD) Big Support level Analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of EUR/USD on the 1-hour timeframe. The idea centers around a potential reversal from a major support zone, aiming for higher resistance targets. Here's a detailed breakdown: --- 1. Big Support Level A strong horizontal support zone is highlighted around 1.1275–1.1290. Price is currently reacting off this level, suggesting a potential bullish reversal. 2. EMA 200 as Resistance The 200-period EMA (~1.1346) is above current price, possibly acting as a dynamic resistance. A break and hold above it could confirm bullish momentum. 3. Resistance Levels & Target Points The first target is the 1.14367 resistance level, a clear supply zone. The second target point is around 1.15622, aligned with a previous major high and strong resistance zone. 4. RSI Indicator RSI is at 44.02, indicating neutral to slightly oversold conditions—this supports a potential bullish move, especially from support. 5. Forecast Path The chart projects a likely pullback and breakout pattern: Rebound from the support zone. Break through EMA 200 and minor resistance. Rally toward first and second targets. Mr SMC Trading point --- Summary of the Idea: This is a trend-reversal-to-continuation setup, with EUR/USD expected to rise from a key support area toward 1.14367, and potentially 1.15622, provided price holds above the support and breaks the EMA 200. Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Long
by SMC-Trading-Point
19
EUR/USD Bearish Setup: QM + Breakout Play Targeting Demand Zone!Hello guys! I think eurusd is bearish! why? A Range: Market consolidated in a tight horizontal range before breaking out. QM Pattern: A lower high and lower low structure indicates potential for a trend reversal. Neckline Break: Bearish confirmation with a strong break and close below neckline support. Retest Zone: Price is now revisiting the QM supply zone, offering a high-probability short setup. Bearish Projection: The next expected move is a drop toward the S&D (Support & Demand) zone between 1.12640 and 1.11900, which aligns with historical demand and previous accumulation. ________________________ 🎯 Bearish Target Zone: First TP: 1.12640 Final TP: 1.11900 - 1.12080 (Demand Zone)
Short
by melikatrader94
18
Mastering Stop Losses: How Not to Trigger Them at the Worst TimeThere are few things more humiliating in trading than setting a stop loss… only to have the market tag it by a hair’s breadth before rocketing in the direction you knew it was going to go. Oftentimes (hopefully not too often), stop losses are the financial equivalent of slipping on a banana peel you placed yourself. But stop losses aren't the enemy. Their placement, however, could be. If you’ve ever rage-quit your chart after being wicked out by a fakeout, this one’s for you. Let’s talk about how to master stop losses — without feeling like the market is personally out to get you. 😬 The Necessary Evil: Why Stop Losses Exist First, let's acknowledge the elephant in the room: stop losses sometimes sting. They're like smoke alarms. Annoying when they chirp over burnt toast, lifesaving when there’s an actual fire. The purpose of a stop loss isn’t to predict exactly when you’re wrong — it’s to limit how wrong you can be. It's the difference between losing a quick battle and losing the whole war. Trading without a stop loss is like walking a tightrope without a net — all fine until it’s not. 🤔 The Amateur Mistake: "Where Should I Put My Stop?" A lot of traders approach stop-loss placement like they're picking lottery numbers: random, emotional, hopeful. "I’ll just slap it 10 pips below my entry. Seems safe." But the market doesn’t care about your preferred round numbers. It cares about liquidity, volatility, and structure, regardless if it's the forex market , the crypto space , or the biggest stock gainers out there. Good stop-loss placement is about logic, not luck. It's about asking: Where is my trade idea invalidated? Where does the market prove me wrong? If you're placing stops based on how much you're "willing to lose" rather than where your setup breaks down, you’re setting yourself up to be triggered — emotionally and financially. 