Get started

Breakout

Double Top Chart PatternThe Double Top or Bottom Chart Pattern is a reversal pattern as its name implies, the pattern is made up of two consecutive peaks or troughs that are roughly equal, with a moderate trough or peak in-between. This reversal could signal an end of an uptrend or downtrend. ( Double top with an end to an uptrend in this case). Double Top Chart Pattern A Double Top chart pattern is comprised of three main components: After a long bullish trend , the price reaches the highest point of the current uptrend After the highest point, there is a decline in price getting support from the support line After this trough the price again increases and reaches another peak falling to the same support line The long bullish trend is the prior trend which is reversed once the pattern is completed, with reaching the highest point of the current trend marking the 1st peak followed by a trough which gets support from the support line i.e. the neckline. Later the price further increases to reach the 2nd peak which gets resistance from the resistance line of 1st peak (usually). Once the price falls and breaks the neckline the formation is complete. The target price for the same is taken as the difference between the neckline and the 2nd peak, with the neckline acting as resistance after the pattern completion. Volume is a confirmatory indication that increases substantially as the breakout is observed and confirms the double top pattern completion! There are few limitations as well to the Double Top Pattern: Can be extremely harmful if identified incorrectly Sometimes the peaks or the trough could be just normal resistance than long-lasting change Might get converted to Triple top, so pay attention to the volume carefully Therefore, one must be extremely careful and patient before jumping to conclusions. Go Trading!!! Further, there are four different types of Double Top pattern based on their respective average rises and failure rate percentage, namely: Adam-Adam; Adam-Eve; Eve-Eve, and Eve-Adam. Where the average is the measure of the price movement from the breakout point to the prime point i.e. 1st peak or the Ultimate high. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- If you find the post useful, please like and share our ideas with the community! - Mudrex
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Mudrex
6
Three Drives Harmonic Chart PatternThe three drivers chart pattern is a well known harmonic chart pattern that acts as a trend reversal. The pattern consists of either three higher highs or lower lows which is an indication of a potential trend reversal. There are two different types of three drives pattern: Bullish Bearish Bullish Three Drives Pattern There are three different waves in the pattern as the name suggests, three drives. With the subsequent drives, there are lower lows that are being formulated in the pattern with three different bottoms. Once the third wave is completed and the low point has been observed, a buy signal can be created with formulating the Fibonacci levels and generating the buy signal with a Fibonacci extension of 1.27 or 1.628. For the stop-loss and take profit levels, you can formulate a new Fibonacci level with the start and end of the pattern and keep 161.8% as the stop-loss level and 61.8% as the take profit level. The important point that confirms the drives is a similar time period between the uptrend after the 1st wave and 2nd wave also a similar time period between the 2nd wane and 3rd wave for the downtrend. The bearish three drives pattern is completely opposite of the bullish three dives pattern and can be spotted in a similar manner. The three drives pattern belongs to the family of harmonic patterns and thus makes use of not just chart patterns but also technical retracement levels to validate the pattern. A three-drive pattern that does not meet the retracement criteria can be discarded. The pattern is therefore qualitative as well as quantitative in nature. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- If you find the post useful, please like and share our ideas with the community! - Mudrex
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Mudrex
5
The Cup and Handle Chart PatternCup and Handle Chart Pattern The cup and handle chart pattern is a bullish continuation pattern that marks a consolidation period followed by a breakout. It can help to predict future price movements. A cup and handle chart pattern is comprised of three main components: -A prior trend, as to qualify as a continuation pattern it has to have a prior trend -The cup, "U" shaped resembling a bowl or rounding bottom with almost equal heights on the either side -The handle, as the cup formation is completed, a trading range develops on the right-hand side forming the handle, usually 1/3rd of the size of the prior advance In this chart pattern, there is a prior trend followed by a cup forming with almost of the equal heights on either side with a low in observed nearly in the middle. After the low, the rice consolidates to reach near the high of the start of the cup, followed by a pullback forming a handle, similar in shape to a flag or pennant. Once the handle reaches back to the same level of the cup highs, a breakout is expected, confirming with spikes in the volume observed. Traders can use the cup and handle to buy when the breakout is observed i.e. at the candle when price breaks the highs formed by the cup. For confirmation, traders can use the sudden increase in volume as the cup and handle completes and the breakout is observed. Traders can put stop loss at the low of the handle in order to minimize the losses if the pattern fails, There are few limitations as well to the Cup and Handle Pattern: -Can be difficult to be observed for novice traders -Often might require assistance from other technical indicators -The cup and handle might take extensive periods to play out and complete the formation ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- If you find the post useful, please like and share our ideas with the community! - Mudrex
COINBASE:ETHUSDEducation
by Mudrex
7
