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WEEKEND UPDATE APR 22 2023 THIS CONSOLIDATION WILL BREAK SOONMacro 2/10 YR CURVE - Inverted = -.60 (Down from -.56 last week) HIGH YIELD SPREADS = 4.54 (Up from 4.49 last week) US ISM PMI - Contracting Faster = 46.30% US ISM SERVICES - Growing Slower = 51.20% S&P 500 ( SPY ) - Investable Nasdaq100 ( QQQ ) - Investable Russell2000 ( IWM ) - Not Investable Gold ( GLD ) - Investable US 30yr Treasury Bonds ( TLT ) - Counter Trend Rally US Dollar ( UUP ) - Not Investable US Real Estate ( IYR ) - Counter Trend Rally European Equities ( VGK ) - Investable India ( INDA ) - Counter Trend Rally Broad Asia Equities ( VPL ) - Investable China A-Shares ( ASHR ) - Investable (Pullback) Emerging Markets ( EEM ) - Investable Wheat Futures (ZW) - Not Investable Corn Futures ( ZC ) - Investable Soybean Futures (ZS) - Investable Silver ( SLV ) - Investable Natural Gas Futures ( NG ) - Not Investable Volatility Levels S&P 500 - 16.77 - Investable Market Nasdaq100 - 21.29 - Choppy Market Russell2000 - 22.75 - Choppy Market S&P 500 Volatility Structure - normal Contango Structure VIX 9-Day - 14.88 VIX Short Term - 16.58 VIX - 16.77 VIX Long Term - 17.09 Now, here is the list of individual ETFs and individual names are showing strength. Strongest of our ETF universe CANE SVIX NIB EWL EWQ SLV PPLT GDX EWI EWP VGK EWG EWU DBA XLP IGV EWK EWD XHB XLV SPY PINK EWO DIA SPLV DEF XLU IBB MTUM IWD Strongest of our ETF Leveraged/Inverse Funds NAIL EURL TQQQ JUNG SPXL DFEN UDOW CURE UGL UTSL KORU DUSL WANT Strongest of our Individual Equities SWAV FSLY META WST ALGN BLDR PHM GE LULU ISRG TMDX CPRT FTNT SYK NVR LW TXG FDX TAP HUBS MCD SHOP LVS LLY WYNN HSY ASO CRM ORLY COO ZBH CMG LEN XRAY MSI DHI TYL BSX KMB ATVI GIS MELI HCA ORCL YUM CBOE ROL AJG OLLI INMD PG EA LIN CHD KO SO PVH TDG AON MRK TSCO MMC VRTX PPG EXI ZTS BRK.B HOLX CLX UHS BDX MGM OMC DXCM TTWO MDLX RSG WMT SBUX PEG CAH VRSN WM PKG V WRSK PWR BIIB RTX ABC NOW ABBV HWM ULTA UPS GILD MTD ZEL AEE ODFL FAST MA INTU RE ICE ED CNP SNA EXPD JPM PNW ABT REGN RRR HLT LOW HSIC BRO XOM WEC EXC ECL MAR NI CME EL CTAS EVRG LNT CL PPL AWK CSX RMD SRE IRM HES DGX DLTR JNJ AEP OKE NEE C STZ EQIX ATO MLM DFS WTW ETR
NYMEX:NG1!
