Bitcoin’s CME futures gap gives a clue for the 1st big correctonAnytime you see a gap in price action like this they almost always get filled, and typically get filled sooner than later. So while there is a chance bitcoin could turn the current mild retracement into a deeper pullback that goes down to fill this gap, until the current support on btc is broken, which is the top trendline of the rising wedge it now currently has 3 consecutive daily candles above(not shown here), I think it’s more probable that bitcoin waits for a much more powerful resistance line that results in a much stronger rejection before it corrects back down far enough to fill this gap. If the current pullback doesn’t lead to the gap fill then my guess is once we retest the top green trendline of this group of channels:
That this would be the perfect time to have our first significant correction of the current parabolic phase of the bull market. I will be prepared for either zone to have a chance to fill that gap and plan accordingly, Also a few measured move targets around the 115 - 116k range so a pullback could potentially occur around that zone as well. *not financial advice*
BTCUSDK2025 trade ideas
We may still have small bullish before correctionBitcoin has been in a big uptrend since Trump was elected president. By the time Bitcoin went up it left a CME gap. These gaps work for the liquidity of the market and are like magnets. People have noticed it and are waiting for the closing of the gap.
Same thing happened in 2023 Nov-Dec. After the gap bitcoin went up like now, but people start to predict the closing gap and went for short. At the sametime the Whales are waiting people to change their mind that we are continuing to go up after all. After 10% up from new highest high, whales close the gap.
2023 December Bitcoin made a new highest high in a round 44,880$, 10% up to 49,500$. After a 20% dip to close the gap at 39,000$. 2024 November Bitcoin made new highest high in a round 94,085$ and is heading at 10% up to 103,600$. If history repeats itself, we should have a round 20% dip to closing the gap.
Although the situation is similar there is still a big difference, because we are talking about the 100,000$ limit which is really a psychological number. Source: own made research and analytics from Tradingview and CoinMarketCap
BITCOIN CME weekly chartAs BTC approaches 100K on CME there is Big GAP formed between (78000-80500) Its a red red Sign For Swing Traders and Invester as BTC should fulfill these Major GAPs. Also testing 1.414 reversal region of FIB extension
Also there is Supply to demand region and high volume area around (67000-70000)
If BTC retrace towards 70K it will good Opportunity for Bulls and Investors.... Soon Bear will dominate the market in week or two. Mark my words
UPDATE Bitcoin hit our $100,000 first target - Way soonerIf you've been following my TradingView ideas.
You'll know Bitcoin broke out of a Falling Wedge pattern on 27 September 2024. It then came back down to sweep liquidity from the buyers.
Moved up and we got a confirmation signal that upside was imminent from $67,000.
Since then, it's been text book that the market has been moving up a trajectory of 45 degrees and then escalated its upside when Trump became president.
So, the first psychological target has been reached at $100,000 and the next target of $105,000+ is easily on the cards.
So, things are still looking up with Bitcoin. Investors are even studying Bitcoin fundamentals which state it should go higher due to political and economic reasons. Who thought?
ANd with Alt Coins also having their days, it looks like Crypto Summer is here to stay.
Bitcoin Reacted Well to InflationBitcoin serves as an inflation hedge, going beyond its role as a decentralized digital currency that facilitates peer-to-peer transactions without intermediaries like banks or governments.
When inflation peaked at 9% in 2022, both Bitcoin and gold exhibited upward trends—a pattern that has continued to the present day.
Although the latest inflation figure stands at 2.6%, the current levels of gold and Bitcoin, driven by market demand, indicate that inflationary concerns persist.
Today, we’ll explore how to buy Bitcoin during market dips.
Mirco Bitcoin Futures & Options
Ticker: MBTX4
Minimum fluctuation:
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Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Bitcoin Elliott Wave Analysis: Wave 5 in Action! Bitcoin is technically riding Wave 5 on both higher and lower timeframes – a strong indication of potential momentum toward its maximum potential! 🎯
📊 Key Levels
Target: $102,000 (Fib 1.618 extension level)
Stop Loss: $91,800 (below Wave 4)
Entry: Market Price
📈 Risk-to-Reward: 2.5:1 RRR
This setup aligns perfectly with Elliott Wave theory, signaling an excellent risk-reward opportunity. Ride the momentum and stay sharp – Bitcoin might be heading toward new highs! 🌟
💡 Pro Tip: Always manage your risk and stick to your plan!
