USOIL:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next WeekAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Fundamental Analysis:
In the short term, geopolitical risks will continue to dominate market sentiment, with oil prices likely to oscillate at elevated levels or even test higher. However, from a medium-to-long-term perspective, OPEC+ production increase plans, uncertainties in global economic recovery, and the acceleration of energy transition may weigh on oil prices again. In any case, the subsequent evolution of the Middle East "powder keg" will profoundly influence the operational logic of the global energy market in the second half of the year. Investors should closely monitor developments and flexibly navigate this volatile oil market landscape.
Technical Analysis:
Prices rebounded after finding support in the $70–$71 range. The MACD indicator remains above the zero line, with strong bullish momentum intact.
Overhead resistance lies in the $75–$76 zone, while support is seen at $71–$70. Crude oil is expected to continue its upward trend next week.
Trading Recommendations:
Primary strategy: Buy on pullbacks
Secondary strategy: Sell on rallies
Trading Strategy:
buy@70-71
TP:75-76
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USCRUDEOILCFD trade ideas
"Go long on crude oil with strong unilateral pullback"The market is weighing the impact of global trade tensions on the global crude oil demand outlook. After two days of intense consultations in London, the Asian giant and the U.S. have reached a framework agreement on restarting trade talks. U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said after the negotiations that the framework still needs review and approval from President Trump. Crude oil continued to rise after a pullback correction, showing a single bearish candlestick retracement pattern on the daily chart. With price supported at the MA5 level, it continues to make new highs, and this rally could target the 67.0 level.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Trading Strategy:
buy@64.0-64.5
TP:66.5-67.0
USOIL The current conflict between Iran and Israel has caused a sharp spike in oil prices due to fears of supply disruptions in a geopolitically sensitive region that is critical for global energy flows.
Key Effects on Oil Prices:
Price Surge:
Oil prices jumped over 7% on June 13, 2025, reaching multi-month highs. Brent crude rose to $76.190 close 73.535 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude climbed to around $77.542 before closing at 72.91 per barrel on Friday
Earlier intraday spikes were even higher, with Brent briefly surging over 13% and WTI over 14%, marking the largest single-day gains since March 2022.
Risk Premium and Supply Concerns:
The Israeli strike on Iran significantly raised the "risk premium" on oil prices as markets worry about potential retaliation by Iran targeting oil infrastructure or blocking the Strait of Hormuz, a vital shipping route for about 20% of the world’s oil.
Iran produces about 3.3 million barrels per day (3% of global supply) and exports 1.5 million barrels daily, mainly to China and Turkey. Disruptions here could tighten global supply considerably.
Potential for Further Price Increases:
Analysts warn that if the conflict escalates, oil prices could surge beyond current levels, potentially topping $93 to $100 per barrel if Iran blocks the Strait of Hormuz or attacks Gulf energy installations.
Goldman Sachs projects Brent crude could peak slightly above $90 per barrel before falling back as supply stabilizes.
Broader Market Impact:
The conflict has also caused stock market declines and a flight to safe-haven assets like gold, which rose sharply alongside the oil price spike.
U.S. gasoline prices are expected to rise in the coming days due to higher crude costs, potentially increasing fuel prices significantly if the conflict worsens.
Summary
The Iran-Israel conflict has already caused a major jump in oil prices due to fears of supply disruptions in a key oil-producing region. The risk of Iran retaliating by targeting oil infrastructure or blocking the Strait of Hormuz could lead to sustained higher prices, with some analysts warning of a possible spike to $93–$100 per barrel if tensions escalate further. This situation is closely monitored by markets given its potential to impact global energy supplies and inflation worldwide
#USOIL #OIL
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Pullback From Key Level
WTI Crude Oil looks overbought after a test of key daily horizontal resistance level.
A violation of a minor horizontal support on an hourly time frame after its test
provides a strong intraday confirmation.
