XAUUSD 1H - Consolidations Trading Setups - C.I.R.C. MethodThe chart above showcases various consolidations and their formation dynamics.
Consolidation, Initiation, Retracement, Continuation (CIRC)
Consolidations
What are “consolidations”?
Consolidations, often labeled as “ranges” in mainstream trading, hold a deeper meaning at T.T.T. Here, consolidations are the playgrounds of the BFI, zones where prices oscillate between highs and lows, as illustrated below. Within these confines, intentions simmer as BFI stack orders to propel future price movements. We confidently trade consolidations, fully aware of the intricate dynamics unfolding within the market’s underbelly.
Breakout
SWING TUTORIAL - SHARDACROPA typical Convergence Divergence is in play here.
Stock is also in a Long term Lower Low Pattern formation.
Could this Convergence Divergence indicate a breakout from the Lower Low Trendline?
Or is the price going to go down further?
Give your comments in the Comments Section below:
The Mechanics Of Trading - Part XII - 6-4-24 FlagsPart XII
I started this video because a friend asked me for help determining trends on multi-interval (time frames) and asked how I look at trading across multiple intervals. Asking how to best setup/use price trends to capture the best trade setups.
Essentially, it comes down to three key components...
A. Initial reversal/impulse waves should be traded lightly (if at all). They are the "potential price reversal setups" that are usually the most dangerous for traders (and often fairly short in length).
B. Looking for the second wave to form provides traders with the opportunity to catch the bigger Wave-3. This wave forms after the impulse (Wave-1) and a corrective wave (Wave-2), which must stay below any previous ultimate high or above any previous ultimate low.
C. Wave-3, and Wave-5 if applicable, are where traders can flex their muscles related to trade size using the techniques I present to try to capture the MEAT (Sweet Spot) of any trend.
Remember, after Wave-3, you must prepare for the potential end of a trend setup where volatility is likely to increase and risks become a bit more elevated.
I go over multiple techniques in this video.
Fibonacci techniques and Fibonacci Price Theory
Anchor Bars (breakaway bars)
Using Fibonacci Retracements to identify key support/resistance levels for trending
Stochastics
RSI
Wave formations (ZigZag)
and Others
This video is designed as an instructional video to help you incorporate usable techniques into your own trading style.
Hope you enjoy.
The Mechanics Of Trading - Part XI - SPY Flagging ExamplePart XI
I started this video because a friend asked me for help determining trends on multi-interval (time frames) and asked how I look at trading across multiple intervals. Asking how to best setup/use price trends to capture the best trade setups.
Essentially, it comes down to three key components...
A. Initial reversal/impulse waves should be traded lightly (if at all). They are the "potential price reversal setups" that are usually the most dangerous for traders (and often fairly short in length).
B. Looking for the second wave to form provides traders with the opportunity to catch the bigger Wave-3. This wave forms after the impulse (Wave-1) and a corrective wave (Wave-2), which must stay below any previous ultimate high or above any previous ultimate low.
C. Wave-3, and Wave-5 if applicable, are where traders can flex their muscles related to trade size using the techniques I present to try to capture the MEAT (Sweet Spot) of any trend.
Remember, after Wave-3, you must prepare for the potential end of a trend setup where volatility is likely to increase and risks become a bit more elevated.
I go over multiple techniques in this video.
Fibonacci techniques and Fibonacci Price Theory
Anchor Bars (breakaway bars)
Using Fibonacci Retracements to identify key support/resistance levels for trending
Stochastics
RSI
Wave formations (ZigZag)
and Others
This video is designed as an instructional video to help you incorporate usable techniques into your own trading style.
Hope you enjoy.
The Mechanics Of Trading - Part X - EOD 2 Min ES RecapPart X - End Of Day 2 Min ES Recap
I started this video because a friend asked me for help determining trends on multi-interval (time frames) and asked how I look at trading across multiple intervals. Asking how to best setup/use price trends to capture the best trade setups.
Essentially, it comes down to three key components...
A. Initial reversal/impulse waves should be traded lightly (if at all). They are the "potential price reversal setups" that are usually the most dangerous for traders (and often fairly short in length).
B. Looking for the second wave to form provides traders with the opportunity to catch the bigger Wave-3. This wave forms after the impulse (Wave-1) and a corrective wave (Wave-2), which must stay below any previous ultimate high or above any previous ultimate low.
C. Wave-3, and Wave-5 if applicable, are where traders can flex their muscles related to trade size using the techniques I present to try to capture the MEAT (Sweet Spot) of any trend.
