Bearish drop off pullback resistance?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) has rejected off the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the pullback support.
Pivot: 61.64
1st Support: 59.89
1st Resistance: 63.13
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USCRUDEOILCFD trade ideas
Crude Oil Breaks Out — Is $65.5 the Next Wall?Price started its bullish move in the first week of April, and since then, it’s been making higher lows. Today’s candle broke cleanly above a key trendline, and price is now heading toward the $65.5 resistance, which could act as a critical decision zone.
Key Levels:
- Support: Around $63.2
- Resistance: $65.5 (next major wall)
- Setup: Trendline Breakout
What I’m Watching:
When price gets to 65.5, I’ll be looking for:
- A strong breakout (maybe even retest + continuation) to hold my buy
- Or a clear rejection to scale out or re-evaluate
I’m staying patient. I’ve picked my setup and I’m sticking to it — no jumping around. Let’s see how this plays out.
Cheers!
pClem Trades
Is this still the ‘Top Trade’ of 2025? (WTI crude oil)It’s not a big secret actually- I’m talking about crude oil!
In the final week of 2024, the team and I highlighted two versions of the WTI crude oil weekly chart and asked ‘is this the top trade of 2024?’
Version 1 has already happened, WTI crude hit $55 per barrel, the downside objective of the smaller triangle pattern on the chart.
Version 2 showed a much larger triangle pattern (which we show again this week) and had a downside target of nearly $30! It would take a lot of conviction to ride the price that far down, but could crude oil still move a lot lower this year?
What’s interesting is that this is still one of the ‘less talked about’ situations in the market today because of the huge volatility seen in both stocks, forex and fixed income.
And I like that nobody’st talking about it - because you don’t want everyone in on it - that means the move could already be over.
Crude oil hit a five-year low. That’s meaningful.
Strong markets don’t hit 5-year lows, weak markets do. And we like to sell weak markets.
Of course, ‘oversold markets’ hit 5-year lows too - and that largely explains the ‘bottom feeders’ who bought WTI crude oil at $55.
Downside volatility got extreme owing to Trump’s tariffs and mean-reversion helped it rebound on news of the 90-day pause, much like stock markets.
I am completely open to the idea that $55 is a multi-year low and essentially marked the bottom. The huge Hammer reversal candlestick pattern adds weight to that idea.
But with the price having hit $65 last week, buying the lows is yesterday’s trade. What do we do today?
We will be looking to do what we said in Week 53 of 2024 in case crude oil turns out to be the ‘top trade of 2025’ as we imagined.
By the way, Brent crude oil has a very similar setup so this is not a ‘US oil’ thing.
There are two parts to trading ‘planning the trade, and trading the plan’.
There isn’t much use in making a plan, and not taking the trade.
There are always reasons not to take a trade- but if it’s a ‘good trade’ that fits the rules of your trading strategy, then those reasons are usually just ‘noise’.
WTI Crude (USO/USD)
Long term chart (weekly)
Trend: Down
Phase: Re-test of breakdown
Resistance = $70
Support = $55
Price action: Price has broken down, rebounded and is now testing the breakdown level, while under the 30-week moving average. Should the price break back over the broken long term rising trendline then we know the idea, or at least the timing on the idea is not right.
View: Bearish while under broken up-sloping long term support
Shorting the USOIL Looking at the longer trajectory of the Oil chart, I am not too bullish and optimistic about its future.
Weekly chart reveals it is still trending down in the channel with mid Jan this year giving the bulls a false hope only to falls further south. I expect the price to slightly moves up to the resistance level (OR higher to create a bull trap) at 66.08 before it comes down again. My profit target is around 51.54.
The risk/reward ratio looks good to me. Always have a STOP LOSS no matter how confident you think you are in your charting. IT is still based on probability from historical patterns and it may or may not repeats itself........Nothing is 100% certain in today's volatile market.
Please DYODD
USOILUSOIL price is near the support zone 62.10-60.89. If the price cannot break through 60.89, it is expected that in the short term there is a chance that the price will rebound. Consider buying in the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
❤️ Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!
USOIL Will Go Down! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for USOIL.
Time Frame: 8h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 61.191.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 56.009 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Long From Support Explained
There is a high chance that WTI Crude Oil will go up
from the underlined key daily support.
As a confirmation, the price violated both a neckline of an inverted
head & shoulders pattern and a resistance line of a falling wedge
on an hourly time frame.
Goals: 63.780 / 64.275
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Great Chance To Buy OIL To Get 500 Pips , Do You Agree ?Here is a very simple analysis on OIL . We have a broken res and very good price action , so i`m waiting the price to enter new trade on this pair , will wait for bullish Price Action on 1H / 2H Time frames to confirm my entry .
