Getting Started with Forex Prop Trading: Intro Guide🔸Forex prop trading (short for foreign exchange proprietary trading) refers to a trading model where traders use capital provided by a proprietary trading firm to trade in the Forex (foreign exchange) market. Unlike traditional retail trading, where traders use their own funds, prop traders operate with the firm's capital, typically after passing a series of evaluations to prove their trading skills and risk management abilities. In return, the firm takes a percentage of the profits generated by the trader.
🆕 Here’s a more detailed look at how forex prop trading works and why it's appealing:
🔸 Access to Capital
Prop firms offer substantial capital to skilled traders, allowing them to trade with much larger account sizes than they might be able to on their own. For example, a trader might be funded with anywhere from $10,000 to $1,000,000 or more, depending on their experience and the firm's offerings.
🔸 Evaluation Process
Most prop firms require traders to pass an evaluation or assessment phase before providing access to live capital. This involves trading on a demo account and meeting specific performance metrics like profit targets, drawdown limits, and risk management rules. If the trader successfully passes this phase, they are then given access to a live account with the firm's capital.
🔸 Profit Sharing
Once a trader is funded, they enter into a profit-sharing agreement with the firm. Typically, the trader receives a percentage of the profits, often around 70-90%, while the firm keeps the rest as compensation for providing the capital and infrastructure. For example, if a trader makes $10,000 in profits and their profit split is 80/20, they would keep $8,000 while the firm takes $2,000.
🔸 Risk Management
Prop firms are very strict about risk management because they are providing their own capital. They impose limits on the maximum drawdown (the amount a trader can lose), daily loss limits, and leverage. If these rules are violated, traders risk losing their funded status.
🔸 Advantages for Traders
Low Financial Risk: Traders do not need to risk their own capital, reducing personal financial exposure.
No Pressure to Invest Large Sums: With access to firm capital, traders don’t need to save up large amounts to trade at higher levels.
Support and Resources: Many prop firms provide educational resources, trading platforms, and tools to help their traders succeed.
🔸Types of Prop Firms
Prop firms can generally be categorized into two types:
🔸Traditional Prop Firms: These firms often require traders to work in-office and provide access to a wide range of markets beyond Forex, including stocks, commodities, and derivatives. Online Prop Firms: The more popular model today, these firms operate remotely, allowing traders from around the world to participate.
🔸 Fees
Most prop firms charge traders an initial fee to cover the evaluation process. This fee can range from a few hundred to a couple of thousand dollars, depending on the account size. In many cases, this fee is refundable if the trader successfully completes the evaluation.
🔸 Challenges
Strict Rules: If traders fail to adhere to the firm's rules (such as daily loss limits or maximum drawdown), they can lose their funded account.
Pressure to Perform: Trading with someone else’s capital can create pressure, which can affect trading decisions and lead to mistakes if not handled well.
🔸Bot Algo Trading in Forex
Algorithmic trading (algo trading) involves using pre-programmed instructions (algorithms) that can automatically execute trades in the Forex market based on specific conditions. These conditions can be price, volume, time, or other market indicators. Algo trading has become increasingly popular in the Forex market due to its ability to:
▪️Execute trades at high speed without the need for human intervention.
▪️Remove emotional biases, which can often lead to poor decision-making in trading.
▪️Test and optimize strategies through backtesting on historical data to ensure effectiveness.
▪️Implement complex strategies that would be difficult for a human to execute manually.
🔸what is a Bot Algo Expert?
A bot algo expert is typically a professional who specializes in developing and optimizing trading algorithms (bots) for Forex markets. They possess skills in coding, often using languages like Python, MQL4/5 (MetaQuotes Language), and other programming languages tailored to financial markets.
🔸The expert focuses on building bots that can:
▪️Identify trading signals based on technical indicators (like moving averages, RSI, Bollinger Bands).
▪️Automatically execute trades when certain criteria are met (such as entering or exiting positions).
▪️Manage risk by setting stop-loss and take-profit orders to minimize potential losses.
▪️Optimize performance by regularly updating the algorithm based on market conditions.
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Btc-bitcoin
All About the Head & Shoulders Pattern(Beginner-Friendly) Part.2Hello, everyone.
Today, I’m excited to share the second part of my educational series on chart patterns.
In this post, we’ll be focusing on the 'Head and Shoulders' and 'Inverse Head and Shoulders' patterns.
For those who missed the first part, you can catch up here:
↓↓↓
As always, I’ve kept the explanations simple and beginner-friendly. I hope this guide provides you with valuable insights!
Here’s today’s outline:
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✔️ Outline
1. What is the Head and Shoulders pattern?
Definition
Key components
Characteristics
2. Head and Shoulders
Basic features
Examples
3. Inverse Head and Shoulders
Basic features
Examples
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1. What is the "Head and Shoulders" pattern?
1) Definition
The Head and Shoulders pattern is a well-established reversal formation that appears after an uptrend and signals the potential start of a downtrend. It indicates that buying pressure is weakening and selling pressure is gaining momentum.
2) Key components
Left Shoulder: The initial peak, where the price rises and then pulls back.
Head : The highest peak, situated between the two shoulders, representing the final bullish push.
Right Shoulder: The third peak, which is typically lower than the head but similar to the left shoulder, signaling diminishing buying interest.
Neckline: A key support line drawn across the lows of the left and right shoulders. A decisive break below this neckline confirms the reversal and the beginning of a downtrend.
3) Characteristics
Reversal signal: The Head and Shoulders pattern marks a transition from an uptrend to a downtrend.
Easy identification: The structure is visually distinctive, with three clear peaks.
Neckline significance: A break below the neckline serves as a confirmation signal for the downtrend.
Volume dynamics: Volume typically rises during the formation of the left shoulder and head, decreases during the right shoulder, and surges again when the neckline is breached.
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2. Head and Shoulders (Reversal from uptrend to downtrend)
1) Basic features
End of an uptrend: The Head and Shoulders pattern forms at the end of a bullish phase, signaling a weakening in buying strength.
Distinct peak heights: The head is always higher than the shoulders, which are generally symmetrical, though the right shoulder may sometimes be slightly lower, enhancing the pattern’s reliability.
Neckline as a trigger: The neckline acts as a critical support level. A break below it confirms the pattern and signals the onset of a bearish trend.
Volume confirmation: Volume increases during the left shoulder and head formations, weakens during the right shoulder, and spikes when the neckline is broken, confirming a potential sell-off.
Price target: After the pattern completes, the expected price drop is typically equal to the distance between the head and the neckline, providing traders with a target.
2-1) Example 1
In this example, we see a fakeout at the right shoulder, followed by a sharp decline.
After a brief retest of the neckline, the price broke through and continued its downtrend.
2-2) Example 2
In this chart, a fakeout occurred when the price dropped from the head and formed the neckline, misleading many market participants. After forming the right shoulder, the price successfully declined. There were two retests, which confirmed the reliability of the pattern.