Remember, after Wave-3, you must prepare for the potential end of a trend setup where volatility is likely to increase and risks become a bit more elevated.
I go over multiple techniques in this video.
Fibonacci techniques and Fibonacci Price Theory
Anchor Bars (breakaway bars)
Using Fibonacci Retracements to identify key support/resistance levels for trending
Stochastics
RSI
Wave formations (ZigZag)
and Others
This video is designed as an instructional video to help you incorporate usable techniques into your own trading style.
Hope you enjoy.
The Mechanics Of Trading - Part IX - ES Breakdown To SupportPart IX
I started this video because a friend asked me for help determining trends on multi-interval (time frames) and asked how I look at trading across multiple intervals. Asking how to best setup/use price trends to capture the best trade setups.
Essentially, it comes down to three key components...
A. Initial reversal/impulse waves should be traded lightly (if at all). They are the "potential price reversal setups" that are usually the most dangerous for traders (and often fairly short in length).
B. Looking for the second wave to form provides traders with the opportunity to catch the bigger Wave-3. This wave forms after the impulse (Wave-1) and a corrective wave (Wave-2), which must stay below any previous ultimate high or above any previous ultimate low.
C. Wave-3, and Wave-5 if applicable, are where traders can flex their muscles related to trade size using the techniques I present to try to capture the MEAT (Sweet Spot) of any trend.
Remember, after Wave-3, you must prepare for the potential end of a trend setup where volatility is likely to increase and risks become a bit more elevated.
I go over multiple techniques in this video.
Fibonacci techniques and Fibonacci Price Theory
Anchor Bars (breakaway bars)
Using Fibonacci Retracements to identify key support/resistance levels for trending
Stochastics
RSI
Wave formations (ZigZag)
and Others
This video is designed as an instructional video to help you incorporate usable techniques into your own trading style.
Hope you enjoy.
The Mechanics Of Trading - Part VIII - Learning PatiencePart VIII
I started this video because a friend asked me for help determining trends on multi-interval (time frames) and asked how I look at trading across multiple intervals. Asking how to best setup/use price trends to capture the best trade setups.
Essentially, it comes down to three key components...
A. Initial reversal/impulse waves should be traded lightly (if at all). They are the "potential price reversal setups" that are usually the most dangerous for traders (and often fairly short in length).
B. Looking for the second wave to form provides traders with the opportunity to catch the bigger Wave-3. This wave forms after the impulse (Wave-1) and a corrective wave (Wave-2), which must stay below any previous ultimate high or above any previous ultimate low.
C. Wave-3, and Wave-5 if applicable, are where traders can flex their muscles related to trade size using the techniques I present to try to capture the MEAT (Sweet Spot) of any trend.
Remember, after Wave-3, you must prepare for the potential end of a trend setup where volatility is likely to increase and risks become a bit more elevated.
I go over multiple techniques in this video.
Fibonacci techniques and Fibonacci Price Theory
Anchor Bars (breakaway bars)
Using Fibonacci Retracements to identify key support/resistance levels for trending
Stochastics
RSI
Wave formations (ZigZag)
and Others
This video is designed as an instructional video to help you incorporate usable techniques into your own trading style.
Hope you enjoy.
The Mechanics Of Trading - Part VII - 2 Min ES TrendingPart VII - Applying Success/Failure & Fibonacci Price Theory
I started this video because a friend asked me for help determining trends on multi-interval (time frames) and asked how I look at trading across multiple intervals. Asking how to best setup/use price trends to capture the best trade setups.
Essentially, it comes down to three key components...
A. Initial reversal/impulse waves should be traded lightly (if at all). They are the "potential price reversal setups" that are usually the most dangerous for traders (and often fairly short in length).
B. Looking for the second wave to form provides traders with the opportunity to catch the bigger Wave-3. This wave forms after the impulse (Wave-1) and a corrective wave (Wave-2), which must stay below any previous ultimate high or above any previous ultimate low.
C. Wave-3, and Wave-5 if applicable, are where traders can flex their muscles related to trade size using the techniques I present to try to capture the MEAT (Sweet Spot) of any trend.
Remember, after Wave-3, you must prepare for the potential end of a trend setup where volatility is likely to increase and risks become a bit more elevated.
I go over multiple techniques in this video.
Fibonacci techniques and Fibonacci Price Theory
Anchor Bars (breakaway bars)
Using Fibonacci Retracements to identify key support/resistance levels for trending
Stochastics
RSI
Wave formations (ZigZag)
and Others
This video is designed as an instructional video to help you incorporate usable techniques into your own trading style.
