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Understanding The Basics Of AI/Inference Engine ConstructionRecently, there has been a lot of discussion related to my SPY Cycle Patterns and how they work. In short, without disclosing proprietary code/quants, I built an inference engine based on Fibonacci, GANN, and Tesla theories. Part of this inference engine is to identify the highest probable outcome related to the patterns. This is not rocket-science. This is the same process your brain does when determining when and what to trade. The only difference is I'm doing a bunch of proprietary calculations/quants related to data and price theory in the background, then the inference engine determines the best, most likely outcome. Take a few minutes to watch this video and try to understand the difference between static and dynamic modeling. Again, my objective is to help as many traders as possible. My Plan Your Trade videos are my opinions based on my skills, knowledge, and proprietary modeling systems/tools. None of my tools are 100% accurate all the time - nothing is. But, I do believe the quality of information and instructional information I provide is invaluable to most traders. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
NASDAQ:QQQEducation
by BradMatheny
2
This Simple Strategy Could Make You a Fortune in the Gold Marketprice action of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) in relation to the trendlines and patterns indicated. Chart Analysis 1. Weekly Flag Trendline: - The first chart shows a trendline forming a "flag" pattern on a higher time frame (possibly weekly or daily). This flag appears to be a bullish continuation pattern, indicating that after the consolidation within the flag, the price might continue in the direction of the prior trend, which seems to be up. 2. Price Action Inside the Flag: - Within the flag, there is a period of consolidation marked by the parallel trendlines. The price has been respecting these lines, creating higher lows and lower highs, indicating indecision or preparation for a breakout. 3. Potential Breakout Zones: - Key breakout zones are marked by the upper resistance of the flag pattern around the 2,530 level and the lower support trendline of the flag around the 2,470 level. A breakout above the upper resistance could signal a continuation of the prior uptrend, while a break below the lower support could indicate a reversal or deeper pullback. 4. Smaller Patterns: - On the second chart (1-hour time frame), there's a more detailed view of recent price action with a potential bearish flag or pennant forming, suggesting a temporary pullback or consolidation within the larger flag. This smaller pattern appears to be within a trading range bounded by the horizontal support and resistance levels. 5. Key Support and Resistance Levels: - The charts show horizontal support around the 2,433.301 level, which aligns with a historical low that could serve as a significant support level. Similarly, the resistance level is around 2,530, where the price has repeatedly failed to break above. 6. Current Market Context: - The price is currently hovering around 2,497, near the middle of the trading range, suggesting indecision. This midpoint could be a neutral zone where the price could move in either direction based on upcoming market momentum or news. Trading Strategy and Considerations - Entry Points: - If considering a bullish scenario, a long entry could be planned near the lower support line of the flag, around 2,470, with a stop loss slightly below the flag's support to manage risk. A breakout above the 2,530 resistance could also provide a good entry point for a continuation of the uptrend. - For a bearish scenario, a short entry could be considered if the price breaks below the 2,470 support level, confirming a breakdown from the flag pattern. - Risk Management: - The proximity of the price to both upper and lower boundaries of the flag pattern provides clear levels for stop placement. This helps in managing risk effectively, keeping losses contained if the trade goes against the initial bias. - Monitoring Price Action: - Watch for potential breakouts from the smaller patterns within the flag, as these could provide early signals of the larger move's direction. It would also be essential to keep an eye on volume changes, as increased volume could confirm the validity of a breakout or breakdown. By aligning your trades with these patterns and key levels, you can take advantage of the potential setups provided by the price action within these consolidating formations. Ensure to adapt to new market conditions and stay disciplined in executing your trading plan.