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3. Reverse Head and Shoulders (Trend reversal from downtrend to uptrend)
1) Basic features
End of a downtrend: The Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern typically forms at the end of a downtrend, signaling a potential reversal to the upside.
Formation of lows: Like the standard Head and Shoulders, this pattern consists of three lows—left shoulder, head, and right shoulder—with the head being the lowest point.
Neckline significance: The neckline is drawn across the highs of the left and right shoulders. A break above this line confirms the reversal and acts as a strong buy signal.
Volume pattern: Volume tends to decrease during the formation of the pattern but surges when the neckline is broken, signaling strong buying momentum.
Target setting: After the pattern is confirmed, the expected price rise is often equal to the distance from the head to the neckline, which helps traders set profit targets.
2-1) Example 1
After the Head and Shoulders pattern formed, the price broke above the neckline, successfully reversing the downtrend into an uptrend. A buy strategy would have yielded profits at the breakout point.
2-2) Example 2
In this example, a smaller Reverse Head and Shoulders pattern formed within the head of a larger pattern (see Example 3). After two successful retests, the price reversed into a strong uptrend.
2-3) Example 3
This example showcases the smaller Reverse Head and Shoulders pattern mentioned in Example 2, located within the head. After two successful retests, a buy strategy could have led to profits as the price reversed into an uptrend.
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✔️ Conclusion
"Charts are the maps of the market."
The Head and Shoulders and Reverse Head and Shoulders patterns we’ve covered in this post are key signals that frequently appear in the market. Charts aren’t random—they are visual representations of market psychology and investor behavior. As traders, our role is to interpret these maps, navigate the market, and make informed decisions.
Investing is more than just buying and selling. Sometimes the market may move contrary to our expectations, while other times we seize opportunities and achieve success. Each experience is a chance to learn and grow. The more experience you gain, the more paths you’ll recognize on the chart.
Success in this market requires persistence, patience, and continuous learning. Understanding and analyzing chart patterns like the ones discussed here is just the beginning. I hope this post has helped you gain a deeper understanding of the market and make more informed decisions.
The market is always evolving, but within that evolution lies opportunity. The key is developing the ability to spot those opportunities. With knowledge, experience, and confidence, you’ll find greater success.
Stay prepared, and always listen to what the market is telling you.
Why the Bitcoin Halving Historically Increases PriceThe bitcoin halving, which occurs every four years, is encoded into Bitcoin itself. Its purpose is to cut in half the amount of Bitcoin that is rewarded for every block that is mined, meaning you must double the processing power every four years to mine the same amount of Bitcoin. (A block reward refers to the number of bitcoins you get if you successfully mine a block of the currency . Investopedia 2023 )
This means that it becomes twice as hard for bitcoin miners to mine the same amount of bitcoin they were mining four years earlier with the same hardware. This creates what is known as a drop in supply or supply shock, where market demand either stays the same or increases, and the price of bitcoin must increase to meet the demand.
If the demand stays the same or increases, the price still has to increase because the supply of bitcoin being mined daily is half what it was in the previous four years. There are fewer coins to buy, so the market must compete by paying higher prices. Because this event is exponential, eventually hardware will not be able to keep up with the halving if miners want to be profitable.
This may seem like an oversimplification of the most basic economic principles. However, that is what is fundamentally encoded into bitcoin, which guarantees an increase in price by cutting supply every four years (guaranteed only if demand stays the same or increases). That is why bitcoin halving is referred to as a market-moving event, because not only historically has it proven to increase prices and cut supply, but fundamentally it has too.
Now let’s look at a real-life example for comparison. Gold does have real-world use in technology and jewelry. However, its main value and use are as a store of value. Most gold is bought and accumulated because it will retain its value, which is the same use case as bitcoin. What do you think would happen if the entire gold production market was slashed in half overnight and this process was repeated every four years? The price of gold would increase exponentially as the finite resource becomes more and more scarce because it is harder to mine. Now apply the same logic to bitcoin, and hopefully you will begin to see the picture.
The next bitcoin has just under 60 days coming up in mid-April 2024, so mark your calendars.
DWEB levels and local price trends #BTC This chart is for intermediate DWEB users for learning purposes and or for followers to use for trading this local price action. If trends fail look for the next trends and levels for confluence against a system you already trust. Trends are #1 and levels are #2. Trade this chart with more trust as the price respects the lines and or this chart aligns with your other charts (confluence).
By using the nodes and trends from DWEB , I was able to cast some unique visuals in terms of trends and levels. Using different candle intervals can often provide some hidden data. Often when you inverse the default intervals and indicators , you unhide even more data that is unseen by most. DWEB is very strict in it's parameters and often only makes minor adjustments between macro and micro charts.
The thresholds of ranges where DWEB makes wider changes to its parameters is listed below.
1 to 314 minutes
314 to 888 minutes
888 minutes to 1444 minutes
1D TO 3 D
3D to 1W
1W to 9D.
With DWEB on
News-Based Trading: How News Acts as the Best Indicator Beginners diving into the dynamic world of cryptocurrency trading often find themselves influenced heavily by news. Eager to anticipate trends and, obviously, earn big, they hang on to every piece of information. Here’s the twist: trading based on news, more often than not, ends in heartbreak and empty pockets. 📉 But what’s the reason?
🔑 KEY QUESTIONS:
How can you navigate cryptocurrency trades using news?
Can news truly be an effective indicator for cryptocurrency moves?
Delving into the ripple effect of news on the crypto sphere.
Crafting a winning strategy: Navigating news-based cryptocurrency trades.
News: The Puppeteer Behind the Scenes🎭
On the surface, news might look like the golden compass for predicting market moves. However, the waters run deep. Big sharks - those with hefty wallets - often use news as their puppet strings to control the market. They capitalize on the knee-jerk reactions of retail traders. 🎣
Imagine: A piece of unfavorable news is released. Retail traders, gripped by panic, rush to sell their cryptocurrency, hoping to minimize losses. This is when the big players snatch up large amounts of cryptocurrency at bargain prices. Suddenly, the market takes an unexpected turn, soaring high, leaving those sellers scratching their heads in confusion. 🚀
On the flip side, when the headlines scream positive news, the actual price movement might surprise you. The real game-changer isn’t the news per se, but how traders respond to it.