Hope you enjoy.
The Mechanics Of Trading - Part VI - 2 Min ES ChartPart VI
I started this video because a friend asked me for help determining trends on multi-interval (time frames) and asked how I look at trading across multiple intervals. Asking how to best setup/use price trends to capture the best trade setups.
Essentially, it comes down to three key components...
A. Initial reversal/impulse waves should be traded lightly (if at all). They are the "potential price reversal setups" that are usually the most dangerous for traders (and often fairly short in length).
B. Looking for the second wave to form provides traders with the opportunity to catch the bigger Wave-3. This wave forms after the impulse (Wave-1) and a corrective wave (Wave-2), which must stay below any previous ultimate high or above any previous ultimate low.
C. Wave-3, and Wave-5 if applicable, are where traders can flex their muscles related to trade size using the techniques I present to try to capture the MEAT (Sweet Spot) of any trend.
Remember, after Wave-3, you must prepare for the potential end of a trend setup where volatility is likely to increase and risks become a bit more elevated.
I go over multiple techniques in this video.
Fibonacci techniques and Fibonacci Price Theory
Anchor Bars (breakaway bars)
Using Fibonacci Retracements to identify key support/resistance levels for trending
Stochastics
RSI
Wave formations (ZigZag)
and Others
This video is designed as an instructional video to help you incorporate usable techniques into your own trading style.
Hope you enjoy.
The Mechanics Of Trading - Part VPart V - Deploying Success/Failure Techniques
I started this video because a friend asked me for help determining trends on multi-interval (time frames) and asked how I look at trading across multiple intervals. Asking how to best setup/use price trends to capture the best trade setups.
Essentially, it comes down to three key components...
A. Initial reversal/impulse waves should be traded lightly (if at all). They are the "potential price reversal setups" that are usually the most dangerous for traders (and often fairly short in length).
B. Looking for the second wave to form provides traders with the opportunity to catch the bigger Wave-3. This wave forms after the impulse (Wave-1) and a corrective wave (Wave-2), which must stay below any previous ultimate high or above any previous ultimate low.
C. Wave-3, and Wave-5 if applicable, are where traders can flex their muscles related to trade size using the techniques I present to try to capture the MEAT (Sweet Spot) of any trend.
Remember, after Wave-3, you must prepare for the potential end of a trend setup where volatility is likely to increase and risks become a bit more elevated.
I go over multiple techniques in this video.
Fibonacci techniques and Fibonacci Price Theory
Anchor Bars (breakaway bars)
Using Fibonacci Retracements to identify key support/resistance levels for trending
Stochastics
RSI
Wave formations (ZigZag)
and Others
This video is designed as an instructional video to help you incorporate usable techniques into your own trading style.
Hope you enjoy.
The Mechanics Of Trading - Part IVPart IV - Decision Making (A vs B)
I started this video because a friend asked me for help determining trends on multi-interval (time frames) and asked how I look at trading across multiple intervals. Asking how to best setup/use price trends to capture the best trade setups.
Essentially, it comes down to three key components...
A. Initial reversal/impulse waves should be traded lightly (if at all). They are the "potential price reversal setups" that are usually the most dangerous for traders (and often fairly short in length).
B. Looking for the second wave to form provides traders with the opportunity to catch the bigger Wave-3. This wave forms after the impulse (Wave-1) and a corrective wave (Wave-2), which must stay below any previous ultimate high or above any previous ultimate low.
C. Wave-3, and Wave-5 if applicable, are where traders can flex their muscles related to trade size using the techniques I present to try to capture the MEAT (Sweet Spot) of any trend.
Remember, after Wave-3, you must prepare for the potential end of a trend setup where volatility is likely to increase and risks become a bit more elevated.
I go over multiple techniques in this video.
Fibonacci techniques and Fibonacci Price Theory
Anchor Bars (breakaway bars)
Using Fibonacci Retracements to identify key support/resistance levels for trending
Stochastics
RSI
Wave formations (ZigZag)
and Others
This video is designed as an instructional video to help you incorporate usable techniques into your own trading style.
Hope you enjoy.
The Mechanics Of Trading - Part IIIPart III
I started this video because a friend asked me for help determining trends on multi-interval (time frames) and asked how I look at trading across multiple intervals. Asking how to best setup/use price trends to capture the best trade setups.
Essentially, it comes down to three key components...
A. Initial reversal/impulse waves should be traded lightly (if at all). They are the "potential price reversal setups" that are usually the most dangerous for traders (and often fairly short in length).
