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KC2! trade ideas

Will Today’s Coffee Market See a 15¢ Drop Like April 18?The coffee market is currently testing its support range around 240-260, but recent patterns suggest a bearish outlook. Looking back at April 18 and September 6, we saw sharp price drops of 15¢ and 10¢, respectively, in a single session—both on the back of bearish signals that are resurfacing today. With the added downward pressure of typical Monday trading, today’s movement could follow a similar path, potentially driving prices down to 233 or even challenging the lower blue band at 230. If the price breaks below 230, it would signal a shift in momentum and open the door for further declines. I should watch for strong volume on any drop below this level, as it could confirm a break in support and set a new range in motion. Given my strategy to enter on a reversal bar, consider waiting for confirmation that price has indeed tested or broken the support around 233 or 230. If the price drops to those levels, look for a reversal signal—such as a bullish engulfing or hammer pattern—forming at or just below these key support zones. My entry level: Short Strategy First Level: Follow advanced school run strategy as it is quite a break-out set-up. Second Level: Reversal bar around Yesterday High 249 Long Strategy First Level: If the price reaches around 233 and shows a reversal bar with strong buying volume, this could be a favorable entry. Second Level: Should the price break to 230 and quickly rebound with a clear reversal pattern, this would serve as another possible entry point.
ICEUS:KC1!
by Qmtrader90
1
Arabica Coffee Futures Uptrend: The price appears to be in an uptrend, especially in the most recent period. The price has broken out to the upside and is continuing higher, with higher highs and higher lows. Support is visible around the 300.00 level, where price previously consolidated. Resistance may emerge near the 330.00 level, where the price is currently approaching. The price is trading near the upper Bollinger Band, which may suggest that the market is overbought. However, during strong uptrends, prices can stay near the upper band for an extended period. The bands are expanding, indicating increasing volatility, which often accompanies trending markets. There has been a noticeable increase in volume during the breakout phases, particularly in July and September. This signals that the current price moves are supported by market participants, adding strength to the trend. Consolidation and Breakout: The price experienced a period of sideways movement (consolidation) before breaking out around late August. This suggests that bulls are gaining strength. Candlestick Patterns: There seem to be several bullish candlestick formations near the recent lows, supporting the current rally. The short-term trend is bullish, with potential for the price to continue rising if it clears the 330.00 level resistance. However, as the price is near the upper Bollinger Band, there could be a short-term pullback or consolidation before continuing higher. If a retracement occurs, look for support around the moving average or near the 310.00–300.00 range, which aligns with previous consolidation zones.
BMFBOVESPA:ICF1!Long
by Sahrin
Bitcoin coffee soybean oil9. 17. 24 in this video I am following up on some comments that I made yesterday. I was looking for these markets to trade in a certain direction but I couldn't initiated trade for various reasons that I explained. it turns out that the next trading day the market produced the trigger for those markets to go higher and I want you to see how that works. if you think you have a good setup a lot of times the market will give you the trade but it's better to wait for the proper trigger then it is to just blindly go into a market that you generally think is going in a Direction but you're not really seeing exactly what you want and I believe that kind of thinking will create tremendous frustration for the trader. and the good thing is you will be able to find trades ahead of time and this is a good thing as long as you are not impulsive and are willing to give the market some time to give you a better probability that you'll be correct if you wait.
ICEUS:KCZ2024
by ScottBogatin
Coffee Futures: Bearish Confluence Indicates Potential Short PosIn the coffee futures market, recent analysis reveals a significant bearish outlook. The Commitment of Traders (COT) report indicates that commercial traders are holding major short positions. Additionally, seasonal patterns suggest a tendency for bearish momentum during this time of the year, further reinforcing the downtrend. Technical Analysis and Confluences Supply Area and Fibonacci Levels: Price Action: The price has reached a key supply area, suggesting a potential retest and subsequent decline. Fibonacci Confluences: Various Fibonacci retracement levels align with this supply area, adding strength to the bearish case. Momentum Indicators: Overbought Conditions: On the H4 timeframe, momentum indicators such as the RSI show that the market is currently in overbought territory. This typically precedes a price correction or reversal. Seasonal Trends: Historical data indicates that coffee futures often experience bearish pressure during this period. This seasonality aligns with the current technical setup, suggesting that the market could follow its usual pattern of decline. COT Report Insights: The COT report underscores that commercial traders, often considered the "smart money," are heavily short. This position by commercial traders can be interpreted as a strong bearish signal, given their historical accuracy in forecasting market movements. Trading Strategy Given the combination of a bearish COT report, seasonal trends, and technical indicators showing overbought conditions and resistance at the supply area, we are considering opening a short position in coffee futures. Key Points for the Short Position: Entry Point: Around the current supply area, taking into account Fibonacci retracement levels. Stop Loss: Just above the supply area to manage risk. Target: Based on historical support levels and previous price actions, aiming for a significant downward move in line with seasonal and COT report signals. By aligning our strategy with these confluences, we aim to capitalize on the anticipated bearish momentum in the coffee futures market.
ICEUS:KC1!Short
by FOREXN1
2
Coffee Primed for a DeclineLike FOREX pairs, commodities are often very long to correct and have blow off tops. While I'm not certain on the long term count, I can isolate a highly probable next move in a flat pattern visible clearly on the daily timeframe. Where that flat pattern fits in to the bigger picture doesn't much matter. As Elliotticians, we want to "catch the three." As in, wave 3 is often a very powerful move. As can be seen by the chart below, it's a very reasonable and highly confident setup that Coffee will initiate a nice decline.
NYMEX:KT1!Short
by ChartWizardTrading
Coffee 5.3.24 this is a short video on coffee which is an expanded market and they are the best markets to trade if you could identify the trade location for buyers and sellers. I would be looking for buyers in this market to take a long position... but on the current swing we don't see buyers yet. But we set it up having a strategy and using our tools and now we can take a look on Monday to see what the market does.... and whatever it does especially if it doesn't find buyers we will go back and look at it to see what we should do next.
ICEUS:KC1!
by ScottBogatin
1
US Coffee - Clear Buy with S/L 186; Big move aheadEntry Level: $190 Stop Loss: $186 Target: $195-$199.00 Analysis: The current entry level for initiating a short-term long position in US Coffee stands at $190. A prudent risk management strategy suggests setting a stop loss at $186 to mitigate potential losses in case of adverse price movements. The target range for this long position is set between $195 and $199.00. This target zone reflects the anticipated price movement based on technical analysis indicators and market dynamics. Traders should closely monitor price action and key support/resistance levels to assess the validity of this trading opportunity and adjust their positions accordingly.
ICEUS:KC1!Long
by astroduniarp
COFFEE : BULLISH BREAKOUT TO COME ?- The market has been trading under a bearish trend line since the beginning of 2022. However, since October of the same year, prices have slowed their decline, trading within a 62$ wide range. The trend is therefore neutral in the long term. - Prices continue to dance within their range, having registered 2 impacts on each of the two bounds. Both moving averages remain in bearish configurations after their last crossover, although currently below the market, within the intermediate support zone of the trading range. The RSI indicator indicates a growing appetite of bullish investors for the asset by displaying a breakout of its bearish trend line, now moving into the buying zone, well above 50%. - Although still in consolidation, the bullish alert given by the RSI allows us to envisage a bullish breakout of the trading range, which would unlock an upward potential towards $213.70, $239.16 then $259.0 by extension. The very short-term bearish configuration, however, tells us that a pull-back towards the intermediate support of the rectangle remains possible.
CLong
by ActivTrades
1