USD/JPY - Triangle Breakout (06.06.2025)The USD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 144.94
2nd Resistance – 145.52
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JPYUSD trade ideas
USD/JPY.chart pattern..USD/JPY BUY trade idea:
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📈 Trade Setup Overview
Pair: USD/JPY
Trade Type: BUY
Entry: 142.300
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🎯 Target Points
Target Level Price Notes
🎯 Target 1 146.400 First major resistance zone
🎯 Target 2 148.500 Final target / swing target
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📉 Risk Management & Distraction Zones
To complete your setup, you should also consider potential risks/invalidation levels.
🔻 Suggested Stop Loss Zone (Distraction)
Below 141.200 – A break below this support level would:
Invalidate the bullish structure
Likely signal reversal or deep correction
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✅ Summary Table
Parameter Value
Entry 142.300
Target 1 146.400
Target 2 148.500
Suggested SL ~141.200
R:R (approx.) Good (>2:1)
Trend Bias Bullish
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USDJPY Tests Channel Support After ADP Shock — Rebound Ahead?In the last hour's candle after the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change Index was released, USDJPY ( FX:USDJPY ) started to fall, but considering the position of this pair, I think we can have a good Risk-To-Reward even if the Stop Loss (SL) is touched.
USDJPY is trading near the lower line of the ascending channel and the Support zone(143.870 JPY-143.430 JPY) .
From an Elliott Wave perspective , USDJPY appears to be completing a corrective pattern .
I expect USDJPY to rise at least to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
Note: Stop Loss = 143.220 JPY
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
U.S. Dollar/Japanese Yen Analyze (USDJPY), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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USD/JPY) breakout bearish trand analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of the USD/JPY (US Dollar / Japanese Yen) pair on a 2-hour timeframe. Here's the idea behind the analysis:
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Overall Idea: Bearish Move Toward Support
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Key Levels
Resistance Zone (Yellow Box, Top): Marked with two red arrows — shows strong price rejection around 146.00–147.00 area.
Support Zone (Yellow Box, Bottom): Around 139.85, marked as a target point and support level.
These two zones form the range in which price has been reacting.
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Current Price Action
Price is currently trading at 142.649, well below the 200 EMA (at 144.190), which is a bearish signal.
It has broken below the mid-range and seems to be heading toward the lower support zone (139.85).
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Trend & Structure
The price is following a downward trend after rejecting from the resistance zone.
The channel suggests a further leg down is likely to complete a measured move.
A temporary retest of the broken trendline might occur before continuation down.
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RSI (Relative Strength Index)
Currently around 31.83, nearing oversold territory, indicating the potential for:
A short-term bounce before further downside, or
A reversal near the key support zone.
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Projection
The projection arrow (blue) suggests a bullish rebound from the 139.85 support zone.
This aligns with a potential buy opportunity once support is confirmed.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion (Trade Idea Summary)
Short-Term Bias: Bearish
Medium-Term Setup: Look for a buy opportunity around 139.85, if price reacts well.
Key Steps:
1. Watch for price to reach 139.85.
2. Look for bullish reversal patterns or confirmations at that level (e.g., bullish engulfing, RSI divergence).
3. If confirmed, a potential long trade could target back toward the 144–145 zone.
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UsdJpy could break 142 and fall 500 pipsSince early May, I’ve been highlighting the 142 support zone on USDJPY as a potential reversal area — with a suggested upside target at 146.
The market respected this level twice, reversing from 142 and rallying past 146 both times.
However, last week’s move into 146 was sharply rejected, forming a strong daily Pin Bar exactly at resistance — a classic sign of exhaustion.
Now, price is rolling back toward support, and after multiple tests of the 142 zone, we may be very close to a downside break.
🧩 Add to this the fact that DXY also looks ready to break lower, and the probability of a USDJPY fall increases even more.
📉 Trading Plan:
Sell rallies, with invalidation above 146, and a target at 137, aiming for a 1:2 risk-reward setup.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GBPUSD next move (expecting mild bullish)(06-06-2025)Go through the analysis carefully, and do trade accordingly.
Anup BIAS (06-06-2025) (short term)
Current price- 144.000
"if Price stay above142.130 then next target is 145.000 and 146.500"
-POSSIBILITY-1
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening )
-POSSIBILITY-2
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening)
Best of luck
Never risk 2% of principal to follow any position.
