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British Pound / U.S. Dollar

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GBPUSD trade ideas

GBPUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on GBPUSD? The price has successfully broken its downward trendline and, after a successful pullback, has also broken through a key resistance level to the upside. Currently, the price is consolidating above the broken resistance, which indicates strong buyer momentum and a potential continuation of the uptrend. Given the current market structure, the price is likely to experience a minor pullback and consolidation before continuing its upward movement. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Long
by HAMED_AZ
8
GBP/USD Rally: Is 1.28 the Next Target?In my post last week about GBP/USD, I mentioned that as long as the 1.23 support remained intact, the pair could rise toward the 1.26 resistance level and that buying dips below 1.24 could be a good strategy. Indeed, the pair climbed to 1.26 on Friday, which raises the question—what’s next? In my view, GBP/USD is likely to continue its ascent, with the next bullish target being the 1.28 resistance zone. In conclusion, dips around the 1.25 support could present buying opportunities, with invalidation below 1.24 and a target at the 1.28 resistance level. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
5
GBP/USD at Key Resistance: Potential Reversal or Continuation?The GBP/USD 15-minute chart indicates a strong uptrend, with price action forming a **Crab harmonic pattern**, suggesting a potential overextension. The pair has reached a key resistance zone at **1.26323**, aligning with significant Fibonacci levels, with the **Harmonic Optimal Point (HOP) at 1.26469** acting as a potential reversal area. If a pullback occurs, the first downside targets are 1.26127 and 1.25993 , while the ** 200 EMA ** below may provide further support. A sustained break above 1.26469 could signal continued bullish momentum. Traders should monitor price action for confirmation before positioning accordingly.
Short
by BeaucoupPips
1
What is the trend of GBPUSD pair?GBP/USD News: 🔆The British pound (GBP) strengthened for the fifth consecutive day in early Asian trading, climbing back above the 1.2600 mark following a weak US retail sales report that indicated American consumers were cutting back on spending. The GBP/USD pair reached 1.2626, gaining over 0.50%. 🔆Market sentiment was heavily influenced by US President Donald Trump's tariff policies, with the US dollar remaining stable. US retail sales declined by more than -0.9% month-on-month in January, falling short of expectations of -0.1%, although December's numbers were revised up by 0.7%. 🔆In contrast, industrial production in the US rose by over 0.5% month-on-month in January, a slowdown from December's 1% increase but still above analysts' predictions of 0.3%. 🔆Meanwhile, stronger-than-anticipated UK GDP data contributed to the upward momentum of the GBP/USD pair. Personal opinion: 🔆GBP will continue to rise in the short term and will wait for the speech of BOE Governor Bailey and the upcoming FOMC meeting minutes for investors to orient their upcoming strategies Analysis: 🔆Based on economic information and tariff policies of the United States and related countries Technical based on Resistance - Support Zones and important Fibonacci levels. Plan: 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉Buy Gold 1.2330 – 1.2350 ❌SL: 1.2280 | ✅TP: 1.2400- 1.2450 – 1.2500 👉Sell GBPUSD 1.2700 – 1.2715 ❌SL: 1.2760 | ✅TP: 1.2650 – 1.2600– 1.2550
Short
by FM-ForexMastermind
2
GBP/USD Bearish Outlook – Technical & Fundamental ConfluenceGBP/USD remains in a well-defined downtrend, respecting a descending channel and key resistance levels. The pair recently tested the upper boundary of the channel near 1.2609, aligning with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level and the 200-day moving average, suggesting strong bearish rejection. Technical Outlook: • Price Action: GBP/USD has formed lower highs and lower lows, indicating sustained selling pressure. • Trendline & Resistance: The pair remains below the long-term descending trendline, with 1.2609 acting as a major resistance zone. • Indicators: • RSI: Approaching overbought territory, increasing the likelihood of a reversal. • MACD: Bearish momentum is building, suggesting potential downside continuation. • Target Levels: • Short-term support: 1.2330 – Break below this level could trigger further downside. • Major target: 1.1835 – A measured move projection based on the channel pattern. Fundamental Factors: • BoE Dovish Stance: The Bank of England recently cut rates to 4.5%, citing economic concerns, contrasting with the Federal Reserve’s steady rate policy, which supports USD strength. • UK Inflation Concerns: Inflation is expected to rise to 2.8% due to VAT increases and higher airfares, potentially complicating BoE’s policy direction. • US Economic Strength: Strong US economic data, including GDP growth and resilient labor markets, further bolster the USD. • Geopolitical Uncertainty: Potential US tariffs on UK exports could add additional downside pressure on GBP. Trade Idea: • Bias: Bearish • Entry: Below 1.2330 on confirmed breakdown • Target: 1.2099, with potential for 1.1835 • Stop-Loss: Above 1.2609 to invalidate the bearish structure Conclusion: GBP/USD remains under selling pressure both technically and fundamentally. A confirmed breakdown below 1.2330 could accelerate bearish momentum toward the next key support levels. Traders should watch for price action signals and remain cautious of any unexpected shifts in macroeconomic data.
