I want to SELL but you want to BUY? That's trading!!!!All the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!!
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NGAS trade ideas
NaturalGas BUYNatural Gas (Henry Hub) Forecast for May 8–15, 2025
1️⃣ Expected Storage Report (EIA, May 9)
An inventory increase of 95–105 Bcf is expected. This is slightly above average but considered acceptable by the market.
If the build is below 95 Bcf — prices may accelerate upward. Above 105 Bcf — a short-term correction is possible.
2️⃣ Storage levels (EIA)
4–5% below the 5-year average, creating a moderately bullish backdrop.
3️⃣ End-of-season storage forecast
A 3% deficit below the 5-year norm is projected.
4️⃣ Production
High (105 Bcf/day), remains the main bearish factor.
5️⃣ LNG Exports
At record levels, supporting demand and prices.
6️⃣ Weather
Warm, increasing cooling demand.
7️⃣ COT (trader positions)
Short positions are decreasing, long positions increasing — a moderately bullish signal.
8️⃣ Technical Analysis
Price holds above the 200-day EMA. Key support at $3.50, resistance at $3.85–$4.00.
9️⃣ Candlestick Analysis (daily chart)
A bullish candle with a long body confirms buyer control.
🔟 Market Sentiment
Buyers remain active, funds cautiously adding long positions.
2-hour chart
A bullish flag pattern remains intact.
5-minute chart
The uptrend continues with higher highs and higher lows.
Conclusion:
The market shows a moderately bullish trend.
Expected price range for next week — $3.65–$3.90, with potential to test $4.00.
Chance of a drop below $3.40 is minimal (≤30%).
Natural Gas: Bullish Triangle PatternNatural Gas: Bullish Triangle Pattern
Natural Gas (XNGUSD) appears to be forming a Bullish Triangle Pattern, suggesting potential upward movement. The price is currently around 3.9900 USD, and the analysis highlights two key targets:
The breakout from the triangle pattern indicates possible price strength, meaning buyers are gaining control.
The structure suggests that the breakout from the pattern is acting as support, while 4.1000 USD and 4.2000 USD are key resistance zones where price action may face resistance.
While the price may continue rising toward the targets, minor corrections could occur along the way as traders take profits or reassess market conditions.
First target: 4.1000
Second target: 4.2000
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Natural Gas is in the Buying Direction After Trendline Breakout Hello Traders
In This Chart NATGAS HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today NATGAS analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (NATGAS market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NATGAS Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Natural Gas: Bearish Setup with Cautious PositioningFurther upward movement in natural gas is limited. The trend remains bearish.
The only thing that holds me back from opening a short position is the need for a wide stop above the 3.85 high, which is nearly 4.5%. The downside target is at least the $3 level, potentially down to $2.60.
Everything looks good, but the stop is very wide.
That’s why I’m starting with a small position size and will add more as the idea plays out .
Gas vs. OPEC+🔥 #GasHasNoMercy
📉 Gas is again following the main scenario closely. We stayed out of the market most of the time, as the movement was a correction within the primary downtrend, which remains intact.
The wave is nearing completion. Historically, gas rarely reverses after weekends—it typically continues the previous week’s trend until Tuesday-Wednesday. However, we now expect oil to gap down at the open due to OPEC+’s decision to accelerate production increases. This creates uncertainty in gas’s reaction:
▪️ Logically, gas should rise (lower oil prices → reduced U.S. production → less associated gas → higher gas prices).
▪️ But the market might temporarily ignore this correlation and follow oil’s lead.
Current tactic: Trade with the trend (downward). Not advice or recommendation.
💬 Your thoughts?
🔄 Agree with the plan? Comment below ➡️
⚠️ Disclaimer:
My analysis is for discussion purposes, not trading advice. Trading gas with leverage and no stop-losses is like playing with fire—high risk to capital and mental health.
Natural Gas: Watching for a Break Above 3.40 to Re-Enter LongOverall, I remain bullish on natural gas, as I mentioned yesterday, and even entered a position.
However, I didn’t hold through the entire move. There are definitely some issues with overtrading that I need to work on.
At the moment, I’m out of the market and considering a re-entry only if yesterday’s high at 3.39 is broken.
If the price moves above 3.40, I plan to re-enter the position, targeting the 3.60 level.