1. Elon Musk & Bitcoin: When Musk revealed Tesla's embrace of Bitcoin, charts showcased this at the pinnacle of the market. Yet, the aftermath? A staggering 50% plunge. 😲
2. Salvador's Bitcoin Move: Despite the buzz and optimism around Salvador adding Bitcoin to its reserves, Bitcoin's price took a surprising dip. 📉
3. Meme Crypto’s Grand Debut: Post the grand showcase of the meme crypto, Shiba Inu, at Times Square, its value dwindled. The euphoria surrounding this news turned to disbelief as Bitcoin dropped by a whopping 70%, with altcoins plummeting by 90%. 😵
These narratives underline the power of news in the cryptocurrency arena, not always for the right reasons. News might ignite fear or trigger euphoria, but it's vital to stay grounded. 🧘 Recognizing the potential manipulative tactics of major players is key. Equipping oneself with a robust trading strategy and a sound risk management plan is your armor against the tumultuous world of cryptocurrency trading. 💡🛡️
Andrews' Pitchforks are FunHere's an example of a pitchfork drawn on the 2 weekly BNC:BLX chart, measured from the March 2020 low to the Nov 2021 high and completed at the Nov 2022 low, and then extended in direction and levels (up to 9 levels can be added).
The chart above makes for a solid example of how pitchforks can be used to derive a trend or channel and find solid support and resistance levels within it. They are also just fun to work with!
There are several types of pitchforks which can be tested until you've found one that works best for your chart. They are called Andrews' Pitchforks because they were originally developed by Alan Andrews, with several derivatives created by modifying calculation for the placement of the pitchfork's handle (the slope of its median line):
Normal Pitchfork - Andrews' original pitchfork tool.
Schiff Pitchfork - moves start of the handle line halfway to the base of the channel.
Modified Schiff Pitchfork - handle start is adjusted by a distance equal to half the difference between price values of its first two points (first low and high, or first high and low) of three.
Inside Pitchfork - handle adjusted to half of the vertical & half of the horizontal distance between the first two points of three.
In the example above, I chose a Modified Schiff Pitchfork , and then identified 3 points of consecutive highs and lows. In this case: low -> high -> low. You can choose to do the opposite of this and start from high -> low -> high, typically your first point should represent the beginning of a new trend.
Play around with trying this in different timeframes, and also try editing / adding / removing levels. You can try basic levels at increments of 25% or by utilizing classic Fibonacci levels (or both, as shown above).
Pitchforks are a type of Fibonacci tool, so I like using classic Fib levels. You could just use the Fibonacci Channel tool and get a similar result. But, the nice thing about utilizing a pitchfork is that it can help you identify a channel that may not be immediately obvious.
Here is another example of using a Modified Schiff Pitchfork to derive trends on a popular altcoin, BINANCE:HBARUSD :
Thanks for reading, I hope this was helpful to you. I learned more about pitchforks myself while working on this, and encourage others to do the same!
Where to understand that bear market endedI'll be watching just these line to understand that market structure is broken and new bull is here (+examples)
1. Orange - break and retest for bull
2. White - for bear break and retest 2 times, 3rd one just break down
3. Blue - waiting for break and retest of 1st and 2nd lines for bull
USDT vs USDC Reserve BreakdownUSDT (Tether) vs USDC (Circle) reserves☝️
USDT seems to be more diversified then USDC, as they’ve split their reserves into 7 different asset classes. Compared to USDC who are only diversified into 3.
USDT has a healthy 4% of their reserves in Gold, which is up 8% year to date SO FAR. They’re more likely to survive a liquidation process, compared to USDT when the next Crypto crash happens💥
The other side of the tradeTrading has this stigma attached to it, everyone thinks they can come and make their millions. The reality is, 90% of new traders lose 90% of their funds in 90 days.
I've talked for years about the negative side of trading (trust me, I've done this over 20 years) Trading is often perceived as a wonderful, fabulous lifestyle. Cars, yachts, jets and women! Probably fueled by films like the Wolf of Wall Street. But not many people like admitting to the other side of the traders lifestyle. Of course, it's nowhere near as glamorous - it sure as hell won't get social media likes or follows. But it's there and it's real!
There are a couple of main points that I want to touch on, especially for you newer traders coming to find your fortunes.
1) Trading can be boring! Yes, boring as shait. If you are used to having a 9-5, you do not realise the effects (good and bad) on having human interaction throughout the day. You might have a partner you live with, the family. But what about when they go to work or school? You are left with your own thoughts. Yes, this can be dangerous!!!
The issues can include lack of motivation, uncertainty in what to do, overthinking. On your bad days, you have nobody to comfort you and on your good days, you have nobody to share the excitement with! Joining communities can be a good fix here, providing you find a good one. This doesn't have to effect your trading, your strategy or anything else - but interaction could save you from the loneliness.
The solitary nature of trading can sometimes lead to feelings of isolation and loneliness. Without the support and camaraderie of others in a similar field, it can be challenging to share experiences, discuss strategies, or seek advice. Additionally, the pressure and stress of making high-stakes financial decisions can further contribute to a sense of isolation.
2) STRESS - Stress is a huge factor for a trader. Stress could also stem from the loneliness, stress when dealing with finance is an area where a lot of people suffer, traders and non traders alike. The issue is for traders, stress is often self inflicted.
Most new traders come to the market with a view of it's easy, fast paced, exciting and therefore have the perception of making it big.
If it was this easy, people wouldn't spend 7 years becoming doctors or lawyers. Instead they would follow the money! Come on, who wouldn't - Yachts n all.
It's this popular belief that usually drives traders into the stressful state which becomes the norm until they give up!
To counter the loneliness and try to make it big, traders (probably you) I know I did! look at indicators, try to take on as much info as possible! Which takes you down this path.
Indicators. there must be a holy grail, a silver bullet? 100% winning strategy? People waste so much time on retail indicators thinking they will be the one to find the edge. You would be better off having a trip to Vegas and playing the first slot machine you spot!
The next issue is - too much data or the attempt to obtain too much of it! I remember when my setup matched this below (if not more screens)
This is like trying to read 9 books at the same time whilst writing essays in 6 different languages. All of these factors will 100% add to your stress.
You might have anxiety when executing a trade, or feel the burden of stress whilst in a trade. Scared to see the numbers go red and too eager when they go green?! Yup been there, done that. So has every trader out there.
Stop feeling like this.
Creation of a strategy...
All you need to help combat these types of stresses, is find an edge. The edge could be very simple - from reading books, stepping away from the charts, viewing higher time frames, moving away from social media influencers. All the way through to mastering one instrument.
When you see indicators like the image above, what happens if two are in one direction and the rest in another? You start to argue with yourself, you miss good trades and you end up taking bad ones. This leads to stress and then you realise, yup your lonely!
What a cycle to be trapped in!
Now how about you flip the thinking here? Less charts to stare at, less indicators to confuse, more time to read, exercise or simply go play golf. Your edge does not need to be technical, fancy or shown on 48 screens.
I talked about this in the Tradingview live show the other evening.
Here's the link: www.tradingview.com
Sometimes less is more and this can combat the stress and golf is always a winner for loneliness.
