Textbook Falling Wedge & Wyckoff Accumulation Brewing?Analysis:
Looking at the daily chart for Crude Oil, we appear to be seeing a very compelling confluence of bullish technical signals that suggest a potential significant reversal to the upside.
Textbook Falling Wedge Formation:
Price action is clearly consolidating within a well-defined falling wedge pattern.
We have observed multiple clear touches (3+ on the upper, 4+ on the lower trendline), indicating these boundaries are highly respected by the market.
Crucially, volume has been declining as price consolidates within the wedge, a classic characteristic signifying diminishing selling pressure.
The angles of convergence also appear ideal, with the upper trendline being steeper than the lower.
Wyckoff Accumulation Schematic #1 in Play?
Diving deeper, the internal structure of this falling wedge strongly resembles Wyckoff's Accumulation Schematic #1.
We can identify potential phases:
PS (Preliminary Support): Early signs of buying.
SC (Selling Climax): A sharp sell-off often with high volume, marking potential capitulation.
AR (Automatic Rally): The first significant bounce after the SC.
ST (Secondary Test): Retesting the lows of the SC.
Spring: A key event where price dips below the established trading range support (or the wedge's lower trendline) only to quickly reverse back above it, effectively trapping sellers and confirming a shakeout of weak hands.
This internal Wyckoff structure within the falling wedge significantly strengthens the case for institutional accumulation taking place.
Bullish Candlestick & Oscillator Confluence:
At the recent lows, we observed a potential Piercing Line bullish reversal candlestick pattern forming right at the lower trendline of the wedge. This indicates aggressive buying stepping in.
The MACD indicator has confirmed this bullish shift, showing a recent bullish crossover (MACD line above Signal line) and a flip of the histogram from red to green.
Furthermore, there appears to be a bullish divergence on the MACD – as price made lower lows within the wedge, the MACD indicator made higher lows (or showed increasing bullish momentum), suggesting underlying bearish momentum is weakening significantly.
Market Sentiment & Potential Implications:
It's noteworthy that this bullish technical setup is occurring amidst increased bearish media and Twitter sentiment surrounding oil. From a contrarian perspective, extreme bearish sentiment often coincides with market bottoms, as "smart money" accumulates positions while the crowd is most pessimistic. This situation could set the stage for a strong reversal, potentially fueled by short covering.
Conclusion:
All signs from price action, volume, candlestick patterns, and oscillators point towards a high probability of a bullish reversal and an upside breakout from this well-formed falling wedge. The potential Wyckoff accumulation pattern adds significant weight to the idea that sophisticated players are positioning for a significant move higher.
What to Watch For:
The next critical step is a decisive breakout above the upper trendline of the falling wedge, ideally accompanied by a significant surge in buying volume. This would confirm the pattern's completion and signal the potential start of a new uptrend. A more aggressive approach is entering now and capturing more upside if it is to occur.
This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage your risk.
USCRUDEOILCFD trade ideas
WTI Crude Oil sideways consolidation capped at 6360Trend: The sentiment remains bearish, in line with the prevailing downward trend.
Recent Movement: Price is currently in a sideways consolidation, suggesting indecision near short-term lows.
Key Levels
Resistance:
6360 – Key resistance and prior consolidation zone.
Above that: 6440, then 6530 – Next upside targets if breakout occurs.
Support:
6020 – Initial downside target.
Below that: 5940, then 5820 – Deeper support levels if bearish momentum resumes.
Trading Scenarios
Bearish Continuation:
A rally to 6360 followed by rejection could lead to a drop toward 6020, 5940, and 5820.
Bullish Breakout:
A daily close above 6360 would negate the bearish setup and open the path for a recovery toward 6440, then 6530.
Conclusion
WTI Crude Oil remains under bearish pressure, but is currently range-bound. A rejection at 6360 would confirm downside continuation. A breakout above that level would shift bias to bullish, targeting higher resistance zones. Watch 6360 as the key pivot.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USOIL SELL SIGNAL Entry Point: 62.60USOIL SELL SIGNAL
Entry Point: 62.60
🎯 Target 1: 62.00
🎯 Target 2: 61.00
🎯 Final Target: 60.00
⚠️ Risk Management Matters!
