USCRUDEOILCFD trade ideas
There remains a risk of further downside for crude oil prices.During Monday's US trading session, international oil prices rebounded strongly. The main US crude contract surged 2.5% at one point to $62.31 per barrel, while the August Brent crude futures also rose more than 2% to $64.12 per barrel. Two key drivers underlie this rally: OPEC+'s maintenance of a "modest production increase" strategy at its weekend meeting, and Ukraine's surprise attack on a Russian military airfield. The crude oil market is currently in a dual game of "policy and geopolitics": OPEC+ seeks to balance the market with "modest production increases," while Ukraine's raid serves as a reminder that black swans are never far away.
Short-term Outlook:
US oil prices may remain range-bound between $60-$64 per barrel.
However, if the Russia-Ukraine conflict deteriorates or internal rifts within OPEC+ deepen, a new round of violent volatility (sharp rallies or crashes) cannot be ruled out.
Technical Analysis:
Early trading saw oil prices consolidate in a narrow range near $61, reflecting a secondary rhythm.
The MACD indicator is bearishly diverging below the zero axis with strong bearish momentum, suggesting a risk of continued downward movement in crude oil prices during the session.
Trading Strategy:
sell@63.5-64.0
TP:61.6-62.0
Trade on your on risk after calculating ur risk to reward ratio.On 4 hourly time frame of WTI. A well formed bearish tailed bar on the resistance zone indicates that markets still wants to go down after all the bull run since the market opens today.
SPX GOLD BTC USOIL - start of JuneAll in the video. SPX is still sideways so far, nothing has changed and the bias is still up. Gold looks like it will test it's recent tops. BTC bias is now bearish. US oil is in a tight balance.
Crude oil is moving upward again, testing 63 today
💡Message Strategy
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) met at their headquarters in Vienna on Wednesday to assess the current oil market situation. WTI crude oil prices climbed above $62 as OPEC+ said there would be no immediate change to current production policies.
📊Technical aspects
From the daily chart level, the medium-term moving average system suppresses the rebound of oil prices, and the medium-term objective trend is downward. After the oil price hit the low point of 55.20, the frequent alternation of long and short positions formed, and the embryonic form of a falling flag relay appeared from the shape. Pay attention to the strength of the oil price testing the upper edge of the flag. It is expected that after the medium-term trend fluctuates, it will still rise to the 64 position.
The short-term (1H) trend of crude oil fluctuates upward, and the oil price breaks through the 62.5 resistance level. The moving average system diverges and arranges upward, and the short-term objective trend direction is upward. In terms of momentum, the MACD indicator is above the zero axis and the golden cross opens upward, and the bullish momentum is sufficient. It is expected that the crude oil trend will continue to rise within the day.
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position: 61.20-62.00
Market Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Price Could Gain Bullish PaceMarket Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Price Could Gain Bullish Pace
WTI Crude Oil is gaining bullish momentum and might even test $62.75.
Important Takeaways for WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis Today
- WTI Crude Oil climbed above the $60.50 and $60.80 resistance levels.
- There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $60.80 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen.
WTI Crude Oil Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil at FXOpen, the price started a fresh upward move from $59.45 against the US Dollar. The price gained bullish momentum after it broke the $60.00 resistance.
The bulls pushed the price above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $62.76 swing high to the $59.45 low. The price even climbed above the 50-hour simple moving average. Besides, there was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $60.80.
It tested the $61.50 resistance zone and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $62.76 swing high to the $59.45 low.
The RSI is now near the 50 level and the price could aim for more gains. If the price climbs higher again, it could face resistance near $62.00. The next major resistance is near the $62.75 level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $63.45 level or even $65.00.
Conversely, the price might correct gains and test the $60.80 support level. The next major support on the WTI Crude Oil chart is near the $59.45 zone, below which the price could test the $58.00 zone.
If there is a downside break, the price might decline toward $56.50. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward the $55.50 support zone.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
WTI PRICE SURGED HIGH!! Price of oil ticked high today!! I anticipate bullish price action to develop away from the current market price. I expect price to trade all the way up to $67 per barrel.
Technically, price holds firm at $62 level after it found support at $56.82 level
Oil Sell IdeaUSOil i belive after this lq taken it's possible to move down side. if you want more confirmation so wait for LTF Confirmation.
WTI Oil H1 | Falling toward an overlap supportWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 61.52 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 59.60 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support.
Take profit is at 63.00 which is a swing-high resistance.
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WTI IdeaOverall, OILUSD seems bearish and it is confirming the bears with this bearish flag pattern. expect price to test and break support before retracing to the supply area for the main move
Crude oil settles before the breakoutCrude oil is losing volatility, having locked in a narrow trading range. Usually that deprives the market from a directional bias, but increases the odds of spikes and quick liquidity moves to the edges of the trading range and beyond with a possible mean-reversion activity followed after (as shown at the chart).
Given the lack of driving narratives, it’s possible to observe quick breakouts to both sides of the current trading range and further slowing down.
That opens some opportunities for day traders, but for swing and position traders, opportunities might be limited for now.
