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How I Use Multi Timeframe Analysis to Capture LARGE Price SwingsDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. Trading involves real risk. Do your own due diligence. TUTORIAL: Today, I demonstrate the thought process and mechanical steps I take when trading my Multi-Timeframe strategy. We take a look at US Treasuries, which have offers a classic lesson in how to apply this approach. As you will see, throughout the year, this approach took some losses prior to getting involved in the "real" move which we anticipated. No strategy is perfect, and I do not purport this to be perfect. It is a rules based and effective way to read price. This strategy is great for people who don't have a lot of time to spend at the charts. I would classify this more as an "investing" strategy when utilizing the 12M-2W-12H timeframe. If you have questions about anything in this video, feel free to shoot me a message. I hope you have all had a great week so far. Good Luck & Good Trading.
CBOT:ZF1!Education
by Tradius_Trades
3
What is Reward to Risk Ratio | Forex Trading Basics Planning your every Forex trade, you should know in advance the profit that you are aiming to make and the maximum amount of money you are willing to lose. In this educational article, we will discuss risk reward ratio - the tool that is used to compare your potentials losses and profits in Forex trading. What is Reward to Risk Ratio Let's start with an example. Imagine you see a good buying opportunity on EURUSD. You quickly identify a safe entry point, your take profit level and stop loss. From that trade you are aiming to make 100 pips with a maximum allowable loss of 50 pips. To calculate a reward to risk ratio for this trade, you simply should divide a potential gain by a potential loss: R/R ratio = 100 / 50 = 2 In that particular example, reward to risk ratio equals 2 meaning that potential gain outperform a potential loss by 2. Let's take another example. This time, you decide to short USDJPY. From a desirable entry point, you can get 75 pips rerward with a potential loss of 150 pips. R/R ratio = 75 / 150 = 0.5 Reward to risk ratio for this trade is 75 divided by 150 or 0.5. Such a ratio means that potential loss outperform a potential gain by 2. Positive and Negative Reward to Risk Ratio Risk to reward ratio can be positive or negative. If the ratio is bigger than 1 it is considered to be positive meaning that a potential gain outperforms a potential loss. R/R ratio > 1 If the ratio is less than 1 , it is called negative so that potential loss is bigger than potential risk. R/R ratio < 1 On the left chart above, the reward for the trade is bigger than a risk. Such a trade has positive reward to risk ratio. On the right chart, the risk is bigger than a reward. This trade has negative reward to risk ratio. Why? Knowing the average risk to reward ratio for your trades, you can objectively calculate the required win rate for keeping a positive trading performance. With R/R ratio = 0.5 2 winning trades recover 1 losing trade. You need at least 70% win rate to cover losses of your trading. With R/R ratio = 1 1 winning trade, recover 1 losing trade. You require at least 50% win rate to compensate your losses. With R/R ratio = 2 1 winning trade recovers 2 losing trades. You will need at least 35% win rate to cover losses of your trading. In the example above, the trading setups have 0.5 reward to risk ratio. In such a case, 2 winning trades will be needed to win the money back for 1 losing trade. Forex trading involves extremely high risk. Risk to reward ratio is a number one risk management tool for limiting your risks. Calculating that and knowing your win rate, you can objectively decide whether a trade that you are planning to take is worth taking. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Education
by VasilyTrader
6
Unlock the 10 Core Lessons Every Trader Needs for SuccessYou know that feeling when you stare at the charts, convinced you’re about to strike gold, only for the trade to go so wrong, you wonder if the market gods have a personal vendetta against you? Yeah, we’ve all been there. But here’s the thing—it's not the market that's out to get you. It’s you. Let’s cut to the chase: trading success isn’t just about mastering candlestick patterns or finding the perfect strategy. It’s about mastering yourself. So, I’m laying out the 10 core lessons that can stop you from sabotaging your trades—and maybe even save you from throwing your laptop out the window. 1. Emotional Self-Control (AKA Don’t Be Your Own Worst Enemy) Ever taken a trade out of sheer frustration or FOMO? Spoiler alert: that’s your emotions talking, and they rarely have your back. Mastering emotional self-control is like giving yourself a built-in cheat code. Stay calm, stay cool, and you’ll stay profitable. Quick task: Next time you feel emotions kicking in, take a 5-minute break before making any trade decisions. Walk away, breathe, then come back with a clear head. 2. Every Trade is a Lesson (Yes, Even the Ugly Ones) Think that losing trade was a total waste of time? Wrong. Every trade, good or bad, is packed with insights. The market is your professor—start taking notes. You’ll find out where you’re tripping up, and trust me, you’ll trip less. Quick task: Start a trade journal. Write down not just the outcome of each trade, but your emotions and reasoning at the time. Review it weekly to spot patterns. 3. Mindset is Everything (Cue the Zen Music) You’ve probably heard it before, but it's worth repeating: mindset is everything. If you’re not thinking straight, your trades won’t be either. A positive mindset keeps you focused, even when the market is doing its best to mess with you. Quick task: Before your next trading session, spend 5 minutes visualizing success. Remind yourself why you’re trading and what you’re working toward. This will keep your mindset sharp. 4. Have a Plan (Because Winging It Doesn’t Work Here) If you’re going into trades without a solid game plan, you’re basically showing up to a knife fight with a spoon. Every trade should have a strategy, clear entry/exit points, and a reason behind it. Stop winging it—you’re better than that. Quick task: Create a simple pre-trade checklist. Include things like entry/exit strategy, risk level, and reasons for entering the trade. Stick to it religiously. 5. Adapt or Get Left Behind (The Market Isn’t Waiting for You) The market changes faster than your favorite Netflix series gets canceled. What worked yesterday may not work tomorrow. Be flexible, keep learning, and adapt. Otherwise, you’re going to be the guy stuck using strategies from 2010 in 2024. Quick task: Spend 10 minutes a day researching a new trading strategy or tool. Even if you don’t use it right away, expanding your knowledge keeps you adaptable. 6. Patience Pays (And Impatience Costs You Big Time) There’s no bigger account killer than impatience. Jumping in too early, exiting too late, chasing trades—it’s a recipe for disaster. Sometimes, the best move is to wait. Trust me, patience in trading is like waiting for that perfect slice of pizza—totally worth it. Quick task: Set up alerts for your key setups instead of staring at the screen, waiting for something to happen. This forces you to only trade when your setup is there, not when you’re bored. 7. Risk Management is Non-Negotiable (No, Seriously) If you don’t manage your risk, you’re playing with fire—and we all know how that ends. Set stop-losses, size your positions properly, and don’t gamble your entire account on a “gut feeling.” It’s not about how much you win, it’s about how little you lose. Quick task: Review your last 10 trades and check how well you stuck to your risk management rules. If you didn't, figure out why and correct it for the next trade. 8. Never Stop Learning (The Market Has Zero Chill) The market is constantly evolving, and if you think you’ve got it all figured out, the market is ready to humble you real quick. Stay curious, keep learning, and don’t let complacency be the reason you get left in the dust. Quick task: Dedicate 30 minutes a week to learning something new—whether it’s a new strategy, a new tool, or just reading up on market trends. Never stop sharpening the saw. 9. Balance Emotions with Logic (It’s Like a Jedi Mind Trick) This is where it gets tricky. You can’t trade on pure logic, but trading on pure emotion is just as dangerous. You need to find the sweet spot—where you can recognize your emotions, but let logic steer the ship. It’s like becoming a Jedi of your own trading. Quick task: Before you enter your next trade, ask yourself one question: “Is this based on emotion or strategy?” If it’s emotion, step back until you’re thinking clearly. 10. Focus on the Process, Not Just the Profits (Money is a Byproduct) Everyone wants to make money, but here’s the secret: focus on nailing your process. The profits will come as a result. If you’re constantly thinking about the money, you’re missing the point. Perfect your process, and let the money follow. Quick task: Pick one area of your trading process to improve—whether it’s your analysis, your entry strategy, or your risk management—and focus solely on that for the next week. Master the process, the profits will follow. Master these 10 lessons, and you’ll find yourself trading with more confidence, discipline, and success. Trading is as much a mental game as it is a technical one, and by focusing on these principles, you’re setting yourself up for long-term wins. Now, which of these lessons do you need to focus on in your own trading journey? Let me know below :)
Education
by TheFxAce
9