– Always set a stop-loss
– Never risk more than 1–2% per trade
– Stick to your strategy, not emotions
📊 Technical Outlook:
– Resistance zone near 62.60
– Bearish pressure increasing
– Potential trend reversal forming
✅ Lock profits step by step
✅ Use trailing stops when in profit
✅ Avoid overtrading or revenge trading
📌 Stay consistent and patient
📌 The goal is longevity, not luck
📌 Trust your analysis – not the noise
📢 For educational purposes only – trade responsibly!
Analysis of Upward/Downward Trends in Monday's Opening MarketBoosted by the telephone conversation between leaders of the world's two largest economies, oil prices maintained their upward momentum on Friday. Brent crude stabilized at around $65 per barrel, notching its first weekly rebound since mid-May; WTI crude also held near $63. "Against the backdrop of gradually easing macro uncertainties, the risk of panic selling in the market has significantly diminished," analysts said. "With the arrival of the summer peak demand season and the superimposition of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Russia, the downside for oil prices has been notably constrained."
The recent steady rebound in oil prices indicates that the market has gradually digested macro uncertainties, though the underlying supporting factors remain fragile. While trade concerns have temporarily subsided, whether OPEC+ will continue to release capacity as expected by the market will be key to determining whether oil prices can sustain their rebound. Meanwhile, the options market reflects expectations of a year-end supply glut, which will test the coordination capabilities of oil-producing countries.
Overall, for next week's crude oil trading strategy, it is recommended to prioritize buying on dips and supplement with shorting on rebounds. In the short term, monitor resistance at the $66.0-$67.0 level, while short-term support lies at the $63.5-$62.5 level.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Trading Strategy:
buy@62.0-62.5
TP:64.5-65.0
USOIL Will Grow! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 62.890.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 68.865 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
CRUDE OIL TO HIT $160?!Oil prices broke down lower in the past few weeks, after a much needed LQ grab, following a 2 year consolidation. We’ve seen a ‘5 Wave Complex Correction’, which should now be followed by price recovery.
Wait for buyers to BREAK ABOVE our ‘buying confirmation’ level, followed a by a retest before buying, otherwise leave it❗️
USOIL SHORT TRADE SETUP Entry: 62.75USOIL SHORT TRADE SETUP
Entry: 62.75
🔹 Direction: Sell / Short
🎯 Target Levels:
1️⃣ First Target: 62.00
2️⃣ Second Target: 61.00
3️⃣ Final Target: 60.00
🛡️ Risk Management:
✅ Position size according to your account size
✅ Use stop loss based on personal strategy
✅ Protect capital first – always
📊 Rationale:
Expecting bearish continuation below 63.00
Price facing resistance at higher levels
Downtrend pressure remains intact
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice
Trade at your own risk
Always do your own analysis
Stick to your trading plan
📈 Stay disciplined – patience pays!
USOIL BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 63.56
Target Level: 56.12
Stop Loss: 68.51
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Crude Oil is Building Momentum for a BreakoutDuring the U.S. trading session on Thursday, international oil prices fluctuated higher, with U.S. crude oil currently trading near $63.55 per barrel. Despite the intraday volatility, international oil prices remain under downward pressure, primarily influenced by two key factors.
First, data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) showed that as of last week, U.S. gasoline and distillate inventories increased more than expected, signaling weakening refined product demand in the world’s largest economy. This development has sparked investor concerns about whether the U.S. summer driving season can sustain demand growth, leading to a ~1% decline in oil prices on Wednesday.
The current crude oil market is caught between supply and demand headwinds:
Supply-side pressures: OPEC+’s production increase plan and Saudi Arabia’s strategic price cuts have created short-term bearish sentiment.
Demand-side uncertainties: The unexpected rise in U.S. refined product inventories has amplified market doubts about the vigor of global consumption recovery.
Additionally, the escalation of international trade frictions has further dampened risk appetite, exacerbating downward pressure on prices.
