Pre Market Outlook. APPL, BTC, GoldTimeStamps:
APPL 0:00
NASDAQ 2:57
BTC 5:55
DXY 8:33
VIX 10:05
GOLD 13:24
DKNG 15:28
TLDW: I want to see appl start above 155.50 on the day and preferably the week time frame candle as well. There looks like a strong price range between 155.50 and 169, which looks like easy money.
Things still look worse than better, but at least there are fairly well defined points to where things look good to trade.
Though DXY and VIX both look fairly likely to keep moving down, it doesn't seem that the market is going up as much as they are going down which could be another problem.
Oil getting hit pretty hard doesn't really help anything here either. The actual economic outlook is horrible and people are still spending more money than they have.
I don't see how things get better (in real life), but I'm not sure traders or bots care about actual data outside of charts.
Moving Averages
Pre-Market Update 11/16/2022TLDR; I don't like where the price is now. We are close to the old highs before the last drop for many things.
My plan is to wait for a small drop or a small raise in the price before taking any further action.
I do have a fairly large concern with what the dollar will do and the overall strength it may have in the mid to long term future. Though there really isnt much to trade based off of more than what we can already see currently happening.
Appl short ranges: under 146.24 to 142.65 and 142.60 to 138.00
Appl long range: above 156 til 169
Appl currently: Im neutral
🚀Bitcoin's Bear Market Low Zone ~ Frowns Upside-down :)Check out our TradingView Bitcoin & Altcoin Technical Analysis videos, TradingView LIVE streams, or participate in our educational Locker Room videos.
Live Stream schedule: Monday & Wednesday 13:45 UTC. Stream will last 1 hour.
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Market Update (APPL Focused) 11/7/2022Looking for appl to start between 138.76 and 140 for strong movement upwards. The mid term elections in the US could easily cause a big upward movement anyway.
The two ranges to watch for are:
138.76 to 142.65
and
142.65 to 146.37
I explain other things in more detail in the video.
Cardano - WATCH OUT❗ Testing Support❗Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators 📈📉
Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year. Daytime job - Math Teacher. 👩🏫
Cardano is testing a crucial support level - the same that was once the very first resistance zone. This makes it an important level to watch, because if we fall lower, the support zones are few and far apart and this could lead into another multi-month bear market. There is potential for a short setup if the price CLOSES a daily candle underneath this support zone of $39c.
Alternatively, you could continue to accumulate and dollar cost average your way down until your bags are full 💰💰
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CryptoCheck
🚀AltCoins Seeking Short Liquidity or is Bear Market Low Set?!Check out our TradingView Bitcoin & Altcoin Technical Analysis videos, TradingView LIVE streams, or participate in our educational Locker Room videos.
Live Stream schedule: Monday & Wednesday 13:45 UTC. Stream will last 1 hour.
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BITCOIN - Similar To December 2018 ?Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators 📈📉
Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year. Daytime job - Math Teacher. 👩🏫
This is not the longest that BTCUSDT has been trading underneath the Moving Average. During December 2019 until the next year, BTC spent 36 WEEKS underneath the Moving Averages. Noteworthy that this was the 50d MA (due to the lack of data, there was no 100d or 200d). Currently, we're trading underneath the 200d MA. However, this can still signify that range trading for a period of time may be the most likely scenario. We still see high volume on the chart and the RSI shows sideways to slightly lower is the most probable for the foreseeable future. USUALLY (not always) there is a Xmas rally, or a December rally. It should be interesting to see if we find our reversal during the month of December, or if we continue to decline and start another bullish cycle during Q1 next year in 2023.
I'm labeling this BTC post as short even though I don't believe shorting it is a good idea right now, simply because it seems more likely for the price to go slightly lower than higher (judging by the RSI). There will be the occasional, unpredictable wick back up towards the MA but the price will continue to trade underneath until a clear bottom is established.