All About the Flag Pattern (Beginner-Friendly)Hello everyone, Today, I’ve prepared an educational guide on chart patterns, specifically focusing on the Flag Pattern. This content is designed to be easy for beginners to follow, so I hope you find it engaging and informative. :) Below is the outline I’ll be using for this post: ———— ✔️ Outline 1. What is a Flag Pattern? Definition Key Components Characteristics 2. Bullish Flag Pattern Basic Characteristics Examples 3. Bearish Flag Pattern Basic Characteristics Examples ———— 1. What is a Flag Pattern? 1) Definition A Flag Pattern forms during a brief consolidation phase after a strong price movement, often signaling the continuation of a trend. It typically appears when prices make a sharp move, either up or down, followed by a period of sideways or slightly counter-trend movement. Flag Patterns can occur in both uptrends and downtrends, named for their resemblance to an actual flag. After a strong price move, the market consolidates briefly before continuing in the original trend direction. 2) Key Components Flagpole: The initial strong price movement that sets the overall trend direction before the consolidation phase. Flag: The consolidation period where prices move sideways or slightly counter to the trend, often forming a rectangle or parallelogram. This phase typically occurs with a decrease in trading volume. Breakout: The moment when the price resumes its original trend direction. In an uptrend, this is an upward breakout, and in a downtrend, a downward breakout, confirming the continuation of the trend. 3) Characteristics Duration: The Flag Pattern typically lasts longer than the Flagpole but varies depending on the timeframe. Volume: Volume usually decreases during the Flag’s formation and increases once the breakout occurs. Reliability: The Flag Pattern is considered a reliable indicator of trend continuation, making it a favorite among traders using trend-based strategies. ———— 2. Bullish Flag Pattern 1) Basic Characteristics A Bullish Flag forms after a strong upward price movement, signaling a temporary consolidation phase. During this consolidation, volume typically decreases, suggesting that the market is pausing rather than reversing. After this phase, the price often continues its upward trend, accompanied by an increase in volume. Bullish Flag Patterns also help relieve overbought conditions in technical indicators, providing the market with a chance to prepare for another move up. 2-1) Example 1 This chart from May 2023 shows a strong Flagpole followed by a long consolidation phase (Flag). The volume then increased as the price broke out, completing the Bullish Flag Pattern. 2-2) Example 2 In this chart from March 2021, we see a similar setup: a strong Flagpole, followed by a consolidation phase, leading to a breakout that continued the upward trend. ———— 3. Bearish Flag Pattern 1) Basic Characteristics The Bearish Flag Pattern is the inverse of the Bullish Flag. It follows a strong downward move (Flagpole) and is followed by a period of consolidation (Flag) with decreasing volume. Like its bullish counterpart, the Bearish Flag can relieve oversold conditions, leading to a continuation of the downtrend after a breakout. 2-1) Example 1 This chart from May 2022 displays a Bearish Flag Pattern: a strong downward Flagpole, followed by a Flag consolidation phase. After the consolidation, a breakout occurred, continuing the downtrend. 2-2) Example 2 This chart from February 2022 also illustrates a strong downward Flagpole, followed by a consolidation phase (Flag), leading to a breakout that completed the Bearish Flag Pattern. This guide will help you better understand the Flag Pattern and how it can be used in your trading strategy effectively! ———— ✔️ Conclusion I hope the various Flag Patterns and market analysis techniques covered in this post prove helpful in your investment journey. Chart analysis is not merely a technical skill but also a deeper understanding of market psychology and movement. Flag Patterns, along with other chart patterns, visually reflect the psychological dynamics of the market. Mastering their use can greatly contribute to successful trading. That being said, the crypto market is inherently unpredictable and fast-moving. While technical analysis is a valuable tool, it’s important to adopt a comprehensive approach that considers broader market trends and external factors. I encourage you to apply the insights gained from this post with a balanced and cautious perspective when making investment decisions. New opportunities are constantly emerging, and those who are prepared to seize them will find success. The chart represents the market’s voice. Listening to it, interpreting it, and making informed decisions based on that interpretation is "the essence" of chart analysis. I sincerely hope that, through continuous learning and experience, you’ll evolve into a more confident and successful investor.
Education
by Killer_Whales
9
The Art of Candlestick Trading: How to Spot Market Turns EarlyBuckle up, TradingViewers! It's time to unravel the ancient secrets of candlestick patterns. Originating from an 18th-century Japanese rice trader, these patterns aren't simply red and green elements on your trading charts—they are the Rosetta Stone of market sentiment, offering insights into the highs and lows and the middle ground of buyers and sellers’ dealmaking. If you’re ready to crack the code of the market from a technical standpoint and go inside the minds of bulls and bears, let’s light this candle! Understanding the Basics: The Candlestick Construction First things first, let’s get the basics hammered out. A candlestick (or Candle in your TradingView Supercharts panel) displays four key pieces of information: the open, close, high, and low prices for a particular trading period. It might be 1 minute, 4 hours, a day or a week — candlesticks are available on every time frame. Here’s the breakdown: The Body : This is the chunky part of the candle. If the close is above the open, the body is usually colored in white or green, representing a bullish session. If the close is below the open, the color is usually black or red, indicating a bearish session. The Wicks (or Shadows) : These are the thin lines poking out of the body, showing the high and low prices during the session. They tell tales of price extremes and rejections. Understanding the interplay between the body and the wicks will give you insight into market dynamics. It’s like watching a mini-drama play out over the trading day. Key Candlestick Patterns and What They Mean Now onto the fun part — candlestick formations and patterns may help you spot market turns (or continuations) early in the cycle. The Doji : This little guy is like the market’s way of throwing up its hands and declaring a truce between buyers and sellers. The open and close are virtually the same, painting a cross or plus sign shape. It signals indecision, which could mean a reversal or a continuation, depending on the context. See a Doji after a long uptrend? Might be time to brace for a downturn. The Hammer and the Hanging Man : These candles have small bodies, little to no upper wick, and long lower wicks. A Hammer usually forms during a downtrend, suggesting a potential reversal to the upside. The Hanging Man, its evil twin, appears during an uptrend and warns of a potential drop. Bullish and Bearish Engulfing: These are the bullies of candlestick patterns. A Bullish Engulfing pattern happens when a small bearish candle is followed by a large bullish candle that completely engulfs the prior candle's body — suggesting a strong turn to the bulls. Bearish Engulfing is the opposite, with a small bullish candle followed by a big bearish one, hinting that bears might be taking control of the wheel. The Morning Star and the Evening Star : These are three-candle patterns signaling major shifts. The Morning Star — a bullish reversal pattern — consists of a bearish candle, a small-bodied middle candle, and a long bullish candle. Think the dawn of new bullish momentum. The Evening Star, the bearish counterpart, indicates the onset of bearish momentum, as if the sun is setting on bullish prices. The Shooting Star and the Inverted Hammer : Last but not least, these candles indicate rejection of higher prices (Shooting Star) or lower prices (Inverted Hammer). Both feature small bodies, long upper wicks, and little to no lower wick. They flag price exhaustion and potential reversals. Trading Candlestick Patterns: Tips for Profitable Entries Context is King : Always interpret candlestick patterns within the larger market context. A Bullish Engulfing pattern at a key support level is more likely to pan out than one in no-man’s-land. Volume Validates : A candlestick pattern with high trading volume gives a stronger signal. It’s like the market shouting, “Hey, I really mean this move!” Confirm with Other Indicators : Don’t rely solely on candlesticks, though. Use them in conjunction with other technical tools like RSI, MACD, or moving averages to confirm signals. Wrapping It Up Candlestick patterns give you a sense for the market’s pulse and offer insights into its moment-to-moment sentiment — is it overreacting or staying too tight-lipped. Mastering candlesticks can elevate your trading by helping you spot trend reversals and continuations. These patterns aren’t foolproof — they are powerful tools in your trading toolkit but require additional work, knowledge and context to give them a higher probability of confirmation. It’s time to light up those charts and let the candlesticks illuminate your trading path to some good profits!
Education
by TradingView
5
Minimal Complimentary Aesthetic No analysis but wanted to share this color scheme I have concocted. It's nice to look at a beautiful chart if you're going to be staring at it for hours on end. I like to avoid very bright or jarring colors on my charts. I also avoid red as much as possible because it's not ideal for keeping a calm collected mind required for trading (IMO). I went for a cool modern look with complimentary oranges and steel blues. Here's the details: Canvas: Background Gradient Top: 1d2c3a Bottom: 29485b Text: d1e6ff -- Candles: Up (color, opacity) Body: b2b5be, 0 Border: b2b5be, 100 Wick: b2b5be, 100 Down (color, opacity) Body: f9a26c, 100 Border: f26627, 100 Wick: f26627, 100 Vert/ Horizontal grid lines optional but if you decide to use them I personally like to use a very low opacity dark grey. And I use yellow for the price line but you can use whatever tbh. Here are the indicators used: Enjoy the theme and share any you have made you really like.
