✳️FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT LEVELS BASICS(Must Read)✳️
☸️WHAT ARE FIB RETRACEMENT LEVELS
Fibonacci retracement levels are horizontal lines that indicate the possible support and resistance levels where price could potentially reverse direction. The first thing you should know about the Fibonacci tool is that it works best when the market is trending.
The idea is to go long on a retracement at a Fibonacci support level when the market is trending UP.
And to go short on a retracement at a Fibonacci resistance level when the market is trending DOWN.
Fibonacci retracement levels are considered a predictive technical indicator since they attempt to identify where price may be in the future.
☸️FINDING FIB RETRACEMENT LEVELS
In order to find these Fibonacci retracement levels, you have to find the recent significant Swing Highs and Swings Lows.
Then, for downtrends, click on the Swing High and drag the cursor to the most recent Swing Low.
For uptrends, do the opposite. Click on the Swing Low and drag the cursor to the most recent Swing High.
☸️HOW TO USE
Once you’ve done that, you will see the following levels appear: 23.6% , 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8% and 76.4%. (The 50% one is not technically a Fib level but its still used by everyone)The idea is that the price will make a correction that will reverse at one of these levels. So all we need to do is watch the price action near these levels and look for the reversal patterns, like triple bottom, head and shoulders, narrowing wedge breakouts, etc…
Once the we see a confluence of the Fib level and the reversal pattern, we can just wait for the confirmation breakout and enter the trade on the pullback. EASY!👻
☸️WHY IT WORKS
Because of all the people who use the Fibonacci tool, those levels become self-fulfilling support and resistance levels.
If enough market participants believe that a retracement will occur near a Fibonacci retracement level and are waiting to open a position when the price reaches that level, then all those pending orders will impact the market price.
☸️IMPORANT REMINDER
One thing you should take note of is that price won’t always bounce from these levels. They should be looked at as areas of interest so as I wrote above, one can’t simply trade off these levels, but needs to employ reversal patterns with confirmation to increase the probability rate of one’s calls.
💹Thank you for reading, please Like and Comment to support me☺️
Dear followers, let me know, what topic interests you for new educational posts?
W-patterns
⭕️WHAT IS A FALSE BREAKOUT❓
⭕️False-breakouts are exactly what they sound like: a breakout that failed to continue beyond a level, resulting in a ‘false’ breakout of that level. False breakout patterns are one of the most important price action trading patterns to learn, because a false-break is often a very strong clue that price might be changing direction or that a trend might be resuming soon.
⭕️A false-break of a level can be thought of as a ‘deception’ by the market, because it looks like price will breakout but then it quickly reverses, deceiving all those who took the ‘bait’ of the breakout. It’s often the case that amateurs will enter what looks like an ‘obvious’ breakout and then the professional’s will push the market back the other way
⭕️A false breakout is essentially a ‘contrarian’ move in the market that ‘flushes’ out those traders who may have entered on emotion, rather than logic and forward thinking.
⭕️Generally speaking, a false-breakout happens because amateur traders or those with ‘weak hands’ in the market will tend to enter the market only when it ‘feels safe’ to do so. This means, they tend to enter when a market is already quite extended in one direction (and it’s about ready to retrace) or they try to ‘predict’ a breakout from a key support or resistance level too early. Professional traders watch for these missteps by the amateurs, and the end result is a very good entry for them with a tight stop loss and huge risk reward potential.
⭕️It takes discipline and a bit of ‘gut feel’ to know when a false-break is likely to occur, and you can never really know ‘for sure’ until after one has formed. The important thing, is to know what they look like and how to trade them.
🛑Which we will discuss in the next article, If you like this one❗️
Dear followers, let me know, what topic interests you for new educational posts?
HOW TO USE RSI⁉️
✳️What is the RSI Indicator
What is the RSI Indicator? The relative strength index is a market indicator that signals when the asset is over-bought or over-sold. This is a momentum-following indicator that measures how fast the price is moving and changing. The RSI uses different types of averages, but its primary purpose is to show whether a trend is strong or weak within a series of prices.
In general, a strong trend is indicated by values close to 100 while a bearish trend is often indicated by a value near 0.
