SPX500USD guys, are we expecting flat opening on Monday? My expectation is flat to positive till Asia opening..then Asia will activate risk off..Any views..Cheers..US 500 Index Cash forum
๏ปฟSPX500USD guys, are we expecting flat opening on Monday? My expectation is flat to positive till Asia opening..then Asia will activate risk off..Any views..Cheers..
SPX Monday opening bell gap down ๐คฃ๐๐ฅ๐ป
S&P 500 charts showing bullish momentum, closing at fresh record highs after a strong jobs report. The index surpassed 6,280, driven by a decline in the unemployment rate to 4.1%. Going long, targeting the 6,325 level.
US500.F 6327 shot standard & poori idli vada bhav now 6278 book partially rest trailing stop loss thank you followers ๐
๐ NFP Beat Masks Fragile Undercurrent โ Services PMI Adds Rebound Hopes
๐ Friday, July 04, 2025 | โฐ 10:47 London / 05:47 NYSPX 
NDX
๐ฆ Market Context: Payrolls beat, but soft wages and private hiring signal caution
๐ Data Recap:
โข Non-Farm Payrolls (JUN) โ 147K vs 100K forecast โ ๐ผ Beat headline, weak internals
โข Avg Hourly Earnings YoY โ 3.7% vs 3.9% forecast โ ๐ฝ Cooling wage pressure
โข ISM Services PMI โ 50.8 vs 49.7 forecast โ ๐ผ Modest rebound in services
๐ Todayโs Calendar Highlights:
โข None โ Market digesting macro signals into weekend
โ Expected Bias: Position trimming ahead of next weekโs CPI + FOMC Minutes
๐ Reactions to Watch:
โข SPX: Holding 6,200+ โ short-term bullish tone holds
โข NDX: No strong confirmation โ structure still neutral
โข Gold: Holds breakout above 3,300 โ hedge flows remain active
โข USD: Weak tone โ DXY below 96.60 risks further slide
โข BTC: Needs close above 108K to confirm long re-engagement
โข Oil: Mid-range compression โ waiting for catalyst
๐ Flow Notes:
โข SPX: ๐ข Regained footing above 6,200, flow supports higher grind
โข NDX: โ๏ธ Neutral โ no breakout momentum above 23K
โข BTC: โ๏ธ Coiling โ above 108K triggers renewed energy
โข Gold: ๐ข Macro support intact โ yields rising but flows steady
โข USD: ๐ป Bear flag continues โ USD softness opens metal upside
๐ Trade Ideas for Today
โข ๐ข Long Bias: SPX โ continuation while above 6,200, tailwind from earnings and calendar slope
โข ๐ด Short Bias: USD/DXY โ bear flag, weak reaction to data despite NFP beat
โข โ๏ธ Neutral: BTC โ needs close above 108K for risk-on trigger
Best Wishes and Success to All
๐ก๏ธ Take Profits, Not Chances.
๐ฐ Manage Risk to Accumulate.
๐ฏ React with Clarity, Not Hope.
๐ Flow with Intelligence, Not Noise.
โ๏ธ Views are Personal & Educational, reflective of our Analysis and Research.
๐ฏ Summary posts only. Full context via DM
โ ๏ธ Educational content only. Not investment advice.
๐ Economic Calendar data reflects positioning as of July 04 (reported July 04)
๐ฆ Reference Tag: EconomicCalendar040725
๐ Friday, July 04, 2025 | โฐ 10:47 London / 05:47 NY
SPX NDX๐ฆ Market Context: Payrolls beat, but soft wages and private hiring signal caution
๐ Data Recap:
โข Non-Farm Payrolls (JUN) โ 147K vs 100K forecast โ ๐ผ Beat headline, weak internals
โข Avg Hourly Earnings YoY โ 3.7% vs 3.9% forecast โ ๐ฝ Cooling wage pressure
โข ISM Services PMI โ 50.8 vs 49.7 forecast โ ๐ผ Modest rebound in services
๐ Todayโs Calendar Highlights:
โข None โ Market digesting macro signals into weekend
โ Expected Bias: Position trimming ahead of next weekโs CPI + FOMC Minutes
๐ Reactions to Watch:
โข SPX: Holding 6,200+ โ short-term bullish tone holds
โข NDX: No strong confirmation โ structure still neutral
โข Gold: Holds breakout above 3,300 โ hedge flows remain active
โข USD: Weak tone โ DXY below 96.60 risks further slide
โข BTC: Needs close above 108K to confirm long re-engagement
โข Oil: Mid-range compression โ waiting for catalyst
๐ Flow Notes:
โข SPX: ๐ข Regained footing above 6,200, flow supports higher grind
โข NDX: โ๏ธ Neutral โ no breakout momentum above 23K
โข BTC: โ๏ธ Coiling โ above 108K triggers renewed energy
โข Gold: ๐ข Macro support intact โ yields rising but flows steady
โข USD: ๐ป Bear flag continues โ USD softness opens metal upside
๐ Trade Ideas for Today
โข ๐ข Long Bias: SPX โ continuation while above 6,200, tailwind from earnings and calendar slope
โข ๐ด Short Bias: USD/DXY โ bear flag, weak reaction to data despite NFP beat
โข โ๏ธ Neutral: BTC โ needs close above 108K for risk-on trigger
Best Wishes and Success to All
๐ก๏ธ Take Profits, Not Chances.