I expect a retracement to 66.33 level.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
WTI Crude Oil 4H Chart – Bullish Setup from Demand Zone📈 Current Price: $61.74
🔵 Key Zones & Levels
🔹 Demand Zone (Buy Area):
🟦 $59.48 – $61.39
→ Price expected to bounce here
→ 🔄 Potential reversal zone
🔹 Entry Point:
🎯 $61.39
→ Ideal level to enter LONG
→ Just above demand zone
🔹 Stop Loss:
🛑 Below $59.48
→ Exit if price drops here
→ Protects capital
🔹 Target Point:
🚀 $67.00
→ Profit-taking zone
→ Strong resistance zone nearby:
* 66.63
* 66.75
* 67.60
📊 Indicators
📍 EMA (70): 🔴 61.40
→ Price trading above = bullish signal
→ EMA acting as support
📏 Trendline Channel:
🔼 Higher highs & higher lows
→ Supports uptrend continuation
📌 Trade Plan Summary
* Bias: 📈 Bullish
* Buy: At 61.39
* Stop: Below 59.48 🛑
* Target: 67.00 🎯
* Risk-Reward: ✔️ Favorable (~1:3)
🔍 What to Watch
* ✅ Bullish candles in demand zone
* 🔁 Retest of EMA or lower channel
* ❌ Avoid if it breaks below $59.48
USOIL Remains Bullish Amid Geopolitical Tensions and Steady Fed USOIL – Bullish Outlook Amid Geopolitical and Policy Factors
The ongoing escalation in the Middle East, combined with Jerome Powell's stance on holding interest rates steady, continues to support bullish momentum across commodities, including oil.
Technical Outlook:
USOIL remains bullish as long as it trades above 72.72 and more firmly above 70.40, with upside potential toward 77.30 and 79.50. If bullish momentum persists, a further extension to 84.14 is possible, supported by geopolitical risks.
A bearish shift is only likely if significant de-escalation or negotiations between Israel and Iran take place.
Key Levels:
• Pivot Point: 72.90
• Resistance: 77.29, 79.50, 84.10
• Support: 66.87, 63.52, 59.00
Trend Outlook:
Bullish while price holds above 68.53
Oil prices surge amid Middle East turmoil
💡Message Strategy
WTI prices climbed to a nearly two-month high, weighed down by rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
📊Technical aspects
From the daily chart level, crude oil's medium-term trend is upward around the moving average system, and the medium-term objective trend is mainly oscillating upward. Oil prices gradually rise to the upper edge of the range.
From the perspective of momentum, the MACD indicator fast and slow lines cross the zero axis upward, and the bullish momentum begins to warm up. The K line closes with a small positive line continuously. If the oil price breaks through the range resistance in the later period, the medium-term trend is expected to further rise and test the 80 line.
The short-term (4H) trend of crude oil fluctuated upward and hit a new high of 70. The moving average system is arranged in a bullish pattern, and the short-term objective trend direction remains upward. The K-line closed with a large real positive line in the early trading, showing an upward main trend.
The MACD indicator opened upward above the zero axis, and the bullish momentum was dominant. It is expected that the crude oil trend will continue to break upward during the day.
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position:70.00-72.20,Target 75.50
US CRUDE OIL(#WTI) : Bullish Trend Continues📈USOIL is trading in a bullish trend on a 4H time frame.
After a prolonged upward movement, it started to consolidated within a horizontal range for a while.
Recently, the resistance of this range was breached, indicating strong buyer momentum.
I believe the upward movement may persist, potentially leading the market to reach the 65.00 level soon.
USOIL What Next? SELL!
My dear friends,
USOIL looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 64.73 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 63.36
Recommended Stop Loss - 65.42
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USOILThe correlation between USOIL (WTI crude oil prices) and DXY (US Dollar Index) has historically been inverse, but structural shifts in global energy markets and economic dynamics are altering this relationship.
Oil is globally traded in USD. A stronger dollar makes oil more expensive for buyers using other currencies, potentially dampening demand and lowering oil prices. Conversely, a weaker dollar makes oil cheaper, boosting demand and prices.