✳️RSI Indicator Settings
The RSI has the standard setting. When you activate the indicator in any platform the defualt setting are 3 values. They are 6, 14 and 24. These are averages. The 30 and 70 value lines are calculated based on the lower and upper values and the middle lines is the oscillar which is a 14 period average. When the 14 period oscillator is above the 24 period is overbought and when the 14 period is below the 6 period is oversold.
✳️Opening Positions on RSI Signals
The main signal the RSI oscillator generates allows defining overbought and oversold price ranges. Although it is frequently used as a filter in systems where the main indicator is a trend one, it might be possible to try trading using RSI signals only. When indicator’s line goes above the level 70 or below the level 30, it signals that market is overbought/oversold, and it is necessary to wait for the next signal confirming a trend reversal.
✳️RSI Trendlines
Contrary to popular belief, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a leading indicator. This quality can be observed by using trendlines on the RSI chart and trading its break. When the RSI is rising, an upward trendline is drawn by connecting two or more lows and projecting the line into the future. Similarly, when the RSI is falling, a downward trendline is drawn by connecting two or more highs and projecting the line into the future. A break of an RSI trendline precedes an actual price reversal or continuation in the market. For instance, if the asset price breaks above a downward trendline, it is a signal that the price is about to edge upwards, either as a continuation of an uptrend or as a reversal of an existing downtrend in the market.
✳️RSI and Chart Patterns
The Relative Strength Index is one of the best technical indicators to complement raw price action signals delivered by candlestick patterns or line chart patterns. For instance, when a bullish candlestick, such as a pin bar, or a price chart pattern, such as a double bottom, occurs in a downtrend, a buy position can be opened when the RSI displays a reading of below 30 to imply oversold conditions.
✳️RSI Divergence
The Relative Strength Index also delivers divergence signals that could be a viable trading opportunity. A divergence occurs when the asset price and RSI do not move in the same direction. A positive (bullish) divergence occurs when the price is drifting lower, but the RSI is edging higher. This is a signal that the price may be heading towards a bottom and an upward reversal is about to happen. On the other hand, a negative (bearish) divergence occurs when the price is drifting higher, but the RSI is going lower. This is a signal that price may be heading towards a top and a downward reversal is about to happen.
✳️RSI and RVI
Both the RSI and the RVI(Relative Vigor Index) are oscillators, but their different qualities can help traders to pick out high-quality RSI trading opportunities in the market. Whereas the RSI focuses on price extremes (high and low), the computation of RVI seeks to relate closing prices to open prices. This means that the RVI has both positive and negative numbers, with the centreline being 0. The RVI gives information on the strength of price movement, with positive values indicating increasing momentum, whereas negative values denote decreasing momentum. The RSI is the best indicator to complement or qualify the signals delivered by the RVI, especially in trending markets. For instance, if the market is in an uptrend and the RVI delivers a bearish divergence signal (prices go higher whereas RVI goes lower). In this case, a retracement or a trend reversal will be confirmed if the RSI reading is above 70, which implies overbought trading conditions.
✳️Here is the list, though now at all exhausting of the ways to use RSI in your trading. I will add that I use it myself, even though you don’t see it on my charts for aesthetic reasons.
I hope you liked my article, so please like and comment bros, so that more people could see it!👍
See ya next time♻️
❗️THE BIGGEST LIE ABOUT RISK REWARD RATIO❗️
What is risk-reward ratio — and the biggest lie you’ve been told:
📚The risk-reward ratio (or risk return ratio) measures how much your potential reward (or return) is, for every dollar you risk.
📚For example:
If you have a risk-reward ratio of 1:3, it means you’re risking $1 to potentially make $3. If you have a risk-reward ratio of 1:5, it means you’re risking $1 to potentially make $5. You get my point.
⚠️Now, here’s the biggest lie you’ve been told about the risk reward ratio:
“You need a minimum of 1:2 risk reward ratio.”
This statement is incorrect! Because the risk-reward ratio is meaningless on its own.
📚Here’s an example:
Let’s say you have a risk reward ratio of 1:2 (for every trade you win, you make $2).
But, your winning rate is 20%. So out of 10 trades, you have 8 losing trades and 2 winners.