This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
USOIL Opening Trends and Trading Strategies Next WeekTrend Analysis
As shown in the chart, in the 1 - hour time frame, USOIL is moving within an upward - trending channel 📈. This channel is defined by two trendlines, and the price is fluctuating upwards within it. Although there have been pullback trends during this period, the overall trend remains upward. This indicates that in the short term, the bullish forces are relatively dominant, driving the price to gradually climb 📈. However, the frequent price fluctuations also reflect a certain degree of game - playing between the bulls and bears in the market 🤺.
⚡⚡⚡ USOIL ⚡⚡⚡
🚀 Buy@61.5 - 62.0
🚀 TP 63.5 - 65.0
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟
USOIL Crab Harmonic PatternThe potential for an increase in oil prices is on the horizon, especially as buyers seem to be showing interest at the golden Fibonacci level of 60.7 USD, which aligns with harmonic patterns resembling a crab.
This fascinating interplay between market psychology and technical analysis highlights how traders often react to specific price levels.
As we observe these developments, it’s essential to keep an eye on market trends and the underlying factors influencing oil prices.
Long trade
30min TF overview
🛢 WTICOUSD – Buy-Side Trade
📅 Date: Thursday, 24th April 2025
🕘 Time: 9:00 AM (New York Time)
📍 Session: London AM
📊 Entry Timeframe: (5m)
Trade Parameters
Entry Price: 63.238
Take Profit: 66.619 (+5.54%)
Stop Loss: 63.036 (–0.32%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 16.74
Reasoning - Narrative
This WTI Crude Oil long trade was initiated during the London AM session, a time when commodity markets often see increased activity and institutional positioning. The trade followed a sharp reaction off a discounted price zone, which aligned with a previously unmitigated bullish order block on the intraday chart.
Before entry, price performed a liquidity sweep below 63.10, triggering stops from earlier long positions and clearing out sell-side pressure
WTI: B- tradeA page from my trading journal. Please take it with a grain of salt, as I’m still learning and growing 🌟
Bias balance
• Short (Fade 64.50)
– Risk: Small SL (tight)
– Reward: 3–4 points
– Probability: High
– Setup Grade: B
• Long (Breakout > 64.50)
– Risk: Moderate
– Reward: 3–5 points
– Probability: Medium
– Setup Grade: B-
USOIL: Bearish Forecast & Outlook
The recent price action on the USOIL pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bearish one and I think we will see the price go down.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Primary and secondary rhythm: sudden drop in crude oil pricesLast week, OPEC announced a new compensation plan to offset previous overproduction. Under the plan, eight affected countries plan to reduce production by a total of 457,000 barrels per day by mid-2026, failing to sustain a short-term rise in oil prices.
Crude oil's short-term trend hit strong resistance near 64.90 and fell, with the decline erasing the gains of the previous three trading days. The MACD fast and slow lines remain within bearish momentum, indicating abundant downward momentum. From the perspective of primary and secondary rhythms, the decline in the North American market yesterday formed a primary downward trend, while the weak rebound in early trading today represents a secondary rhythm. According to the law of primary-secondary alternation, crude oil is expected to continue to decline today, breaking below the 61.50 support level and testing 60.
USOIL
sell@62.8-63.3
tp:61.5-61
I hope this strategy will be helpful to you.
When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
XTIUSD – 4H Short Position ExplanationI have entered a short position on XTIUSD (WTI Crude Oil) based on a multi-timeframe bearish confluence setup:
Weekly and Daily Trend: The overall structure on both the weekly and daily charts is bearish, showing a consistent downtrend and favoring sell setups.
Daily Chart Structure: Recently, price formed a lower high on the daily timeframe, indicating continued bearish pressure and a rejection from a key resistance zone.
4H Price Action: On the 4-hour chart, price has broken a major support level, confirming the bearish momentum. This breakdown increases the probability of further downside movement.
Trendline & Structure: The pair is respecting a descending trendline, further supporting the bearish scenario.
RSI Confirmation: The RSI has dropped below 40 and continues to trend downward, reflecting bearish strength without yet being oversold.
This trade aligns with the higher timeframe trend, with a clear break of support and momentum favoring sellers. The risk is managed above the broken structure, and the setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
USOIL SPOT CASH ANALYSIS Oil Analysis:
Overall Trend: The general trend remains bearish, moving towards key supportive correction zones aligned with Fibonacci retracement levels.
Technical Signals:
A regular hidden positive divergence has appeared, suggesting a potential upward movement from the corrective Fibonacci levels.
Outlook:
Based on the current setup, there are expectations for a bullish rebound from the corrective zones toward higher target areas, as illustrated in the accompanying chart.
Concerns about demand limit the upside potentialCrude oil lacks upward momentum, with the target pointing to $60.
USOIL
sell@62.8-63.3
tp:61.5-61
I hope this strategy will be helpful to you.
When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
USOIL SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 64.59
Target Level: 60.50
Stop Loss: 67.30
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 12h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