Trade Balance Impact:
Historically, the U.S. was a net oil importer. Rising oil prices worsened its trade deficit, weakening the dollar. This reinforced the inverse correlation.
Recent Structural Shifts
U.S. as a Net Oil Exporter:
Since becoming the world’s largest crude oil producer (surpassing Saudi Arabia and Russia), higher oil prices now improve the U.S. trade balance by boosting export revenue. This has weakened the traditional inverse relationship
Geopolitical risks: Oil supply fears and safe-haven dollar demand can push both higher.
Federal Reserve Policy:
Hawkish monetary policies that strengthen the dollar can suppress oil prices, but if paired with strong U.S. growth (supporting oil demand), the correlation may turn neutral or positive.
Positive correlations may persist during risk-off events or U.S.-centric demand surges.
Inverse correlations likely resurface if global growth slows or the Fed pivots dovish.
The U.S. dollar may increasingly behave like a "petrocurrency," strengthening with oil prices as exports grow.
#usoil
USOIL || Geopolitical Spike Hits Major Resistance - Watch $77.77🛢️
📅 June 13, 2025
👤 By: MJTRADING
🔍 🧭 Fundamental Context – Risk Premium on the Rise:
Crude oil surged sharply today following reports of Israeli airstrikes on Iranian territory — a move that reawakens fears of broader Middle East escalation. Iran plays a crucial role in OPEC and controls the strategic Strait of Hormuz , through which ~20% of global oil passes.
While Iran has not officially responded yet, markets are pricing in the potential for:
* Military retaliation
* Disruption of oil exports or maritime routes
* Heightened volatility across global risk assets
=======================================================
📉 📊 Technical Structure – Tag of Key Resistance at $77.7:
Price exploded upward, piercing the descending channel that's been intact since mid-2022.
Today's daily wick tagged the $77.70 level, a major horizontal resistance and channel top.
This zone has repeatedly acted as a pivot in both bullish and bearish phases.
Volume confirmed the move – highest daily volume in months, suggesting institutional reaction.
💡 Trading Outlook:
🔼 Scenario A – Breakout & Close Above $77.7 = Bull Continuation
If tomorrow closes firmly above $77.70:
Target 1: $88.88 supply zone
Target 2: $90.00 psychological resistance
Setup: Conservative entries on retest of $75–77 area with tight invalidation
🔽 Scenario B – Failed Breakout → Fade Back Inside Channel
If this was a headline-driven spike with no follow-through, bears may re-enter strongly
A close below $75 could confirm bull trap
Support zone to watch: $66.66 (mid-channel, EMA confluence)
⚠️ Risk Factors to Monitor:
Iran’s response (military, diplomatic, strategic)
US/NATO reaction to potential escalation
Strait of Hormuz disruption
OPEC commentary or Saudi-led output adjustment
Market sentiment unwind (profit-taking from overbought spike)
💬 Markets love emotion, but traders survive with structure. This is not the time to be reckless — size down, be responsive, and respect both breakouts and fakeouts.
📎 #CrudeOil #Geopolitics #OilSpike #WTI #MiddleEastTensions #Iran #IranIsrael #TechnicalAnalysis #MJTRADING
Crude oil rose as expected
💡Message Strategy
OPEC’s crude output increase in May was lower than required by the OPEC+ agreement, which had planned to increase production sharply last month.
The five OPEC members that pledged to cut production in the OPEC+ agreement and are now gradually lifting the cuts had to increase production by a combined 310,000 barrels per day, but according to data from oil flow tracking companies and surveys of sources at OPEC, oil companies and consultancies, they only increased production by 180,000 barrels per day.
This was because Iraq cut production to make up for a long period of overproduction, while Saudi Arabia and the UAE increased production by less than their target levels, the survey found.