B. Looking for the second wave to form provides traders with the opportunity to catch the bigger Wave-3. This wave forms after the impulse (Wave-1) and a corrective wave (Wave-2), which must stay below any previous ultimate high or above any previous ultimate low.
C. Wave-3, and Wave-5 if applicable, are where traders can flex their muscles related to trade size using the techniques I present to try to capture the MEAT (Sweet Spot) of any trend.
Remember, after Wave-3, you must prepare for the potential end of a trend setup where volatility is likely to increase and risks become a bit more elevated.
I go over multiple techniques in this video.
Fibonacci techniques and Fibonacci Price Theory
Anchor Bars (breakaway bars)
Using Fibonacci Retracements to identify key support/resistance levels for trending
Stochastics
RSI
Wave formations (ZigZag)
and Others
This video is designed as an instructional video to help you incorporate usable techniques into your own trading style.
Hope you enjoy.
The Mechanics Of Trading - Part IIPart I
I started this video because a friend asked me for help determining trends on multi-interval (time frames) and asked how I look at trading across multiple intervals. Asking how to best setup/use price trends to capture the best trade setups.
Essentially, it comes down to three key components...
A. Initial reversal/impulse waves should be traded lightly (if at all). They are the "potential price reversal setups" that are usually the most dangerous for traders (and often fairly short in length).
B. Looking for the second wave to form provides traders with the opportunity to catch the bigger Wave-3. This wave forms after the impulse (Wave-1) and a corrective wave (Wave-2), which must stay below any previous ultimate high or above any previous ultimate low.
C. Wave-3, and Wave-5 if applicable, are where traders can flex their muscles related to trade size using the techniques I present to try to capture the MEAT (Sweet Spot) of any trend.
Remember, after Wave-3, you must prepare for the potential end of a trend setup where volatility is likely to increase and risks become a bit more elevated.
I go over multiple techniques in this video.
Fibonacci techniques and Fibonacci Price Theory
Anchor Bars (breakaway bars)
Using Fibonacci Retracements to identify key support/resistance levels for trending
Stochastics
RSI
Wave formations (ZigZag)
and Others
This video is designed as an instructional video to help you incorporate usable techniques into your own trading style.
Hope you enjoy.
The Mechanics Of Trading - Part IPart I
I started this video because a friend asked me for help determining trends on multi-interval (time frames) and asked how I look at trading across multiple intervals. Asking how to best setup/use price trends to capture the best trade setups.
Essentially, it comes down to three key components...
A. Initial reversal/impulse waves should be traded lightly (if at all). They are the "potential price reversal setups" that are usually the most dangerous for traders (and often fairly short in length).
B. Looking for the second wave to form provides traders with the opportunity to catch the bigger Wave-3. This wave forms after the impulse (Wave-1) and a corrective wave (Wave-2), which must stay below any previous ultimate high or above any previous ultimate low.
C. Wave-3, and Wave-5 if applicable, are where traders can flex their muscles related to trade size using the techniques I present to try to capture the MEAT (Sweet Spot) of any trend.
Remember, after Wave-3, you must prepare for the potential end of a trend setup where volatility is likely to increase and risks become a bit more elevated.
I go over multiple techniques in this video.
Fibonacci techniques and Fibonacci Price Theory
Anchor Bars (breakaway bars)
Using Fibonacci Retracements to identify key support/resistance levels for trending
Stochastics
RSI
Wave formations (ZigZag)
and Others
This video is designed as an instructional video to help you incorporate usable techniques into your own trading style.
Hope you enjoy.
SWING TUTORIAL - DIVISLABWatch how the stock was on a continuous Lower Low Patter and formed a Lower Low Trendline.
Simultaneously, there was also a formation of Convergence Divergence indicating an upward move.
Stock also broke out of the trendline with a strong green candle.
While the MACD Cross indicated a good entry after the Convergence Divergence, the breakout from the Trendline later indicated a confirmation for a move upward.
Coincidently, the stock also made a new Support zone at 3299 after a strong breakout from trendline.
Another MACD cross has also successfully happened in the last few weeks.
Do you think the stock can reach its All Time High again?
Give your comments in the Comments Section below:
SPY Fibonacci Price Theory And BreakOut BarsThis instructional video teaches you the basics of Fibonacci Price Theory in conjunction with Breakout Bars and how price is the ultimate indicator.
Throughout this video, I try to provide instruction on key elements related to the Fibonacci Price Theory (Unique & Standout Highs/Lows). Additionally, I've also included Breakout Bars and Fibonacci Price Retracement concepts.