Natural Gas is in the Buying DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart NATGAS HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today NATGAS analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (NATGAS market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NATGAS Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Natural Gas (Henry Hub) – Intraday Outlook | May 5, 2025I'm closely watching the 3.5341 level — it's the high of the bar with the highest volume traded recently, making it a significant area of interest. If price returns to this level, it may act as a potential pivot point for a long setup.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
If price reacts positively from 3.5341, confirming buyer presence, I will consider long entries from this level with the following targets:
🎯 Long Targets:
Target 1: 3.7396
Target 2: 3.8153
📉 Bearish Scenario:
If price breaks below 3.5341 and shows weakness on the retest, I’ll look for a short setup from that level.
🎯 Short Target:
3.4052
#TechnicalAnalysis #DayTrading #VSA #NG #HenryHub #NaturalGas #FuturesTrading #VolumeSpreadAnalysis
XNG/USD "Natural Gas" Energy Market Robbery (Bullish Plan)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XNG/USD "Natural Gas" Energy Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is to escape near the high-risk ATR Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (3.700) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level for Pullback entries.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑: "🔊 Yo, listen up! 🗣️ If you're lookin' to get in on a buy stop order, don't even think about settin' that stop loss till after the breakout 🚀. You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you to 📍, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like 🤪 - just don't say I didn't warn you ⚠️. You're playin' with fire 🔥, and it's your risk, not mine 👊."
📍 Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 4H timeframe (3.300) Day/Swing trade basis.
📍 SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 4.200 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
💨⛽XNG/USD "Natural Gas" Energy Market Heist Plan (Swing / Day Trade) is currently experiencing a bearishness,., driven by several key factors.
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Inventory and Storage Analysis, Seasonal Factors, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets.. go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗🔗🌎🌏🗺
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
The similarities in behaviourNASDAQ:TSLA CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
This is just another example, we can see in depth of the trades that has been involved and the footprint it leaves behind. Everything matters as we can see the psychology behind the trades taken (potential manipulation involved), searching for pools or making test for better supply/demand. we can see a big similarity in this. Im not saying that nat gas will follow the same path as Tesla but the traps/moves are made in a strategic way that we have seen identical trading behaviour so far. Long in general but needs to fill FVG on daily tf.
Natural Gas: Right Shoulder Formation Before Next Sell Order.Our previous analysis accurately predicted the gas market sell-off, allowing us to align with sellers and identify the neckline of a significant head and shoulders pattern.
Now, we're tracking a potential buying opportunity, anticipating the completion of the pattern's right shoulder.
Join us as we target defined profit objectives #1 and #2.
Once these targets are achieved, we'll be ready to shift gears and realign with sellers, maximizing your portfolio's performance through Candlestick Pattern analysis and proactive positioning.
Natural Gas (Henry Hub) – Intraday Outlook | May 1, 2025The previous idea played out well — price hit the first long target cleanly and came just short of the second target, which was 3.4501
📍 Current outlook:
I've updated the ascending channel based on the new pivot points.
If we see a strong buy reaction from the 3.3575 level, I’ll expect to complete the move to 3.4501, and the next goal will be the upper boundary of the channel.
However, if price closes below 3.3585, we may be seeing the beginning of a range formation, with downside potential toward the 3.2556 support zone.
#TechnicalAnalysis #DayTrading #VSA #NG #HenryHub #NaturalGas #FuturesTrading #VolumeSpreadAnalysis
Natural Gas (Henry Hub) – Intraday Outlook | April 30, 2025Volume-based outlook using VSA methodology and key price levels
🕐 Daily Timeframe (D1):
The April 28 daily bar formed a bullish Wide spread bar on high volume. However, price is now approaching a key resistance zone at 3.4714, where sellers previously showed control.
🕐 Hourly Timeframe (H1):
On the M60 chart, we’re seeing the development of an ascending channel.
Just like on the daily, there’s also a bullish wide-spread bar with high volume, signaling the presence of a strong buyer in the market.
However, we haven’t seen a test of that buying effort yet — I'm marking 3.2556 as a likely test zone.
If price breaks and consolidates above the daily level 3.3714 today, this would confirm buyer strength and open the way toward a breakout above the recent swing high at 3.4501.