Disclaimer
This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
The Laws of cryopto markets.Law #1
All markets are inherently Fractal. Markets have many patterns. Fractals are similar in different instruments, different timeframes, and even in different time periods. Whether you look at a monthly chart or a 1-minute chart, the same principles and patterns work everywhere. If you remove the ticker or symbol of an asset and the time frame from the chart, you will hardly be able to determine the chart of which instrument you are analyzing. All markets move according to the "Russian Matryoshka" principle: balances within balances, ranges within ranges, transitions from one pattern to another.
Law #2.
At a certain point in time, markets are either in balance or moving in a trend. Markets can only be in one of these two states.
So what is balance, or as I sometimes call it, range? Financial Markets have long been designed to create a "bargain." In a balance sheet, buyers and sellers determine some kind of value for a commodity or trading instrument. It is in the balance that buyers and sellers come to a common denominator or agree on the valuation of the commodity they are trading. In a trend, on the contrary, both buyers and sellers disagree on the price and move away from the previously agreed value of the commodity. The reason for this can be anything: supply and demand, news background, some rumors, fundamental changes or whatever. Something has caused the price to get out of a certain balance. The value of the goods has changed, and if it has risen, it means that the buyers have become much more aggressive than the sellers, or vice versa. More aggressive means that buyers, for whatever reason, are willing to pay more than sellers offer. These "transactions" and aggressive transitions move the world markets until both buyers and sellers agree on the value of the commodity again. Then the "flat"/balance starts again, then the trend, and then the stop and balance again.
It is very important to understand that getting out of a Grand Balance creates a big trend. Understanding this can bring you either big profits or big losses if you start trading against such a trend. Trends and balances move in the dynamics of the markets and the matryoshka structure. This is what creates the context of the market.
Law #3.
Price moves in a series of impulses and corrections. It never flies up in a rocket (except for dumps on crypto or low-liquid assets), and it never rocks down (dumps on crypto). The move starts with a directional move and then stops at a point called a swing high on an upward momentum. After that, the price begins to move in the opposite direction. This is called a correction or "balancing" if price corrects against the trend. Often price also corrects over time or horizontally when the momentum "cools down," creating a horizontal balance or rerun, but not giving any correction to keep traders out of the trap
Even if sometimes it seems that on a large timeframe price is moving in a straight line upward, when you approach the 15-minute timeframe, you can see that price is going impulses and corrections.
Law #4.
Price takes all information into account effectively, but not perfectly. This "law" is one of the most controversial in trading, and the least understood. As a rule, market participants cannot find a common denominator in explanation of this rule. On the one hand there are supporters of the hypothesis of the market rationality, according to which the price instantly includes all information, news and rumors. They say that the price instantly reflects everything that is happening in the world from details to global fundamental changes.
But if it were true, then it would be impossible to be a profitable trader in the market. From my experience I am willing to argue with this, and there are so many traders who are making huge money in the market contrary to the rationality of the markets. In reality, markets are actually rational, price does include all information very quickly, but market participants are quite far from being rational. Very often the emotional characteristics of market participants cause the price to move too high or too low in the trend direction contrary to the real price of a particular asset. Greed and fear (FOMO-fear of missing out) can often be to blame. Of course, sooner or later the price of the asset will come back to its real value, but the fact is that markets are not entirely rational. That is sometimes the best opportunity to raise good money in a trade against the "crowd."
Tradingview Volume toolsI've been using Tradingview for just over 8 years now. When I initially started using it I was transitioning from using Footprint tools. I would use techniques that in essence allowed you to see inside a candle. Coupled with techniques such as "DOM" Depth of Market and Cumulative Delta. After a while you get to see some of this stuff without the need of indicators.
Tradingview have steadily added various tools to the platform and with a little help from being able to code your own tools it's made it an interesting space to play.
So here's a quick overview on the abilities, encase you have yet to explore. This is not a lesson on volume as such, just educating you as to what the possibilities can be.
Most would have seen or at least know about the volume on the X axis.
This simply gives an idea of the happening of that particular candle, of course things can alter or yield different results based on settings and time frames.
we've taken the time to incorporate this simple volume in one of our own indicators. Which is coupled with a Stochastic and a few other bits.
It can also be used standalone for spotting divergence for example. You can see how the volume up and price up yet in the third price move up, volume has lowered.
There are also various styles of showing this volume data - one such tool is Weiss waves.
These are great in conjunction with techniques such as Elliott Waves and Wyckoff. I've shown this over the last two years here on TradingView and both of these techniques have been very useful on Bitcoin during this time.
I mentioned CVD the cumulative Volume Delta, here you can see this under the Weiss Wave indicator. Like I said, have a play around with these on your own charts. You will spot some interesting things once you get to know them. Try various instruments as well as timeframes.
More recently I posted a video on using Chat GPT to build a pinescript indicator. Here's the link to that post.
Well, I've taken that a few steps further.
What started as an idea in terms of using Footprint, X axis volume and then what's called periodic volume profile. I personally like to turn the bars/candles off when I got this on.
Here's another view - this is the session volume profile and periodic volume combined without the candles being visible.
This new indicator extracts various pieces of data and paints key levels based on my old trading style. As you can see today, this is showing like a magnet where the key levels in Bitcoin are likely to be. There's a bit more to it than that but in essence, its what I am showing here.
To finish with you have two other tools here on Tradingview - one which is fixed range volume, just as it says on the tin. You can see volume inside a range you determine.
I have used a low and a high here to find the PoC - Point of Control.
Then finally, you have visible range; this I tend to use less personally, but I know many people like it. This allows you to view the volume profile based on what you have visible on the chart. As you can imagine, as you zoom in n out, it can change.
Like I said, this is not a lesson on each tool - it's an intro to, for you to spend the time to play around with these tools. Feel free to ask questions below.
Enjoy the rest of the week!
Disclaimer
This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
BTCUSD : Technical Indicators and Step-by-Step StrategyHere's a step-by-step strategy for using the 15-minute BTCUSD chart:
Step 1: Set up your chart with the chosen indicators
1. Add the 50-period (blue) and 200-period (red) Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) to the Bitcoin price chart.
2. Add Bollinger Bands with a 20-period moving average (green) and 2 standard deviations.
3. Add a volume chart below the price chart.
4. Add the 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) in a separate panel below the volume chart.
5. Add the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) with periods of 12, 26, and 9 in another separate panel.
Step 2: Analyze the trend and identify support and resistance levels
1. Suppose the Bitcoin price is above the 50 and 200 EMA, indicating an overall uptrend. If it's below both, it signals a downtrend.
2. For example, if the price bounces off the 50 EMA multiple times, this level acts as a support in an uptrend. In a downtrend, it acts as resistance.
Step 3: Use Bollinger Bands to identify buying and selling opportunities
1. On February 10th, 12:45 PM, the Bitcoin price touches the lower Bollinger Band and then moves upwards, representing a potential buying opportunity.
Similarly, on February 11th, 4:15 PM, the price touches the upper Bollinger Band and then reverses, signaling a selling opportunity.