What I really hope you learn from this video is to see price as the true ultimate indicator for your trading decisions. Using technical analysis techniques is fine, but use price as the key element when trying to confirm or reject your trading ideas.
I hope this helps you understand that price, action, and reaction through trends, peaks, and troughs are the most important components of the chart. Everything else is peripheral.
Top 3 Intraday Trading StrategiesTo get success in intraday trading, requires dedication, hard work, patience, quick wit, and immense knowledge. Successful day trading involves 10% execution and 90% patience.
To gain expertise in day trading and honing trading skills, it takes a fair amount of time. There are a number of Best Intraday trading strategies available for trading, but the success or failure of the strategy completely depends on the market. Maybe one strategy works in today’s market condition but may not work according to the next day’s market condition. Not only, does the movement of the market, but the intraday trading strategy also depends on the trading styles of the trader. It also varies at different times of the day, depending upon how the market is behaving.
Here, in this post, you will find Effective Day Trading Strategies, which you can use for intraday trading.
Intraday Trading Strategy :
1. News Based : News-based trading is the most traditional form of day trading. This type of trader doesn’t focus on the stock price and volume charts, they wait for information that will drive the prices.
The information may come in the form of a company announcement about earnings or new products; a general economic announcement about interest rates or unemployment; or just a lot of rumors about what may or may not be happening in a given industry.
Traders who do good with news-based trading , usually have some understanding and knowledge of the markets. These types of traders are not expert analysts or fundamental researchers, but they have enough knowledge about what kind of news would be in-favor or what would be taken poorly by marketers. They also pay attention to a few different news sources and also whenever they find the right opportunity, they place the order at the right time.
The downside of news trading is that there may be few and far good events; more often, the hype is already built into the price by the time you watch it. Many news traders turn to the scalp while they wait for something to create a little excitement.
Before you start news-based day trading, one thing you should keep in mind is that, this type of trading strategy is very risky as compared to other strategies. It also gives high returns on investment within a day.
2. Gap + B.B. (S20,2): This strategy is useful when the stock/ Index opens Gap Up or Gap Down.
After the gap, the stock shows a potential reversal sign, which can observe by the place of a candlestick or by a heavy volume event. You can fade the action and go in the opposite direction of the gap with a profit target at the start of the gap.
Rules:
Entry between 9:30 to 10:00.
Exit at stop-loss or at 3:25.
Bollinger band strategy is 20,2
30- minute time frame is required.
Big Profits and Small losses.
No need to trade every day.
Helps to stay away from the Sideway market.
Example for Buy Trade:
In this strategy, the stock should be open with Gap up or Gap down.
The First 30-minute candle should be untouched from the lower band.
As you can see in the above image, the first candle opens with a gap down and it is below the lower band.
The high of 1st candle is also untouched by the lower band.
Go for buy trade when the high of 1st 30-minute candle is a break.
Stop-loss = low of the 1st candle.
Example for Sell Trade:
The stock opens with a gap up and the 1st candle’s low is not touched with the upper Bollinger band.
As the low of the first candle is broken, enter in to sell trade.
Put the stop loss at the high of the first candle.
Note: This strategy gives best result for Nifty and Bank Nifty.
3. Morning ORB: The early morning range breakouts are also known as opening range breakouts. It is like bread-butter for many trades. The trading opening range takes skill and practice until you can turn a profit.
The early morning range breakout help traders to take advantage of the violent action from the flurry of buying and selling orders when the market opens.
Trading Range
The first 20 to 30-minute trading range is suitable for an opening range breakout. While you start trading practice using this strategy, it is recommended to start with a very little amount of capital.
The stock you select for the trade should be within a range, which is smaller than the average daily range of the stock. The upper and lower boundaries of the range can be identified by the high and low of the first 30 or 60 minutes.
Early Morning Range Breakout and Volume
The idea for go short on a break below or going long on a break above resistance is not as easy as you think. First, you need to understand the relationship between volume and price.
Volume and Price must be in harmony. When you short or long a stock, which has happed down or gapped up it must open with heavy volume and then retrace on lighter volume (indicating a lack of buying). Which confirms that sellers/buyers are in control.
Volume Is very important for every type of breakout which confirms the breakout before entry. If the stock price breaks the morning Support/resistance level with low volume, there is a high chance of a false breakout.
The image below explained that high volume during a breakout is likely to push price through key resistance.
In this 15- minute chart, you see that after a break of early morning resistance with high volume, the price starts increasing.
Volume is very tricky so you need to be able to predict the support/resistance levels accurately in order to find out good volume breakouts and set proper profit targets.