💪 The Art of "Strategic Suffering" Good stops hurt a little when they’re hit. That’s how you know they were placed properly. Stops shouldn't be so tight they get hit on routine noise, but they also shouldn't be so far away that you need therapy if it fails. Think of it as strategic suffering: you’re accepting controlled pain now to avoid catastrophic pain later. Legendary trader Paul Tudor Jones famously said: “The most important rule of trading is to play great defense, not great offense.” 🤓 Where Smart Traders Place Their Stops Want to know where smart money hides their stops? It's not random. It’s calculated. Below key swing lows for long trades (how much below depends on the risk-reward ratio they’ve chosen to pursue) Above key swing highs for shorts (how much above is, again, tied to the risk-reward ratio) Outside of obvious support/resistance zones (also, risk-reward plays a role) In other words: start thinking like the market. Where would a big player have to exit because the structure is truly broken? That’s where you want your stop. 👀 Avoiding the Stop-Hunter’s Trap Is stop-hunting real? Oh yes. And no, it’s not personal. You're just very readable if you park your stops in obvious, lazy places. The market loves liquidity. Price often pokes below swing lows or above highs because that’s where the money is. Stops create liquidity pockets that big players exploit to enter their trades at better prices. So how do you avoid becoming easy prey? Give stops a little breathing room past obvious levels. Use volatility measures like ATR to set dynamic buffers. Respect structure, not just random dollar/pip amounts. A good stop is hidden in plain sight but protected by logic, not hope. ⚖️ Sizing Smarter: Risk per Trade Matters More Than Stop Distance (What’s Risk-Reward Ratio?) Here’s where many traders mess up: they think tighter stops are always better. Wrong. Your stop distance and your position size are a package deal. If your trade idea requires a wider stop to be valid, your position size should shrink accordingly. Trying to cram your usual size into a wide stop setup is how small losses turn into account-threatening disasters. Hedge fund pioneer George Soros once said: “It’s not whether you’re right or wrong that's important, but how much you make when you're right and how much you lose when you're wrong.” Master your sizing relative to your stop, and you master your survival. In other words, the risk-reward ratio should be playing a key role in placing your stop losses. 🥤 Mental Stops vs Hard Stops: Pick Your Poison Some traders swear by mental stops: “I'll get out when it hits this level.” Others use hard stops: set-and-forget protective orders baked into the system. Both have pros and cons: Mental stops allow flexibility but risk emotional sabotage. Hard stops guarantee protection but can trigger on sudden, hollow wicks. Pro tip? Use hard stops if you’re new or undisciplined. You don’t want to be the guy saying “I’ll close it soon...” while watching your unrealized loss grow a second head. 🤯 Stop-Loss Psychology: It’s You, Not the Market If you find yourself constantly blaming “stop-hunting whales” or “market manipulation” every time you get tagged out... maybe it’s not them. Maybe it's your stop placement. Discipline in trading isn’t just about clicking buttons at the right time. It’s about planning for the tough times—and sticking to your plan even when it feels bad. ❤️ Final Thought: Love Your Stops (Or at Least Respect Them) Stop losses aren't your enemy. They're your overprotective friends. Sometimes they’ll throw you out of a trade you "knew" would come back. But more often, they’ll save you from very dangerous outcomes. Mastering stop losses isn't about never getting stopped out. It’s about getting stopped out properly — with dignity, with minimal damage, and with your account intact. In trading, pain is inevitable. Wipeouts are optional. Your move: How do you manage your stops — and have you ever been wicked out so badly you considered quitting trading? Drop your best (or worst) stop-loss stories below.