Education
by bhx10
4
What I Wish I Knew as a Beginner: Daily ATR + Daily Open PriceIn this video, I dive into the crucial lessons I wish I knew when I first started trading, focusing on the Daily ATR and daily open price. Many U.S. traders believe they're getting an early start by waking up at 4-6 AM, but in reality, the New York session is the final session in the Forex market. By the time we hit our screens, the market might already be 'gassed,' with the ATR nearly maxed out. I explain why understanding this can save you from chasing trades that have already exhausted their potential. I'll also discuss the importance of the daily candle open, when the ATR value 'resets,' providing fresh opportunities for day traders. Learn how to time your entries better and avoid the common pitfalls that can trap even experienced traders
Education
by trader9224
22
Beginner Chart Patterns: Head & Shoulders, Double Tops and MoreWelcome to the world of chart patterns—the place where every price action tells a story. And if you read it right, you might just walk away with profits. In this Idea, we explore the immersive corner of technical analysis where chart patterns shape to potentially show you where the price is going. We’ll keep it tight and break down the most popular ones so you’d have more time to take your knowledge for a spin and look for some patterns (risk-free with a paper trading account ?). Let’s roll. Chart patterns are the market’s version of geometry paired with hieroglyphics. They might look like random squiggles at first, but once you learn to decode them, they might reveal where the market is headed next. Here are the mainstay chart patterns everyone should start with: Head and Shoulders, Double Tops, and a few other gems. 1. Head and Shoulders: The King of Reversals First up is the Head and Shoulders pattern—an iconic, evergreen, ever-fashionable formation that traders dream about. Why? Because it’s a reliable reversal pattern that often signals the end of a trend and the beginning of a new one. Here’s the breakdown: Imagine a market that’s been climbing higher. It forms a peak (a shoulder), pulls back, then rallies even higher to form a bigger peak (the head), only to drop again. Finally, it gives one last weak attempt to rise (the second shoulder), but it can’t reach the same height as the head. The neckline, a horizontal line connecting the two lows between the peaks, is your trigger. Once the price breaks below it, it’s time to consider shorting or bailing on your long position. And yes, there’s an inverted version of this pattern too. It looks like a man doing a handstand and signals a trend reversal from bearish to bullish. That’s Head and Shoulders—flipping trends since forever. 2. Double Tops and Double Bottoms: The Market’s Déjà Vu Next up, we have the Double Top and Double Bottom patterns—the market’s way of saying, “Been there, done that.” These patterns occur when the price tries and fails—twice—to break through a key level. Double Top : Picture this: The price surges to a high, only to hit a ceiling and fall back. Then, like a stubborn child, it tries again but fails to break through. That’s your Double Top—two peaks, one resistance level, and a potential trend reversal in the making. When the price drops below the support formed by the dip between the two peaks, it’s a signal that the bulls are out of steam. Double Bottom : Flip it over, and you’ve got a Double Bottom—a W-shaped pattern that forms after the price tests a support level twice. If it can’t break lower and starts to rally, it’s a sign that the bears are losing control. A breakout above the peak between the two lows confirms the pattern, signaling a potential bullish reversal. 3. Triangles: The Calm Before the Storm Triangles are the market’s way of coiling up before making a big move. They come in three flavors—ascending, descending, and symmetrical. Ascending Triangle : Here’s how it works: The price forms higher lows but keeps bumping into the same resistance level. This shows that buyers are getting stronger, but sellers aren’t ready to give up. Eventually, pressure builds and the price breaks out to the upside. But since it’s trading, you can expect the price to break to the downside, too. Descending Triangle : The opposite of the ascending triangle, this pattern shows lower highs leaning against a flat support level. Sellers are gaining the upper hand and when the price breaks below the support, it’s usually game over for the bulls. But not always—sometimes, bulls would have it their way. Symmetrical Triangle : This is the market’s version of a coin toss. The price is squeezing into a tighter range with lower highs and higher lows. It’s anyone’s guess which way it’ll break, but when it does, expect a big move in that direction. 4. Flags and Pennants: The Market’s Pit Stop If triangles are the calm before the storm, then flags and pennants are the pit stops during a race. These patterns are continuation signals, meaning that the trend is likely to keep going after a brief pause. Flags : Flags are rectangular-shaped patterns that slope against the prevailing trend. If the market’s in an uptrend, the flag will slope downwards, and vice versa. Once the price breaks out of the flag in the direction of the original trend, it’s usually off to the races again. Pennants : Pennants look like tiny symmetrical triangles. After a strong move, the price consolidates in a small, converging range before breaking out and continuing the trend. They’re short-lived but pack a punch. Final Thoughts To many technical analysts, chart patterns are the best thing the market can do. The secret code, or however you may want to call them, they can give you insight into the dealmaking between buyers and sellers and hint at what might happen next. Whether it’s a Head and Shoulders flashing a trend reversal, a Double Top marking a key resistance level, or a Triangle gearing up for a breakout, these patterns are essential tools in your trading garden. So next time you stare at a chart, keep in mind that you’re not just looking at random lines. You’re reading the market’s mind from a technical standpoint. And if you know what to look for, you’re one step closer to cracking the code.
TVC:DXYEducation
by TradingView
7
How to Perform Fundamental Analysis of StocksHow to Perform Fundamental Analysis of Stocks In the dynamic world of financial markets, traders seek every available edge to make informed decisions. Among the numerous tools at their disposal, two approaches stand out: technical analysis and fundamental analysis of stocks. In this article, we will explore what fundamental analysis is, how it applies to stocks, and why it is a crucial tool for traders. Traders have the option to open an FXOpen account to perform fundamental analysis on numerous stocks available at FXOpen. Understanding Fundamental Analysis Before diving into the intricacies of fundamental analysis, it's essential to grasp the basics of technical and fundamental analysis. Technical analysis primarily focuses on historical price and volume data to predict future price movements. Traders using this approach rely on charts, trendlines, and indicators like moving averages and Relative Strength Index (RSI) to make trading decisions. Fundamental analysis, on the other hand, takes a more holistic view. It delves into the financial statements of a firm, examines economic indicators, and assesses industry trends. The goal is to determine the intrinsic value of an asset and whether it is overvalued or undervalued in the market. Key Fundamental Analysis Components Fundamental analysis involves several key components that traders must understand to make informed decisions: Financial Statements Fundamental analysis begins with a deep dive into a company's financial statements. These documents provide a wealth of information that is critical for assessing a company's financial performance. The three primary financial statements to consider are: Balance Sheet: This statement offers an overview of a company's assets, liabilities, and shareholders' equity at a specific point in time. It acts as a quick overview of the company's financial standing. Income Statement: Also known as the profit and loss statement, the income statement details a company's revenue, expenses, and profitability over a specific period. These ratios evaluate a company's capability to fulfil its immediate commitments. Cash Flow Statement: The cash flow statement tracks the inflow and outflow of cash from the company's operating, investing, and financing activities. It offers valuable information about the company's liquidity and cash management. Ratios and Metrics To gain deeper insights into a company's financial health, fundamental analysts use various financial ratios and metrics. Some of the key ratios and metrics include: Liquidity Ratios: These ratios evaluate a company's capability to fulfil its immediate commitments. Notable examples include the Current Ratio and Quick Ratio. Profitability Ratios: These ratios measure a company's ability to generate profit relative to its revenue and assets. Examples include the Gross Margin, Net Profit Margin, Return on Equity (ROE), and Return on Assets (ROA). Solvency Ratios: Solvency ratios evaluate a company's ability to meet its long-term financial obligations. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio and Interest Coverage Ratio are significant in this category. Efficiency Ratios: These ratios assess how efficiently a company manages its resources to generate income. Examples include Inventory Turnover, Receivables Turnover, and Payables Turnover. Growth Metrics Understanding a firm's growth trajectory is essential for projecting its future potential and assessing its investment attractiveness. Earnings Per Share (EPS) Growth: This metric indicates the rate at which a firm's earnings per share are increasing or decreasing over time. Revenue Growth: It measures the growth in a firm's revenue compared to a specific period. Book Value per Share Growth Rate: This metric assesses the increase in the firm's Book Value Per Share over the last five years. Steps to Perform Fundamental Analysis Here are the most essential steps to perform fundamental analysis. Company Selection The first step of fundamental analysis in the stock market is selecting the companies you want to analyse. Criteria for selection may include factors like the company's industry, market capitalisation, and growth potential. It's crucial to consider the broader industry landscape and market trends to identify promising candidates. Collecting Financial Data Gathering accurate and relevant financial data is paramount. Sources of financial data include the company's website, authority filings, and financial news outlets. Ensuring the data's accuracy and timeliness is essential for making informed decisions. Analysing Financial Statements In-depth analysis of a company's financial statements is the heart of fundamental analysis. Such metrics as a balance sheet and income and cash flow statements that were mentioned above are widely used by traders and investors to determine companies’ strengths and weaknesses. Calculating and Interpreting Ratios Utilising financial ratios is a critical aspect of fundamental analysis. These ratios provide a quantitative basis for evaluating a company's performance. Comparing the ratios with industry benchmarks helps identify areas of strength or weakness. Evaluating Business Strategy Assessing the quality of a company's management and its strategic decisions is another crucial element of fundamental analysis. This involves evaluating factors such as corporate governance, competitive positioning, and market share. Economic and Industry Analysis Understanding the broader economic landscape and industry dynamics is essential for contextualising a company's performance. Identifying macroeconomic trends and the stage of the industry lifecycle is critical. Valuation Techniques Fundamental analysts employ various valuation techniques to determine whether a stock is overvalued or undervalued. These techniques help traders make informed decisions about whether to buy, sell, or hold a particular asset. Common methods include: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis: This method calculates the present value of a company's future cash flows to estimate its intrinsic value. Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio Analysis: Comparing a company's stock price to its earnings per share, relative to industry peers, to assess its valuation. Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio Analysis: Comparing a company's market capitalisation to its book value per share to determine undervalued and overvalued companies. Risk Factors and Limitations Fundamental analysis, while a powerful tool, comes with its own set of challenges and limitations: 1. Incomplete Data: Many firms, especially in less regulated markets, may not disclose full financial information, thus hindering comprehensive analysis. 2. Future Uncertainty: Even though it's grounded in thorough research, fundamental analysis relies heavily on historical economic data. This approach also makes assumptions about future geopolitical and macroeconomic events, which can be unpredictable, thereby carrying a degree of inherent uncertainty. 3. Subjectivity: Different analysts may interpret the same data in various ways, leading to different conclusions about a currency's value. 4. Overemphasis on Long-term: Fundamental analysis typically focuses on long-term economic cycles and trends, potentially missing out on short-term trading opportunities. 5. Political Instabilities: Unexpected political events, like elections, conflicts, or diplomatic tensions, can have sudden and significant impacts on a stock value. 6. Global Events: Natural disasters, pandemics, or major technological breakthroughs can all have unforeseen effects on the stock market, making predictions based on fundamental analysis challenging. 7. Market Perception: Even if all fundamentals point towards a particular trend, market perception and investor sentiment can drive the market in the opposite direction. 8. Lagging Nature: By the time certain economic indicators are published, the market might have already reacted, making it a lagging tool. By understanding these limitations, traders can complement their fundamental analysis with other techniques to make more informed decisions in the forex market. Conclusion Fundamental analysis is pivotal for traders who aim to make judicious decisions in the financial landscape. It extends beyond just scrutinising financial statements, encompassing the assessment of crucial ratios, metrics, and the overarching economic and industry environment to gauge an asset's inherent worth. FXOpen enhances this analytical journey with its suite of resources. You can combine fundamental and technical tools on the TickTrader platform to conduct a comprehensive analysis, allowing you to navigate the intricate realm of financial markets with bolstered confidence and insight. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by FXOpen
5
This Simple Strategy Could Make You a Fortune in the Gold Marketprice action of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) in relation to the trendlines and patterns indicated. Chart Analysis 1. Weekly Flag Trendline: - The first chart shows a trendline forming a "flag" pattern on a higher time frame (possibly weekly or daily). This flag appears to be a bullish continuation pattern, indicating that after the consolidation within the flag, the price might continue in the direction of the prior trend, which seems to be up. 2. Price Action Inside the Flag: - Within the flag, there is a period of consolidation marked by the parallel trendlines. The price has been respecting these lines, creating higher lows and lower highs, indicating indecision or preparation for a breakout. 3. Potential Breakout Zones: - Key breakout zones are marked by the upper resistance of the flag pattern around the 2,530 level and the lower support trendline of the flag around the 2,470 level. A breakout above the upper resistance could signal a continuation of the prior uptrend, while a break below the lower support could indicate a reversal or deeper pullback. 4. Smaller Patterns: - On the second chart (1-hour time frame), there's a more detailed view of recent price action with a potential bearish flag or pennant forming, suggesting a temporary pullback or consolidation within the larger flag. This smaller pattern appears to be within a trading range bounded by the horizontal support and resistance levels. 5. Key Support and Resistance Levels: - The charts show horizontal support around the 2,433.301 level, which aligns with a historical low that could serve as a significant support level. Similarly, the resistance level is around 2,530, where the price has repeatedly failed to break above. 6. Current Market Context: - The price is currently hovering around 2,497, near the middle of the trading range, suggesting indecision. This midpoint could be a neutral zone where the price could move in either direction based on upcoming market momentum or news. Trading Strategy and Considerations - Entry Points: - If considering a bullish scenario, a long entry could be planned near the lower support line of the flag, around 2,470, with a stop loss slightly below the flag's support to manage risk. A breakout above the 2,530 resistance could also provide a good entry point for a continuation of the uptrend. - For a bearish scenario, a short entry could be considered if the price breaks below the 2,470 support level, confirming a breakdown from the flag pattern. - Risk Management: - The proximity of the price to both upper and lower boundaries of the flag pattern provides clear levels for stop placement. This helps in managing risk effectively, keeping losses contained if the trade goes against the initial bias. - Monitoring Price Action: - Watch for potential breakouts from the smaller patterns within the flag, as these could provide early signals of the larger move's direction. It would also be essential to keep an eye on volume changes, as increased volume could confirm the validity of a breakout or breakdown. By aligning your trades with these patterns and key levels, you can take advantage of the potential setups provided by the price action within these consolidating formations. Ensure to adapt to new market conditions and stay disciplined in executing your trading plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Adlercon333
2
Volatility in Focus: A Trader's Perspective on S&P 500 Futures1. Introduction Volatility is a critical concept for traders in any market, and the E-mini S&P 500 Futures are no exception. Traditionally, traders have relied on tools such as the Average True Range (ATR) and Historic Volatility (HV) to measure and understand market volatility. These tools provide a snapshot of how much an asset's price fluctuates over a given period, helping traders to gauge potential risk and reward. ATR measures market volatility by analyzing the range of price movement, often over a 14-day period. It reflects the degree of price movement but doesn’t differentiate between upward or downward volatility. Historic Volatility looks at past price movements to calculate how much the price has deviated from its average. It’s a statistical measure that gives traders a sense of how volatile the market has been in the past. While these traditional tools are invaluable, they offer a generalized view of volatility. For traders seeking a more nuanced and actionable understanding, it's essential to distinguish between upside and downside volatility—how much and how fast the market moves up or down. This article introduces a pragmatic, trader-focused approach to measuring volatility in the E-mini S&P 500 Futures. By analyzing daily, weekly, and monthly volatility from both the upside and downside perspectives, we aim to provide insights that can better prepare traders for the real-world dynamics of the market. 2. Methodology: Volatility Calculation from a Trader’s Perspective In this analysis, we take a more nuanced approach by separating volatility into two distinct categories: upside volatility and downside volatility. The idea is to focus on how much the market tends to move up versus how much it moves down, providing a clearer picture of potential risks and rewards. Volatility Calculation Method: o Daily Volatility: Daily upside volatility is calculated as the percentage change from the prior day's close to the next day’s high, assuming the next day’s high is higher than the prior day’s close. Daily downside volatility is the percentage change from the prior day's close to the next day’s low, assuming the next day’s low is lower than the prior day’s close. o Weekly Volatility: Weekly upside volatility is determined by comparing the previous Friday’s close to the highest point during the following week, assuming the market went higher than the prior Friday’s close. Weekly downside volatility is calculated by comparing the previous Friday’s close to the lowest point during the following week, assuming the market went lower than the prior Friday’s close. o Monthly Volatility: Monthly upside volatility is measured by taking the percentage change from the prior month’s close to the next month’s high, assuming prices moved higher than the prior monthly close. Monthly downside volatility is calculated by comparing the prior month’s close to the lowest point of the following month, assuming prices moved lower than the prior monthly close. 3. Volatility Analysis The E-mini S&P 500 Futures exhibit distinct patterns when analyzed from the perspective of upside and downside volatility. By measuring the daily/weekly/monthly fluctuations using the trader-focused approach discussed earlier, we gain valuable insights into how the market behaves on a day-to-day basis. Key Insights: Trend Observation: The data reveals that during periods of market distress, such as financial crises or sudden economic downturns, downside volatility tends to spike significantly. This indicates a greater propensity for the market to fall rapidly compared to its upward movements. Implication for Traders: Understanding these patterns allows traders to anticipate the potential risks and adjust their strategies accordingly. For instance, in highly volatile environments, traders might consider tightening their stop losses or hedging their positions to protect against sudden downturns. 