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US Crude Oil CFD

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USCRUDEOILCFD trade ideas

WTI Crude INTRADAT bearish below 6865The WTI Crude Oil price action sentiment appears bearish, reinforced by the prevailing long-term downtrend. The recent price action indicates a potential oversold rally, approaching a critical resistance zone. Key Levels and Price Action The primary trading level to watch is 68.65, representing the current intraday swing high and falling resistance trendline. An oversold rally towards this level, followed by a bearish rejection, could confirm continued downward momentum. In this case, the next downside support targets are at 66.04, 65.34, and 64.80 over the longer timeframe. On the other hand, a decisive breakout above the 68.65 resistance level, confirmed by a daily close, would invalidate the bearish outlook. This scenario could trigger further rallies toward the next resistance levels at 69.30 and 70.12. Conclusion The sentiment remains bearish as long as the 68.65 resistance level holds, with potential downside targets at 66.04, 65.34, and 64.80. A confirmed breakout above 68.65 would shift the outlook to bullish, paving the way for potential rallies toward 69.30 and 70.12. Traders should carefully watch the price action around the 68.65 level to assess the next directional move. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:WTI
by TradeNation
Crude oil builds a base after a downtrendCrude oil is consolidating in a narrow coil after a medium-term downtrend. As the position of the price is close to the lower border of the bollinger bands, and below the fair price of $70 (that’s a supply/demand equilibrium according to the STEO forecast), the neckline of a current formation can be broken to the upside should the price come closer to it and tries to initiate a test. The mean-reversion scenario with the price touching 70 is a dominant scenario, though, the downside reversal is also possible, as Crude oil is still under pressure. Political talks and statements may impose volatility and change the direction of the price at any time, as the market operates under increased uncertainty and volatility. Be careful and manage your risks at all times! Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your owr research and never forget to manage your risk!
TVC:USOILLong
by Stanislav_Bernukhov_Exness
USOIL latest analysis of profitable trading signalsDuring the US trading session on Thursday, US crude oil fell in a narrow range and is currently trading around $67.13 per barrel, holding most of the gains in the previous two trading days. Previously, oil prices had rebounded for two consecutive trading days. The latest monthly report released by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) on Wednesday showed that the organization maintained its forecast for global oil demand growth in 2025 and 2026, which is expected to increase by 1.45 million barrels per day and 1.43 million barrels per day respectively. The current crude oil market is supported by factors such as the decline in US inflation and the recovery of market sentiment in the short term, and prices have rebounded. Analysis: From the daily chart level, the medium-term trend of crude oil remains in a wide upward channel, and oil prices gradually fall back to the lower edge of the channel. There have been many cases where one trading day swallowed up all the gains in the previous week, and the short-selling forces are more dominant. The medium-term trend of crude oil maintains a range of oscillations and downward, and the lower edge of the channel has been broken. It is expected that the medium-term decline of crude oil will start soon. The short-term trend of crude oil (1H) continues to consolidate at a low level, and the oil price gradually tests from the bottom of the range to the upper edge of the range, with the range range between 68.80-65.20. The short-term objective trend direction is oscillating rhythm. It is expected that the trend of crude oil will be resisted at the upper edge of the range during the day, and the probability of falling back downward is high. On the whole, He Bosheng recommends that the operation strategy of crude oil today is mainly to rebound high and to step on lows as a supplement. The short-term focus on the upper resistance of 68.3-68.8 and the short-term focus on the lower support of 66.0-65.5. FX:USOIL FOREXCOM:USOIL TVC:USOIL
TVC:USOILLong
by Cryptocurrency_analystBaker
WTI Oil H4 | Rising into an overlap resistanceWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 68.46 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 70.70 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and a multi-swing-high resistance. Take profit is at 65.20 which is a multi-swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:USOILShort
by FXCM
1
USOLI NEXT MOVE ounter-Analysis (Bearish Scenario Instead of Bullish) Rejection at Resistance Instead of Breakout The targets assume that price will move past resistance zones at $69-$71, but resistance could hold, causing a reversal. If sellers step in near resistance, we could see another leg downward instead of a rally. Support Failure Instead of Bounce The chart suggests that crude oil will bounce from support (~$66.89), but if selling pressure increases, the price could break below support instead. A break below $65.85 (strong support) could send USOIL toward lower levels ($64 or below). Lower High Formation Instead of Uptrend If oil fails to break above resistance and forms a lower high, it could indicate continued bearish momentum rather than a bullish reversal. The previous downtrend might still be intact, with this current move just being a retracement before another drop. Fundamental Risks Macroeconomic factors like higher interest rates, reduced demand, or increased oil supply could prevent a bullish rally. If economic data suggests slowing growth, oil prices could struggle to push higher.