Traders will monitor for the petroleum status report and stock changes for the oil on Wednesday (regular report from eia.gov).
Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own research and never forget to manage your risk!
USOIL Today's Trading Strategy Hope this helps you### （1）Significant Pressure on the Supply Side
OPEC+ has a strong expectation to increase production, with some oil-producing countries planning to further raise output in July. Core producers such as Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates have ample idle capacity and can rapidly expand supply. The resurgent production activity of U.S. shale oil enterprises, with an increase in the number of drilling rigs and sustained production growth, has further exacerbated the global crude oil supply glut. Once OPEC+'s production increase plan is implemented, the supply of crude oil in the market will surge. In the absence of a significant improvement in demand, oil prices will inevitably face enormous downward pressure.
### （2）Weak Demand Growth
The global economic recovery has been slow, with economic growth data in some countries and regions falling short of expectations. Sluggish industrial production activities have made it difficult to boost demand for crude oil. The rapid development and widespread application of new energy technologies have also been continuously squeezing the market space for crude oil, as more and more sectors are using clean energy as a substitute for crude oil, leading to limited growth in crude oil demand. In addition, recently released economic data show that the manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) in many countries is below the expansion-contraction threshold, indicating that demand for crude oil from industrial production will continue to be weak in the future.
From a technical analysis perspective, crude oil prices face strong resistance in the $62-$62.50 range, with the price repeatedly encountering resistance and falling back in this area in the past. The current price is approaching this resistance zone, and if it fails to break through effectively, the price is highly likely to reverse and decline. At the same time, the moving average system is in a bearish arrangement, with short-term moving averages suppressing long-term ones. Technical indicators such as MACD and KDJ also suggest a downward trend in prices, further validating the possibility of shorting.
USOIL Today's Trading Strategy Hope this helps you
USOIL SELL@62~62.5
SL:63.5
TP:61~61.5
USOIL: Bullish Forecast & Bullish Scenario
The price of USOIL will most likely increase soon enough, due to the demand beginning to exceed supply which we can see by looking at the chart of the pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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The bears continue to dominate!Oil prices fluctuated lower this week, primarily pressured by the repeated U.S. tariff policies and expectations of OPEC+ production increases. During Friday's Asian session, Brent crude oil futures fell 0.41% to $63.89 per barrel, while U.S. WTI crude oil futures declined 0.44% to $60.67. The Brent July futures contract is set to expire on Friday. The tariffs imposed by U.S. President Trump were originally suspended, but the U.S. Federal Appellate Court temporarily reinstated them on Thursday, overturning the trade court's suspension ruling made on Wednesday. This legal volatility caused oil prices to plummet by more than 1% on Thursday.
The crude oil market this week has shown high sensitivity, influenced not only by legal rulings but also by dual pressures from geopolitical tensions and internal coordination imbalances within the organization. Under the intertwined effects of tariffs and production expectations, oil prices have struggled to achieve directional breakthroughs. If OPEC+ fails to reach an agreement on production control and demand from Asian countries and other major consumers has not recovered, oil prices are likely to maintain a weak oscillating pattern in the coming weeks. The MACD indicator is opening downward below the zero axis, with strong bearish momentum, suggesting a risk of further downside for crude oil during the day.
Overall, for next week's crude oil trading strategy, He Bosheng recommends focusing on bearish trades on rebounds, complemented by bullish trades on pullbacks.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Trading Strategy:
sell@61.5-62,0
TP:59.5-60.0
USOIL next week trend analysis, hope it helps you
US WTI crude oil rose more than 4.5% in May, but OPEC+ agreed on Saturday to continue increasing oil production by 411,000 barrels per day for the third consecutive month. The market is preparing for a new round of supply injection from OPEC+, with hedge funds accelerating bearish bets on oil prices. Bearish bets on Brent crude have reached their highest level since October last year. In the week ending May 27, money managers increased their short positions in Brent crude futures by 16,922 lots to 130,019 lots; meanwhile, CFTC data showed that bearish bets on WTI crude also rose to a three-week high. Even during the summer driving season, bearish bets on gasoline rose to a four-week high.
Under the dual impact of increased supply and weak demand, investors lack confidence in the crude oil market. The market is shrouded in thick bearish sentiment, with a large number of investors choosing to sell crude oil-related assets. This selling behavior can form a chain reaction, further pushing down crude oil prices. As long as the fundamentals of supply and demand do not improve significantly, market pessimism will continue to dominate, creating conditions for a downward trend in crude oil prices.
based on the current situation of surging supply-side pressure, weak demand, and thick bearish sentiment in the crude oil market, crude oil prices have significant downside potential and offer certain short-selling opportunities.
USOIL next week trend analysis, hope it helps you
USOIL SELL@61~60.5
SL:62
TP:60~59.5
USOIL:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next WeekAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Fundamental Analysis:
Uncertainty over the OPEC+ production increase plan continues to unsettle markets. If the 增产 (production hike) is implemented, increased supply will pressure oil prices.
Meanwhile, uneven global economic recovery has impacted crude oil demand expectations.
Technical Analysis:
Daily candlestick charts show prices oscillating within a $59–$63 range. The MACD indicator remains below the zero line, with bearish signals persisting.
The 50-day moving average forms strong resistance near $63, while $58.9 serves as key support.
Trading Strategy:
Await rebounds to initiate short positions.
Trading Strategy:
Sell@63-62
TP:60-59
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USOIL next week trend analysis, hope it helps youThe current crude oil price stands at 60.49, a level shaped by multiple factors. On the supply side, news of an OPEC+ planned production increase has exerted significant pressure on the market. Although the specific details of the July production increase have not yet been finalized, expectations of higher output have spread, fueling concerns that a substantial increase in future crude oil supply will depress prices. At the same time, there are new developments in the U.S. shale oil industry: recent resumptions of production by some shale oil companies have led to rising output, further increasing uncertainties on the supply side.
On the demand side, the situation is equally bleak. Slower global economic growth and poor economic data in some countries have resulted in weak growth in industrial demand for crude oil. Moreover, with continuous advancements in new energy technologies, more and more sectors are adopting new energy as a substitute for traditional crude oil. For example, the popularity of electric vehicles has reduced demand for gasoline, thereby impacting overall crude oil demand.
Considering both supply and demand factors, the outlook for crude oil prices next week is pessimistic, and prices may continue to face downward pressure. If OPEC+ confirms a large-scale production increase plan at its upcoming meeting, expectations of higher supply will be further reinforced, and oil prices are likely to fall. However, the crude oil market is highly volatile, and geopolitical factors cannot be ignored. If instability emerges in the Middle East—such as escalated geopolitical conflicts affecting crude oil production and transportation—oil prices could unexpectedly rebound. Based on current information, however, the likelihood of a downward adjustment in crude oil prices next week remains high under the dual pressures of increased supply and weak demand.
USOIL next week trend analysis, hope it helps you
USOIL SELL@61~60.5
SL:62
TP:60~59.5
OILUSD Range Between 60–64.26 – Will Support Hold or Break?WTI Crude has been in a sideways range after the sharp drop in early April. Price recently tested resistance at 64.260 but failed to break higher, pulling back into the 60.000 support zone. This level has held multiple times, forming a key pivot.
Support at: 60.000 🔽, 55.931 🔽
Resistance at: 64.260 🔼, 67.000 🔼, 71.101 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: A strong rejection from the 60.000 zone followed by a breakout above 64.260.
🔽 Bearish: A daily/12H close below 60.000 opens the path to retest 55.931, and potentially lower.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
WTI Support & Resistance LevelsThese zones have been generated using a custom-built software tool, developed and refined over an extended period of time. The tool is the result of dedicated effort and research, aiming to identify high-probability support and resistance areas with precision.
USOIL next week trend analysis, hope it helps youGeopolitical risks have eased: Recent signs of de-escalation in the Middle East have emerged, with the United States submitting a ceasefire proposal to Hamas. Although not immediately accepted, market concerns about conflict escalation have diminished. Progress has also been made in U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations, with the Iranian Foreign Ministry stating that significant breakthroughs have been achieved. If an agreement is reached in the future, Iran's crude oil exports could increase by 500,000 to 1 million barrels per day, further impacting the global crude oil supply pattern and increasing supply pressures.
Other supply-increasing factors: Oil field production disruptions caused by wildfires in Alberta, Canada, have been partially restored, reducing supply disturbance factors. In addition, U.S. crude oil output has stabilized at around 13.5 million barrels per day, and institutions predict that U.S. crude oil production will increase by approximately 300,000 barrels per day in 2025, with the Permian Basin as the main growth driver, also bringing additional supply to the market.
Accelerated new energy substitution: Global new energy vehicle sales increased by 25% year-on-year in 2025, combined with improvements in fuel efficiency, the elasticity of crude oil demand continues to decline. With the continuous advancement and application of new energy technologies, the substitution effect on traditional crude oil demand has become increasingly evident, which is unfavorable for long-term crude oil price increases.
USOIL next week trend analysis, hope it helps you
USOIL SELL@61~60.5
SL:62
TP:60~59.5
USOIL next week trend analysis, hope it helps youOPEC+ confirmed at its meeting on May 31 that eight oil-producing countries under its mechanism will continue to increase production by 411,000 barrels per day (bpd) in July, maintaining the same pace as in May and June. Although the market had partially priced in this expectation, the continuation of the production increase plan has strengthened the long-term logic of loose supply. It is worth noting that this production increase is not a unified action by the entire alliance but rather the result of core members such as Saudi Arabia and Russia voluntarily exiting production cuts, reflecting cautious attitudes within OPEC+ toward demand prospects. With oil prices currently breaking below the key psychological threshold of $60 per barrel, if the production increase plan continues into the second half of the year, it may further suppress the upside room for oil price rebounds.
USOIL next week trend analysis, hope it helps you
USOIL SELL@61~60.5
SL:62
TP:60~59.5
USOIL: Target Is Down! Short!
Today we will analyse USOIL together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 60.844 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
USOIL Expected Growth! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for USOIL is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 60.68
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 61.41
My Stop Loss - 60.25
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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