Let’s do the math…
Total Loss = $1 * 8 = -$8
Total Gain = $2 * 2 = $4
Net loss = -$4
By now I hope you understand the risk reward ratio by itself is a meaningless metric. Instead, you must combine your risk-reward ratio with your winning rate to know whether you’ll make money in the long run (otherwise known as your expectancy).
📍THEREFORE:
The key to success is the combination of the RR and Win Rate in such a fashion that yields a positive return.
📙Example:
🔘If your RR is 1:1 then you start making money with 51% win rate and above.
🔘If your RR is 1:1,5 then you start making money with 41% Win rate and above.
🔘If your RR is 1:2 then you start making money with 34% win rate and above.
🔴The higher the RR the lower is the breakeven Win Rate!
Hope You get the idea, guys.
Thanks for your time, see you in the next article😉
🟢PRICE ACTION SECRETS
🔴Multi-candle patterns are more reliable
The more candles a specific pattern contains, the more reliable it usually is. 3 candle patterns are better than single candle patterns. 30 candle patterns are usually better than 3 candle patterns. Patterns like head and shoulders, double and triple tops are among my favorites, exactly because of this reason. They consistently result in higher probability trades, which is what we’re all after. It doesn’t mean that a good pin bar setup won’t work, it just means there’s a higher probability of having these multi-candle setups resulting in a winning trade.
🟠Know where to place your stop loss
Knowing where to place an order is just the beginning. Where do you place your stop loss? Fixed pips stop loss levels are hardly a good approach since the market volatility can change and every trade should be looked at within the context of the recent market history.
🟢Always look for confluence
This is absolutely one of the most important secrets you have to know about. Confluence is everything.
So you’ve found a sweet price action setup. Great! Now make sure it has confluence, meaning that it coincides with other valid signals that support your trading idea.
🔵Tell a story of what happened
Every chart tells a story. It might be a story of clear direction or a story of messy back-and-forth battling between buyers and sellers. In a similar way, we can talk about clean price action vs messy price action. It is up to the trader to find the story and better understand what the market might do.
🟣Context is everything
Depending on where a price action setup occurs, you should interpret it differently. The same pin bar could be bullish or bearish, depending on if they show up at the bottom of a downtrend or top of an uptrend, respectively. Not all patterns are also worth taking if they are not preceded by the right price action and happen at the levels that are in one way or the other of significance.
🟤Identify key support & resistance zones
Support and resistance (or S&R for short) are terms used to denote areas where price reverses at its lowest point (support) and the highest point (resistance) on a chart. Often, these zones are “tested” multiple times as traders look for an increased buyer and seller activity around these levels. It’s important to note that support and resistance are usually not thin lines, but rather zones.
🔴The Bottom Line
The price action strategy is one of the most powerful tools for extracting money from the markets with predictability and manageable risks, but only if used correctly.
Thank you!
Please give a Thumbs UP and Leave Comment👍🏻
REVERSAL AND CONTINUATION PATTERNS ⚡️Chart patterns are visual representations of price action. Chart patterns can show trading ranges, swings, trends, and reversals in price action. The signal for buying and selling a chart pattern is usually a trend line breakout in one direction showing support or resistance is overcome at a key level. Stop losses are usually set on retracement back inside the previous range and profit targets are usually set based on the magnitude of the previous move leading into the pattern.
Many people think of chart patterns as bullish or bearish but there are really three main types of chart pattern groups: reversal chart patterns, continuation chart patterns, and bilateral chart patterns. Understanding the differences is important for traders to understand the path of least resistance on a specific chart based on the primary sentiment of the buyers and sellers price action.
Well in this article we will discuss the Reversal chart patterns and the Continuation chart patterns.
Reversal chart patterns
Reversal patterns happen when a chart has a strong break from its current trend and its momentum reverses course. These patterns show that a trend is coming to an end and the price action is moving in a new direction away from the previous range or direction. These patterns go from bullish to bearish or bearish to bullish. They can take longer to develop than other types of chart patterns.
Now I'll show you how the 3 Bullish and Bearish patterns shown in the picture in this Education post.
Double TOP and BOTTOM:
Well for this first pair of patterns, I have already made a very nice and detailed explanation here in Tradingview, follow the link :)
Click Below in the picture.