Editors' picks
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Adlercon333
2
Gold Traders Alert: Crucial Levels to Watch for the Next Trade!Key Components: Chart Type and Pair: The chart is a 1-hour (1H) timeframe for the Gold Spot/U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) pair. Support and Resistance Levels: Horizontal Resistance Line at $2,446.18: This is labeled as "1HR LQZ" (1-hour liquidity zone), indicating a significant resistance level where price might face selling pressure. Horizontal Support Line at $2,347.82: Also labeled as "1HR LQZ," indicating a significant support level where the price might find buying interest. Trend Lines: There are descending yellow trend lines drawn, indicating a downtrend. The lower yellow trend line has a label suggesting a "Potential 3rd Touch," which typically indicates a possible point for a bounce or reversal. Price Action: The recent price action shows a lower high (LH) formation near $2,446.18, suggesting a downtrend continuation. Two potential scenarios are sketched on the right side of the chart with different colored lines (orange and green) depicting possible future price movements. Analysis: Current Trend: The overall trend appears to be bearish due to the formation of lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL). Support and Resistance: The price is currently trading between two significant levels ($2,446.18 and $2,347.82). Breaking either level with strong momentum could indicate the next directional move. The price nearing the lower yellow trend line for a potential third touch suggests a possible bounce. If the price respects this trend line, it could indicate a temporary support. Potential Scenarios: Bullish Scenario (Green Path): If the price finds support at the lower yellow trend line and the horizontal support at $2,347.82, it might bounce back towards $2,446.18. Breaking above this level could lead to a further rise. Bearish Scenario (Orange Path): If the price fails to hold the support at the yellow trend line and $2,347.82, it might continue to fall. A break below this support level could lead to further declines, targeting lower support levels not shown in the chart.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Adlercon333
Gold Faces Critical Resistance: Will the Bull Run Continue?Chart Overview Timeframe: 1-hour chart Exchange: OANDA Current Price: 2444.100 Key Levels and Zones 4HR LQZ: 2474.524 1HR LQZ: 2370.122 Support Level: 2348.660 Key Low: 2287.754 Patterns and Channels Descending Channel: The price moved within a descending channel before breaking out. Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) formed within this channel. Ascending Channel: The price moved into an ascending channel after breaking out of the descending channel. Higher Lows (HL) and Higher Highs (HH) are visible, indicating a potential upward trend. Current Price Action Recent Higher High (HH): Price reached a higher high at the top of the ascending channel. Potential Lower High: There is a possibility of forming a new lower high, as indicated by the recent price action near the 4HR LQZ. Rejection at 4HR LQZ: The price touched the 4HR LQZ and showed signs of rejection, pulling back slightly. Inset Chart: DXY The inset chart displays the DXY (US Dollar Index), which shows a descending pattern, potentially indicating USD weakness. This is relevant because gold often inversely correlates with the USD. Market Sentiment Bullish Signs: The breakout from the descending channel. Formation of the ascending channel with higher highs and higher lows. Bearish Signs: Rejection at the 4HR LQZ. Potential formation of a new lower high, indicating possible weakness or a reversal in the uptrend. Summary The XAUUSD chart shows a recent breakout from a descending channel and the formation of an ascending channel, suggesting a short-term bullish trend. However, the price faced rejection at the 4HR LQZ and is showing signs of forming a potential new lower high, which could indicate a reversal or consolidation phase. Monitoring key levels and market sentiment (especially USD movements) will be crucial for future price action.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Adlercon333
Gold's Next Explosive Move: Is a Massive Surge or Dramatic Drop?Major Support / Resistance Zone: This zone is marked clearly on the chart and acts as a significant level where price has previously reversed or consolidated. It's crucial to monitor how price reacts around this area. Wave Analysis: The chart shows a clear Elliott Wave structure, with a 5-wave pattern identified. Waves (1) to (5) represent the motive waves, and the correction waves are seen in between. Bearish Flag #1 and #2: These flags indicate periods of consolidation following a downward movement, suggesting potential for continuation to the downside. They are often characterized by lower highs and lower lows forming within a channel. Descending Channel: The descending channel provides a clear bearish structure, with price making lower highs and lower lows. This channel acts as a guide for potential price movement, indicating bearish sentiment as long as the price remains within this structure. Daily Bull Flag: This larger bullish flag formation suggests a longer-term bullish potential if price breaks above the flag's upper boundary. It's a key pattern to watch for potential upside. 1HR LQZ / Reversal Zone: This liquidity zone (LQZ) is marked as an area where a significant amount of orders might be present, potentially leading to reversals or significant price reactions. 