In the short term, oil prices are likely to continue oscillating within the $60–$65 per barrel range. Market participants should closely monitor U.S. macroeconomic data and OPEC+’s compliance with its production policies for directional cues.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Trading Strategy:
buy@61.5-62.0
TP:63.0-63.5
WTI OIL The perfect scalping Rectangle.WTI Oil (USOIL) has been trading within a 3-week Rectangle pattern since the May 13th High and yesterday it got rejected on its top. This is a technical sell signal, with it natural target being the bottom of the pattern at $60.70.
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WTI Oil H1 | Overlap support at 61.8% Fibonacci retracementWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 61.52 which is an overlap support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 59.60 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support.
Take profit is at 63.76 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USCRUDEOIL - Up ChannelHi Traders,
We are following the price in the "Up Channel". I am not a wave trader but i do understand the concept. the ABC are just for drawing purposes not the exact science of it.
With that said, lets BUY CMCMARKETS:USCRUDEOIL
Price Action:
Price is moving within a clear ascending channel
Good Luck
Study, Study, Study Lorenzo Tarati
USOIL - Long - WWIIIUkraine just bombed Russia's fighter jets in which Zelensky call a well coordinated plan that took one years since month to carry out. Russia being the third largest oil producer is likely to defend their most important resource oil companies which might limit oil production in the short term. However Russia is likely going to respond with equal force if not more which will then disrupt trades routes therefore cutting oil global supply. A shock supply will lead to higher oil prices. Technical analysis also supports these thesis by current prices being above moving averages however a pullback before prices ascend is imminent.
Summary
If entry 1 is triggered and hits target 1 then you can take a second entry( Entry2).
Entry 1 or Current = Target 1 or Target 2
Entry 2 = Target 2
Follow, Boost and share my ideas.
Foreign Capital
'If you Know, you Know."
WTI Crude Returns to $63Over the past two trading sessions, WTI crude oil has gained more than 5%, as confidence has temporarily returned to the market following the latest OPEC+ announcements. The organization recently announced a new production increase of 411,000 barrels per day starting in July, but the volume was lower than anticipated, which has been interpreted as a positive signal for short-term price behavior. This has helped sustain a consistent bullish bias in recent sessions.
Bearish Trend Remains Intact
Since early January, crude oil has followed a steady bearish trend. Currently, the price is approaching the resistance marked by the trendline, and if buying pressure holds in the short term, the bearish formation could come under threat in the upcoming trading sessions.
MACD
At the moment, the MACD histogram shows slight oscillations above the neutral line (0), but it has not yet indicated a decisive market impulse. As a result, a strong sense of short-term neutrality persists, as the price approaches key resistance levels.
RSI
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing a similar pattern: the line is starting to rise, but it is flattening out, which could be weakening the current buying momentum and signaling a possible sideways movement in the short term.
Key Levels to Watch:
$63 – Current Barrier: Aligns with the bearish trendline and could be where price indecision intensifies, leading to continued consolidation.
$57 – Major Support: A recent low. If the price returns to this level, it could reactivate the bearish trend and lead to a deeper sell-off.
$68 – Key Resistance: Located around the 200-period moving average. A breakout above this level could mark the beginning of a new long-term bullish trend.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
USOIL LETS MAKE OIL GREAT AGAIN TO 80$HELLO TRADERS
As i can see USOIL it formaing H & S pattrent and now trading above a strong Weekly horizontal Support zone if prices hold above 65$ then given Tp can be easy target if we see a higher demand and tight supply with the War going on around the world its a huge possibilty that pricce can shoot up we have to monitor the 65$ price zone which is importat to hold bull cycle on smaller TF 4HR it is creating Wickoff pattren too and we can see Fibo levels golden ratio can hit our targers or risk reward is great for us becaus we was buying the dip in May it is just starting chart is crystal clear its just a trade idea share your thoughts we appriciate ur comments and support Stay tuned for more updates
The first crude oil target was reached perfectly
💡Message Strategy
Last Friday (May 31), oil prices fell slightly as traders generally expected OPEC+ to "play a big trick" - increasing production in July to more than 500,000 barrels per day.
Potential risks: The supply and demand game is not over
OPEC+'s production increase plan still faces implementation difficulties. Countries such as Kazakhstan have previously refused to cut production, and the actual production capacity of some member countries (such as Nigeria and Angola) is close to the upper limit. If global demand declines due to expectations of economic recession, OPEC+'s "moderate production increase" may evolve into "passive inventory accumulation", thereby suppressing medium- and long-term oil prices.