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USDJPY forms textbook head and shoulders patternOur last bearish call on USDJPY played out perfectly. Now, a new setup is forming. With US ISM data showing contraction and stock markets under pressure, the dollar-yen could be next to drop. Watch as we break down the textbook head and shoulders pattern and the levels to watch for a potential 600+ pip move. Target zones, risk-reward, and key breakout levels all included.
USDJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a selling opportunity around 143.200 zone, USDJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 143.200 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Trading Signals for USD/JPY sell below 146.41The price test at 144.06 coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator had just started moving downward from the zero line, confirming a correct entry point for selling the dollar. As result, the pair plunged toward the target level of 143.39.
Yesterday was marked by significant fluctuations in the currency market, triggered by the release of disappointing data from the United States. The ADP employment report showed a much smaller job increase than expected, and weak ISM services sector figures created a domino effect, leading to a rise in the Japanese yen and a corresponding decline in the US dollar. The market's reaction was swift. Concerned about slowing US economic growth, traders began shedding dollar assets and shifting into traditional "safe-haven" currencies like the yen. This process was further intensified by revised expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's future monetary policy.
Today's weak wage growth data had little impact on the currency market. It appears that market participants had already factored such results into their forecasts, expecting a correction after previously more optimistic reports. Overall, investors are currently focused on more significant indicators of economic health, such as inflation and GDP growth, rates.
USDJPY Forecast for NFP Week | Price at a Critical Turning PointIn this video, I’m diving into the USDJPY setup ahead of a high-impact week filled with major economic news like the NFP, ADP Employment, and speeches from the BoJ Governor.
We’ll walk through the technical zones I’m watching, discuss potential buyer and seller reactions, and outline the key catalysts that could move the market.
🔔 Don’t forget to like the video in support of my work.
Disclaimer:
Based on experience and what I see on the charts, this is my take. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading.
#USDJPY #ForexForecast #NFPWeek #ForexMentor #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexTrading #BoJ #TradeSetups #PriceAction #MarketBreakdown
Tuesday follow up Today we have the JOLTS JOB REPORT due at 10am est
Key takeaways
Job openings, Quits Rate, and Hires vs Openings
Job openings: a higher number shows strong demand for labor hinting at a tight labor market
Quits Rate: A higher quit rate could mean workers are confiednt they can find better opportunities
Hires V Openings: When job openings are on the rise faster than hires that could show a skill mismatch or labor shortage
This report will cover April 2025, the report typically has a 5 week lag, and the April data should reflect employment conditions as of late March.
As it relates to USD/JPY: A strong report reflects the status of job openings and quits this will show strengthen USD. A stronger labor market could increase expectations the fed might raise interest rates or keep them higher for longer
A weaker report could lead to more consolidation or a stronger yen which result in a decreasing dollar
We are looking for an increased value from 7.192 on the last report or around that same value
Yesterday's trade: I typically don't trade early in the week but per my callout on my last idea if you took my buy reversal there was minimum drawback if you used proper analysis
ie: wait for open and close below price for sell and above for buy ideally you would want to get in around 142.706, however the reversal took place at 142.429
If you entered on at the price 142.579 there was minimal drawback.
I entered at 142.706 price is currently at 143.570 please use correct risk management for account growth
USDJPY is Nearing an Important ResistanceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a selling opportunity around 143.700 zone, USDJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 143.700 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDJPY: Pullback From Support📈USDJPY responded well to the highlighted intraday support zone on a 4H timeframe.
The price formed a double bottom pattern on that and violated its horizontal neckline.
There's a strong likelihood that the price will continue to rise and hit the 146.00 resistance level.
USDJPY Pending Short at 146.32In this idea, I have plotted all the necessary information on the chart itself. But allow me to point them out in words:
1. A resistance zone drawn with a rectangle that shows 5 red down arrows, out of which 4 are historical price rejection points and the last one is an expected rejection point at the top of the resistance zone which will be our short entry.
2. An Elliott Wave count update that shows a double combination wave 2 showing that we are now in a C wave of the double combination Y wave.
3. 3 different trendlines: The purple is expected to break, the blue is where price is expected to be rejected that will coincide with the top of the resistance zone, and the green which will be our stop loss if break above.
4. A take short position risk-reward plot where SL is set is initially set up at 147.187 but this should really be following the green trendline, and a TP that is initially set at the blue H&S neckline at 141.042 (see previous USDJPY idea for the big picture H&S plot).