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer: Trading cryptocurrencies involves a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices can be highly volatile, and you could lose your entire investment. Always conduct your own research and consider your financial situation before trading. Never risk more than you can afford to lose.
#Bitcoin #ElliottWave #CryptoTrading #BTC #RiskManagement
BITCOIN head and shoulder pattern + CME GAPBitcoin appears to be forming a potential Head and Shoulders pattern, which is a commonly recognized bearish reversal structure in technical analysis.
If this pattern fully materializes, it could lead to a corrective move, possibly targeting the price gap in the $77,000–$80,000 range. This level may act as a magnet for price action, fulfilling a technical gap-filling scenario often observed in market dynamics.
We need this pullback to 85K or even to 80K would be greatWe need this pullback to 85K or even to 80K would be great
How evere longterm forever bullish.
You are very welcome to comment with your thoughts, share your charts or questions about COT or how I came to this setup. Just comment below, I like any constructive discussion.
If we get the confirmation, I will be looking to position myself with my students and followers as highlighted on the chart.
Accumulation / Manipulation / Distribution
- No liquidity raid = No trade
- Never buy high and never sell low
“Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.”
Dave FX Hunter ⚔
Retail and pros diverge while bitcoin mulls $100kBitcoin is tantalizingly close to the elusive $100k target - a level which has been thrown around, literally for years, by bitcoin visionaries. And it looks like it will finally get there. Yet with prices rising while real-money accounts derisk from the original-flavoured crypto currency, which crowd should we follow?
MS
CME - Predicting the FutureThis is an update to our last tradingview post found here:
So far it has been amazing to see how price action has played out with this trendline. Even though price has wicked above a few times, most of the candle bodies continue to close below it. Therefore should we expect a drop soon?
If there is a large scale drop I want to prepare you guys for where that next major buying opportunity might be. It seems like all the stars are aligning to make this prediction become a reality but let me lay it out for you.
There are three main reasons this might become Bitcoin's next low (based solely on the technicals).
The first reason is because it is the 0.618 of its low before the election to its recent top. This would put Bitcoin around $77,500.
The second reason is because of our yellow line. This represents the ATH that was established March 2024. If price comes back down to revisit that high it should be old resistance being flipped into new support! That would put Bitcoin somewhere around $78,900.
The final reason is because of the CME gap. Historically, gaps tend to be filled and that gap is $80,700-$77,100.
Therefore, one of the best areas for Bitcoin to create its next macro higher low before continuing the bullmarket will most likely be between $76,800-$80,800.
BTC Futures Expectations: Anticipating the Next Market MovesTwo major macro events are now behind us; the Fed rate decision and more notably, the U.S. Presidential Election. With a clean red sweep, we have begun to see Scenario 1 play out from our previous post. However, given the surge of retail euphoria and excitement, this run towards the 90k mark was not entirely unexpected. November 11, 2024 has now set a crucial range for the weeks ahead.
Big Picture BTC Futures:
Key Levels to Watch:
pATH support: 78,960 - 77,155
Key Bull Zone: 68,100 - 65,500
Yearly Mid: 67,375
Yearly VPOC: 68,100
Scenario 1 — Consolidation While Capped by Weekly High and Monday’s Range
In this scenario, we can expect further consolidation as more participants enter the market.
Based on our current expectations, BTC may consolidate near new ATHs and above key pATHs support. Perhaps we may see another bull flag formation, which may fail at first and test the key pATHs support before another upward move. Here, the key would be shaking out late breakout traders, with a possible dip before another move higher as outlined.
Scenario 2 — Euphoria Turns to Frustration and Shakeout for Late Breakout Traders
In this scenario, we expect a deeper pullback that could be more intense—shifting the euphoria into gloom. A bottom signal will likely emerge as market sentiment turns bearish. BTC futures could dip back to pATHs, followed by a quick V bottom recovery that tests the confluence of yVPOC, key bull support, and yearly midpoint.
