Sugar long Fundamentals showing sugar strength
Will be looking to long sugar
Already long you could look into it though
SBK2026 trade ideas
The Sweet Truth: Sugar’s Bullish Code UnlockedThe Sweet Truth: Sugar’s Bullish Code Unlocked
Not everyone gets to see the market for what it truly is. Most remain trapped, chasing shadows and noise. But you—you're here. You're ready to decode the signals hidden in plain sight.
This week, the COT strategy has unveiled a powerful truth: Sugar is setting up for a bullish move.
But let me be clear—this isn’t a call to recklessly jump into a trade. The market whispers, and we must wait until it speaks clearly. A daily bullish trend change is the signal we need to confirm the move. Until then, we stand ready, armed with knowledge.
Let’s break down the codes that have revealed this opportunity:
Code #1: Extremes in Positioning
Commercials are heavily long, while small speculators are positioned at historic extremes relative to the 26-week lookback index. This is a classic fingerprint of a market ready to shift.
Code #2: Undervaluation
Sugar is undervalued relative to Treasuries and the DXY. The market is quietly signaling that its current price doesn’t reflect its true worth.
Code #3: Supercharged Seasonality
The True Seasonal tendency supports a rally into April. But here’s the kicker—current price action is diverging bullishly from its seasonal trend, creating what Larry Williams calls a "Supercharged Seasonal." This is a rare and potent setup.
Code #4: Front Month Premium
The demand for the front month contract is undeniable. Commercials are paying a premium for earlier delivery, signaling the potential ignition of a commercially driven bull market. The spread between the front month and the next is also diverging bullishly—another signal of strong demand.
Additional Indicators
The Insider Accumulation Index shows clear evidence of accumulation.
The Weekly %R is in the buy zone.
The Weekly Stochastic is oversold, hinting at a market ready to pivot.
What Does This Mean for You?
It means you’re ahead of the herd, seeing what they can’t. But knowledge without discipline is dangerous. We wait for the market to confirm. A daily trend change is our signal to act. Until then, we remain patient, prepared, and poised.
Decode the Market
This is just one piece of the puzzle. Each week, I uncover opportunities like this—markets primed for moves that most won’t see until it’s too late. If you’re ready to step beyond the noise, to decode the hidden messages of the market, follow along.
The question is: Will you act when the market reveals its truth, or will you be left watching from the sidelines?
The choice, as always, is yours.
Bullish Suger futureI´ve made an analysis on Suger future.
- We have a premium in the contracts where the current contract is more expensive than the next contract.
- We have a seasonal tendencie for bullishness during december
- The tecnicals follows the seasonal tendencie chart so long and if we close above the weekly IFVG I will be long during december out.
Is Sugar Sweet Enough? ICEUS:SB1! Price is making lower highs and lower lows. Blood incoming??
For any risk adverse traders there is a short trade entering as close as possible to $23 and targeting $20's. Price action is showing weakness short term and remember....
RETRACES ARE COMPLETELY NORMAL!! Just benefit from them and follow the trend.
Sugar Potential Long as we realize we have divergence on fund managers in red
commercials are at their highest and price went up heavily before when they were at this level
retailers in green super bearish
we see and impulsive move on daily chart and a gap created
waiting for this gap to be filled and entry on lower timeframe backed up by bullish seasonality
Trade Safe
Fundamentally Setup Markets For This WeekI have identified the following markets are "set-up" for moves of some significance.
This video goes into the fundamental reasons for these trade ideas.
NOTE: I am not looking to go long/short these markets immediately. I will wait for a change in trend on the Daily to get involved with these markets. The tools used to identify these trade setups are not timing tools. The tools do give us an idea of how market participants with significant size and intelligence (commercials) are positioning themselves. The tools also give us an idea of sentiment, valuation, seasonality, and also an idea of what the (usually wrong) public/small traders are doing.
LONGS:
HEATING OIL (HO)
GASOLINE (RBOB)
MEXICAN PESO (6M)
SOYBEANS (ZS)
COTTON (CT)
SUGAR (SB)
SHORTS:
EURO CURRENY (6E)
JAPANESE YEN (6J)
SWISS FRANC (6S)
GOLD (GC)
30 YEAR TREASURIES (ZB)
Good Luck & Good Trading.
Sugar heading for multi-year lowsIs easy to see that the $20 zone is key for sugar, the price broke below it in April and it has not been able to come back above
The price has dropped more than 36% since it peaked in November of 2023 and this week just made a new 52-week low
The next key level is at $17.50, the daily chart already gave a sell or short signal
A follow through below this level could lead to a good gain in the short side
Also, could lower sugar prices lead to higher oil prices?
Remember that oil prices tends to be inversely correlated with the price of sugar, primarily due to its impact on ethanol production and the competing use of sugarcane for fuel versus food.
Sugar (sb) macro BULLISHHHWe broke bullish market structure on higher time frame. Price is making higher highs and we are currently at the best risk rewards area. Previous low of $17.20 must remain untapped for bullish continuation. If we do break $17 then most than likely we’ll be expecting a retrace towards the $14 price range but for now it looks great.
From a lower timeframe:
Price is holding well so far but ideally $18.8 must hold.
If we lose this level then $18.4 should be the next area of interest.
As long as we DO NOT break below $18.30, bullish momentum should continue.
Sugar Futures Falling WedgeI think that the indicator I have developed is working really well in sugar futures. From this point of view and due to the fact that sugar futures have a wedge, I think that there is an initial upside potential of 7% and then if the wedge is broken, I think that sugar futures can go up to $23.
SB ShortSB has sell signal based on COT report. Also seasonal trend is down. Weekly trend changed from up to down trend. The daily trend is in a down trend. Currently we see correction. My plan is to use this correction to open a shot position. Usually I risk 2% per trade, but in a Drawdown to reduce the emotional pressure I reduce the risk to 1%.