Saudi Arabia had the largest increase in May compared to April. According to the survey, OPEC's largest producer and de facto leader, as well as the leader of the OPEC+ alliance, increased production by 130,000 barrels per day.
This is also one of the driving forces accelerating gold's rise
📊Technical aspects
WTI crude oil prices finally extended their upward momentum. However, crude oil prices have risen as tensions in the US-China trade war ease and global oil demand recovers from tariff-related pressures.
From the daily chart level, crude oil's medium-term trend is hovering around the moving average system, and the medium-term objective trend is mainly fluctuating and rising. Oil prices gradually rise to the upper edge of the range. From the perspective of momentum, the MACD indicator fast and slow lines cross the zero axis upward, and the bullish momentum begins to warm up. The K line closes with a small positive line continuously. If the oil price breaks through the range resistance in the later period, the medium-term trend is expected to further rise and test the 70 line
The short-term (2H) trend of crude oil continued to rise. The oil price encountered resistance near 65.40, and the K-line crossed the moving average system, and the short-term objective upward trend changed. The second large real negative line formed the main rhythm. It is expected that the crude oil trend will further fall to around 64.50 during the day, and then restart the upward momentum.
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position: 64.50-65.00,65.00-65.30
WTI Cash Bearish Divergence BearishU.S. Iran tensions, U.S. China Talks, U.S. Production capacity down,Inflation high
Techincally: Volume surges, Divergence,
Targets: See the chart.
Entries: 3 approches(red Boxes)
I am short. I stay short. At current level (above 64 risk of being bullish is higher than being short).
Mange risk tightly.
SELL TRADE IDEA Entry Point: 68.30SELL TRADE IDEA
Entry Point: 68.30
🔻 Initiating a SELL position on USOIL
🔍 Bearish trend forming – short-term weakness spotted
🎯 Final Target: 64.50
📉 Room for downside movement
📊 Following resistance rejection and trend signals
🛑 Risk Management Comes First
📌 Always set a stop-loss before entering
💼 Risk only what you can afford to lose
🔒 Protect your capital – it’s your trading fuel
🧠 Emotionless trading wins over time
📈 Adjust lot size to match account risk plan
⚠️ Oil markets can move fast – stay alert
⏱ Timeframe: Intraday to short-term swing
🚫 Avoid revenge trading – trust your setup
🔁 Re-evaluate if structure changes
🔧 Use trailing stops once in profit
💬 Smart trades are protected trades
#USOIL #CrudeOil #SellSignal #Commodities #RiskManagement #OilTrade
Bulls on the Loose: US Oil Spot/WTI Heist Strategy! 🚨💰 THE OIL VAULT HEIST: US OIL SPOT/WTI TRADING STRATEGY 💸🔫
🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers 🤑💰💸✈️
Based on our 🔥Thief Trading style analysis🔥 (both technical and fundamental), here’s the master plan to heist the US Oil Spot/WTI Energy Market. Follow the blueprint carefully—this strategy focuses on long entries, with a daring escape planned near the high-risk Red ATR line Zone where bearish robbers and consolidation traps await. 🏆💸 Take your profit and treat yourself, fellow traders—you earned it! 💪🏆🎉
🕵️♂️ Entry 📈
💥 The vault is wide open! Time to swipe that bullish loot—heist is on!
Place buy limit orders within the 15 or 30-minute timeframe, near swing lows/highs for pullback entries.
🛑 Stop Loss 🛑
📍 Thief’s SL—recent swing low and below the moving average (4H timeframe) for day/swing trades.
📍 Adjust SL based on risk, lot size, and number of orders.
🎯 Target
🏴☠️💥 69.000 (Aim for the big loot!) OR escape before the target
🔥 Market Heist Overview
The UK Oil Spot/Brent market is currently showing bullishness 🐂, driven by key factors—perfect for a day/scalping trade robbery! ☝☝☝
📰 Additional Tools & Analysis
📊 Get the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentiment Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future Targets—check our bi0 liinks 👉👉👉🔗🔗
⚠️ Trading Alert: News Releases & Position Management
📰 News can rattle the vault! 💥
✅ Avoid new trades during news releases.