4. Comparative Analysis: Rolling Volatility Differences To gain deeper insights into the behavior of the E-mini S&P 500 Futures, it’s useful to compare the rolling differences between upside and downside volatility over time. Rolling Volatility Differences Explained: Rolling Analysis: A rolling analysis calculates the difference between upside and downside volatility over a set period, such as 252 days for daily data (approximately one trading year), 52 weeks for weekly data, or 12 months for monthly data. This method smooths out short-term fluctuations, allowing us to see more persistent trends in how the market behaves. Volatility Difference: The volatility difference is simply the upside volatility minus the downside volatility. A positive value suggests that upside movements were more significant during the period, while a negative value indicates stronger downside movements. Key Insights: Trend Observation: The rolling difference analysis reveals that downside volatility generally dominates, particularly during periods of economic uncertainty or financial crises. This confirms the common belief that markets tend to fall faster than they rise. Implication for Traders: Traders could use rolling volatility differences to anticipate changes in market conditions. A widening gap in favor of downside volatility may signal increasing risk and the potential for further declines. Conversely, a narrowing or positive rolling difference could suggest improving market sentiment and potential opportunities for long positions. 5. Volatility Trends Over Time Understanding the frequency and conditions under which upside or downside volatility dominates can provide traders with valuable insights into market behavior. By analyzing the percentage of days, weeks, and months where upside volatility exceeds downside volatility, we can better grasp the nature of market trends over time. Volatility Trends Explained: Percentage of Days with Greater Upside Volatility: This metric shows the percentage of trading days within a given year where the upside volatility was higher than the downside volatility. It highlights the frequency with which the market experienced more significant upward movements compared to downward ones on a daily basis. Percentage of Weeks with Greater Upside Volatility: Similarly, this metric calculates the percentage of weeks in a year where the upside volatility was greater than the downside. It provides a broader perspective on market trends, capturing sustained movements within weekly timeframes. Percentage of Months with Greater Upside Volatility: This metric reflects the percentage of months in a year where upside volatility exceeded downside volatility. It is particularly useful for identifying longer-term trends and understanding the market’s behavior over extended periods. Key Insights: Trend Observation: Historically, again, we can see the data shows that downside volatility tends to dominate, especially during periods of market stress. However, there are years where upside volatility has been more frequent. Implication for Traders: Traders can use these insights to adjust their strategies based on the prevailing market conditions. In years where downside volatility is more frequent, defensive strategies or hedging might be more appropriate. Conversely, in years where upside volatility dominates, traders might consider more aggressive or trend-following strategies. 6. Key Takeaways for Traders The analysis of the E-mini S&P 500 Futures’ volatility, broken down by daily, weekly, and monthly intervals, provides crucial insights for traders. Understanding the distinct patterns of upside and downside volatility is essential for making informed trading decisions, particularly in a market that often behaves asymmetrically. Practical Conclusions for Traders: Risk Management: Given the dominance of downside volatility, traders should prioritize risk management strategies. This includes using stop-loss orders, protective options, and other hedging techniques to mitigate potential losses during volatile periods. Strategic Positioning: Traders might consider adjusting their position sizes or employing defensive strategies during periods of heightened downside volatility. Conversely, when upside volatility shows signs of strengthening, more aggressive positioning or trend-following strategies could be beneficial. Timing Entries and Exits: Understanding the patterns of volatility can help traders better time their entries and exits. For instance, entering the market during periods of lower downside volatility or after a significant downside spike can offer better risk-reward opportunities. Adaptability: The key to successful trading in volatile markets is adaptability. Traders should remain flexible and adjust their strategies based on the prevailing market conditions, as indicated by the volatility analysis. By incorporating these insights into their trading approach, traders can better navigate the E-mini S&P 500 Futures market, enhancing their ability to capitalize on opportunities while managing risks effectively. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by traddictiv
6
Identifying Key Support and Resistance Levels: Beginner’s GuideWelcome to the market’s game of zig-zag. On the one side, we’ve got the bulls pulling prices up (doing the zigging), and on the other, the bears dragging them down (doing the zagging). Somewhere in there lies a delicate balance—where prices pause, reverse, or break through. These are support and resistance levels, and if you want to play in the big league and run shoulders with big sho(r)ts, you need to know how to spot them. Let’s dive in. Support and Resistance: The Basics Imagine the market as a ping-pong ball bouncing between two invisible walls. These invisible walls are called support and resistance . The floor is support—where buyers step in to catch the fall. The ceiling? That’s resistance, where sellers say, “Not so fast,” and push the price back down. Your job? Figure out where these walls are and use them to your advantage. Support is the price level where a downtrend could pause due to strong enough demand, or buying momentum. Think of it as a safety net—a level where the price stops its freefall, cushioned by determined buyers. Resistance is the opposite. It’s the price level where an uptrend might stall because sellers step in, seeing the price as overbought. It’s the market’s ceiling, and breaking through it can be tough. How to Spot Support and Resistance Here’s the good news: spotting these levels is easier than you think. Start by zooming out on your chart and identifying where price reversals have occurred. Where has the market consistently bounced up from? That’s your support. Where has it been smacked down? That’s your resistance. That’s also when everyone becomes a chartist and technical analyst—draw horizontal lines at these levels. And boom, you’ve just identified key support and resistance zones. But there’s more to it than just connecting the dots. Horizontal Levels: The Classics The classic way to identify support and resistance is to look for horizontal levels. These are price levels where the market has historically reversed multiple times. If the price has bounced off $50 three times, you’ve got yourself a solid support level. Likewise, if $75 has been a brick wall for the price, it’s a clear resistance level. Trendlines: The Dynamic Duo Horizontal lines are great, but what if the market’s trending? That’s where trendlines come in. Draw a line connecting the higher lows in an uptrend or the lower highs in a downtrend. These lines can act as moving support or resistance levels. They’re not just lines—they’re the market’s roadmap. Want to get things even more heated up? Look for channels by identifying the higher lows in the uptrend coupled with the higher highs. Apply the same but in reverse for downtrending markets—lower highs and lower lows is what makes up a channel. The Role of Volume Here’s where it gets a little spicy. You have to add volume in the mix. When you see a support or resistance level holding up with high volume, it’s like getting a thumbs-up from the market. If the price breaks through a level with high volume, it’s more likely to keep moving in that direction. Low volume? Don’t get too excited—it could be a fake-out. Psychological Levels: The Round Numbers Game Ever noticed how prices tend to stall at round numbers? That’s no accident. Humans love round numbers and the market is no different. Levels like $100, $1,000, or even $100,000 (did someone say Bitcoin BTC/USD ?) often act as psychological support or resistance. It’s not science—it’s market psychology. How to Trade Support and Resistance Now that you know where the walls are, or inflection points, let’s talk strategy. Trading support and resistance isn’t about guessing where the market will go—it’s about stacking the odds in your favor. Buying at Support (DYOR, tho) : When the price pulls back to a support level, it’s a prime buying opportunity. Just remember, you’re not the only one watching this level—fellow retail traders, professional money spinners and lots of algorithms are trained to chase trends. Use additional confirmation, like a bunch of indicators stacked together , before you pull the trigger. Selling at Resistance (DYOR, tho) : If the price rallies to a known resistance level, it’s time to think about selling. Again, wait for some confirmation—a rejection, bearish pattern, or a volume spike—to avoid getting caught in a breakout. Breakout Trades (DYOR, tho) : If a price breaks through support or resistance with conviction (read: strong volume), it often leads to significant moves. You can trade these breakouts, but be cautious of false breakouts. Nobody likes getting trapped. Final Thoughts Support and resistance levels are like the market’s heartbeat. They reveal where the big players are making their moves and where the action is likely to heat up. Whether you’re looking to jump in or bail out, these levels are your go-to guide. So, the next time you’re analyzing a chart, remember—those lines aren’t just random. They’re the market’s battle lines, and now, you’ve got the intel to trade them. Let’s wrap this up with some inspiration from legendary trend follower Paul Tudor Jones: “I believe the very best money is made at the market turns. Everyone says you get killed trying to pick tops and bottoms and you make all your money by playing the trend in the middle. Well for twelve years I have been missing the meat in the middle but I have made a lot of money at tops and bottoms.” Do you trade with support and resistance levels? Let us know your thoughts in the comment section!