Incase you're interested in XRPUSDT, check out this idea 👀
Have a great weekend🥂
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Market Update 10/6/22UUUUUUUGH. Because the way trading view has things set up, the last thing I looked at (for 2 seconds) was EUR/USD and Because of that, this chart will show up as EUR/USD. I am sorry about that. I don't believe I can change it after I end the recording. Very unfortunate. Very. I can't change it even in the 15 minutes after that they give me to edit the idea.
I am not re recording, so again I apologize if you wanted to see EUR/USD. I may look at it real quick and update this with that as an apology.
Its late so Im not going to put timestamps for this one. Most stuff is up in the air. Mainly what I want to see is the price end around 142.64 on APPL and would like to see the next week start there. Plenty of things look pretty bad (to me) for the NASDAQ, so we will see how that turns out.
Cya tomorrow at 09:15 EST
Setup BBMA Reentry Sell WeeklyAs we can see on weekly timeframe, the price did momentum sell as bearish movement with EMA50 still above SMA20. This remarkable as downtrend. Thus, the minor movement of bullish is just a retracement to find setup reentry sell in weekly MA High 5 & MA High 10 area.
Then we lower down the timeframe to smaller as we can see Daily give a setup of minor extreme sell as it is a indication of early stage reversal trend. Then on daily there is a rejection candle as in bearish candle. Waiting for next candle to open, drop down to lower timeframe to get an entry point.
In H4 timeframe we can see the price is forming full diagram BBMA which are Extreme, then TPW, then forming MHV. Setup MHV is remark as market losses it volume as price fail to form momentum a.k.a breaking top BB. This confirming the price does not having a momentum to continue uptrend.
Market Update 10/5/22TIMESTAMPS:
________________________________________
Intro 0:00
APPL Today's Movements 0:55
NASDAQ Quick 2:35
BTC Quick 3:43
DXY Being Weird 4:27
APPL Talking opening Targets 6:50
Possible VIX Concerns 11:30
USD/WTI 13:48
Hang Seng 16:28
________________________________________
I will see you tomorrow at 9:30
Market Update 10/4/22TIMESTAMPS:
________________________________________
Intro 0:00
BTC Update 0:20
APPL Today's Movements 5:04
APPL Talking Opening Targets 9:06
Possible VIX Concerns13:42
NDQ 14:17
USD/WTI 15:15
Some Stocks and Gold 15:56
Closing Statements 19:20
________________________________________
See yall tomorrow at 9:15 EST
Beep boop. Beep Beep boop.
Beep boop. Beep Beep boop.
Market Update 10/3/22 Fight for $142.65TIMESTAMPS:
________________________________________
Intro 0:00
APPL Possible Movements 0:28
APPL Today's Movements 4:15
BTC Recap 7:05
USD/WTI 14:25
ETH/BTC 15:30
XRP/USD 18:44
Closing Statements 19:45
________________________________________
I'm too lazy to type too much today. In the video I go over what I want to see in the first 1-2 minutes. If you want an update on what the market did through my perspective, then check out the video after the first 1-2 minutes.
I go over BTC in the second half of the video, but nothing has really changed with BTC since yesterdays update. It is just moving with the market and we saw the entry point yesterday after the Week candle change. The short spots are still there if the price reaches. Most likely we will not get there until/if the stock market drops.
142.65 is still where APPL needs to fight for.
BTC Sunday Update 10/2/22Check the 2HR and 4HR 375 and 500 Hull averages for short entry targets. We were not nearly as bearish as I would have thought when we ended friday. Obviously we will see what happens on Monday with the Stock market.
I inked Fridays Market update to this, so you can check that out if you want. I talk about spots where I expect we can see a reversal depending on where we start.
TLDW; BTC week end target is 18k. We obviously aren't there and we found support above the 4HR and 4 HR hulls. The short targets are there, but someone or something has to push it down, otherwise its not worth shorting where it currently is.