Step 4: Analyze volume
1. On February 10th, 1:00 PM, a significant increase in volume corresponds to a strong upward price movement, suggesting bullish activity.
Step 5: Analyze momentum and trend indicators
1. On February 11th, 9:30 AM to 10:45 AM, the Bitcoin price makes higher lows while the RSI shows lower lows, indicating a bullish divergence, suggesting a potential trend reversal.
2. On February 11th, 11:30 AM, the MACD line (blue) crosses above the signal line (orange), indicating a potential shift to an uptrend.
Step 6: Synthesize the information and make a decision
1. Using the previous examples, a possible trading strategy could be to buy when the price touches the lower Bollinger Band and the RSI shows bullish divergence during an overall uptrend, and sell when the price touches the upper Bollinger Band during an uptrend.
2. Entry points: February 10th, 12:45 PM (buy) and February 11th, 4:15 PM (sell). Set stop-loss and take-profit levels based on your risk tolerance and trading plan.
Please note that these examples are for illustrative purposes and past performance does not guarantee future results. It is essential to adapt your analysis and trading strategy to changing market conditions and develop a comprehensive understanding of these indicators to make informed decisions.
How to Use the Exponential Moving Average (EMA)The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is a popular technical indicator used by traders to identify trends and make informed trading decisions. In this TradingView idea, we will discuss how to use the EMA in your technical analysis.
Step 1: Understanding the EMA
The EMA is a type of moving average that gives greater weight to more recent prices, making it more responsive to changes in the market. The EMA is calculated by taking the average of a set number of price data points over a specified time period, with more weight given to recent data points.
Example:
Let's say you are using 20-day and 50-day EMAs to identify trends and potential buy/sell signals. You notice that the 20-day EMA is above the 50-day EMA, indicating that the stock is in an uptrend. You then wait for the price of the stock to pull back to the 20-day EMA before buying in, as this could provide a good entry point. Conversely, if the price falls below the 20-day EMA, this could be a potential sell signal.
Step 2: Identifying Trends with the EMA
One of the primary uses of the EMA is to identify trends in the market. When the price of an asset is above the EMA, it is considered to be in an uptrend, while when the price is below the EMA, it is considered to be in a downtrend. Traders can use the EMA to identify potential buy and sell signals based on the direction of the trend.
Example:
Let's say you are using the 50-day EMA as a dynamic support or resistance level. You notice that the price of the pair has been consistently bouncing off the 50-day EMA, indicating that it is acting as a support level. You then decide to go long on the pair when the price approaches the 50-day EMA, with a stop loss below the EMA in case the price breaks through.
Step 3: Using Multiple EMAs for Confirmation
Traders can also use multiple EMAs to confirm trends and potential buy and sell signals. For example, using a shorter-term EMA, such as a 20-day EMA, in conjunction with a longer-term EMA, such as a 50-day EMA, can provide a more comprehensive view of the trend and potential trading opportunities.
Example:
Let's say you are using the 10-day, 20-day, and 50-day EMAs to confirm trends and potential buy/sell signals. You notice that the 10-day EMA is above the 20-day EMA, which is also above the 50-day EMA, indicating that the trend is up. You then wait for the price of gold to pull back to the 10-day or 20-day EMA before buying in, as this could provide a good entry point. Conversely, if the price falls below the 50-day EMA, this could be a potential sell signal.
Step 4: Using the EMA as a Dynamic Support or Resistance Level
In addition to identifying trends, the EMA can also be used as a dynamic support or resistance level. When the price of an asset is approaching the EMA, traders can use the EMA as a potential support or resistance level, depending on the direction of the trend.
In conclusion, the EMA is a versatile and powerful technical indicator that can be used for a variety of trading strategies. You don't need a complex setup to be successful in trading, just using simple indicator such as EMA can make trading highly profitable.
Vector -->
Coin market theme!!! About coin ecosystemHello?
Traders, welcome.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day.
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As the coin market goes through rising and falling markets, many themes are being created.
These themes are expanding the interconnected coin ecosystem under the name of ecosystem.
Therefore, I think that the coin market is highly likely to have a circulation pump of theme coins after the rising market next year.
Numerous coins (tokens) are being created and also disappearing.
In order to survive in this situation, they are trying to increase their viability by creating and expanding a coin ecosystem.
Apart from this trend, there are coins (tokens) that do not belong to any coin ecosystem.
When trading coins (tokens) that are continuing to survive independently, I think you should invest in a short-term perspective or trade in a trading method that increases the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to profit while recovering the principal amount as much as possible.
Otherwise, you have to be careful because when and how you can plunge and never recover again.
Existing investment companies, institutional investors, and whales are gradually eating into the coin market due to funds entering the coin market through USDC and newly launched coin investment products in the stock market.
These funds will make more individual investors invest in the investment market, but it is expected that the time when individual investors earn large profits by trading on their own will gradually decrease.
There will come a time when individual investors will have less and less information available, and they will have to follow in their footsteps and trade with information provided by investment companies, institutional investors, and whales.
I believe this movement is unstoppable.
Therefore, from now on, it is necessary to find the coins (tokens) that are expanding the coin ecosystem (ecosystem) that is being formed and tie them together to figure out what kind of circulation pumping will occur.
As before, it is expected that the roadmap of one coin (token) or such technical stories from the foundation will no longer be able to move the hearts of investors.
Among these coin ecosystems, the ones we are interested in are as follows.
Ethereum Ecosystem
BNB chain Ecosystem
Cardano Ecosystem
Solana Ecosystem
Polkadot Ecosystem
TRON Ecosystem
Avalanche Ecosystem
Polygon Ecosystem
Near Protocol Ecosystem
Cosmos Ecosystem
Fantom Ecosystem
Optimism Ecosystem
As above, it is an 11 coin ecosystem.
Representative coins of the coin ecosystem are as follows.
BTC
ETH
BNB
ADA
SOL
DOT
TRX
AVAX
MATIC
NEAR
ATOM
FTM
OP
In addition, it is a coin that has the potential to create coins and coin ecosystems with large user communities.
XRP
ALGO
KLAY
Among the coins belonging to most of the current coin ecosystems, LINK is a representative coin.
However, due to the coin's own issue, the coins that need to increase the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to profits while recovering the purchase principal as much as possible are as follows.
XRP
SOL
TRX
KLAY
OP
The above coins (tokens) have self-restraint issues, so I don't think it's good to trade them with the traditional trading method.
Of these, the OP token has just been created in the coin ecosystem, so I think a trading method is needed to increase the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to the profit while recovering the purchase principal as much as possible, at least until the next wave.
In conclusion, the coin market will start to be flooded with information comparable to the stock market after the bull market next year.
In this situation, in order to earn steady profits in the coin market, you need to start paying attention to a newly changing theme, the coin ecosystem.