Scenario 3 - Sustained Bullish Momentum to 100K
In this scenario, a bullish run continues towards the 100K mark before it starts to cool down and consolidate between 90K and 100K price levels. This is a warning for those trying to time a top in BTC futures. It is better to plan than to step in blindly and fire from the hip.
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Disclaimer: The views expressed are personal opinions and should not be interpreted as financial advice. NFA does not have regulatory oversight authority over underlying or spot virtual currency products. Derivatives involve a substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors.
The TradingView Show: Strategy Session with OKX Product PartnerWelcome, TradingViewers! 🚀
Get ready for an exciting and educational live stream designed to empower traders of all levels! In this broadcast, we’ll dive deep into markets starting with a top down research process, looking at the macro picture first, then zooming in to the moves that are shaping markets right now. We'll also dive into Pine Script, the election, recent moves as the year comes to an end, and much more.
Our partner OKX has brought on one of their product partners to walk our audience through the charts. Remember: OKX is a partner and integrated broker of ours. Connect your OKX account to your TradingView account to get started by clicking the Trading Panel below the chart.
Here’s what we’ll cover:
1. Top-Down Market Research: Start with a macro view of the markets and learn how to break down the big picture to make better, more informed trading decisions.
2. Crypto Market Updates: Get the latest insights and analysis on cryptocurrencies and what’s driving the market right now.
3. Pine Script Deep Dive: Learn how to leverage Pine Script to enhance your trading strategies and build custom indicators on TradingView.
4. Trading the Election & Year-End Moves: Understand how political events and seasonal market shifts are influencing price action as we approach the end of the year.
5. Live Q&A: Have your trading questions answered in real time by industry experts, and get tailored advice to level up your trading skills.
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BTC CME gab BTC got a huge gab on 1 day chart which is closed to %5.
With this gab? How long it can go?
If they planning on the way from targeted new ATH , it is ok, but CME gabs always closed specially if it was on 1day chart.
By the way, momentum wise BTC going over impossible as of now ...
Cheers
CME - Institutional TrendlineWe are watching for BTC to cooldown at some point to revisit the CME gap for liquidity. One potential level we have identified is this red trendline. It has acted as support and resistance flips many times for institutional interest. Therefore, since that rally is being driven by institutional money this trendline might be one to watch for potential selling pressure.
CME Gap Update: $77K-$80K ZoneThere is a recent CME gap sitting between the $77K and $80K range. CME gaps are known for being open levels in price that tend to get filled sooner or later. With this gap still unfilled, it’s crucial to keep an eye on this area as price action could revisit it in the near term, potentially acting as a pullback target or confirmation of further upward momentum. As always, traders should be prepared for price to retrace and fill the gap, especially if the current bullish trend continues. NFA.
Bitcoin Strengthens Amid Market Turmoil and Political UnrestBitcoin (BTC) is demonstrating remarkable resilience and strength, even as the broader market grapples with the shock of the attempted assassination of Donald Trump. Currently, BTC is in a higher-degree uptrend, having broken to new all-time highs (ATH) back in March. Following this surge, the market experienced a three-wave retracement, a common corrective pattern in technical analysis.
Our latest analysis reveals that BTC has rebounded from a potential Flip Zone, where a supply area has been established. This zone is characterized by a price level that previously acted as resistance and has now flipped to support. The strength of this flip zone is further reinforced by the bullish stance of large speculators, who continue to hold strong long positions on BTC.
Given the current market dynamics, we anticipate a retest of the supply area. This retest is expected to serve as a springboard for a fresh bullish impulse, propelling BTC higher. The alignment of technical indicators and market sentiment supports the case for continued upward momentum.
The recent political unrest surrounding Donald Trump has injected volatility into the markets. However, Bitcoin's decentralized nature and status as a digital asset often perceived as a hedge against political and economic instability have bolstered its appeal. This sentiment is reflected in the ongoing bullish positions held by large market players.
In summary, Bitcoin is on a robust recovery path, buoyed by strong technical support and positive market sentiment. The rebound from the Flip Zone and the anticipation of a retest of the supply area suggest a new bullish impulse is on the horizon. As large speculators maintain their bullish outlook, we remain optimistic about BTC's continued upward trajectory. Investors should watch for the retest of the supply area as a key indicator for potential entry points in anticipation of further gains.
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