Pushing to the Week 200 SMMA isnt particularly amazing, because we want to see the candle end UNDER. To do that its going to take another 7 days from now, so selling it early can easily be seen as over selling. Unless the stock market is trash of course.
Market Update 9/30/22 Off The Cliff We Go?TIMESTAMPS:
________________________________________
Intro 0:00
BTC 0:54
APPL Yesterday's Movements 9:23
APPL Today's Movements 11:12
APPL: When the Market Fell Off the Cliff 13:53
What We may See Monday and Issues of Dropping Further 18:06
Closing Statements 19:26
________________________________________
There is probably one thing that saves this, and I really doubt it will happen at this point.
I only go over BTC and APPL in this one: Focusing on the Kings. The buying and selling, more specifically the selling, was REALLY good today. Even when we were slightly oversold on the shorter timeframes, the price made sure not to drop too much until we had higher time frames start under the major trendline.
BTC starting the week under 18k is horrible, things look bad, but these last two trading days have had amazing price action. I think this is worse than better, because bad selling brings good buying, but good selling generally brings nothing but more selling.
The sell off at 11:29:45 (last 15 seconds before the 2HR, 1HR, and 30Min TimeFrame change to bring it just under 142.65 was really something. I pretty much knew what was coming the second I saw that on stream. I go over that moment in the video.
Anyway, see you all on Sunday around 19:30 EST for the Crypto Week Time Frame candle change.
Market Update 9/29/22 Possible ReversalTIMESTAMPS:
________________________________________
Intro 0:00
APPL What I want to see 2:07
Quick DXY 5:15
Going Over APPL Price Movements 6:00
BTC 10:56
USD/WTI (OIL) 16:54
Closing Statements 19:11
________________________________________
Essentially I can easily see something bullish if we start between 142.65 - 143.2. I don't want the price to start too far away. Very similarly to how we started the day slightly under the Day 200 SMMA, touched it and then dropped. I go into specifics in the video.
Things look horrible and this is based on where we start on APPL tomorrow , but I have a good feeling about it. Also its not something that is traded until I see where we start the day, so pre and post are not important to me.
As always: Watch the video and I'll see you tomorrow at 09:15 EST to the end of the market.
Market Update 9/27/22 Structure FormingTIMESTAMPS:
________________________________________
Intro 0:00
APPL What I want to see 1:32
Going Over Price Movements 1:44
DXY & VIX 9:36
BTC 10:48
ETH/BTC 16:09
DOGE 17:08
XRP 17:32
________________________________________
Same video structure as always. I go over what I want to see regarding APPL (the Market King outside indices 💪) and then I go more in-depth about what happened today and then go back over what I want to see again and then in to the usual, BTC, ETH/BTC, Doge, and XRP cryptos.
Average I want to see us start slightly above is 151.75. Starting slightly under looks worse, but I want to see the lower time frame structure collapse as well. IF you check the stream near 14:30 EST you will notice that they (bulls) do a good job of not allowing the price to start under the 30Min 375 hull, which would cause a drop to a weak range that would most likely fail.
From a week perspective, I still want the price to stay in this range. These last two weeks have just been a whole lot of over selling, followed by over buying. The Day time frame 375 Hull coming down on us is certainly concerning, as it will align with the 4HR 200 and 500 averages
and also where the fib level resides (155.50). While it creates a nice area to push through if we can get above it, an INSANE push can happen, but that is also because when things line up, it generally means its really bearish, and its not that people are buying it, but that its shorts getting wrecked and people covering their shorts, that pushes it up.
👁👃🏽👁 Cya tomorrow at 9:15 EST as usual.