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** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** If you share this chart, you can use the indicators normally.
** The MRHAB-T indicator includes indicators that indicate points of support and resistance.
** Check the formulas for the MS-Signal, HA-Low, and HA-High indicators at ().
** SR_R_C indicators are displayed as StochRSI (line), RSI (columns), and CCI (bgcolor).
** The CCI indicator is displayed in the overbought section (CCI > +100) and oversold section (CCI < -100).
(Short-term Stop Loss can be said to be a point where profit or loss can be preserved or additional entry can be made by split trading. This is a short-term investment perspective.)
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Bitcoin Historical Volatility new low Here we have the BTC historical Volatility Index in blue. Orange is the price of BTC. The teal line is the 50sma for volatility. At the bottom, I have the correlation coefficient (CC) for the volatility index with BTC. I have marked in green when the CC reaches above 0.50, and red when it crosses below -0.50. The fibonacci retracement is fairly arbitrary, but fits nicely between 0.25 and 1.00. In this article, I would like to discuss a little bit about volatility. It is often associated as going up when price goes down, but is a bit more specific in what it is telling us than simply being an inverse price indicator. Next, I’ll talk about the correlation coefficient. It is an excellent tool that every trader, and investor, should learn to use. Finally, I would like to examine some of the similarities between our recent all time low in this index, breaking the low 2018, which proceeded the infamous 2018 capitulation event.
Volatility is always an interesting indicator, and is often used to indicate position risk for the asset it is being calculated for. Simply stated, it is a measure of how much the price of an asset moves in a particular period of time. However, it can be calculated a number of different ways. The most common is standard deviation, or how far price is from an average of the price over a recent period of time. The amount of time the data is taken from can also change how the volatility measure acts and how useful it is. More so, because it measures movement, and not so much direction, it can be difficult to use it in an accurate way, as correlation appears to be inconstant at face value. Historical volatility is calculated a little differently. And honestly, before reading a few papers on it for this essay, I had not realized that ‘historical’ referenced the calculation method as opposed to it being the history of the volatility. Historical, or realized, volatility is an estimation of the standard deviation of the price of returns over a particular period of time, in this case, 24 hours. It can also be calculated with a weighting for the trading volume over the calculation period. I have placed a 50ma (150 day moving average) to show a general range for average volatility, and we can see that MA tends to oscillate between 2.5 and 5.0.
The correlation coefficient is an excellent indicator that allows you to see, and quantify, the correlation of your current chart with any other chart ticker. Here I have it set to the BLX all time price index for BTC. The higher it goes, the more correlated the movement of the 2 charts are, and below zero indicates an inverse correlation. When CC is near zero, the movements of the two charts are NOT correlated. One of the issues with volatility indexes is their accuracy can vary, and is sometime disputed. My goal in using the correlation coefficient with this index is to parse out when volatility is most useful to pay attention to, and in which direction. On this chart, we can see that when volatility spikes above 10, it is often correlated with big, sudden moves to the downside. However, not all of them are. By using the correlation coefficient, we can parse out the direction of volatility. When CC is in the green, and volatility increases, we see the price of bitcoin moving up, usually in an explosive manner. Likewise, inverse correlation is often showing us downwards movements. I find this a useful way to pull a little bit of the noise out of the volatility index.
The previous all time low in volatility of 0.35 occurred on October 28th of 2018, and about sixteen days before the 2018 capitulation event began. About a week ago on Christmas day, we broke that low, going down to 0.34. Very low volatility tells us that price isn’t just moving sideways, but is pretty flat for the most part. And if you have been following bitcoin lately (bless your soul) you know flat and boring is kind of an understatement. The good news is that it’s likely going to get exciting soon. Volatility doesn’t seem to stay at or below 1.0 for very long, and seems to be either correlated, or inversely correlated with price within a few weeks to a month after reaching 1.0. An exception would be from August of 2019 to the pandemic crash in 2020. We can see some similarities in both volatility and the correlation coefficient between the time leading up to the 2018 capitulation event and our recent data in 2022. Price action is also fairly similar (flat and boring) with the exception that in 2018, the line chart had a small move down and back up during the flatness, while we had a small move up and then down earlier in December. Although, I doubt this really means anything. In 2018, we saw a 50% drop after price had already fallen around 70%. From top to bottom, the draw-down was just under 85%. Another 50% draw-down from where we are at the time of writing would take the price of bitcoin to just over $8,000.
So what does this mean? Well, I can tell you, for sure, 100%, that I can not tell the future. I will be, however, watching my new chart very closely. But I would say it is likely we’ll be seeing something exciting, and it will probably be in January. Unfortunately, it looks like CC moves down just as fast as price, and as fast as volatility moves up during sudden, capitulation like events. However, Bitcoin always has a way of surprising everyone. If CC moves down to 0, and then puts in another local high in the next week, I would be a little spooked. If it keeps moving up to 0.50, it may be an interesting and unexpected move to the upside. Regardless of what happens, I would encourage everyone to try to understand volatility a little better than you already do, and use the correlation coefficient indicator. It is a simple, yet versatile tool that can be used to quantify data in a way that makes a trading strategy precise. Here’s to 2023, I wish you well, and thanks for reading.
History & Halving of Bitcoin from 2009 to 2022● October 31, 2008, Nakamoto Satoshi, known as the developer of Bitcoin, published a paper called Bitcoin: P2P Electronic Money System on the Internet.
● January 3, 2009, the first open-source Bitcoin client was created. Satoshi Nakamoto obtained 50 BTC through the first mining. This is commonly referred to as the Genesis Block
● May 22, 2010, Rogramer Laszlo Hanyetz delivered two pizzas of Papa Jones and paid for them in 10,000 bitcoins
● August 22, 2010, Bitcoin's first and last technical error occurred
● April 18, 2011, Namecoin, the world's first altcoin, appeared.
● September 27, 2012, the Bitcoin Foundation was formed.
● December 6, 2012, the first Bitcoin exchange in Europe obtained a banking license.
● October 29, 2013, the first Bitcoin ATM was installed in Vancouver, Canada.
● Vitalik Buterin Ethereum was first founded in 2014
● February 26, 2014, Mount Gox (www.mtgox.com), the second largest Bitcoin exchange, was closed.
● January 6, 2015, Europe's third-largest bitstamp on the Bitcoin exchange revealed that its wallet had been stolen through hacking.
● December 2017, $19764 achieves a new reporting point
● In November 2018, a bill banning Chinese cryptocurrency mining and exchanges was issued
● It has been about 487 days since February 21, 2018, when $11,000 was reached on June 22, 2019.
● Bitcoin was designated as the world's first legal currency in El Salvador on June 9, 2021.