๐ฐ Manage Risk to Accumulate.
๐ฏ React with Clarity, Not Hope.
๐ Flow with Intelligence, Not Noise.
โ๏ธ Views are Personal & Educational, reflective of our Analysis and Research.
๐ฏ Summary posts only. Full context via DM
โ ๏ธ Educational content only. Not investment advice.
๐ Economic Calendar data reflects positioning as of July 04 (reported July 04)
๐ฆ Reference Tag: EconomicCalendar040725
US500.F 6327 shot hold with tslSPX 
SPYWell, happy 4th of July tomorrow! Enjoy the long weekend.
I walked out of the market today with a small loss of -$52, which actually feels like a big win for me. I entered too early on the trend with an SPX short call spread (yes, fighting the trend like a true liquidity provider), influenced by the idea of the early market close.
The final drop of SPX below 6272 saved me from a potential $4,900 loss. I had been waiting for that drop for hours, and it finally came in the last 10 minutes.
Thank you, God, for todayโs lessons and for guiding me to avoid a major loss and for giving me the strength to trust my faith over my fear.
Today is a green day for me. ๐๐ป
ATH or Fade? SPX500USD
๐ Monday, June 30, 2025 | โฐ 16:15 London/BST / 11:15 NY/EDT
๐ฆ Status: Structure Holds โ Pre-Holiday Clock Pressure Builds
๐ NAS100USD | 22,874
Structure: โ Trend intact above 22,800
Flow Bias: ๐ผ Bulls remain in control
Watch: ๐ฏ 23,000 remains the magnet โ but liquidity may thin post-London
๐ No need to fight the flow โ just respect the timing.
๐ SPX500USD | 6,283.7
Gamma Map: โ Above flip, inside continuation zone
Risk: ๐งญ Dealer support fading into close
๐ Compression breakout respected โ but extension risk increases
๐ BTC, DXY, Yields
BTC: ๐ฅ 109,598 โ lagging tech, risk proxy softening
Gold: ๐ฝ 3,325 โ failed breakout
DXY/Yields: ๐ผ Nudging higher โ may cap risk-on momentum
VIX: ๐ฝ 16.42 โ masking underlying tension
๐ฏ Takeaway:
Levels mapped. Markets respected them.
But with London close nearing and US holiday ahead, the clock now matters more than the price.
๐ NAS100USD โ 22,874
๐ SPX500USD โ 6,283
๐ BTC โ Still lagging at 109K
๐ Gold โ Rejected off highs
๐ VIX โ Slipping, but risk rising
๐ Yields + DXY โ Nudging up = caution
๐ฏ Summary Insight:
Donโt fight the structure โ but do respect the clock.
๐ London close is near, and holiday de-risking can reverse intraday drifts.
Momentum favours bulls โ but itโs thin ice above.
Best Wishes and Success to All
๐ก๏ธ Take Profits, Not Chances.
๐ฐ Manage Risk to Accumulate.
๐ฏ React with Clarity, Not Hope.
๐ Flow with Intelligence, Not Noise.
โ๏ธ Views are Personal & Educational, reflective of our Analysis and Research.
๐ฏ Summary posts only. Full context via DM
โ ๏ธ Educational content only. Not investment advice.
SPX500USD ๐ Monday, June 30, 2025 | โฐ 16:15 London/BST / 11:15 NY/EDT
๐ฆ Status: Structure Holds โ Pre-Holiday Clock Pressure Builds
๐ NAS100USD | 22,874
Structure: โ Trend intact above 22,800
Flow Bias: ๐ผ Bulls remain in control
Watch: ๐ฏ 23,000 remains the magnet โ but liquidity may thin post-London
๐ No need to fight the flow โ just respect the timing.
๐ SPX500USD | 6,283.7
Gamma Map: โ Above flip, inside continuation zone
Risk: ๐งญ Dealer support fading into close
๐ Compression breakout respected โ but extension risk increases
๐ BTC, DXY, Yields
BTC: ๐ฅ 109,598 โ lagging tech, risk proxy softening
Gold: ๐ฝ 3,325 โ failed breakout
DXY/Yields: ๐ผ Nudging higher โ may cap risk-on momentum
VIX: ๐ฝ 16.42 โ masking underlying tension
๐ฏ Takeaway:
Levels mapped. Markets respected them.
But with London close nearing and US holiday ahead, the clock now matters more than the price.
๐ NAS100USD โ 22,874
๐ SPX500USD โ 6,283
๐ BTC โ Still lagging at 109K
๐ Gold โ Rejected off highs
๐ VIX โ Slipping, but risk rising
๐ Yields + DXY โ Nudging up = caution
๐ฏ Summary Insight:
Donโt fight the structure โ but do respect the clock.
๐ London close is near, and holiday de-risking can reverse intraday drifts.
Momentum favours bulls โ but itโs thin ice above.
Best Wishes and Success to All
๐ก๏ธ Take Profits, Not Chances.
๐ฐ Manage Risk to Accumulate.
๐ฏ React with Clarity, Not Hope.
๐ Flow with Intelligence, Not Noise.
โ๏ธ Views are Personal & Educational, reflective of our Analysis and Research.
๐ฏ Summary posts only. Full context via DM
โ ๏ธ Educational content only. Not investment advice.
US500.F 6326...38...48 sell & carry my view sl u decide ๐ค