Education
by TradingView
5
The Basics of Becoming a Swing TraderIn this educational lesson, we will explain the concept of swing trading so that aspiring traders can learn how it works and what it means. Swing trading is considered a short to medium-term strategy that aims to trade specific market “swings” or oscillations within a broader trend. Swing trading is not day trading, and it is not long-term investing. Instead, it fits somewhere between those two disciplines. Swing trading typically spans a few days to several weeks and it begins with the trader spotting a large trend, finding a discrepancy in the current price within that larger trend, and then structuring a trade based on this intermediate price action. Swing traders primarily rely on technical analysis, using indicators and strategies to spot these specific swings within larger trends. Before we discuss the details of these indicators and other concepts, allow us to give you the basics one more time. Here are the key points: Timeframe: Medium term Analysis: Mostly technical Goal: Capitalize on moves within larger trends Example: Open a chart of USD/JPY ( USDJPY Chart — Dollar Yen Rate — TradingView ) and look at the trend since early 2021. Now, within that trend, look for the oscillations and swings that occurred, showing quick drops and then quick rises or vice versa. Swing traders look to spot these price movements within the overall trend, placing trades that last a few days to several weeks. Forex Swing Trading: Forex markets are ideal for swing trading due to high liquidity, typically tight spreads, and around the clock trading. Traders usually focus on momentum peaks and dips, rather than long-term currency value. Both concepts are unique to forex markets and make it ripe for swing trading. In addition, like all other markets, technical tools can be accessed in forex markets as well. If you’re interested in learning how specific indicators are used by swing traders, go give the following indicators a look: 1. A short to medium-term moving average like 5, 10 or 20 days. 2. MACD to research crossovers and divergence between price and moving averages. 3. Stochastic oscillators to look for overbought and oversold conditions. 4. Pivot Points to look for potential support and resistance levels on shorter time intervals. Thanks for reading our latest educational post about becoming a swing trader! Be sure to follow us for more updates and educational resources like this.
Education
by FOREXcom
1
How to Decode Market Days: Wide Range, Inside, and Outside DaysHey Traders! 👋 Let's break down some classic chart patterns that can clue you in on the market's next move. We're exploring Wide Range Days, Inside Days, and Outside Days today. These are your bread and butter for spotting potential volatility and directional shift s! Wide Range Days (WRD) These are the days when the market just can't sit still—volatility shoots through the roof, often without hitting new highs or lows. Triggered by unexpected news or a sudden surge in order activity, a WRD can signal that a peak or pivotal reversal is near. 💡 Tip: If the market closes near the high or low of a WRD, it’s a strong hint at continued movement in that direction. But remember, extreme moves often lead to a pause or reversal as the market catches its breath. Outside Days An Outside Day steps out of the shadow of the previous day, with a high higher and a low lower than the day before. This pattern often hints at a reversal, especially if it comes with high volatility. 💡 Keep in Mind: An Outside Day with low volatility and only slightly larger than the previous day is a weaker signal. It’s crucial to consider the context—what was the market like leading up to this? Inside Days 📈 Why They Matter: Inside Days are like the market taking a time-out, staying within the range set by the previous day. This pattern usually signals a decrease in volatility and can indicate a consolidation phase after a big move. Trading Strategy: Post-explosive move, if all the action has attracted everyone likely to buy in, the price might be too steep for new players, leading to a stagnant or reversing trend once the news fades or the market reevaluates. Wrapping It Up 🙌 Single-day patterns are just pieces of the larger market puzzle. They’re common but need discerning eyes to interpret correctly. Always corroborate these patterns with other indicators and market context to enhance your trading strategy. Remember, trading is not just about recognizing patterns but understanding the market's language. Keep refining your approach and stay ahead of the curve. Happy trading!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by MagnumStrategy
10
How to Use Fibonacci Retracements to Find Entry and Exit PointsAlright, traders, let’s talk about Fibonacci Retracements — the tool that’s part math, part mysticism, and all about finding those sweet spots for entry and exit. If you’ve ever wondered how seasoned traders seem to know exactly when to jump in and when to cash out, chances are they’ve got Fibonacci retracements in their toolbox (or they’re insider trading). What Are Fibonacci Retracements? Fibonacci Retracements are based on the famous ​​Fibonacci sequence — a string of numbers discovered in the 1200s by the medieval Italian mathematician Leonardo of Pisa (later nicknamed Fibonacci, meaning "son of Bonacci"). The sequence of numbers starts with 1, 2, 3, 5 and grows by adding the sum of the two previous numbers. These mystical numbers show up everywhere from pinecones and seashells to the human hand and the Apple logo and, of course, the charts. It all comes down to 61.8%, the golden child of market moves and corrections. But before you go off believing Fibonacci is some sort of market sorcerer, let’s break it down. The Key Levels 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 78.6% : These are the Fibonacci retracement levels you’ll see on your chart when you whip up the Fibonacci Retracement. They’re acting as the market’s pit stops — areas where the price could take a breather or reverse altogether. Traders use these levels to predict how far a price might pull back before resuming its trend. Put simply, it’s like finding the market’s sweet spot where it says, “Enough with the chit-chat, let’s bounce.” How to Use Fibonacci Retracements Identify the Trend : First, you need a clear trend — trace a price trajectory and make sure there is a well-defined and sustained move either up or down with a clear reversal at the end. No trend? No Fibonacci. Draw the Retracement : Stretch the Fib tool from the start of the move (swing low) to the end (swing high). If the trend is up, draw from low to high. If it’s down, high to low. Watch as those golden ratios light up your chart like a Christmas tree. Now you’ve got your levels mapped out and you can easily start looking for the potential turning points. Spot the Bounce : The series of horizontal lines on your chart — these are your Fibonacci levels, and they’re not just pretty—they’re potential support and resistance zones. When the price retraces to a Fib level, it’s decision time. Will it bounce, or will it break? The 61.8% level is the big one — the golden ratio. If the price holds there, it may be a sign that the trend could continue. If it breaks, well, it’s time to reassess. Think of it as the market’s line in the sand. Finding Entry Points Here’s where it gets interesting. Imagine the market’s been on a bull run, but then starts to pull back. You’re itching to buy, but where? This is where Fibonacci levels shine. When the price retraces to a key Fibonacci level (say 38.2% or 50%), it’s like the market is pausing to catch its breath. That’s your cue to consider entering a position. You’re aiming to ride the next wave up once the market finishes its coffee break at one of these levels. Nailing Exit Points On the flip side, if you’re already in a trade and looking to lock in profits, those same Fibonacci levels can be your guide for exiting. If the price is approaching a key level from below, it might be time to secure your gains before the market pulls another U-turn. For the bold and brave, you can even set your sights on the 161.8% level — this is where Fibonacci extensions come into play. It’s a target for when the market decides it’s not just going to bounce, but rocket into the stratosphere. Pro Tip: Fib Confluence Looking to up your game? Combine Fibonacci with other indicators like moving averages or trendlines. When multiple signals converge around a Fib level, it may be a strong confirmation that the trend could turn. Pay attention and always do your own research — fakeouts are real. Why It Works (and Why It Doesn't) Some say Fibonacci levels work because they’re rooted in natural mathematics. Others believe it’s a self-fulfilling prophecy because so many traders use them. And just like any strategy, it doesn’t work 100% of the time. The market has a mind of its own, and sometimes it just doesn’t care about your Fibonacci levels. But when they do work, they can give you a serious edge. The Bottom Line Fibonacci Retracements aren’t just a bunch of lines on a chart — they’re your reminder that maybe everything is indeed one from the universe’s perspective and there are naturally occurring patterns everywhere. Whether you believe in the math and the or just like the results, one thing’s for sure: Fibs can give you an edge in spotting when to hold back or lean forward. So next time you’re stuck wondering when to buy or sell, try the Fibonacci.
Education
by TradingView
12
A simple Stock strategy to trade with edge!A simple, profitable strategy. If you’re struggling to trade profitability and searching for the ‘Holy Grail’ of trading strategies, then you’re in luck. I’ve got it for you…. DON’T SHORT STOCKS! Well, that’s it in a nutshell. I will elaborate, but please read on because this was a game changer for me. It sounds too simple. Honestly, my win/loss ratio has improved , and my hairline has stopped receding. The simplistic rationale for long only 1. Just look at the S&P500 chart since 2010. It is statistically impossible to lose money if you only buy. 2. People want to buy stocks! It’s just a fact. Everyone in the world is investing in stocks, whether it's for their retirement, their children's ISAs, speculating through the 30 apps on their smartphones, or visiting their local bank, with the aim of beating inflation and outperforming savings accounts. 3. During the most significant event of my life, the infamous COVID-19 pandemic, the S&P500 experienced a 30% decline, causing the world to stop, businesses to close, and a sense of impending doom! The S&P is now up 60%, reaching an all-time high! 4. The buy-only mentality, when combined with simple technical analysis, can eliminate 50% of trade ideas, clear your mind, reduce 50% of stress, and, as stated in Point 1, enhance your edge. 5. Most importantly, stocks are an appreciating asset; they want to go up. A company's entire purpose is to grow! Okay, so that’s a really simple rationale. I get that some stocks do go down during market corrections or natural ebbs and flows; we want market pullbacks. We could go into boring stats like volatility and liquidity, etc., but the key point is that stocks go up! I can’t emphasise this enough. The simple strategy My strategy applies to stock indexes (US500, US100, etc.) as well as individual stocks; however, indexes are easier, in my opinion. I would recommend sticking to well-known stocks that fit this complex filter. Is it likely to fail? Here are some recent stocks I have traded using this filter. McDonald's (MCD) and Go Daddy's (GDDY) We've already decided to focus solely on long-only trades, so how do we begin? We chase momentum using these complex , simple technical tools. 1. The daily price must be above these simple moving averages (SMA): 20, 50, 100 = momentum! 2. 4-hour price above these simple moving averages (SMA) of 20, 50, 100= short-term momentum. 3. Avoid trading at major resistance levels. 4. Enter trades on a 4-hour chart; don’t over-analyse. 5. Take profits. To fine-tune an entry, you can apply this extremely simple framework to any existing TA skills, candlestick patterns (bullish engulfing, ABC pullback, pinbar, etc.), or market structure. Here are some examples of trade entries on MCD, GDDY, and SPX. Follow the framework and keep your trading simple.