Head & Shoulder and Reversal H&S
A head and shoulders pattern used in technical analysis is a specific chart formation that predicts a bullish-to-bearish trend reversal. The pattern appears as a baseline with three peaks, where the outside two are close in height, and the middle is the highest.
The head and shoulders pattern forms when a stock's price rises to a peak and then declines back to the base of the prior up-move. Then, the price rises above the previous peak to form the "head" and then declines back to the original base. Finally, the stock price peaks again at about the level of the first peak of the formation before falling back down.
The head and shoulders pattern is considered one of the most reliable trend reversal patterns. It is one of several top patterns that signal, with varying degrees of accuracy, that an upward trend is nearing its end and vice versa.
and Viceversa the reversal will look like this
Reversal Rising Wedge and Falling Wedge
A wedge pattern can signal either bullish or bearish price reversals. In either case, this pattern holds three common characteristics: first, the converging trend lines; second, a pattern of declining volume as the price progresses through the pattern; third, a breakout from one of the trend lines. The two forms of the wedge pattern are a rising wedge (which signals a bearish reversal) and a falling wedge (which signals a bullish reversal).
Rising Wedge
This usually occurs when a security’s price has been rising over time, but it can also occur in the midst of a downward trend as well.
Falling Wedge
Continuation chart patterns
Continuation patterns signal that the current trend is still in place and it’s about to resume going in the same direction after a trading range has formed. These types of patterns usually form consolidations in price action to let buyers and sellers work through supply and demand before moving higher or lower like the previous trend leading into the range. These are the most popular classic bearish and bullish chart patterns.
Continuation Falling Wedge
The falling wedge pattern is a continuation pattern formed when the price bounces between two downward-sloping, converging trendlines. It will follow the impulse trend, so a Bullish trend will continue in the uptrend and Vice-versa for il downtrend.
And Vice versa the Rising Wedge
The Bullish and the Bearish Rectangle
A rectangle is a pattern that occurs on price charts. A rectangle is formed when the price reaches the same horizontal support and resistance levels multiple times. The price is confined to moving between the two horizontal levels, creating a rectangle.
Bullish Rectangle
Bearish Rectangle:
Bullish and Bearish Pennant
In technical analysis, a pennant is a type of continuation pattern formed when there is a large movement in a security, known as the flagpole, followed by a consolidation period with converging trend lines "the pennant" followed by a breakout movement in the same direction as the initial large movement, which represents the second half of the flagpole.
Some examples:
Hope this post will help you to understand the difference between some examples of the most common reversal and continuation patterns.
What is the Triple Top Pattern❓
🟢What is the Triple Top Pattern?
A triple top chart pattern is a bearish reversal chart pattern that is formed after an uptrend.
This pattern is formed with three peaks above a support level/neckline.
The first peak is formed after a strong uptrend and then retrace back to the neckline.
The formation of this pattern is completed when the prices move back to the neckline after forming the third peak.
When the prices break through the neckline or the support level after forming three peaks then the bearish trend reversal is confirmed.
🟢Trading the Triple Top
There are some rules when trading the Triple Top chart pattern.
✔️Firstly one should identify the market phase whether it is in uptrend or downtrend. As the triple top is formed at the end of an uptrend, the prior trend should be an uptrend.
✔️Traders should spot if three rounding tops are forming.
✔️Traders should only enter the short position when the price breaks out from the support level or the neckline.
🟢Stop Loss
In the case of a Triple Top chart pattern, the stop loss should be placed at the third top of the pattern.
🟢Price Target
The price target should be equal to the distance between the neckline and the tops, also taking into the account the key levels below.
Thank you for reading!
Please give a Thumbs UP and Leave Comment👍🏻
BULL & BEAR FLAG PATTERNSBULL FLAG
This pattern occurs in an uptrend to confirm further movement up. The continuation of the movement up can be measured by the size of the of pole.
BEAR FLAG
This pattern occurs in a downtrend to confirm further movement down. The continuation of the movement down can be measured by the size of the pole.
Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us,
GoldViewFx
XAUUSD TOP AUTHOR
How To Analyze Any Chart From Scratch - Episode 11Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, as known as theSignalyst.
Today we are going to go over a practical example on GBPAUD, but you can apply the same logic / strategy on any instrument.
Feel free to ask questions or request any instrument for the next episode.