4HR LQZ: Similar to the 1HR LQZ, but observed on the 4-hour timeframe, suggesting a more significant potential reversal or consolidation area. Bullish Potential: If the price breaks above the 1HR LQZ / Reversal Zone and the descending channel, there is a bullish potential up to the levels marked on the chart. The structure would need confirmation through higher highs and higher lows. Bearish Potential: If the price fails to break above the descending channel and instead moves below the 4HR LQZ, a bearish continuation is likely, potentially targeting lower support levels. Summary The chart indicates a potential for both bullish and bearish scenarios depending on how the price reacts to the identified key levels (major support/resistance zone, 1HR and 4HR LQZs, and the descending channel). Bullish scenario: Break above the 1HR LQZ and the descending channel, leading to a continuation towards higher levels. Bearish scenario: Failure to break above the descending channel and a move below the 4HR LQZ, indicating a continuation to the downside. This analysis should help in making informed trading decisions based on the observed technical patterns and key levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Adlercon333
4
Gold Hits Record Highs! Skyrocket Further or Sharp Reversal?4-Hour Time Frame Analysis: Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL): The chart displays a clear upward trend with higher highs and higher lows. This indicates a bullish market structure. Ascending Channel: The price is moving within an ascending channel, showing a steady increase in value. Key Levels: 1-Hour LQZ / Reversal: 2429.940 4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: 2391.394 Potential Take Profit (TP) Levels: TP 1: 2319.385 TP 2: 2288.085 TP 3: 2267.832 Current Price Action: The price has reached the upper boundary of the ascending channel, suggesting a potential reversal or breakout. Traders should watch for confirmation before taking action. 1-Hour Time Frame Analysis: Higher High (HH): Similar to the 4-hour chart, the 1-hour chart also shows a higher high, indicating a bullish trend continuation. Ascending Channel: The price is respecting the ascending channel, reinforcing the bullish sentiment. Key Levels: 1-Hour LQZ / Reversal: 2429.940 4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: 2391.394 Current Price Action: The price is at the top of the ascending channel. Traders should look for signs of a reversal or a breakout above this level to gauge further price movements. 15-Minute Time Frame Analysis: Ascending Channel: The 15-minute chart shows a detailed view of the ascending channel with the price closely following this structure. Key Levels: 1-Hour LQZ / Reversal: 2429.940 4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: 2391.394 Current Price Action: The price is currently at the top of the channel, suggesting a potential short-term reversal or continuation depending on the breakout direction. Summary: Bullish Trend: All three time frames show a clear bullish trend with higher highs and higher lows. Ascending Channel: The price is moving within an ascending channel on all time frames, which supports the bullish outlook. Key Reversal Zones: Pay attention to the 1-hour and 4-hour LQZ / Reversal points at 2429.940 and 2391.394 respectively. Potential Reversal: The price is currently at the upper boundary of the ascending channel on all time frames. This indicates a potential reversal if the price fails to break out. Traders should wait for confirmation before entering trades..
Editors' picks
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Adlercon333
29
Master Gold Trading in High-Volatility Zones! Unlock Risk Manag.In this video, I delve into the crucial aspects of Risk Management and share my insights on interpreting the market when it is in critical zones, just like the one displayed on our current XAUUSD chart. Here's what you can expect: Risk Management Techniques Learn the strategies I employ to manage risk effectively, ensuring that my trades are protected against sudden market moves. I will cover: Setting appropriate stop-loss levels below key support zones like the 15M LQZ. Calculating position sizes based on account equity to maintain a disciplined approach. The importance of risk-reward ratios in ensuring long-term profitability. Market Perception in Key Zones I explain my approach to analyzing the market when it is within significant liquidity zones (LQZ), as seen in the chart. This includes: Understanding price behavior around Daily LQZ (2,450.370), 4hr LQZ (2,447.909), 1hr TP/LQZ (2,419.054), and 15M LQZ (2,399.472). How these zones influence my trading decisions and help identify potential entry and exit points. Time Frame for Trade Execution Discover the time frames I focus on when executing trades in these volatile zones. I discuss: Benefits and drawbacks of different time frames. Why certain time frames, such as 15-minute, 1-hour, and 4-hour charts, are more suitable for analyzing price action and making informed trade decisions in the current market context. Trading Sessions Participation Gain insights into which trading sessions I actively participate in and why. Understanding the dynamics of different sessions (Asian, London, and New York) can significantly impact your trading strategy and execution. I will share: My preferences and how each session's characteristics influence market volatility and trading opportunities. The best times to trade gold (XAUUSD) based on historical volatility patterns. Chart Analysis Overview We analyze the current XAUUSD chart showing an ascending channel, highlighting key support and resistance levels. Key technical points include: Support Levels: Near the bottom of the ascending