Overall, I am expecting a final push for USDJPY to move up that will be in-line with the equity markets last leg up) and then a higher degree wave 3 down for USDJPY that will also be in-line with equity markets downturn.
Good luck!
USDJPY COT and Liquidity AnalysisHey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. It's always good to go with those who move the market here is what I see in their cards. I share my COT - order flow views every weekend.
🎯 Goal of this ideas is track order flow.
📍Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage.
💊 Tip
if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
Closing out the week Reports:
U.S. nonfarm payrolls report for May 2025.
This economic indicator provides insight to jobs added or lost in the economy, excluding farm workers, private household employees, and non-profit organization employees.
Policymakers pay close attention as it reflects the labor market and can influence decisions related to monetary policy.
The forecast is about 130,000 jobs with unemployment rate around 4.2%
With our last report was 177,000 and the forecast being 130,000 could signal weakness or consolidation if target is exact or lower.
Price is currently testing this week's high of 114.396 which is near our key resistance of 114.784 it might test that before the report is released but if not, I expect more consolidation until 8:30am.
Targets:
Buy: open and close above 114.784
Sell: open and close below 143.282
With the news coming soon be aware that price is sensitive to this report and based off the numbers we could see a move where price isn't subject to much consolidation between the target areas.
please be sure to lock in profits from my last trade.
USDJPY I Trading Plan and Forecast Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** USDJPY Analysis - Listen to video!
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Japanese Yen to Da Moon!I compared the yen to every single currency pair and USDJPY is the most volatile. BOJ will raise interest rates to 0.75%-1% by late 2025/early 2026. And IF the FED chooses to lower rates that will further exacerbate Yen strength.
103.156 TP, but TBH I see price breaking well past that point and yen will make new all time highs. The dollar will get desecrated across all currencies, the yen will destroy it the hardest. Most likely BTC will also peak around this same time period and youll see and end to the bull cycle and we will enter BTC bear cycle but that is beside the point.
Potential Black Swan Event: the US enters into a recessionary environment, while I dont think this is likely bc everyone is saying that, it will be possible if we see a further escalation in the Ukraine conflict or if the US chooses to enter war with Iran. War is the only situation I see potential US recession.
I predicted then yen would get dusted during COVID, now I predict yen will make never seen before gains for the next 5 years minimum. Let's see how this plays out.
USD/JPY back at neckline as soft US data narrows yield spreadToday's soft US data releases weighed on US yields, which helped to further narrow the US-Japan spreads on the long dated bond yields. In turn, the USD/JPY gave up its entire gains from the day before when it was boosted by the JOLTS data. Next move could be defendant on the nonfarm payrolls report on Friday.
From a technical point of view, this is text book stuff. Price is testing a key area of support at the time of writing, between 142.00 to 142.70, as marked in grey on the chart. This zone has provided strong support on multiple occasions, preventing rates from sliding towards 140.00 zone. Now the more a level or an area is tested, the more likely it will break down. Will we see a break here in the next few days? Or will support continue to hold, as improving risk appetite gives US dollar some breathing space?
Well, the pair is down quite a lot on the session, so i wouldn't rule out a bounce here heading into US close. But the trend direction is clear: bearish.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
USD/JPY Higher-Low, 142.50 DefenseUSD/JPY continues to exert force on the USD and the past week was no different. Despite an open door for sellers, a higher-low showed with a hold of the same 142.50 support level that was in-play a week prior. That price traded early on Tuesday (Monday night in the states) and then on Thursday (Wed night in the U.S.) buyers came in to hold the low just above that price, illustrating a degree of bullish anticipation.
Reports of slowing pace of bond tapering from the BoJ, and perhaps even smaller reductions to the banks bond buying helped to soften long-term Japanese yields: 40 year JGBs made a move towards the 3% marker after skyrocketing up to 3.7% just a few weeks ago. That helped JPY-weakness to continue against the USD and USD/JPY is back to re-testing the 145.00 handle in the pair.
This remains a key component if a USD turn is nearby, but interestingly working with that turn may be more attractive against the Euro in a pair like EUR/USD as USD/JPY has continued to show traps on both sides of the market for much of 2025 trade. - js
USDJPY H4 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is trading near our buy entry level at 143.99, a pullback support
Our take profit is set at 145.06, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 142.49, a swing low support.
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