If the market closes below 3.3714 today, watch for price action near the 3.2556 test level:
If buyers hold 3.2556 → potential targets:
-3.3714 (retest)
-3.4501 (swing high)
If 3.2556 fails and price consolidates below → watch for a deeper move toward:
-Lower boundary of the current range
-Low of the bullish effort bar at 3.0785
Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
#TechnicalAnalysis #DayTrading #VSA #NG #HenryHub #NaturalGas #FuturesTrading #VolumeSpreadAnalysis
NG LONGWithout getting much into fundamentals I am expecting a retrace before start of another rally as ng has more to go to reach $3.45.. Aim is for $4.2 (we have different brokers that may give price inconsistency chart wise). Becareful cuz tomorrow we have report at 3:30 and around the time when report is out theres a good chance for a fake out to trap the sellers as there could be a liquidity war.
Bullfinder's Breakout Commodities - Natural GasWelcome to Bullfinder's Breakout Commodities - Commodities with breakout potential.
In this edition, we'll be looking at PEPPERSTONE:NATGAS ...
Our Team has identified that this code is at a point of particular interest & potential volatility.
After re-rating Natural Gas's momentum to Bullish on the 26th of Nov 2024, our Team has again set eyes on the commodity, noting the following important reference point...
If price can hold above $2.950 ... Significant Bullish potential may be unlocked.
If however price falls below $2.950 ... Significant Bearish risk may come into play.
We're inspired to bring you the latest developments across worldwide markets, helping you look in the right place, at the right time.
Thank you for reading! Stay tuned for further updates, and we look forward to being of service along your trading & investing journey...
Disclaimer: Please note all information contained within this post and all other Bullfinder-official Tradingview content is strictly for informational purposes only and is not intended to be investment advice. Please DYOR & Consult your licensed financial advisors before acting on any information contained within this post, or any other Bullfinder-official TV content.
Trend Reversal With Low Demand Natural Gas Outlook: Bearish signals dominate NATGAS with a Head & Shoulders pattern, Shooting Star, and Bearish Engulfing on the chart.
Technical Indicators: RSI is declining, and MACD shows bearish momentum, supporting further downside.
Weather Impact: The UK forecast for the next two weeks shows mixed conditions—initial sunshine but turning unsettled with rain and wind.
Heating Demand: Temperatures will range between 2°C and 13°C, potentially affecting natural gas consumption.
March 28-31: Breezy conditions with low clouds and occasional showers, possibly moderating demand.
Market Reaction: UK NATGAS price projections show stability around 58.2 on March 28 and 57.7 on March 31.
Key Resistance & Support: Watch $4.00 resistance and $3.60 support for potential breakouts.
Bearish Confirmation: If price closes below $3.80, further downside towards $3.50 could be expected.
Fundamental Factors: Geopolitics and supply dynamics still play a major role in volatility.
Risk Management: Monitor weather updates and gas storage reports for potential reversals.
Short-Term Traders: Bearish entries could target $3.60 with tight stop losses above $4.00.
Long-Term Investors: May look for buying opportunities near strong support zones.
Caution: Unexpected cold snaps or supply disruptions could invalidate bearish scenarios.
Stay Updated: Keep track of weather forecasts and fundamental changes impacting demand/supply.
Not Financial Advice: Do your own research before trading.
Natural gas prices may be poised for a short-term reboundNatural gas prices have fallen by nearly 30% since early March and now appear to have reached oversold conditions, suggesting a potential bounce of more than 10% back to $3.75 per million British thermal units. Natural gas has risen above its 10-day exponential moving average (EMA), indicating a possible short-term trend change. The 10-day EMA, which previously acted as resistance, could provide support as the commodity’s price increases. A failure to maintain it may signal that the attempted trend reversal has been unsuccessful.
Natural gas reached oversold conditions around 20 April, when its relative strength index (RSI) fell to 30 and prices touched the lower Bollinger Band. Momentum now appears to be shifting, with the RSI showing signs of turning upwards and potentially breaking its downtrend. If this positive momentum continues building, natural gas prices could rise towards their 20-day simple moving average (SMA) at $3.56. Should prices extend beyond the 20-day SMA, they could rise to $3.75, where prices consolidated for several days around early April.
A failure to reach the 20-day SMA, or an inability to push beyond that level, could suggest natural gas prices may fall back to retest recent lows around $3.05 to $3.10, with the potential to decline further towards the lower Bollinger Band at $2.85.
For now, natural gas prices indicate a possible short-term turnaround. However, prices will need to continue extending higher to confirm that a bottom has indeed been reached.
Written by Michael J Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management
Disclaimer: CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed.
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