NYSE:GDDYEducation
by SACT_CAPITAL
16
How to use Implied Volatility Index to analyze Bitcoin▮ Introduction Bitcoin is known for its price volatility. Analyzing the price chart alone is often not enough to make buy and sell decisions. Implied volatility indexes such as DERIBIT:DVOL and VOLMEX:BVIV can complement traditional technical analysis by providing insights into market sentiment and expectations. ▮ Understanding DVOL/BVIV DVOL and BVIV measure the expected implied volatility of Bitcoin over the next 30 days, derived from real-time call and put options. DVOL is calculated by Deribit, the world's largest Bitcoin and Ether options exchange. BVIV is calculated by Volmex Finance; the data is extracted from exchanges (currently Deribit and OKX), and then combined into a single set. * In addition to Bitcoin, it is possible to analyze Ethereum-specific instruments through the ticks DERIBIT:ETHDVOL and VOLMEX:EVIV, whose line of reasoning is the same. ▮ Interpreting the chart 🔶 High DVOL/BVIV values ​​indicate that the market expects greater volatility in the next 30 days. This is usually associated with uncertainty, fear, or expected major events. 🔶 The index does not indicate the direction of the price, but rather whether volatility will increase or decrease. 🔶 Low values ​​indicate an expectation of lower volatility and are usually associated with calmer and more optimistic markets. 🔶 To get an idea of ​​the expected daily movement of Bitcoin, simply divide the DVOL value by 20. For example, a DVOL of 100 indicates an expected daily movement of 5%. 🔶 Divergences between the price of Bitcoin and DVOL/BVIV can signal inflection points. 🔶 Price rising with a drop in DVOL/BVIV may indicate exhaustion and a potential top. 🔶 Price falling with a drop in DVOL/BVIV may indicate exhaustion and a potential bottom. ▮ Example The price of BTC here is at the top in white. The DVOL and the RSI of DVOL are both in red. The reason I put the RSI here is that it is easier to analyze DVOL, since the values ​​are in a fixed range, therefore easier to interpret. On March 25, 2022, the RSI shows a contracted value of 30, that is, low implied volatility. This foreshadows a period of calm that precedes a period of agitation. In this case, the “agitation” soon materializes in a period of price decline. When the RSI then reaches the upper limit range, at 83 (on May 12, 2022), a peak in volatility is characterized. Then, after that, it begins to decrease. This decrease in volatility in DVOL corroborates the moment of Bitcoin’s lateralization within the orange box. ▮ Conclusion Although DVOL and BVIV should not be used in isolation, they can be valuable tools for confirming price chart signals and anticipating major movements. Incorporating implied volatility analysis into your strategy, can improve the timing of entries/exits and help manage risk. ⚠️ But remember: Just because a strategy worked in the past does not mean it will work forever. Past profitability is no guarantee of future profitability. Do your own analysis and risk management.
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by andre_007
11
Best Currency Pairs to Trade at NightBest Currency Pairs to Trade at Night In forex trading, time is of great importance. The forex market operates 24/5, and it is divided into different trading sessions, including Asian, European, and North American. Each session has its own unique characteristics, and their overlap can impact activity and volatility. Night trading presents both opportunities and challenges. To make the most of night hours, it is important to identify the best forex currency pairs to trade during this period. This FXOpen article will delve into the world of night trading, exploring the key elements affecting it and offering valuable insights. Factors Impacting Nighttime Forex Trading Time is a critical factor in forex trading because it influences market conditions, liquidity, and volatility. Traders consider the timing of their trades and adapt their strategies accordingly to maximise opportunities while managing risk. Market Hours Around the World Nighttime forex trading coincides with different market sessions. The primary session during the night for European traders is the Asian session (Sydney and Tokyo sessions). In addition, although the New York session is not technically a night session, the latter part of it often moves into the night. The North American trading session, which includes markets in New York, Chicago, and Toronto, aligns with the evening and night hours for Australian traders. The European session overlaps with the late evening and early morning hours for Australian traders. This overlap is where traders can find significant trading opportunities. Liquidity During Different Sessions Nighttime trading sees lower liquidity compared to the major sessions, but this doesn’t mean it’s devoid of opportunities. Major forex pairs, for example, tend to remain relatively liquid, ensuring traders can enter and exit positions with ease. Also, liquidity differs depending on the currency pair. For Europe, pairs with Asia-Pacific currencies (e.g. Japanese yen, Australian dollar, and New Zealand dollar) will have more liquidity at night. Meanwhile, for Asian and Australian traders, pairs with the USD and European currencies will be more liquid in the overnight hours. Volatility Patterns Night trading often sees more stable price movements than day sessions. Traders seeking smoother trends and reduced risk often find night trading attractive. Night traders analyse and react to the information accumulated during the day sessions. This allows for more methodical and less impulsive trading decisions, which also contributes to price stability. Economic Events and News Releases Despite the quiet hours, economic events and news releases can still impact nighttime trading. Keep an eye on economic calendars to avoid unexpected surprises and capitalise on market reactions. Best Currency Pairs to Trade at Night The choice of the best forex pairs to trade at night depends on your trading strategy, risk tolerance, and preferences. However, some currency pairs are generally considered more suitable for this. Here are some popular forex pairs to consider. Major Currency Pairs Major forex pairs, such as EUR/USD (Euro/US dollar), USD/JPY (US dollar/Japanese yen), and GBP/USD (British pound/US dollar), remain attractive options for night trading due to their liquidity and stable price movements. As these are the most traded pairs in forex, many market participants favour them. Cross Currency Pairs Cross currency pairs, like EUR/GBP (Euro/British pound), EUR/JPY (Euro/Japanese yen), and AUD/JPY (Australian dollar/Japanese yen), can provide diversification and trading opportunities during the night. They might exhibit different volatility patterns from major currency pairs. Exotic Currency Pairs While exotic currency pairs can be riskier, some traders find them intriguing during the night. You can consider, for example, USD/SGD (US dollar/Singapore dollar), USD/TRY (US dollar/Turkish lira), or EUR/TRY (Euro/Turkish lira). These are among the most volatile pairs in forex, and they often experience substantial price swings, offering the potential for higher profits. Trading Strategies for Nighttime Trading Trading strategies for night trading require careful consideration of market conditions and trader preferences. Below are a few trading strategies suitable for night trading. Scalping Scalping is a short-term strategy that allows traders to capitalise on small price movements. This strategy can be effective, as news that comes out at night can create more volatility in the market, which is the main benefit for scalpers. Swing Trading This approach involves capturing medium-term price movements. This strategy provides opportunities to identify and enter positions that can be held overnight or for several days. By using swing trading, traders reduce risks of price fluctuations that can affect day traders and scalpers. Swing traders typically need to conduct technical analysis to know when it’s best to enter and exit a trade. Carry Trading Carry trading utilises the difference in interest rates between currency pairs. Traders earn interest on the currency they buy (the currency of the country with a higher interest rate) and pay interest on the currency they sell (the currency of the country with a lower interest rate). For night trading, traders may look for pairs with favourable interest rate differentials and hold positions to accumulate interest income. Range Trading Range trading involves identifying price ranges or support and resistance levels and trading within those boundaries. During the night, many currency pairs consolidate within narrower ranges, making range trading an appealing strategy. Risk Management Techniques Regardless of the trading strategy, setting stop-loss and take-profit orders is crucial. They help limit potential losses and lock in profits. You can also consider managing your risk through proper position sizing. The theory states that you shouldn’t risk more than you can afford to lose in a single trade. Another smart idea is to diversify your portfolio and trade different currency pairs to spread risk. Before entering a trade, a good way to go is to evaluate the risk-reward ratio. A favourable ratio ensures that potential gains outweigh potential losses. Final Thoughts To identify the best currency pairs to trade today, it’s crucial to conduct technical and fundamental analysis. The TickTrader platform can help you with the former, as there you will find the most advanced analysis tools, graphs, and more. To assess external factors, use news resources and analyses by experts, which you can find on our blog. You can open an FXOpen account and start trading tonight. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
4