Disclaimer: The Intraday Trading Strategies discussed in this post is for education purpose only. We are not responsible for any Profit or Loss you made using these strategies. We hope that you like our blog post on Intraday Trading Strategies.
Breakout-Retest Strategy implemented for shorting GBP/USDThe forex strategy that I use primarily is based on chart patterns and candlestick formations. The process begins with identifying support and resistance levels and determining the overall trend direction from the H4 (4-hour) chart. Subsequently, this analysis is refined on the H1 (1-hour) and M30 (30-minute) charts to gain a more comprehensive view of market dynamics. The reason behind this multi-timeframe approach is to ensure that we have a clear understanding of the critical price levels and trend dynamics. Relying solely on a single timeframe, such as the M30 chart, can be limiting as it may not reveal the full extent of significant resistance areas or the broader trend context.
The central element of this strategy involves marking and monitoring trendline breakouts, while also considering support and resistance levels. We need to start by drawing trendlines on either the H1 or M30 chart, depending on the timeframe that provides the most clarity for the particular trade setup. Once the trendline is established, we need to patiently wait for the price to break this trendline.
It's essential to distinguish between a genuine breakout and a false breakout (fakeout). A price may momentarily break the trendline but then quickly revert within it. To confirm a legitimate breakout, we need to use a specific criterion i.e. the candle that breaks the trendline must close outside of it. Moreover, the subsequent candle should close above the highest price point of the previous candle that initially broke the trendline. This confirmation ensures a stronger indication of a sustained move in the breakout direction. Once a valid trendline breakout is confirmed, a horizontal line is marked at the breakout level (1.27393). This acknowledges the tendency for prices to retest back to the breakout zone before continuing their move in the breakout direction. This retesting phase is an important component of this strategy.
However, it is important to note that a trade is not executed immediately during a retest. Entry signals are confirmed by closely observing the M5 and M1 charts. As the price approaches the breakout zone, it typically forms higher highs and higher lows (in the case of an upward breakout) or lower highs and lower lows (in the case of a downward breakout). To initiate a trade, we need to look for a reversal pattern on the M1/M5 chart. In the trade above, the price has broken the upward trendline at the price level of 1.27393. Then based on the M5 chart, it can be seen that the price is retesting to the breakout level above and forming higher highs and higher lows (HH-HL). We need to wait until the price touches the breakout line and breaks the HH-HL pattern by forming a lower high. At 1.27309, price made a high lower than the previous high after retesting and touching the breakout level. This indicates a reversal and a confirmation for entry. The MACD indicator with 12-26-9 settings is used to mark the highs and lows more accurately in the M5 chart. The green histogram bars indicate bullish momentum and red histogram bars indicate bearish momentum. This is an important indicator for this strategy as marking the highs and lows accurately is crucial to identify the reversal.
The trade was entered at 1.27236 upon confirmation of the LH and reversal in M5 chart (after touching the breakout level):
In this strategy, a crucial aspect is the use of a 1 to 1 reward-to-risk ratio, and it typically involves aiming for a take profit (TP) and stop loss (SL) of 50 pips each. These TP and SL levels are established with careful consideration of the support and resistance zones identified during the initial analysis in higher timeframes. The importance of these zones lies in their ability to impact trade placement. For instance, when opening a buy trade, if there's a significant resistance level above, whether identified on the H4, H1, or M30 timeframe charts, it's essential to set the TP below that resistance level. This approach is taken because price movements often encounter rejection at such resistance levels, making it crucial to secure profits before reaching that level. By following this TP and SL levels, the trade hit TP with a profit of 50 pips.
🌟 Forex Trading Tutorial: Trading a Fake Breakout✅🔍 Understanding Fake Breakouts:
🔸Spotting the Fake Breakout: In the chart, as highlighted, a green candle indicates a reversal above a certain level, signifying a fake breakout. This is where the market seems to break a support or resistance level but quickly reverses direction, invalidating the breakout.
🔸Qualities of the Confirming Candle: The candle that signals a fake breakout shouldn't be a weak one. It must clearly demonstrate that the breakout was fake, usually with a strong close in the opposite direction of the initial breakout.
📊 Trading Strategy for a Fake Breakout:
1. Position Entry: You can open a position based on these candles, capitalizing on the market's misdirection.
2. Stop Loss: Set the stop loss just below the low of the confirming candle. This placement limits your potential loss if the market moves against your position.