TVC:USOILLong
by mrsamfx81
Rising Crude Stockpiles and Lower Refinery UtilizationU.S. commercial crude oil inventories increased by 3.6 million barrels last week, bringing total stockpiles to levels that remain 4% below the five-year seasonal average. This build in inventories comes as refinery throughput declined by 346,000 barrels per day (bpd) to 15.4 million bpd, with utilization dropping to 85.9%. The reduction in refinery runs reflects both seasonal maintenance and broader adjustments in refining operations, as facilities respond to shifting demand trends across different fuel products. Despite the lower processing rates, gasoline production increased to 9.6 million bpd, while distillate output fell to 4.6 million bpd. This divergence suggests that refiners are prioritizing gasoline production while scaling back on distillate output, possibly in response to evolving consumption patterns. Shifts in Product Balances and Market Dynamics Gasoline inventories declined by 1.4 million barrels, though they remain 1% above the five-year seasonal average. This drawdown suggests that while gasoline demand has not surged, refiners are maintaining a cautious approach to supply. In contrast, distillate inventories dropped by 1.3 million barrels, pushing stockpiles to levels 6% below the five-year average. The continued decline in distillate inventories, combined with strong demand growth in industrial and freight sectors, underscores the ongoing supply constraints in this market segment. Total petroleum consumption over the past four weeks increased by 3.4% year-over-year, with gasoline demand rising by 0.9%, while distillate demand posted a more significant 7.1% increase. The discrepancy between demand trends for these two fuel types highlights the resilience of diesel consumption, which remains a key driver of refinery economics and fuel price movements. Impact on Oil Prices and Market Sentiment Crude oil inventories continue to rise, with West Texas Intermediate ( PYTH:WTI3! ) crude oil prices falling to $67.42 per barrel, down $13.53 from the same period last year. This price decline reflects broader uncertainty in the oil market, with factors such as weakening global demand, stable U.S. production, and lower refinery throughput contributing to the downward pressure on crude oil prices. The combination of rising inventories and lower refining activity suggests that crude demand from refiners may remain subdued in the near term. However, if refinery utilization rebounds in the coming weeks—particularly with the transition to summer-grade gasoline production—crude inventories could begin to see drawdowns, potentially stabilizing oil prices. The strength of distillate demand may also play a role in balancing the market, as refiners look for profitable margins in diesel production. Investment and Trading Considerations Refinery stocks, such as Phillips 66 ( NYSE:PSX ) and Valero ( NYSE:VLO ), could see margin improvements if refiners adjust operations to favor higher-value products. Meanwhile, crude futures markets may face continued downside pressure unless demand factors provide support. Seasonal refinery maintenance could also have a lasting impact on product balances, keeping certain fuel markets tighter than others. The rise in crude inventories, coupled with lower refinery utilization, highlights a transitional phase in the market. While short-term price pressure persists, the evolving dynamics in fuel production and demand could lead to shifts in market sentiment in the weeks ahead.