Short-term supply concerns: Russia is the world's second largest crude oil exporter. If its military facilities are frequently attacked, it may affect the stability of its energy infrastructure.
"Extreme pressure" before negotiations: The attack occurred on the eve of the ceasefire negotiations between Russia and Ukraine. Ukraine tried to increase its bargaining chips through military actions. If the negotiations fail, Western sanctions against Russia may be increased, further disrupting crude oil trade flows.
Risk premium returns: Geopolitical conflicts have always been a "fuel" for oil prices. When the war between Russia and Ukraine broke out in 2022, Brent crude oil once surged to $139 per barrel. Although the current supply and demand environment is different, the market's sensitivity to emergencies remains.
📊Technical aspects
Crude oil fluctuated in a range last week, with a minimum of 59.8 and a maximum of 63. The weekly line closed at 60.7. The weekly line shows that oil prices are in an upward channel and there is a rebound. The focus is on whether 64 can be broken through. The daily line shows a large range of fluctuations. In summary, this week's operation ideas are mainly based on callbacks and longs. First look at the 63-61-58 range. In the day, the four-hour line is range-oscillated. First look at 4 on the top. The hourly line is oscillating upward. Today's big rise has come to our first target position, rising to the 63 line. From the shape, there is still room for growth. In summary, the intraday operation ideas are mainly oscillating upward, and the focus is on 61 and 60 below.
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position: 61.50-62.00
USOIL Will Move Higher! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 71.393.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 78.089 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
WTI Crude Oil Regains Bullish MomentumWTI Crude Oil Regains Bullish Momentum
WTI Crude oil prices climbed higher above $70.00 and might extend gains.
Important Takeaways for WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis Today
- WTI Crude oil prices started a decent increase above the $65.00 and $68.50 resistance levels.
- There is a major bullish trend line forming with support at $71.50 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen.
Oil Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil at FXOpen, the price started a decent upward move from $65.00 against the US Dollar. The price gained bullish momentum after it broke the $68.50 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average.
The bulls pushed the price above the $69.50 and $71.50 resistance levels. The recent high was formed at $74.80 and the price started a downside correction. There was a minor move below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $69.55 swing low to the $74.83 high.
The RSI is now below the 60 level. Immediate support on the downside is near the $71.50 zone. There is also a major bullish trend line forming with support at $71.50 and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $69.55 swing low to the $74.83 high.
The next major support on the WTI crude oil chart is near the $69.50 zone, below which the price could test the $67.90 level. If there is a downside break, the price might decline toward $65.20. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward the $63.75 support zone.
If the price climbs higher again, it could face resistance near $72.50. The next major resistance is near the $74.80 level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $78.50 level.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Crude oil is the ultimate winner
💡Message Strategy
Currently trading around $70.00 a barrel during Friday's European session, crude oil prices surged on growing concerns about supply disruptions. Rising tensions in the Middle East threaten navigation through the Strait of Hormuz, a key passage for about 20% of global oil shipments.
📊Technical aspects
From the daily chart level, crude oil prices in the medium term broke through the upper resistance of the range and tested a new high of 75.50. The moving average system is in a bullish arrangement, and the medium-term objective trend is upward.
The current trend is in the upward rhythm of the main trend. The MACD indicator fast and slow lines overlap with the bullish column above the zero axis, indicating that the bullish momentum is currently full, and it is expected that the medium-term trend is expected to usher in a wave of rising rhythm.
The short-term (1H) trend of crude oil continued to fluctuate upward, and the price near 74 was tested. The moving average system relies on the bullish arrangement of oil prices, and the short-term objective trend direction remains upward. Oil prices hit a new high near 75.30, and then fell back and closed with a negative real candlestick. The short-term momentum is still bullish, and it is expected that the trend of crude oil will continue to maintain a high-level oscillation upward rhythm.
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position:70.09-71.50
WTI Oil H1 | Potential bullish bounceWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 71.83 which is a multi-swing-low support.
Stop loss is at 68.50 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 77.60 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.