Education
by TradingView
20
A 3-Step Process For Analytical SuccessIn this video I go through the 3-step process of implementing a Bias, Narrative, and Model. This process was a game-changer for me when it came to analysis, as well as taking actual trades. It considered high-probability targets, patience in waiting for traders to coming for me, and the calm of being prepared when it was time to take an entry. It filters out pointless trades, because if I don't have Bias, then I can't have a Narrative, and if I don't have a Narrative, then I don't have a Model. I use ICT concepts, but this process works equally well for most other methodologies that aren't completely mechanical and algorithmic. I give a real example of a trade I took yesterday on EURUSD where I utilized this 3-step process to frame a trade. I hope you find this video insightful and gives you more clarity in your trading! - R2F Trading
Education
by Road_2_Funded
10
EUR/USD: Bearish Structure Intact — Lower Lows Ahead? (READ)By analyzing the #EURUSD chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around 1.136. If the price manages to stay below the 1.1414 level, we can expect further downside from this pair. The possible bearish targets are 1.128, 1.11480, and 1.10 respectively. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Short
by ArmanShabanTrading
14
EURUSD – Bearish Rejection and Targeting the 4H Imbalance ZoneEURUSD has shifted into a clear bearish tone following multiple rejections from a well-established resistance level. Over the past several weeks, price has struggled to break above that zone, showing consistent signs of selling pressure each time it attempted a push higher. The most notable move came when price briefly spiked above the resistance in what now appears to be a fakeout. That move did not hold, and it’s very likely that it served as a classic liquidity grab engineered to sweep buy stops resting above the range highs before reversing direction. This kind of behavior is typical in a distribution phase, especially when seen at a high-timeframe resistance zone. The fake breakout essentially confirms that the upside liquidity has been taken, and that smart money is shifting direction. Since that event, price has been making lower highs and lower lows, reinforcing the current bearish structure. Consolidation Structure Before the fakeout, EURUSD had been consolidating just under resistance, building up a tight range. This kind of structure tends to lure in breakout traders, and the eventual spike above the range likely cleaned out a lot of stop orders. What followed was an aggressive reversal back into the prior range, which is a strong sign that the breakout was not genuine. Since then, price pushed down and attempted a retracement, but that retracement got rejected precisely within a fair value gap. This is significant. It tells us that even during a pullback, the market is respecting inefficiencies and continues to deliver bearish reactions rather than signs of strength. That rejection further confirms that bears remain in control and that the earlier break was nothing more than a trap. Bearish Scenario With resistance holding and the fair value gap rejection now confirmed, I expect EURUSD to continue its descent and seek out deeper levels of interest. The most obvious draw on liquidity now sits below the current price, the large four-hour imbalance zone. This imbalance was left behind during the impulsive rally that preceded the fakeout, and it has yet to be filled. Inside that imbalance, there’s also a golden pocket level lining up almost perfectly. That confluence between the imbalance zone and the 0.618–0.65 region adds weight to the idea that this area will act as a magnet for price. Markets seek efficiency, and this entire zone represents a void that price is likely to come back and rebalance. The move into that zone would also allow the market to engineer sell-side liquidity along the way, particularly under the recent higher lows. Once those are swept, and if price begins to react inside the golden pocket, we may then begin to look for early signs of accumulation or even a bullish displacement, but until then, the short bias remains firmly in play. Price Target and Expectations The first key expectation is a clean sweep through the current local lows and a drive into the heart of the 4-hour imbalance. This is where I’ll be watching most closely for a potential change in behavior. Ideally, I want to see price push deep into the imbalance and tap the golden pocket before doing anything significant on the long side. If price shows a strong reaction there, such as a bullish engulfing or a clear market structure shift that would signal the potential for a reversal. Until then, any bounce is likely to be short-lived and corrective in nature. The structure is still bearish, and the fair value gap rejection reinforces that. Current Stance Right now, I remain bearish. I’m not interested in fighting this momentum by jumping into premature longs. As long as price remains under the level it got rejected from, and continues to print lower highs, I’ll maintain a sell-the-rip mindset. If price delivers a deeper pullback from here, it may offer a short-term intra-day bounce, but the core