3. Target and Risk-Reward Ratio: Aim for a risk-reward ratio of 2:1 to 3:1. This means for every unit of risk taken, you expect to gain two to three units in reward. For instance, if your stop loss represents a potential loss of 50 pips, set your target at 100 to 150 pips.
💡 Why It Works: This strategy works because fake breakouts often trap traders in the wrong direction. When the market swiftly reverses, it can lead to a strong move in the opposite direction as traders rush to adjust their positions.
📚 Educational Note: It’s crucial to practice this strategy in a demo account or with a small position size initially. Forex trading carries risks, and understanding market dynamics is key to successful trading.
🔑 Remember: Forex trading requires careful analysis, patience, and risk management. Always do your homework and trade responsibly! 🌍📚
#tradecitypro #forex #NZDUSD #breakout #fake_breakout
Buy the Breakout✅ Or Have a Hard time Buying Dips❌Hello Traders! 👋
Excited to bring you another insightful post on Tradingview, highlighting a smarter approach to trading cryptocurrencies. This time, we're focusing on the effectiveness of 'Buying the Breakout' ✅ over the uncertainty of 'Buying the Dip' ❌.
🔑 Strategic Analysis:
1️⃣ Bitcoin (BTC): We begin with Bitcoin, showcasing how choosing breakout points over dips can provide more reliable and timely entry points.
2️⃣ Matic (MATIC): Next, we look at Matic, illustrating how its breakout points, when combined with simple technical analysis, offers a clear strategy for market entry.
3️⃣ Fantom (FTM): Lastly, we explore Fantom, a prime example of how a classic crypto breakout strategy can outperform dip-buying, leading to more significant gains.
🧠 Trading Psychology:
It's crucial to understand the psychological aspect. Consistently buying dips may lead to missing breakout opportunities, potentially resulting in shorting at the wrong moment... or endlessly like Borat at the end of this post
💡 Smart Profit-Taking:
Remember, taking profits partially is key. Secure your gains and keep some positions open for further potential growth, balancing risk and reward effectively. I personally usually set 4 targets for spot at 25% each. The first 2 get me some profit and the last 25% is for my retirement; so i never touch that 25%, ever.
🚦 Managing Fake Breakouts:
A vital part of trading breakouts is dealing with the possibility of a fake breakout. Here's where your skills truly shine. By having a calculated exit strategy, you can minimize risks even if the breakout turns out to be false. This approach ensures that your trading decisions are not only proactive but also protective of your capital.
This post is crafted to enhance your understanding and application of these strategies, whether you're a veteran trader or new to the game. 📚 It's all about making informed, strategic decisions in the dynamic world of crypto trading.
🌟 When it comes to crypto, it all starts with the fundamentals: selecting assets with solid backing, innovative teams, and a clear, strategic plan. This foundational step ensures that you're investing in cryptocurrencies that not only have potential for technical breakouts but also possess the intrinsic value and growth prospects backed by strong fundamentals.
🔍Join me in this journey as we continue to explore and attempt to conquer the markets. Your thoughts, experiences, and insights are always welcome in the comments section below. Let's keep pushing the boundaries of what we can achieve together in trading! Just remember that Trading should be fun thus we must play with funds we can afford to sacrifice.
❌❌❌Don't be like Borat:
❌❌❌
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR ✅
Part 1 - A Beginner's Guide to Breakdown TheoryThe Concept Of Supply & Demand
The price movement of the security is the result of demand(buyers) & supply(sellers):
If the supply is more than the demand, there are more sellers than buyers than sellers, which results in a price fall.
If the demand is more than the supply, there are more buyers than sellers, which results in a price surge.
If the demand equals supply, price consolidates in the range.
Demands = supply
This is an equilibrium area in which demand and supply are equal. The price forms the value area, where both buyers and sellers are equally satisfied with the current price movement. Neither buyer is looking for a price surge nor the bear is waiting for the plunge, at least for some time. The supply and demand are a deadlock or clueless about the upcoming dominance.
Let's take an example to understand these supply and demand conditions:
- The provided chart of TESLA shows a real-time example of the supply and demand effect on the price. In the beginning, Demand pressure was more than Supply pressure, and The stock started rising as buyers outnumbered sellers. As the stock price rose, some buyers started losing interest in purchasing more shares due to the high price. Eventually, the demand and supply pressures reached equilibrium.
- At this point, both buyers and sellers were satisfied with the price movement, as the demand matched the available supply. At high prices, sellers began to take advantage of the situation by selling their stock, leading to a decrease in price. The supply of stock exceeded the demand, and buyers were unable to respond with further bullish moves.