FPMARKETS:WTI
by igorisaev
WTI Crude bearish ahead of US weekly InventoriesThe WTI Crude Oil price action sentiment appears bearish, reinforced by the prevailing long-term downtrend. The recent price action indicates a potential oversold rally, approaching a critical resistance zone. Key Levels and Price Action The primary trading level to watch is 68.65, representing the current intraday swing high and falling resistance trendline. An oversold rally towards this level, followed by a bearish rejection, could confirm continued downward momentum. In this case, the next downside support targets are at 66.04, 65.34, and 64.80 over the longer timeframe. On the other hand, a decisive breakout above the 68.65 resistance level, confirmed by a daily close, would invalidate the bearish outlook. This scenario could trigger further rallies toward the next resistance levels at 69.30 and 70.12. Conclusion The sentiment remains bearish as long as the 68.65 resistance level holds, with potential downside targets at 66.04, 65.34, and 64.80. A confirmed breakout above 68.65 would shift the outlook to bullish, paving the way for potential rallies toward 69.30 and 70.12. Traders should carefully watch the price action around the 68.65 level to assess the next directional move. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:WTI
by TradeNation
WTI OIL Massive 4-year Support hit. Bullish reversal ahead??WTI Oil (USOIL) hit on last week's 1W candle the 1M MA100 (red trend-line), a massive long-term Support level that has been holding since the week of April 26 2021, i.e. almost 4 years. At the same time, the price entered the 2-year Support Zone, which has produced all major Bullish Phases (green Rectangles) during this time span. The last one got rejected twice on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). Given the fact that this most recent rejection formed the current 2-month Bearish Phase (red Rectangle), which even based on 1W RSI terms, is similar to all previous Bearish Phases that found Support on the 2-year Support Zone, we have a massive long-term Support Cluster in front of us. Naturally, until the 1W MA200 breaks, that should be the first Target of any buy attempts. As a result, we expect $80.00 to be tested by June 2025 the earliest. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:WTILong
by TradingShot
1
WTI Crude Oil Analysis: Is the Downtrend Still in Play?Welcome back, guys! 👋 I'm Skeptic , and today we’re diving into a quick analysis of WTI Crude Oil (WTI) . Let’s break it down. 📉 4-Hour Time Frame Analysis In the 4-hour time frame, WTI has shown a very strong corrective move, and despite trying to hold the support zone PRZ, it even failed to maintain it, suggesting a potential downtrend. Now, we have an opportunity to focus more on our short setups, but we’ll need to manage the risk as well. 🔮 Short Setup For short positions, a break below the 4-hour support at 65.183 would be a good trigger to enter a short position. Place the stop loss just above the broken PRZ, around 67.024 , and keep an eye on price action as a sharp movement down could follow. If the support breaks, we’re likely to see a continuation towards the next support level, so the move could be pretty sharp, but make sure your stop loss is tight to manage risk effectively. 💡 Long Setup For the long setup, we’ll wait for a potential fake breakout below the support and then look for a return above 67.024 . If we break above the resistance at 67.639 , we’ll look for a possible long continuation. However, since the current trend is bearish, we’ll reduce our risk and wait for confirmation from the 4-hour or daily time frames before entering. Let me know your thoughts and ideas on WTI! 💬 Drop any questions in the comments, and I’ll be happy to discuss them. Let’s grow together, not alone! 🔥
BLACKBULL:WTI
by SkepticWise
1
OIL / WTI PoV - LONGThe analysis of the current oil price highlights the $65/66 range as a critical level for a potential rally. After a period of consolidation and corrections in recent weeks, oil seems to have found strong support around these levels, with prices oscillating between $65 and $66 per barrel. These levels represent an important liquidity zone, as in the past, the price has found support here, suggesting that there could be an opportunity for a bullish rebound if the price manages to remain stable above this threshold. A rally above the $65/66 level could be supported by several fundamental factors, including improved demand prospects, a reduction in global inventories, and potential policies from OPEC. If demand for oil increases, especially with economic recoveries in certain regions or a rise in industrial production globally, there could be further support for prices. Additionally, OPEC+'s stance in the production-limiting agreement and potential supply cuts could keep the market tight, pushing prices higher. Geopolitical dynamics also play a significant role in determining the direction of oil. Any tensions or disruptions in supply from key producing countries, such as those in the Middle East, could serve as catalysts for further price increases. Another factor that could support prices is the depreciation of the dollar, which typically benefits oil, as the commodity is priced in dollars. However, if the price fails to maintain stability above the $65/66 level, we might see a new correction phase, with prices possibly retreating to lower levels. A move away from these levels could mark the beginning of a new bearish phase, with the risk of prices sliding back towards $60 per barrel or even lower if demand weakens or if there are supply excesses in the market. In summary, the $65/66 level is crucial for the price of oil. Maintaining or closing above these levels could pave the way for a rally, while failure to do so could lead to further price weakening. With OPEC+ policies playing a key role in balancing the market, the next few months will be critical in determining the future direction of oil prices.
VANTAGE:USOUSDLong
by Generazione_X
WTI Oil H4 | Overhead pressures remain in place?WTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 68.46 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 70.70 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and a multi-swing-high resistance. Take profit is at 65.20 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:USOILShort
by FXCM