Mastering the Moving Average: The Trendspotter for Every TraderTradingViewers, this one will take you back to basics. In this Idea we visit a tool that’s as essential as your morning coffee — the Moving Average (MA). This indicator is the market’s smoothing instrument, ironing out the noise and letting you see the trend for what it really is. What’s a Moving Average? Think of the Moving Average as the market’s highlight reel. It averages out price action over a specific period, showing you where the market’s been and giving you a clue about where it might be headed. It’s the ultimate trendspotter, cutting through the daily chatter to reveal the bigger picture. Day traders and scalpers, don’t fret — it works on intraday time frames, too. Types of MAs Simple Moving Average (SMA): The old-school classic. It’s as straightforward as it gets — just an average of days you specify — 7, 9, 21, 50, 100, or even 200 days — that’s called “length”. This tool might be simple, but it’s a mainstay indicator for professional traders, institutional investors, and other big-shot money spinners. Exponential Moving Average (EMA): The turbocharged version of the SMA. It gives more weight to recent prices, meaning it reacts quicker to the action. If the SMA is a steady cruise, the EMA is a sports car with a little more kick. How to Use Moving Averages Spotting Trends : The Moving Average is your trend-checking buddy. Prices above the MA? We’re in bull territory. Prices below? Looks like the bears are in control. Slap it on any time frame — it’s the same rules regardless of the time horizon. Support and Resistance : MAs are like the guardrails of the market. They often act as support during uptrends and resistance during downtrends. When price bounces off an MA, it’s like a boxer bouncing off the ropes — watch for the counterpunch! The Golden Cross & Death Cross : Now we’re talking setups that get traders buzzing. When a short-term MA crosses above a long-term MA, you get a Golden Cross – the market’s flashing a buy signal party. But when the opposite happens, it’s a Death Cross, and the bears start licking their lips. Moving Average Crossover : Want some trading action? Watch for crossovers between short and long MAs. For example, throw in your chart a 50-day moving average and then top it up with a 100-day and a 200-day line. If they all cross over to the upside, you can expect a swing higher. And if they cross over to the downside, you can anticipate a swing lower. Pro Tip: Tune Your Moving Average Jot these numbers down — 20, 50, 100, 200 — these are the MA settings you’ll see most, but don’t be afraid to tweak them. A shorter MA (20 or 50) reacts quicker but can whipsaw you. A longer MA (100 or 200) is steadier but might be slower to catch reversals. It’s all about finding the balance that suits your trading style. Bottom Line The Moving Average isn’t about predicting the future — it’s about seeing the present more clearly. It’s the difference between getting lost in the noise and riding the trend with confidence. Whether you’re trend-following or looking for a noiseless entry, the MA is your go-to indicator. So slap that Moving Average on your chart and let it take you beyond the clutter. Because when the market’s moving fast, it pays to have a steady hand guiding your trades. And as essential as MAs are, don't limit your analysis to just one tool: apply several indicators on your chart to spot trends more effectively and enhance your research with data from the economic calendar , screeners, heatmaps, and all kinds of tools available on TradingView to have a bigger picture of market activities. Are you already using MAs in your charting and trading? Let us know in the comments below!
Education
by TradingView
11
Comparing Different Financial MarketsComparing Different Financial Markets In trading, understanding the types of international financial markets is crucial. This article offers a comprehensive market comparison of the stock, forex, commodity, crypto* and bond arenas. You’ll learn the importance of these financial markets and what it takes to navigate each one effectively. Stock Market The stock market is a financial marketplace where traders and investors can buy and sell shares of publicly traded companies. By purchasing a stock, an investor essentially owns a slice of the company, and their investment's value moves in tandem with the company's performance. - Risk: Stocks can be volatile, subject to market sentiment, economic indicators, and company performance. Risk varies widely among different types of stocks. - Income Potential: Day traders aim for short-term gains, while long-term investors often seek stocks that offer dividends or high growth potential. - Knowledge: A solid understanding of market trends, company fundamentals, and technical indicators is beneficial for effective trading. - Liquidity: Most stocks, especially those listed on major exchanges, have high liquidity, allowing for quick entry and exit. - Costs and Fees: Costs can include brokerage commissions, although many online platforms now offer zero-commission trading. - Trading Hours: Generally restricted to weekdays, opening and closing at set times, with after-hours trading being possible but less liquid. Forex Market The forex market is the global marketplace for buying and selling currencies. Traders pair two currencies, like EUR/USD, and profit from the fluctuations in exchange rates. - Risk: Forex trading can be highly volatile and is considered riskier than stock trading, influenced by geopolitical events, interest rates, and economic data. - Income Potential: High leverage can amplify gains but also increase risk. Many traders seek to profit from short-term fluctuations. - Knowledge: Understanding of macroeconomic indicators, geopolitical events, and technical analysis can be crucial for success. - Liquidity: Extremely high, given the 24/5 operation of the Forex market. - Costs and Fees: Typically lower than other markets, often involving spreads rather than direct commissions. - Trading Hours: Operates 24 hours a day, five days a week, allowing for flexibility in trading times. Commodity Market The commodity market is one of the types of international financial markets where physical or virtual assets like gold, oil, or agricultural products are traded. These markets often act as a gauge for supply and demand conditions globally. - Risk: Commodities can be quite volatile, influenced by global events, natural disasters, and political instability. Traders often hedge against other market risks by investing in commodities. - Income Potential: Gains can be substantial but are also subject to dramatic shifts based on the factors mentioned above. - Knowledge: Understanding of global economic indicators, supply and demand factors, and geopolitical events is critical. - Liquidity: Varies widely depending on the commodity; for example, gold and oil are highly liquid. - Costs and Fees: This can include brokerage commissions, futures contract fees, and costs associated with physical storage for some commodities. - Trading Hours: Vary by commodity and exchange, but many have extended hours due to global demand. Cryptocurrency Market* The cryptocurrency market is a decentralised digital asset market that includes cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and various tokens. It's the newest and one of the most rapidly evolving financial markets. - Risk: Extremely volatile, with prices subject to rapid fluctuations, sometimes within minutes. Regulatory concerns add another layer of risk. - Income Potential: High potential for both short-term and long-term gains, but also significant risk of loss. - Knowledge: Understanding of blockchain technology, market sentiment, and technical analysis is often crucial. Familiarity with regulation is also beneficial. - Liquidity: Generally high for well-known cryptocurrencies but can be low for lesser-known tokens and coins. - Costs and Fees: Vary by platform and may include transaction fees, deposit/withdrawal fees, and "gas" fees for certain types of transactions. - Trading Hours: Operates 24/7, allowing for ongoing trading and the chance to react to market news or events. You can head over to FXOpen's free TickTrader platform to explore the above-mentioned markets for CFD trading in real-time. Bond Market The bond market is a segment of the financial market where debt securities are issued and traded. Unlike the stock market, which is a part of the capital market, the bond market focuses on long-term debt instruments. This highlights the difference between capital markets and financial markets. - Risk: Generally considered lower risk compared to stocks and commodities, although risk can vary depending on the issuer's creditworthiness. - Income Potential: Lower yield compared to more volatile markets, but often offers more stable returns through interest payments. - Knowledge: Understanding of interest rates, yield curves, and credit ratings is essential for bond trading. - Liquidity: Varies depending on the type of bond; government bonds are usually highly liquid, while corporate bonds can be less so. - Costs and Fees: Transaction costs are generally built into the bond's price, but some brokers may charge commissions. - Trading Hours: Primarily traded over-the-counter (OTC), with some bonds available on exchanges. Trading hours can vary but are generally regular business hours. The Bottom Line In summary, the diverse features of financial markets offer traders a range of opportunities, from stocks and commodities to cryptocurrencies* and bonds. Armed with this knowledge, you're now equipped to navigate the markets with confidence. Want to put these insights into action? Consider opening an FXOpen account to kickstart your trading adventure. *At FXOpen UK and FXOpen AU, Cryptocurrency CFDs are only available for trading by those clients categorised as Professional clients under FCA Rules and Professional clients under ASIC Rules, respectively. They are not available for trading by Retail clients. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDEducation
by FXOpen
4