Inverse Head and Shoulder Pattern using BTCUSDThe head and shoulders chart pattern is a price reversal pattern that helps traders identify when a reversal may be underway after a trend is exhausted. It is of two types: Head & Shoulder and Inverse Head & Shoulder. This reversal could signal an end of an uptrend or downtrend. (Inverse Head & Shoulder with an end to downtrend in this case) Inverse Head & Shoulder: An inverse head & shoulder pattern is comprised of three main components: -After a long bearish trend, the price falls to a trough and subsequently rises to a peak -The price again falls to form a second trough substantially below the initial low and rises again to the same peak -The price falls for the third time but to the level of the first trough only before rising back to the same peak again In this chart pattern there are three trough in which a large trough (the head i.e. the second trough) has a slightly smaller trough on either side of it (right and left shoulder that are the first and third peak), with all of the trough increasing to a same level of resistance i.e. the peak until where all the troughs had risen, called as neckline in the pattern. Once the third trough (right shoulder) moves back to neckline it is likely to breakout to a bullish uptrend indicating a trend reversal hereby, which is the basic explanation of Head and Shoulder. Traders can use Inverse head and shoulder to buy when the breakout is observed i.e. at the neckline after the right shoulder reached there completing the Inverse Head & Shoulder formation. For confirmation traders can use the drop in volume as the Inverse Head & Shoulder is forming and a sudden increase in the volume as breakout is observed suggesting a shift from sellers before the pattern to buyers after the pattern. There are few limitations as well to the Head & Shoulder Pattern: -Sometimes false breakouts might be observed -The time duration for formation of the pattern might be too long -Trough or peak might be pretty far from the neckline resulting in large stop loss distances which might have o reviewed consistently -The price may see pullback after the third peak or trough often confusing few traders ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- If you find the post useful, please like and share our ideas with the community! - Mudrex
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Mudrex
12
EURAUD 15M BIG BEN BREAKOUT TRADING STRATEGYRule #1 Define the London Trading Range We’re going to use the range definition that takes into consideration only the body of the candles, excluding the wicks. Note* this trading rule can be adapted as you get more experienced at reading the price action. This strategy works because the Asia trading range tends to attract buy and sell stops above and below the trading range. The bulk of buying and selling stops becomes an easy target for the smart money. Remember that traders need liquidity to execute their orders. And, the smart money is always in search of liquidity to fill their large orders. That’s the reason why the smart money needs to trigger those stops. Rule #2: The One-Hour before the London Open Needs to Generate the Breakout Our backtesting results revealed that momentum really starts to pick up 1-hour earlier than the actual London opening session. There are some smart ways to trade this burst of momentum. Let’s see some technical ways to trade the pre-London open. We don’t need to guess in which way the market will break, we let the market tip his hand and show us the way. This is where things get interesting. Let me explain… During the London session we’re going to see the most traded volume thus the foreign exchange market should really take off in one direction or another. Rule #3 Price needs to fade Immediately after the London session opens, we want to see the price fading the pre-open move. If the move starts fading, we know it was a false breakout. Smart money has used the pre-open move to trigger the stops above the range and now they reverse the tie and start selling. We want to see price pulling back into the range at the same speed as it went up. Let me explain… In simple words, the bearish momentum used to produce the false breakout needs to be equal to the bullish momentum used to fade the pre-open move. We enter our trade after the first 5-minutes have confirmed that the price is reversing. Once this trade setup is completed, you should see a price formation that takes the V-shaped form (or inverse V-shape). Rule #4 Take Profit or Ride the Trend We can measure the size of the Asia trading range and project from the top or bottom of our range to get our profit target. But, oftentimes this type of setup can lead to a trading day that can extend in the days to come. Now, in this case, it’s wise if you employ other trading tactics so you can actually profit from this trend. In this example, the better take profit strategy would be to use a trailing stop. You need to be ready to explore other trading methods to manage your trades. Rule #5 Use a Time Stop Instead of a Price Stop In order to fade the London breakout, you need to use unconventional trading methods. In this regard, for our stop loss trading strategy we’re going to use a time stop instead of a price stop. The first time I’ve ever heard about the time stop concept was while reading the Market Wizards book. Billionaire Hedge Fund manager Paul Tudor Jones one of the greatest traders of our times said: “When I trade, I don’t just use a price stop, I also use a time stop.” So, how to apply the time stop to the London strategy? It’s very simple… If, in the first hour after the London open the price didn’t COMPLETELY reversed the pre-opening breakout, we exit the trade. It’s simple as that, no further explanation is needed.
Education
by Tradingstrategyguides
Trader/Investors must understand this process.......!Kindly comment with " Yes " for agree and "No" for disagree with this post: Before the break-out, I've informed that " Breakout will give truck of Money. ..!". Exactly, we seen this statement was TRUE, didn't it? (End of idea link is added about this idea) Let's talk step by step was happened here. The Width of congestion area was equal to height of the price surged. From my personal experience and the survey/observation I'm talking about this is almost the same area as price congestion in size of width and height after the price break. Let's try to explain in another words: Horizontal width of congestion size = Vertical price move after break-out. (Generally, i noted that price moved away so far after breakout whenever congestion area is much longer.) --> Let's talk little more deeper about CONGESTION area: In the congestion area, accumulation or distribution process process. We will talk about accumulation only because, this was happened here. Accumulation : smart money, money makers, huge fund-management, landlord of global investors whatever you called them they grab/connecting instrument(stocks, currency,etc) from retail investors in very slow motion because, they can smell insider upcoming news. After the completing this accumulation, news clear and price start to go away from the breakout area. later i will try to explain you more deeper about it practically. Yes, obviously we can smell the process accumulation/distribution.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Jay_shree
159