Japanese Yen / U.S. Dollar

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USDJPY
๐Ÿ’น USDJPY Daily Analysis Based on Main Key Levels - [April 23, 2025]

Daily Current Market Price (DCMP): 141.720

Market Position: Trading above immediate support at 141.680 and below critical resistance at 142.623

๐Ÿ”‘ Critical Technical Levels

Resistance (Above DCMP)

๐Ÿ›‘ 142.623 - Intraday sell trigger (Weekly pivot)
๐Ÿ›‘ 143.566 - Fib 1.272 extension zone
๐Ÿ›‘ 145.092 - Macro trendline resistance

Support (Below DCMP)

๐ŸŸข 141.680 - High-probability buy zone (61.8% Fib retracement)
๐ŸŸข 141.097 - Liquidity cluster
๐ŸŸข 140.154 - Multi-week swing low

Swing Levels

โ†—๏ธ Swing High: 151.214 (Daily timeframe)
โ†™๏ธ Swing Low: 142.054 (4H timeframe)

๐Ÿ’Ž Intraday Trade Setups

Buy Opportunity

Entry: 141.680 ๐ŸŽฏ
Stop Loss: 140.154 ๐Ÿšซ
Take Profit 1: 142.623 โœ…
Take Profit 2: 143.566 โœ…

Rationale:

Confluence of 61.8% Fib retracement & weekly support
Hidden bullish divergence on 4H RSI (44.7 โ†’ 47.3)
Oversold conditions on stochastic oscillator

Sell Opportunity

Entry: 142.623 ๐ŸŽฏ
Stop Loss: 143.566 ๐Ÿšซ
Take Profit 1: 141.680 โœ…
Take Profit 2: 140.373 โœ…

Rationale:

Resistance aligns with weekly pivot & descending trendline
Bearish MACD histogram expansion (-0.18 โ†’ -0.32)
Declining trading volume above 142.000

๐Ÿ“Š Technical Landscape

Fibonacci: 141.680 marks 61.8% retracement of 142.054-151.214 swing
RSI: Neutral at 47.3 with bullish divergence potential
MACD: Signal line compression near zero axis
Price Action: Double top pattern forming below 142.623

๐ŸŒ Fundamental Catalyst

Bank of Japan policy meeting minutes (23 April)
US Core PCE inflation data release
JPY intervention rumors near 145.00 level

USDJPY What goes up without respect must come down โ€” just like it did during Friday and Monday's sessions. Those breakaway zones got respected!! IMO

Just annoyed with myself โ€” I wasnโ€™t fluid enough to take profits when Mondayโ€™s lows were formed!

USDJPY buy UJ inside 141.780 thru 142 area. Set SL 141.520
TP: 145
TP: 148
TP: 150
Go long if not but still cautious then go short. Use proper risk management

USDJPY i guess buy UJ but be cautious it can reject before 150. Im about to buy inside the 141.800 thru 142 area. Can reject inside 150 resistance maybe, lets see how it plays out

USDJPY eyeballing trend following.

current retracement down in overall up trend.

volume dwindling, and volume below VMA, meaning transaction amount is low, and the current retracement towards the downside doesn't have big boys behind their move.

When the big boys come in, I am expecting price to pick up in the overall up side direction again.

I just place an RRR there to "catch" the price stabbing.

Also right? price has a small marketplace happening at the spot that the blue arrow is pointing at as seen by the small bodied candles signalling the stable price range on the lower time frames like 3 minutes or 5, or 1.

Anyway, lets assume that I have already entered at the small marketplace, and price is already moving in my intended direction, following the big boys.

As usual, I would set price to BE at around +0.9R.

1131SGT 23042025
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USDJPY The bank now expects Asiaโ€™s GDP-weighted growth to slow to 3.9% in 2025, down 60 basis points from its previous estimate, with a modest recovery to 4.2% in 2026.

USDJPY this the push down we've been waiting for all day. GET MONEY!!!

USDJPY very strong push will add longs in the area shown. if hits tp one before adding area i wont add unless a confirmation is shown
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