● April 14, 2021 achieved the highest point in Bitcoin history of 68944$
● February 24, 2022: Ukraine's Russian War breaks out
● May 2022 Luna and FTX incident occurred
BTC - Practical Descending Triangle Example! 🖋Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
I find BTC chart interesting as it is forming a textbook Descending Triangle, so I thought it would be a practical example to highlight it now.
📌 First, let's start with the definition of a Descending Triangle:
🗒 What is a Descending Triangle?
A descending triangle is a bearish chart pattern used in technical analysis that is created by drawing one trend line that connects a series of lower highs and a second horizontal trend line that connects a series of equal lows.
📉 Traditionally, a regular descending triangle pattern is considered to be a bearish chart pattern.
However, in my opinion, even thought a bearish continuation is more probable, all triangles are bilateral patterns. Means they can be broken either side.
📌 How to trade a Descending Triangle pattern?
🗒 Remember: A pattern would be an idea, until activated.
In our case, for the descending triangle pattern to get activated, we need an H4 candle close below the lower bound. (around 15500 in red)
In parallel, for the bulls to kick in, and invalidate the bearish scenario, we need an H4 candle close above the upper bound. (around 17100 in blue)
📌 Trade / Risk Management:
🗒 When the pattern is activated, you can enter immediately after the candle closes, or wait for it to retest the trendline first.
Regarding the stop loss, it goes above/below the last high/low from the other side.
Regarding the take profit, the project would be the biggest distance between the highs and lows inside the triangle.
Hope you find this post useful. Let me know if you have any questions.
Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
RSI Crash Course - Why Most People Get REKTHere is a quick crash course on how I use the RSI along with Elliott Waves.
- Using the 20, 30, 40, 60, 70, 80 levels within the context of the trend to spot entries
- How to spot uptrends and downtrends with support and resistance
- How to spot big 3rd wave moves
- Using divergences to spot the end of a trend
This can be used on any time-frame but I just use it on the daily for this example
Like anything in trading, the RSI is more complex than most people first suspect. However, I hope this tutorial simplifies it enough for you to improve your trading
P.S. Video cuts out part way into my example, but you get the full tutorial and setup on how I use the RSI
Hope you have a great day trading,
Tchau
What is BitcoinLet’s start with a very simple description of Bitcoin….
Bitcoin is a decentralized digital currency, based on an open-source software design, that is used to transmit value between pseudonymous users.
All transactions, after being confirmed by miners using PoW as the consensus mechanism, are stored on a distributed ledger, called a blockchain.
Changes to the blockchain are append-only and are synchronized about every10 minutes across thousands of nodes located all over the world over a P2P network. All information stored on the blockchain can be viewed publicly, in real-time.
Cryptographic techniques such as public-key cryptography, hash functions, and digital signatures are used to keep the blockchain secure and immutable so it can be accessible to everybody but hackable to nobody.
Got all that?
But as you can clearly see, the crypto world is full of technical jargon !
Jumping into crypto introduces a large number of terms that most people will be unfamiliar with.
The crypto world seems to have its own language and those wishing to learn about the topic can quickly become overwhelmed with all the jargon, acronyms, and other technical terms.
But if you really want to understand cryptocurrencies and how they are different, it’s really important that you do familiarize yourself with certain core foundational concepts.
My goal is to cover terms and phrases that you may initially not know, but do need to know.
Together, we will blast jargon into smithereens so you’re able to easily speak the language of the crypto world with ease.
Wyckoff Schematics broken downBack last year I posted an educational post on the Wyckoff Distribution schematic I was seeing on Bitcoin. This was the logic behind the "Rocket Call" back last March.
It was knowing where to search for an accumulation (which it was not) or a distribution. There are a couple of tell tail signs outside of Wyckoff literature that can assist in knowing which is which for various reasons (not for this post).
So at the 60k marker first time around, I could see the logic for a Distribution and it revealed it's hand very early on. I wrote this educational post around the topic.
Knowing Wyckoff - it's more to do with human psychology than technical analysis - many people said at the time, oh it's 100 years old, can't work in crypto etc, etc. Unfortunately as the human race, we are getting dumber and dumber, making these schematics almost more valuable in today's markets.
After we had our move "Rocket" post. I covered another educational post hinting at the accumulation phase - naturally, the price drops and rises as the waves.
In this post I covered the key for the terminology used in these schematics.
Below you will see some info on the phases of an accumulation schematic.
Accumulation Schematic
Phase A
The selling force decreases, and the downtrend starts to slow
down. This phase is usually marked by an increase in trading
volume. The Preliminary Support (PS) indicates that some buyers
are showing up, but still not enough to stop the downward move.
The Selling Climax (SC) is formed by an intense selling activity as
investors capitulate. This is often a point of high volatility, where
panic selling creates big candlesticks and wicks. The strong drop
quickly reverts into a bounce or Automatic Rally (AR), as the
excessive supply is absorbed by the buyers. In general, the trading
range (TR) of an Accumulation Schematic is defined by the space
between the SC low and the AR high.
As the name suggests, the Secondary Test (ST) happens when the
market drops near the SC region, testing whether the downtrend is
really over or not. At this point, the trading volume and market
volatility tend to be lower. While the ST often forms a higher low in
relation to the SC, that may not always be the case.
Phase B
Based on Wyckoff’s Law of Cause and Effect, Phase B may be
seen as the Cause that leads to an Effect.
Essentially, Phase B is the consolidation stage, in which the
Composite Man accumulates the highest number of assets. During
this stage, the market tends to test both resistance and support
levels of the trading range.
There may be numerous Secondary Tests (ST) during Phase B. In
some cases, they may produce higher highs (bull traps) and lower
lows (bear traps) in relation to the SC and AR of the Phase A.
Phase C
A typical Accumulation Phase C contains what is called a Spring. It
often acts as the last bear trap before the market starts making
higher lows. During Phase C, the Composite Man ensures that
there is little supply left in the market, i.e., the ones that were to sell
already did.
The Spring often breaks the support levels to stop out traders and
mislead investors. We may describe it as a final attempt to buy
shares at a lower price before the uptrend starts. The bear trap
induces retail investors to give up their holdings.
In some cases, however, the support levels manage to hold, and
the Spring simply does not occur. In other words, there may be
Accumulation Schematics that present all other elements but not
the Spring. Still, the overall scheme continues to be valid.
Phase D
The Phase D represents the transition between the Cause and
Effect. It stands between the Accumulation zone (Phase C) and the
breakout of the trading range (Phase E).
Typically, the Phase D shows a significant increase in trading
volume and volatility. It usually has a Last Point Support (LPS),
making a higher low before the market moves higher. The LPS
often precedes a breakout of the resistance levels, which in turn
creates higher highs. This indicates Signs of Strength (SOS), as
previous resistances become brand new supports.
Despite the somewhat confusing terminology, there may be more
than one LPS during Phase D. They often have increased trading
volume while testing the new support lines. In some cases, the
price may create a small consolidation zone before effectively
breaking the bigger trading range and moving to Phase E.