channel and around 2,399.472 (15M LQZ). Resistance Levels: Near the top of the ascending channel and around 2,450.370 (Daily LQZ). Price Action: Higher highs and higher lows within the ascending channel, indicating a bullish trend. A noticeable spike breaking through the channel suggests strong buying interest at lower levels. Potential Trade Setup Long Position: Consider entering near the lower boundary of the ascending channel or the 15M LQZ support level, targeting the 1hr TP/LQZ or the Daily LQZ. Stop Loss: Place below the 15M LQZ to manage risk. Key Takeaways Master the art of risk management to safeguard your trades. Learn to perceive and analyze the market effectively within key liquidity zones. Understand the importance of selecting the right time frame for trade execution. Know which trading sessions offer the best opportunities and align them with your trading strategy.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Adlercon333
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 7/10 - EOD Followup AnalysisWell, what a crazy day. Did you guys see that momentum rally carry into today's Gap Up/High pattern? Boy, sure would have hated trying to short this market trend and watching my account collapse. This video shows you why I believe the momentum behind this move may carry into and through the big data hitting tomorrow. We may see a very strong rally tomorrow after the data hits that could push the SPY price up into the $565~568+ level. For those of you capable of executing quick shorts, I think you may have an early morning opportunity with price volatility tomorrow - but I would be cautious of getting too aggressive in shorting until closer to the 15th (Monday). Thank you for all your great comments and boosts. Remember, I do this to help traders become better skilled at executing their own trades. Now, we've still got 10+ more days of my predictions to work through. So, we get to see if my research/analysis is worth anything compared to the others out there. I firmly believe most of the people pushing out research are simply pushing out click-bait. Me, I'm a little different.
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
8
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade July 9 - End Of Day FollowupToday's Momentum Rally never really showed up. Remember, I've been warning you these SPY cycle patterns are not 100% accurate all the time. They've done a fantastic job of calling the markets correctly over the past 17+ days. But, today, the Momentum Rally never really materialized. As you'll see in this video, I believe the momentum for a bullish price move was muted today because of the Fed comments and lack of data. In short, the Fed comments took the momentum away, and price struggled to find any real trend. But the momentum for a bullish price move is still there. It is inherently biased toward price. So, I believe we could see a very big (explosive) move to the upside over the next 4+ trading days. Stay patient. This is a great example of learning to wait for the best setups. If my analysis is correct, this current setup could be a very big winner. The bullish price bias may explode to the upside over the next four to five days. Get some.
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
9
Plan Your Trade 6-28 - Today Is The Big CRUSH DayThis continuation of my Plan Your Trade video series highlights the potential price rotation we'll see today with the big CRUSH pattern. Next week, I believe, will result in a substantial rally phase throughout the week of July 4th. Today's big CRUSH pattern will likely result in a fairly deep downward price move in early trading, followed by a period of basing/stalling before we may see a fairly strong rally phase/squeeze into the end of trading today. These types of price swings are fantastic for day traders and intraday swing trading. Watch the video today and prepare for next week. Overall, nothing has changed. Price is rotating into a rally phase ahead of Q2:2024 earnings. Learn how my SPY Cycle Patterns can help you plan and prepare for market direction and trends. Do you know anyone who can accurately predict price setups/trends 2 to 4 weeks into the future? Well, you are watching me do it right now. Let me know what you think in the comments. Go make some money today.
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
12
Plan Your Trade 6-26 - SPY BreakAway PatternGood Morning. This continued video series highlighting my Proprietary SPY Cycle Patterns is designed to help you understand how to prepare for, and trade expected market trends. The SPY Cycle Patterns are predictive. They represent shapes/trends of future price bars on the SPY that can help traders understand where opportunities may exist for trading. They can also help you stay away from consolidation/congestion periods. In today's video, I highlight how the current BreakAway pattern in Trending mode suggests the SPY will rally a bit today. I expect the SPY to close above 545.50-546.50 as the bullish base/support level holds today. There is a bit of downward pressure on the SPY this morning. It will be interesting to see if my expectations are accurate or not. Remember, the SPY Cycle Patterns are not 100% accurate all the time. They are only about 80-85% accurate in most cases. Big news events or outside factors can drive prices in ways that do not align with my SPY Cycle Patterns. However, these SPY Cycle Patterns are generally very accurate in terms of how to plan/prepare for trading opportunities 3 to 10+ days into the future. I hope you enjoy it. Please leave a comment and tell me if you see value in these videos or what you think.