expectation is still a move lower into the imbalance zone. The area that interests me the most is the combination of the 4-hour imbalance and golden pocket, that’s the zone where I’ll shift from reactive to proactive and start looking for possible long setups. But I won’t consider longs unless price gets there and shows clear intent to reverse. Conclusion The market has already swept buy-side liquidity with the fakeout above resistance, and the rejection from the fair value gap confirms that sellers are still in control. Price is now being drawn toward the inefficiency below, and all signs point toward a continued bearish move until that imbalance is filled. Until price reaches that zone and delivers a reaction worth trading, I’m staying patient and waiting for the setup to complete. Chasing entries in the middle of the range here doesn’t offer the best risk-reward. The focus now is on watching how price interacts with the 4-hour imbalance and the golden pocket, that’s where I’ll reassess the narrative and consider shifting bias if conditions warrant it. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Short
by TehThomas
22
HelenP. I Euro may correct to trend line and then rebound upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After a sharp, impulsive rise, price entered a broad consolidation phase between 1.1575 and 1.1270 levels, creating a horizontal channel where price oscillated for several sessions. This type of structure often serves as a re-accumulation zone during a trending market. What's particularly notable is the recent touch of the lower boundary of the range, which coincided with a retest of both the ascending trend line and the support zone around 1.1270 points. This confluence of technical factors makes the current area critical for further price development. Following the bounce from the support zone, the pair is showing early signs of recovery. The trend line has held firmly, and buyers stepped in with a reaction candle confirming demand interest. While EUR is not yet out of the consolidation, the structure suggests strength and potential continuation. Given the alignment of the upward trend line, support zone validation, and stabilization after the drop, I expect that EURUSD may climb almost toward the upper boundary of the consolidation. That's why my current goal lies at 1.1500. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Long
by FirstNameHelen
9
EURUSD COT and Liquidity AnalysisCOT Report Analysis: Overall we can see strong bullish sentiment in the COT. and price will most likely continue higher- in the longterm. But now We can see longs are not being added also price moved right after the report. They didn't want us to see shorting. But is visible on the commercials side. Hey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. This is a big part of my FX Trading. Im always trying to trade with the Big players so knowing their positions is good thing. Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage. I created this simple free indicator which you can find in the my scripts. It's highlighting the day of the real report - Tuesday. Here is the tip if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance. Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
Short
by David_Perk
9
EURUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my EURUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
by Transparent_Fx_Academy
4
EURO - Price can start fall to support line of pennant patternHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Some days ago price traded inside triangle, where it declined below $1.1310 level, but then made upward umpulse. Price exited from triangle pattern and broke the $1.1425 level, after which it entered to pennant pattern. In pennant, Euro reached the resistance line, after which it turned around and in a short time declined to the $1.1310 level, breaking $1.1425 Then the price some time traded between these two levels and later dropped to the support line of the pennant. But recently it backed up and now traded very close to resistance line of pennant, so, I think it can rise a little. After this movement, in my opinion, Euro can start to decline to $1.1300 support line of pennant. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Short
by WalterMoon
3
Lingrid | EURUSD in Consolidation - BREAKOUT Catalyst AwaitedFX:EURUSD is holding above the global upward trendline, despite trading within a descending triangle. The pair recently retested the key confluence support zone formed by both local and major trendlines. If bulls defend this zone near 1.12330, we could see a sharp rebound and a return of upside momentum. 📈 Key Levels Buy trigger: bounce from 1.12330 support Bullish confirmation: breakout above 1.14420 Target area: 1.15690 Invalidation: break below 1.1230 💡 Risk Notes Price is still trapped in a narrowing range — expect volatility near the triangle apex A failed defense of support could send price quickly toward 1.0738 Watch for fakeouts in the 1.12–1.13 area before a clearer trend develops Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Long
by Lingrid
6