by mbrannigan
1
Still Long GAS | S&R Flip : Breakout Retest on Falling wedgeNatural Gas update Still hold a position on Nat Gas as the potential weekly double bottom continues to be confirmed with 1st target price being on the neckline/ resistance line. The past week was mostly sideways, giving signs that the bull are now standing their ground over the bears. Things to look out for Contract switch US Natural Gas Stocks Change Confirmation of the breakout from the falling wedge | Fakeout? Disclaimer: Position open. (Natural Gas is still the widow maker). Post not financial advice/recommendation
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by N_I_G
5
Natural gas must be reversed in extremes, and bulls have reappea The demand for natural gas continues to rise. Internationally, Brazil’s natural gas production decreased by about 12% in March. In the United States, meteorological experts predict that the severe cold in the United States will not decrease in the next ten days, and natural gas production will increase to cope with the future severe cold weather. After the decline, short positions have been reduced. The recent rise in oil prices has also led to a gradual rise in natural gas. The above are some things on the natural gas news side. From the high point of 9.98 last year, it has fallen halfway through. I believe that the price of half discount must be very attractive. I also believe that many people rushed in to buy the bottom, but the reality is indeed disappointing. The continuous decline has disappointed most people. , until recently natural gas has completed the medium-term downside structure. Since August 9.98 last year, natural gas has experienced three waves of decline. At the same time, the second wave C has reached 1.382 times that of wave A, which is in line with the proportion of AC equidistant or slightly longer than the first wave in the adjustment wave. Another point is that an obvious 5-3-5 structure has emerged from the internal form, which means that the mid-term decline has come to an end. This is very likely to be the bottom of the past half year. Of course, it will take a stage to build the bottom, so it is only the initial stage after the reversal. I also mentioned many times in the road show the suggestion to start the layout of the 2.03~2.13 area. Since yesterday, the continuous increase of 8.8% and today’s increase of 17.4% can be regarded as the prelude to this increase, but don’t be afraid of heights. Space is far from being reached. According to my deduction, from the perspective of the golden section, the short-term target for this rise is 3.84, and the medium-term target is 5.01 or 5.96, which means that there is at least double the space from the current price. The leverage attribute is even greater returns. Of course, whether the rebound or the rise is in the same direction, it is nothing more than the overlap of wave a and wave 1, and the overlap of wave b or wave 2. At least starting from the bottom, you can see three waves of trends until wave c or wave 3 Only when there is the possibility of closing, so the goal must be enlarged, the pattern must be enlarged, and there must be an overall view, so as to reap the most lucrative opportunities in the band...
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by Domineeringdeal
3
It is not yet the right time to buy Natural gasIt is not yet the right time to buy Natural gas. U.S. natural gas futures prices hit a three-week high on Monday, climbing nearly 8% after forecasts of colder temperatures and higher heating demand in the next two weeks. The predicted decrease in temperature has led to an increase in the value of futures. Prices have risen as the amount of gas being exported abroad as liquefied natural gas from the United States is heading for a new monthly high. Export levels remained elevated for the second consecutive month in April. Forecasters are foreseeing lower-than-usual temperatures in most of the 48 continental US states between April 17 and 25. Refinitiv estimates that this trend pushes gas demand across the United States, including exports, to 94.8 bcf/d in the coming week, up from 94.1 bcf/d this week. Good news comes from natural gas demands, however, it has not been a problem in the year 2023. Natural gas experiences a higher demand during the summer (July and August) for electricity generation, while in the winter (December to February/March) there is a sharp increase in demand for heating homes and buildings in the North East and Midwest. Natural gas has multiple uses, including industrial use, for home heating and to produce electricity. A major alternative source to NG-generated electricity is coal, but with still high prices - $3.5 per MBTU versus $2.5 for NG - there are strong economic and capacity pressures for utilities to scale up the production of energy using natural gas. With many coal-fired plants expected to be phased out over the next year, these pressures are set to increase. I am confident about the demand for natural gas, but pessimistic about production. Production remains high and adverse weather can cause problems as we have witnessed this winter season. The price of gas has fallen due to warmer temperatures, which have led to a significant increase in stocks. Looking at the technical picture, the short-term trend appears to be bullish supported by good volumes. However, the movement was not caused by purchases, but by short-coverings. When prices drop significantly, speculators will buy back to close out gaining positions, thus creating a temporary bounce. My pricing model points to natural gas prices rising to HKEX:5 over the next few quarters. So I will monitor inventory weekly to consider purchasing the gas. I expect drought and extreme temperatures to come this summer, so my plan is supported by that scenario. The opportunity is tempting and I can't afford to pass it up. Author's note: The contents and information presented on this site should not be considered as a solicitation to invest in the financial markets.
NYMEX:NG1!
by Antonio_Ferlito
1
NG1! Sellers In Panic! BUY! My dear followers , Please, find my technical outlook for NG1! below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 2.274 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 2.505 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by AnabelSignals
15
NG1! Massive Long! BUY! My dear friends , This is my opinion on the NG1! next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 2.186 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 2.439 Safe Stop Loss - 2.050 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
RUS:NG1!Long
by AnabelSignals
10