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
Plan Your Trade 6/21 - SPY Cycle PatternsPlan your trade to prepare for future price moves using my proprietary SPY Cycle Patterns. This is a continuing video series related to my proprietary SPY Cycle Patterns. These unique patterns highlight potential price moves/trends weeks and months in advance. I wanted to highlight the next 15+ trading days on the charts and track these potential setups to see how closely my expectations translated into price moves. About 3+ days into this experiment, we should see a Top/Resistance price trend today. This is usually where the price attempts to rally upward to a peak, then rolls downward, seeking a new base/bottom. Follow my research and learn how to Plan Your Trades more efficiently.
AMEX:SPY
by BradMatheny
Learning To Plan Your Trade With SPY Cycle PatternsDid you watch my SPY Cycle Pattern video this morning? Were you aware that today was designated a Harami-Inside type of price action? This type of pattern represents a very narrow, often trendless, trading day. I warned all of you before the market opened that today would be a day to sit back and wait for the market to show us whether it wanted to trend or not. Obviously, there were some quick pullbacks and trends—but nothing very big. If you had stayed out of the market most of the day, you probably would have been happy avoiding the chop. Tomorrow is a big CRUSH pattern. These patterns are usually fairly large price range bars that often move against the 3~5 bar trend - in this case, downward. This video covers the next three weeks of trading in the SPY and shows how I read the SPY Cycle Patterns as "sentences" related to how prices will react and move (including trends and ranges) going forward. Of course, nothing is 100% perfect when predicting future price trends. But I think you'll find real value in the SPY Cycle Patterns and how they can help everyone prepare for the type of price action to expect. Plan your trade. Use all the tools required to help you make better decisions. Remember, trade only when the market provides opportunity and efficient price trends. I'll keep updating these videos for all of you over the next few weeks. Let's go make some money as the markets trend into Q2:2024 earnings.
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
How to trade Double Tops to the Short Side using 1 hour barsI always ask myself: What's my favorite chart pattern for finding high probability entries? I look at my stats, I look at my various strategies, and I always find I like one type of trade best: Trend Continuation trades using double tops for shorts and double bottoms for longs. The strategy is simple: Using 1 hour wickless bars, (I'll show you how in the video), identify a trending stock by seeing where price is clearly up or down, then identify a double top or double bottom occurring along the trend. When you have two confirmed tops or bottoms, get short or long, as the case may be. The patterns really do come in all shapes and sizes, but they are best when they occur along a resistance line, be it VWAP, a 20 EMA, or some other. They also can be confirmed by looking at your RSI chart which will indicate clearly two v bottoms for a long entry or two peaks for a shorty entry. Seeing where on the RSI chart these double patterns are forming is also instructive. Longs should show up on the RSI chart as a pair of v bottoms occuring at the bottom of the upper half of the chart, above the 50% line. Shorts should show up on the RSI chart as a pair of peaks at the top of lower half of the chart, just below the 50% line. Because you're using 1 hour bars to find entries, it naturally stands to reason that your setups will trigger at the top of the hour, when there is typically a burst of volume. If your analysis is correct, that volume burst will push your trade in the proper direction within seconds, so if you like instant gratificatrion like I do, you'll enjoy that aspect of trading this way.
CAPITALCOM:US100Education
by BlackCar
How We Use The Forecast Model PatternsThe current position of all patterns (with the exception of the Cumulus Triangles) are not set in stone. The patterns can extend across many different price and time ranges at any given point in time. The current positions are default locations determined by analyzing the historical average position were each pattern occurred across all cycles. We currently have every pattern in this default position to help us gauge where the Bitcoin price most likely will be in the future, and to compare historical price behavior to the current situation. Thanks for watching!
INDEX:BTCUSD
by TheCryptoWeatherChannel