You can find the previous episodes below "Related Ideas"
Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
📊Why do the trading patterns work?Hi friends! Probably all traders began their career by learning the trading patterns.
A trading pattern is a price movement pattern in a certain range. Generally there are 2 types of patterns: candlesticks (shooting star, hammer, bullish or bearish engulfing) and figures (triangles, channels, flags, head and shoulders, etc.). The number of them is constantly increasing, through the change of market, but there are up to 50 main patterns.
📊So why do the trading patterns work?
The answer is very simple - because many traders use them in trading. Imagine a traffic light with a red light🔴 According to the rules all drivers who have the same signal stand waiting for a green light✅ Here, it lights up and allows all cars to move in the right direction. It's a clear rule, not only in your country, but in all the countries in the world. The situation is the same with trading patterns.
Let's imagine that a chart is a road, and a pattern is a light. The price rises or falls and a pattern is formed. You have determined that it is a bullish pattern, such as a bullish wedge. Of course, you are waiting for the wedge to move to the upper boundary and break it up, that will be a signal to open a trade (green signal to move✅). At the same time, all the drivers (read as "traders") begin buying with you and pushing the price higher and higher.
Why do traders do this? As I said in the beginning, patterns, like the rules of the road, are learned by all traders, regardless of nationality, this is the general rule, that is why these patterns work.
📊In what cases do they not work?
As you know, most people in the market can't be right. Conventionally, if everyone opened a long and bought Bitcoins at $50,000 and the price went up to $100,000, then someone should have bought those Bitcoins from you for 100% more. If everyone held a long, there would be no one to sell and no one would make a profit in the end. That's why there are always 2 sides in trading: buyers and sellers.
With the increasing popularity of patterns, most traders and especially beginners who first study patterns began to open trades according to these rules and .... took a loss. Patterns work especially badly on the cryptocurrency market, which shows how young this market is. But why? All because most cannot be right when trading patterns, otherwise no one would make money.
📊What should I do if I trade only paterns?
I would recommend adding more rules to your trading strategy. These can be different trading tools, filters which will help you to remove "fake" signals and increase win rate. For example, trade not the triangle pattern, but its false breakout using a volume indicator:
1️⃣A false breakout in most cases shows that the price will not go in the direction of the breakout, as there are too many willing to open a trade in the direction of the price movement.
2️⃣The volume indicator will show the actual number of buy and sell orders. If the volume at a false breakdown of the lower boundary of the triangle has increased - this tells us that the price is more likely not to move down, as there is serious support there.
This is the simplest example. You can also use indicators, additional trend lines, candlestick or fundamental analysis.
💻Friends, press the "like"👍 button, write comments and share with your friends - it will be the best THANK YOU.
Hartley PatternsHello everyone
Today we will talk about another method of analysis that will help you bring significant profits.
Let's go!
Introduction
H.M. Hartley in 1935 in the book "Profit on the stock market" for the first time revealed Hartley's patterns. Gatli patterns are used in technical analysis and are based on Fibonacci values. The patterns are reversal patterns and have clear rules and an excellent profit-to-risk ratio.
Hartley patterns work better than most well-known graphic formations, which also use different Fibonacci levels, but not as clearly as in Hartley patterns.
Designations
Hartley decided to designate waves with 5 letters for simplicity:
The letter X - is the beginning of the trend;
The letter A - is the end of the trend;
The letter B - is the first pullback of the trend;
The letter C - is a rollback correction (not breaking through the level of point A);
The letter D - is the target of the letter C.
The zones for the letters B, C, D are determined using the Fibonacci ratio between XA and AB.
Patterns are divided into types and have their own names, in addition, patterns work for any direction of the market.
Let's take a closer look at the patterns.
Bat
Pattern formation: the price reaches the maximum/minimum of the XA wave and forms a point B at the Fibonacci correction level from 38.2 to 50%. Using the XA points, you can find the value of the D point, which usually tends to the Fibonacci retracement level of 88.6% relative to XA.
In this case, CD is most often longer than the segment AB.
Butterfly
When wave B finishes its formation at the Fibonacci retracement level of 78.68%, they talk about the formation of a Butterfly pattern. At the same time, the target for wave D will be values beyond XA and will be 1.27-1.618 XA.