Short
by parraggon
2
Bullish rise?The Cable (GBP?USD) has reacted off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 1.2508 1st Support: 1.2358 1st Resistance: 1.2844 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
1
GBP/USD Trade Recap – A Perfect Long Setup 1️⃣ Trade Execution – Why I Took the Long Position Today’s GBP/USD trade was a textbook example of combining Fibonacci retracements, smart money positioning, and seasonality trends to catch a high-probability long setup. 💡 Entry Details: ✅ Entry: 1.2600 (Fibonacci golden zone) ✅ Stop Loss: 1.2587 (Below structure) ✅ Take Profit: 1.2635 (Key resistance zone) ✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: 3:1 🎯 Result: Hit TP at 1.2635 for a solid profit! ✅ 2️⃣ Why This Trade Worked – A Breakdown of the Confluences 📊 Fibonacci Retracement – Perfect Pullback & Reversal Price retraced to the 61.8%-78.6% Fibonacci zone (1.2600 - 1.2593) before reversing. The bullish move was expected after a strong impulse leg, following smart money positioning. 📈 Smart Money & Retail Sentiment – Trading Against the Herd 🔹 62% of retail traders were SHORT on GBP/USD (as per DMX data). 🔹 Since I trade against retail sentiment, this provided a strong bullish confirmation. 🔹 Institutional COT data showed big players increasing long positions, further supporting a bullish bias. 🕵️‍♂️ Seasonality & Historical Trends Supported the Long 📊 15-year seasonality data indicated GBP/USD typically rallies in late February and early March. 📅 The next 3-5 day forecast showed a bullish probability, adding further conviction. 📉 Technical Confirmation – Momentum Indicators & Structure ✅ SuperTrend flipped bullish on the 4H chart ✅ Price was trading above key moving averages (EMA 6, 24, 72, 288) ✅ Broke above short-term trendline resistance, confirming upward momentum 3️⃣ Key Takeaways from This Trade 🔹 Trading with smart money & against retail sentiment = High probability setups 🔹 Seasonality provided extra confidence in taking the long trade 🔹 Using Fibonacci and EMAs for confluence led to a precise entry 🔹 Patience and risk management were key to securing profits 📌 Final Thoughts – What’s Next for GBP/USD? 🚀 With this bullish breakout, I will look for further longs on dips, targeting the next key resistance at 1.2680 - 1.2700. 👀 Are you bullish or bearish on GBP/USD? Let’s discuss in the comments!
Long
by LDForex_
1
GU Ascends From Triangle - Breakout & Retest Set-UpFX:GBPUSD ended last week with a Bullish Price Breakout of the Ascending Triangle that it fell into after breaking down below Support-Turned-Resistance and finding Support at the October 2023 Lows last month. Overall indicators suggest we could be experiencing a Valid Breakout of this pattern due to: 1) Strong Breaker Bar with Close outside of Range 2) Based on the Range from High to Low of the Ascending Triangle, Price made a 26% move beyond the break 3) Bullish Volume following Break 4) RSI Above 50 The Confirmation of Valid Break will come if price is able to: 1) Close 3 - 5 Days outside of pattern 2) Price successfully is Supported by Previous Structure Broken 3) Bullish Volume Builds on Retest When the Breakout is Validated, Buying opportunities could be delivered in the ( 1.2525 - 1.2485 ) Range on the retest with an immediate Target Profit at the December 2024 Resistance laying overhead at the ( 1.28 - 1.29 ) Range Fundamentally, this month we saw BOE make a 25bps rate cut down to 4.50% with GBP having quite a positive increase in GDP (+.3%) which could be inflationary. USD showed a slight uptick in CPI (+.1% y/y) strengthening the stance on minimal Rate Cutes this year but a big miss in Retail Sales, Unemployment Claims and Non-Farm Employment! GBP: Tuesday - Claimont Count Change/ BOE Gov. Bailey Speaks Wednesday - CPI Thursday - Consumer Confidence Friday - Retail Sales/ Flash Manufacturing PMI/ Flash Services PMI USD: Monday - Presidents Day (Bank Holiday) Tuesday - Empire State Manufacturing Index Wednesday - FOMC Meeting Minutes Thursday - Unemployment Claims/ Philly Fed Manufacturing Index/ Crude Oil Inventories Friday - Flash Manufacturing PMI/ Flash Services PMI/ Existing Home Sales
Long
by Novi_Fibonacci
6
GBPUSD Institutional Orderflow ExampleMONTHLY We see a bounce from a monthly order block We also failed to displace below a previous swing low. Because it's a higher time frame, this could indicate that a lot of liquidity has been absorbed by institutional players. The next area of interest on the monthly could be the fair value gap that formed within the series of downclose candles DAILY Now that we have an idea on where the higher time frame might move to, we can use this on our lower time frames to better predict price movement. We see clear signs of market makers soaking up liquidity and accumulating buy orders around the monthly order block area. This happens gradually, because big institutional players have big orders, they can not enter the market all at once. You see that the accumulation of buy orders is taking up to 6 days. We then see a big upclose candle with displacement above a previous swing high. This move indicates a market structure shift, giving away the intentions of market makers to drive price higher again. The upclose candle that shifted structure left a daily order block, that got filled the next day. This is also a clear sign of institutional sponsorship defending their orders. The candle that filled the order block also displaced above the previous swing high, confirming our shift in structure. The price action that followed is clearly bullish, creating higher highs and lower lows. We see that price also took buy stops above previous swing highs. These previous swing highs can now be see as low resistance liquidity. On the daily time frame, we see a bullish fair value gap yet to be rebalanced. We can thus anticipate a retracement into that fair value gap. We are currently sweeping Monday's high, which could be the start of the retracement. But we could also still hit the mean threshold of the 2 upclose candles that can be seen as a propulsion block We will wait for price to reach for that fair value gap to look for a new buying opportunity. Idealy, we want to see a swing low form on the daily in the fair value gap. If price would rebalance the fair value gap, we want to zoom in to intraday levels to look for entry points.
Long
by Pauwero
1