Elements Of The Breakdown Theory:
(1) Value Area:
As the name implies, the value area is the price zone where most trading activities happen. In the value area, buyers and sellers are satisfied and agree with the current price movement. Purchasers are Neither interested in the further price surge nor do sellers agree to a decline in the price during the equilibrium period.
Value area includes two boundaries:
Upper boundary: It represents the supply pressure, which stops the security of the price rise. If the stock crosses down the upper band with volume, the price may be ready for a bearish move. The price signals a weak structure if it fails to trade above the upper band for a long time. This structure is a bearish move.
Lower boundary: It illustrates the demand pressure, which stops the security of the price fall. If the stock crosses up the upper band with volume, the price may be ready for a bullish move. The price signals a strong structure if it fails to trade above the lower band for a long time. This structure is a bullish move.
(2) Excess:
The excess price can be identified above the upper band and below the lower band. It shows a clear rejection of a certain price level and it reacts as support and resistance levels. It indicates the intuition of long-term traders.
The price spends minimal time outside the value area. It tends to reverse its direction and move back inside. It can create an opportunity for traders to sell above and buy below the value area.
For example, the price falls below the lower band but then reverses the movement. Traders can take advantage of this by buying the security with a tight stop loss, aiming for targets up to the upper band or potentially higher.
- The provided chart depicts the daily timeframe of SHREECEM stock from May 1999 to July 2001 . During this period, SHREECEM experienced four excess at the upper boundary and three at the lower boundary of the value area. At 3rd excess of the lower boundary, buyers couldn't respond by a strong bullish move, and sellers rule the movement by supply pressure.
How to draw value area/ Equilibrium?
Step 1 : Obtain a price chart of the tradable instruments(stock, commodity or forex, etc.) with a suitable time frame. As per my observation, daily and, or lower is better.
Step 2 : Look for an area on the price chart where the price is moving within a specific range.
Step 3 : Mark the trading area with the highest trading activity with good volume, which will be marked as a value area.
Step 4 : Mark the area with relatively low trading activities where the price couldn't stay for too long at a certain level, which will be marked as excess.
Step 5: Clearly separate the value area from the excess price areas to visually distinguish between the two.
Step 6 : Observe the repetitive up and down movements within the value area.
Step 7 : Extend value - boundaries rightward on the chart. Observe how price reacts near boundaries for future insights.
Example 1:
- AAPL has formed five price excesses, two above the upper and two below the lower boundary. After selecting the chart, I separated the excess from the price zone.
- Generally, We need to find a price range where most prices touch the upper and lower boundaries. Any prices above the upper boundary or below the lower boundary are considered excess.
Example 2:
- In another Apple chart, the price has formed three excesses. The first excess happened when bulls couldn't overcome the volume of sellers and ended up losing momentum. The second excess occurred when sellers were unable to break below the lower band and lost their strength. At the third excess, AAPL couldn't generate bullish volume, and sellers dominated the selling.
Finally, the price fell to the lower boundary, and bulls responded with a massive volume. Demand exceeded supply, and sellers were outnumbered.
Example 3:
- In the hourly timeframe chart of AMZN, the stock was experiencing a downward trend and entered a consolidation phase. Two excesses were observed, one at the upper boundary and the other at the lower boundary.
- At the second excess, bulls responded with a sharp decline, but they were unable to maintain their momentum above the upper band. This lack of sustainability in their upward move increased the confidence of sellers, leading them to drive the price down for a longer duration. Sellers increased the supply and pushed the price of AMZN down with a gap and strong volume.
Example 4:
- It is the EURUSD 4-hour timeframe chart. EURUSD has more than nine price excesses, with five above the upper boundary and four below the lower boundary. The 5th excess marked the most significant response from buyers, countered by sellers. Subsequently, the length of the excesses decreased.
- At the 9th excess, the buyers' initiative to push the price above the upper boundary couldn't be sustained, as the sellers' trading volume exceeded that of the buyers.
In the next part, we will delve into the other components in more detail.
Creating an article that caters to both beginners and experts can be quite challenging and time-consuming. However, if you would like the next part to be available sooner, please show your support by hitting the like button. Your encouragement will motivate me to continue writing and sharing valuable insights.
Thank you for taking the time to read!
How to fade breakouts professionally from my 30 years experienceIn this detailed education video i show how i mainly make a living as a protrader. This is from fading breakouts of chart patterns. I show three examples of this in the past week from the nasdaq and talk about confirmation bias. I also show what its like drawing lines and patterns daily, win/ loss ratios as well as some thoughts of where the nasdaq might go in the next few weeks.