✅ Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect profits.
💖 Supporting our heist plan?
💥 Smash the Boost Button 💥 to empower the robbery team.
Let’s make money every day in this market with the Thief Trading Style! 🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
👀 Stay tuned for the next robbery plan, thieves! 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
USOIL Trade Setup: Watching for a Bullish Break After Pullback 📈 US OIL Trade Plan
Currently, USOIL is in a strong bullish trend 🔥 — price action has pushed into overextended territory, which opens the door for a potential pullback 🌀.
I'm watching for a WTI retracement into equilibrium, ideally aligning with the 50%–61.8% Fibonacci levels from the previous swing low to high 🔍📉. If price corrects into that zone and we find support, followed by a bullish break in market structure 💥 — that would be the confirmation I’m waiting for to consider a long position 🚀.
⚠️ Key Level to Watch: That structure break is the trigger — no confirmation, no trade 🧠.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This content is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own analysis and consult a professional before making trading decisions. Trade responsibly.
Crude Oil Tests Monthly High—Bullish or Liquidity Grab? FenzoFx—Crude Oil broke above its previous monthly high at $64.61, trading around $65.27. While a bullish trend is indicated by a 23,000 increase in buy-side contracts, technical signals suggest caution.
RSI 14 shows bearish divergence, and the Stochastic Oscillator remains overbought. Oil could consolidate before resuming its uptrend. Buying breakouts isn’t advised. A dip toward $63.02 may offer a discounted entry.
$USOIL & $XLE: Sustainable bull run or short-term bounce?Recently the commodities and the commodity stocks are having a bull run. Oil being one of the largest categories within the Bloomberg Commodity Index Futures is late to the party after the AMEX:GLD rally. In my recent posts I made the case that the TVC:USOIL will remain range bound, and we will see 55 $ in $USOIL. But since then, TVC:USOIL has gone through a small rally with price currently @ 65 $ which has taken it closer to the 0.5 Fib retracement level. AMEX:XLE , which represents the S&P500 energy sector stocks, is also attempting to post a rally.
In the short-term markets have diverged from our last predictions. Let’s be honest in the short term such rallies might be accompanied by short covering and the weakness in TVC:DXY is also helping the Energy rally. But now the question comes where do we go from here?
TVC:USOIL and AMEX:XLE can have a bull rally due to short covering and momentum pushing it across the 0.5 Fib level. If TVC:USOIL breaks above 0.5 then the next stop 0.618 will take us 80 $ indicating a 25% upside form here. And a similar upside in the AMEX:XLE will take us 131 $, which is also 25% up from its current value and the upper range of the upward slopping channel indicative from the chart.
Verdict: Short term probable bounce in TVC:USOIL and $XLE. Long term bearish on TVC:USOIL with target 55 - 60 $.
TRADE ALERT: USOIL SELL SETUP ENTRY: 64.50 (Sell)TRADE ALERT: USOIL SELL SETUP
ENTRY: 64.50 (Sell)
🎯 Target 1: 64.00
🎯 Target 2: 63.00
🎯 Target 3: 62.00
🎯 Final Target: 60.00
🛑 STOP LOSS: Always use proper risk management!
⚠️ Risk no more than 1–2% of your capital per trade.
🔍 Setup based on technical analysis and price action.
💡 Breakdown:
• Strong resistance near 64.50
• Bearish momentum building
• Downtrend continuation likely
📊 Monitor volume and market sentiment
🧠 Stay disciplined, don’t chase entries
⏰ Timing is key — watch for confirmation
📅 Short to mid-term outlook
📌 This is not financial advice, just my trading plan.
✅ Stick to your rules
🔁 Trade the plan, not emotions
#USOIL #CrudeOil #TradingSignals #SellSetup #Forex #Commodities #RiskManagement #TradeSmart #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction