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U.S. Dollar / South African Rand

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USDZAR trade ideas

Falling towards 38.2% Fibonacci support?USD/ZAR is falling towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support. Pivot: 17.92031 1st Support: 17.78236 1st Resistance: 18.19084 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
2
Bearish drop?USD/ZAR is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support. Pivot: 18.01025 1st Support: 17.3635 1st Resistance: 18.2794 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
USDZAR BUY IDEA### *USD/ZAR - Liquidity Sweep Sets the Stage for Bullish Momentum Towards R20* USD/ZAR has recently cleared liquidity at a critical support zone, suggesting the potential for a strong bullish rally. With the market absorbing selling pressure, we are targeting the key psychological level of R20 as the next significant resistance. *Key Observations:* - *Liquidity Sweep:* Price action dipped below a key level, likely triggering stop-losses and trapping sellers. - *Market Structure:* Bullish rejections and increasing momentum indicate a possible continuation upward. - *Psychological Target:* The R20 level aligns with a significant resistance zone and market sentiment. *Trade Plan:* - *Entry:* Buy at as bullish confirmations unfold. - *Stop Loss:* Below the recent liquidity sweep for managed risk. - *Take Profit:* Targeting the R20 level, ensuring a favorable risk-reward ratio. *Risk Management:* This trade aligns with the broader trend and liquidity dynamics, but proper position sizing and discipline are crucial. Stay vigilant for price action confirming the bullish bias as the pair approaches the R20 target.
Long
by Vusizwe_Capital
2
Bearish drop?USD/ZAR is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support. Pivot: 17.9006 1st Support: 17.7160 1st Resistance: 18.0045 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
Final stretch for 2024The rand rode a wave of both local and international positive factors through the year. The local election results along with the new GNU attracted buyers back to the SA bond market in the first half of the year while internationally, sustained risk-on sentiment from the Fed’s aggressive 50bps rate cut in September and a 30% Bull Run in gold prices allowed the rand to pull the pair from a high of 19.35 in February down roughly 12%, to a 20-month low, of 17.02. Gold prices are however coming off their highs of $2,780 per ounce while the DXY has surged roughly 6.5% since the end of September which is bucking the downward trend for the USD/ZAR trend. This has seen the rand become worst performing currency against the dollar post the US election results after the volatile ZAR slipped almost 6%. The pair now seems to be in a 5-wave impulse that was initiated at the end of September which coincides almost perfectly with the DXY bottoming out around 100.2. The positive correlation between the DXY and USDZAR has strengthened post the US election which will keep the rand on the ropes as we enter the last stretch of 2024. The pair is however facing strong resistance on the 200-day MA level of 18.27 and the 61.8% Fibo retracement of 18.43 which will allow the rand to pull the pair back towards the support between 17.88 and 18.00. A failed break below this blue support range will confirm the 5-wave impulse which could see the rand buckle to north of 18.50 as we head into 2025. Fundamentals: The declining gold price is rand negative however the risk-on sentiment in the market remains prevalent given the price action in risk assets such as equities (specifically tech stocks) and bitcoin. The rand has not been able to benefit from this risk-on sentiment which is not a positive sign. The Federal Reserve is expected to through another rate cut into the mix before year-end as well as the SARB and in terms of monetary policy, I expect the SARB’s hawkish stance to limit the rand’s losses for now. Zooming out, the pair remains in a downward trend shown by the black channel.
Long
by Goose96
USDZAR The USDZAR pair is currently trading in a tight range between 18.22, the 200-day MA resistance rate, and 17.90, the 38.2% Fibo retracement level. These are the critical rates I’m watching in the lead up to the last non-farm payrolls print for the year this Friday. Additionally Fed chair Powell will also speak later this week. My original idea for a 5-wave impulse higher towards 18.50 is still on the cards in my opinion and a break above 18.20 will confirm this move. A break below the blue support range between 17.85 and 17.90 will however invalidate my original idea. The DXY and US10 year yields have turned around last week however I believe the DXY still has room to make another leg higher before the end of the year which is rand negative. Please also see the DXY chart attached. DXY:
Long
by Goose96
1