EURUSD update 7.05.2025Short-term growth to the resistance zone (~1.1400-1.1420), Then, there was a reversal and impulsive fall—a break of support, further decline to levels below 1.1200, possibly to a Value Area Low. Conclusion: This is a bearish scenario, with a trap for longists at the resistance area and an emphasis on liquidity capture under support levels. Best regards, EXCAVO _____________________ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
by EXCAVO
3
DeGRAM | EURUSD bulls held the channel📊 Technical Analysis ● EUR/USD broke a falling‑wedge top right on rising‑channel support at 1.1270, flipping the pattern bullish. ● Holding above 1.1300 targets 1.1380; a clean break opens the 1.147‑1.155 supply, while downside is contained by 1.1270. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● USD softened on renewed tariff‑related uncertainty, giving the euro room to rebound. ● FXStreet flags fresh EUR/USD demand above 1.1300 as traders fade the greenback ahead of the Fed decision. ✨ Summary Wedge breakout plus a weaker USD underpin a short‑term long bias: objectives 1.1380 → 1.1470‑1.1550; invalidate on a close below 1.1270. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
3
EURUSD: Potential Head and Shoulders PatternEURUSD: Potential Head and Shoulders Pattern EURUSD is about to complete a Head and Shoulders pattern. Ahead of the FOMC, the market is still directionless and in a long pause. As we can see from the chart, we have a possible Head and Shoulders pattern that points to further declines. The first target is near 1.1280. A move below the neckline of the pattern should confirm a larger bearish wave for today. However, everything will be tied to the FOMC comments, so it should be a busy day and also with high risk during Powell's speech. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KlejdiCuni
4
EURUSD DETAILED ANALYSIS FUNDAMENTALS AND CRYPTOEURUSD is currently trading around 1.13, having completed a successful retest of the previous breakout zone. The pair is now showing signs of bullish momentum, suggesting a potential move toward the 1.17 target. From a technical perspective, the recent price action indicates a strong support level around 1.13, where buyers have stepped in to halt the previous decline. This support aligns with the 50-day moving average, reinforcing its significance. The bullish engulfing candlestick pattern formed at this level further confirms the likelihood of an upward move. Fundamentally, the euro has been supported by stronger-than-expected economic data from the Eurozone, including a 0.4% GDP growth in Q1 2025, surpassing forecasts. Additionally, the European Central Bank's recent rate cuts have provided a more accommodative monetary environment, boosting investor confidence. Conversely, the U.S. dollar faces headwinds due to concerns over economic slowdown and potential rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. In summary, the confluence of technical and fundamental factors suggests that EURUSD is poised for a bullish move toward the 1.17 target. Traders should monitor key resistance levels and economic indicators to confirm the continuation of this upward trend.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
2
Where will EURUSD go next? 4hr1. Technical Analysis • Bearish Structure Break After a strong bullish impulse in March and early April, price formed a rising wedge pattern—typically a bearish continuation structure when it follows an uptrend. Price has now broken below the wedge support and is retesting the underside of the structure. • Key Supply Zone (1.1377–1.1444) Price failed to break through this resistance twice, forming a double top with strong wicks and rejection candles. That zone remains a key institutional supply area, reinforcing downside bias. • Break and Retest Confirmation The break of the ascending trendline and horizontal support near 1.1287 confirms a change in structure. Price is now retesting the area as resistance—textbook bearish price action. • Target Zones • TP1: 1.1204 – minor demand and previous support • TP2: 1.1090 – high-probability demand zone and fib confluence • TP3: 1.0938 – extended move to fill imbalance and hit key structure low • Stop Loss Place stop above 1.1377—the recent high and above wedge resistance—to maintain a good risk-to-reward ratio. 2. Fundamental Analysis • ECB–Fed Divergence Recent comments from the ECB suggest a potential rate cut in the near term as inflation cools across the Eurozone, while the Fed remains relatively hawkish due to persistent U.S. core inflation. This divergence supports USD strength. • Weak Eurozone Data Recent German and French PMI data came in under expectations, pointing to slowing growth. Meanwhile, the U.S. economy continues to show resilience—especially in labor and retail sales—boosting USD demand. • Risk Sentiment As global markets flirt with risk-off sentiment due to geopolitical tensions and slower growth forecasts, safe-haven demand increases—typically favoring the U.S. dollar over the euro. Conclusion EUR/USD is showing strong signs of a bearish reversal after rejecting a major supply zone and breaking below wedge and trendline support. With structure, momentum, and fundamentals aligned, a short setup targeting 1.1204 down to 1.0938 makes sense. Wait for continued rejection or bearish confirmation before entering.
Short
by AnalysisExpert
2