Phase E
The Phase E is the last stage of an Accumulation Schematic. It is
marked by an evident breakout of the trading range, caused by
increased market demand. This is when the trading range is
effectively broken, and the uptrend starts.
There is an awful lot more when it comes to understanding Wyckoff - such as volume, but it is too much to put in a handful of posts. These posts are done to give you an insight into trading Wyckoff.
Another useful post on this topic is this below;
People tend to look at Wyckoff on a Tick chart, a 1min or 15 minute chart - the same rules apply and are potentially more beneficial and applicable on the higher timeframes, seeing a weekly move play out in terms of a schematic could take several months. It's all about knowing what to look for.
Disclaimer
This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
Bitcoin dominance. How does it affect the cryptocurrency market?#BTC #altcoins #dominance #education
▪️Bitcoin dominance index - is an indicator that indicates the ratio of bitcoin capitalization to the capitalization of the entire cryptocurrency market.
▪️How does btc dominance affect the market? - When the dominance of bitcoin falls, altcoins begin to rise - this is called the alt season!
▪️Now the dominance is at its minimum values, which means that it will soon begin to grow! Altcoins will be weak during this period of time. Bitcoin may reach $30,000 and go for a correction. So far, these are my thoughts for the near future!
Subscribe. stay tuned for ideas! Links below👇
Think like a PRO and trade at ANY markets🔥Hi friends! Do you want to know what zones I marked on the chart? Put 🚀 and read to the end.
In this educational idea I will explain a few traders secrets that will help you stay profitable in any market for the long term. Take Bitcoin as an example and you'll be surprised how often the same mistake is repeated by beginners and understand how professional traders take advantage of it.
📊 But first, let's find out why the psychology of the crowd drives the market
Fortunately for professional traders, human psychology has not changed in centuries. Bubbles in financial markets now appear just as they did before the Great Depression🔻in the early 20th century, when stocks rose by hundreds of percent in a month, and just as they did during the Tulip Fever🌷in the 17th century, when the price of tulips really soared to the moon due to the huge demand for the flower.
🚩 This shows the similarity in the thoughts of people in the 17th, 20th, 21st centuries. It is these faults in human psychology that allow the patterns in trading to work and professional traders to be profitable over the long term. Just don't tell anyone about it!)
📊 Why do people tend to panic during a fall and get greedy during a rise? The fact is that our brain tends to paint wishful thinking in our imagination. When a cryptocurrency is rising, the imagination thinks that the price will rise forever, and you get excited just thinking about the possible earning. And the happiness hormones just keep surging.
The opposite is the situation with the fall. When markets fall, our brain tries to protect us from more losses and forces us to sell cryptocurrency.
📊 What help the big players to control the psychology of the crowd? Of course, it's the media. Remember when news of the US recession was at its peak and it seemed like a crisis was imminent. Just at the bottom of the market, when Bitcoin fell to $17k and the SnP500 to $361.
I may surprise you, but in 2018, 2020 people had identical thoughts and all thought Bitcoin would fall to $1000. The crypto market can fall lower to 10-12k of course, but just interesting to know did any of my subscribers buy cryptocurrency back then or at 17-19k❓Write in the comments./b]
📊 What are the areas on the chart? I marked 2 areas:
🔥The 1st area (white) is the areawhere the majority of traders, especially newbies, want to buy cryptocurrency. I call this " Bitcoin will rise to 1 million" zone.
🔥The 2nd area (green) is the area where most traders sell the cryptocurrency they bought at a higher price. Most importantly, it is where most traders believe that the fall will continue even lower and do not buy, expecting a fall. I call this "Bitcoin will fall to zero" zone.
✅How can you use the psychology of the crowd to your advantage? I can tell you from my own example that a clear strategy and working with indicators helps me. For example DOM and Footprint, where I can see huge whale orders and open a trade in the same direction as a big player. A large order is a clear signal✅, not a psychological speculation because of the news.
A few days ago I showed in one of my ideas how Bitcoin rebounded from a large whale order. Bitcoin then grow by 4-5% in just a few hours.
I also use trading systems such as Greenwich or Pump Tracker to identify Bitcoin and altcoins bottoms and ATH. You can see ideas about them on TradingView and their live results✅ It may surprise you!
🏁Summary. This knowledges are usefull for any market: crypto, stocks, ForEx, bonds etc. Human psychology and thinking are the same, but each market has its own specifics. Perhaps I will talk about this in the next educational ideas.
Friends, was the idea useful to you? Have you noticed such psychological zones? Do you agree with this idea or do you think Bitcoin will fall below $17k? Write in the comments.
💻Friends, press the "like"👍 button, write comments and share with your friends - it will be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. Personally, I open an entry if the price shows it according to my strategy.
Always do your analysis before making a trade.
BTCUSDT - read to people with IQ over 100🧠
To begin with, you don’t see all this, because you rested on your indicators, on the thoughts of opinion leaders who themselves don’t really understand anything about trading and earn only on you.
On this platform, I have a lot of ideas related to numbers, check them out. It is very important for me that you guess what these or those values mean.
Try to simply see how many references to 33 leave Elon Musk and NASA, even every launch and spacewalk of an astronaut is accompanied by an impulse in one direction or another on the chart not only of BTC but also of the stock market. All this can be analyzed because it is all done for the sake of profit and the direction of the process in the right direction.
Let's start with what does 33/13 mean? This number means a new beginning, the start of something new - numerology is not a stereotyped understanding that was imposed on you so that you are not specifically interested in it, namely, from the mathematical side of Gann, Fibonacci is all numerology, all great mathematicians were numerologists, but some then the dudes who sell their courses talk about how it's all nonsense. All numbers have certain meanings that were created by ancient civilizations such as Maya.
You are wrong, the author, maybe you can add the Sumerians here?
I will attribute all astronomy, calendars, star maps, how many days in a year and hours in a day were studied thousands and thousands of years ago.
I also pointed out many examples of practicing the number 14 - directing energy towards resistance or support, balance. Which brought a large% profit, just trading from the levels that were formed by large players in the order book or there were marks on the chart. How 888 means the price goes in the opposite direction by a step more than 2%, which you can easily pick up with a stop of 0.4%, but you don’t see it. Open your eyes, wake up and for God's sake stop reading and listening to the opinions of those who direct the crowd, because that's how they cut you like hamsters.
in plotting I used arc system and degree system, you can find all the information on this great platform. The bottom line is to take trend lines and draw lines along them using cycles in parallel. In general, you can see this on the chart.
a similar system can be applied to any liquid instrument such as the stock market, raw materials, gold, metals, indices, currency pairs, etc. Even on low-liquid shieldcoins. Depends on your imagination and understanding of the process.
Notice how cycle 333 indicates the next BTC low or high. Subscribe here a lot of interesting things, like the idea