You just pass a law that says that any time there's a deficit of more than three percent of GDP, all sitting members of Congress are ineligible for re election
SPX500USD guys, are we expecting flat opening on Monday? My expectation is flat to positive till Asia opening..then Asia will activate risk off..Any views..Cheers..
S&P 500 charts showing bullish momentum, closing at fresh record highs after a strong jobs report. The index surpassed 6,280, driven by a decline in the unemployment rate to 4.1%. Going long, targeting the 6,325 level.
🌀 NFP Beat Masks Fragile Undercurrent — Services PMI Adds Rebound Hopes 📆 Friday, July 04, 2025 | ⏰ 10:47 London / 05:47 NY SPXNDX 📦 Market Context: Payrolls beat, but soft wages and private hiring signal caution
📉 Data Recap: • Non-Farm Payrolls (JUN) → 147K vs 100K forecast → 🔼 Beat headline, weak internals • Avg Hourly Earnings YoY → 3.7% vs 3.9% forecast → 🔽 Cooling wage pressure • ISM Services PMI → 50.8 vs 49.7 forecast → 🔼 Modest rebound in services
🔎 Today’s Calendar Highlights: • None — Market digesting macro signals into weekend → Expected Bias: Position trimming ahead of next week’s CPI + FOMC Minutes
📊 Reactions to Watch: • SPX: Holding 6,200+ — short-term bullish tone holds • NDX: No strong confirmation — structure still neutral • Gold: Holds breakout above 3,300 — hedge flows remain active • USD: Weak tone — DXY below 96.60 risks further slide • BTC: Needs close above 108K to confirm long re-engagement • Oil: Mid-range compression — waiting for catalyst
🔍 Flow Notes: • SPX: 🟢 Regained footing above 6,200, flow supports higher grind • NDX: ⚖️ Neutral — no breakout momentum above 23K • BTC: ⚖️ Coiling — above 108K triggers renewed energy • Gold: 🟢 Macro support intact — yields rising but flows steady • USD: 🔻 Bear flag continues — USD softness opens metal upside
📈 Trade Ideas for Today • 🟢 Long Bias: SPX — continuation while above 6,200, tailwind from earnings and calendar slope • 🔴 Short Bias: USD/DXY — bear flag, weak reaction to data despite NFP beat • ⚖️ Neutral: BTC — needs close above 108K for risk-on trigger
Best Wishes and Success to All 🛡️ Take Profits, Not Chances. 💰 Manage Risk to Accumulate. 🎯 React with Clarity, Not Hope. 🌊 Flow with Intelligence, Not Noise.
⚙️ Views are Personal & Educational, reflective of our Analysis and Research. 🎯 Summary posts only. Full context via DM
⚠️ Educational content only. Not investment advice. 📉 Economic Calendar data reflects positioning as of July 04 (reported July 04)
Well, happy 4th of July tomorrow! Enjoy the long weekend.
I walked out of the market today with a small loss of -$52, which actually feels like a big win for me. I entered too early on the trend with an SPX short call spread (yes, fighting the trend like a true liquidity provider), influenced by the idea of the early market close.
The final drop of SPX below 6272 saved me from a potential $4,900 loss. I had been waiting for that drop for hours, and it finally came in the last 10 minutes.
Thank you, God, for today’s lessons and for guiding me to avoid a major loss and for giving me the strength to trust my faith over my fear.