Market Update 9/26/22TIMESTAMPS:
________________________________________
Intro 0:00
APPL 0:25
Going Over Price Movements 5:00
BTC 8:34
VIX 12:34
Indices 13:18
APPL What I want to see Recap 14:30
USD/WTI 16:08
DOGE 17:25
XRP 18:12
ETH/BTC 19:28
________________________________________
Video Sums it up. The average ceiling is around the 4HR hull at 151.81. Depending on where we start there might be mayhem in the coming days or even tomorrow. The main plus that the market had today on the open, was that it was oversold in pre-market, assisting the price in initially pushing up more than it needed it.
I go over it in the video, but the amount the price rose in 1 hour today, was the same amount it rose last Monday in 5.5 hours. Pretty wild stuff. Especially since it got sold down from there.
As usual, I will add timestamps.
Market Update 9/25/22 Why We Cant Have Nice ThingsTIMESTAMPS:
________________________________________
BTC 0:00
Why the Macro Still looks Bad 7:02
ETH/BTC 8:33
DOGE 9:35
XRP 12:55
Closing Statements 19:45
________________________________________
I go over what I think pretty quickly and then go into the nuance of the movements and then a quick overview of ETH/BTC, Doge and XRP. I recommend watching at least the first 4-5 minutes of the video.
Summary: the Macro looks horrible and that hasn't changed. The price needs to reach around 22.4k within the next couple of days for me to even consider a change in mid-term trend. The fact that BTC mainly moves when the stock market is open hasn't changed either.
There are conflicting buy and sell signals on the short term now with converging sell signals on the 2 and 4hr timeframes.
Yesterday's day candle, to make things worse, hit the target we needed to hit on todays candle, 4 hours before it needed to be hit. Furthermore, were collapsing back down to hit the target we need to hit (today), with the downward trend from everything crated on todays day candle thus far.
I mention Doge XRP and ETH/BTC also, but not much has changed with those.
Check near the end of the video for XRP as it is the only one that may have a chance of doing anything. Though, depending on where the day timeframe candle ends for btc things could be bad in the short short term and indicate weakness coming into the stock market this Monday.
Now, I wait for things to happen, so none of this means much to me until we start these candles where I want to see them. I just like to put out my thoughts to better explain my thinking and show how this strategy can be used for the longer time frames and similarly for the shorter time frames.
Also BTC starting the week right under the Day hull and with a down trend on it, generally shows a big drop chance on the short to mid term.
I will be streaming the Week candle change, starting tonight at 19:30 EST (UTC-4). As I always do.
Market Update 9/24/22Short Video. Looking for BTC to end above ~18,819. More specifics are in the video.
Besides that I go over what happened on ETH/BTC, DOGE and XRP and what I am looking for in the coming days.
Take care. Let me know if there is an alt you want me to look at in the future and I can add that to my updates or make one about it.
Market Update 9/23/22 The Sound of Bulls?TIMESTAMPS:
________________________________________
What I want to see in APPL: 0:00
How that may translate to the SPY,DJI,NDQ 4:46
VIX 5:40
APPL Possible Concerns/Targets 6:16
BTC/USD 8:36
ETH/BTC 10:00
DOGE/BTC 11:00
XRP/USD and XRP/BTC 15:05
Closing Statements 19:37
________________________________________
I go over what I want to see in the first 3-5 minutes and then I go over some crypto pairs that look like they have big potential moves (more so continuations) coming up. Those are ETH/BTC, DOGE/BTC and XRP/BTC.
We started the day bearish like I expected and ended in the range I expected. Though the in-between was certainly not what I expected. I was somewhat surprised we didn't break to 146.60, but I thought that even if we did early in the day, that it had a high chance to return to the area APPL ended at. Otherwise we start next week over sold and had a strong reason to move back up to test. Which didn't seem like a great idea for longer term bears.
I am still looking forwards to whether we start above or under the Week 500 hull
for APPL as a general idea of whether we return or fall off the cliff, but the sentiment going into this weekend feels bullish. We will see if BTC can end slightly above the Day 500 hull (18945) as it usually does indicating an attempt to move back up and breathing room for alts.