Crab
This pattern is formed when the price touches and bounces off the maximum/minimum of the XA oscillation and forms a point B at the Fibonacci correction level from 38.2-61.8%. The goal of point D is outside the original segment XA and is 1,618 XA
Simplifying pattern identification
With careful study of patterns, it can be noticed that the formation of patterns depends on the location of wave B in relation to XA. Apart from the drivers and 5-0 patterns, there is an easier way to identify the remaining patterns.
Let's divide the values of wave B by Fibonacci levels.
1) 38.2%: Bat, crab
2) 50%: Bat, crab
3) 61.8%: Bat, crab, AB = CD
4) 78.6%: Butterfly
5) 88.6%: Deep crab.
If you see one of these values, you can understand which pattern is being formed. For example, if you see on the chart that the price reaches the level of 50%, then you can expect a Bat or crab figure.
To calculate where the point C will be, you can use Fibonacci levels relative to the point AB: on 38,2%, 50%, 61,8%, 78,6 % and 88.6%.
Now let's define goal D.
1) Bat: 88.6% Fibo HA or 2,618 BC
2) Alternative Bat: 113% Fibo XA (below X) OR 2.0 BC
3) Crab: 161.8% Fibo (below X) OR 3.14 BC
4) Hartley: 78.6% Fibo HA or 1.27 BC
5) Butterfly: 161.8% Fibo (below X) OR 1.618 BC
6) Deep Crab: 161.8% Fibo (below X) OR 2,618 BC.
How to trade?
It is necessary to open a position at the level, on a confirmation signal or on an impulse breakdown, using pending orders at Fibo levels.
Confirmation – in this case, you should wait for the reversal candlestick pattern at the Fibonacci level. Breakdown – in this case, the price bounces off the Fibonacci level and breaks through the trend line in the expected direction.
It is worth paying attention to the following clarifications: trading on wave B goes in the direction of the trend, but with a limited purpose (on the letter C). Wave C trading is counter-trend trading, but with a good profit-to-risk ratio (with a goal on the letter D). Trading on the letter D can be considered as trading in the direction of the trend (very close to the support and resistance levels) and also with a good profit-to-risk ratio (the target can be the top in an uptrend, the bottom in a downtrend or any Fibonacci level of the CD segment).
These patterns are quite common, and the success rate is quite high.
Use the patterns correctly and they will bring you a lot of profit.
Good luck!
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
How To : Chart Formations Critical Second Top & Bottom Entry Hi Traders and Investors
This video is a follow up from my previous posting dealing with shifts of momentum.
This time we are looking to add an additional synergy - the second touch in a chart formation - which can be found in Double Tops, Double Bottoms and head shoulder formations. Correctly using the second touch on the chart formations has allowed me to avoid many mistakes in my evaluating my trades and I hope that it will help you in evaluating your trades.
When you look at the Double Top and Double Bottom chart formations, you will notice that high frequency trading and algorithms trading will often create the formation of a second top to the same level as the first top or slightly higher by taking stops pilling at the first top . At this point, you want to wait for the synergies to come into play and use your tools to look for a shift in momentum on the 2nd top touch see video.
Waiting for the shift in momentum to occurs after the second touch, is a critical piece of of information that will prevent you from taking trades that are likely to be stopped out on the first test.
Hope it helps have a great week end
Marc
Two Types of Elliot Wave CorrectionsWhen it comes to Elliot Wave Theory, we know of two different correction patterns .
On the left you can see the classic correction, which is less common in real market situations. On the other hand, the flat correction (right) occurs more frequently in the market, since modern price action is often characterized by fakeouts . In this case, a fakeout looks like a wave B making a new high above wave A. In most cases, traders would open a trade here due to a structural break, which then runs against them (bull or bear trap).
In the following table you can see how the respective correction patterns differ from each other and what you need to pay attention to.
It is very important that you learn how to use Fibonacci tools correctly so that you can calculate the wavelength properly. Maybe I'll do a separate educational post on the proper use of those tools in future.
Thank you very much for your attention,
Your RT
ABSORPTION MODELHello everyone!
Today I want to share with you a very strong pattern that I use myself and that you can find on any chart.
When used correctly, this pattern is able to suggest the best entry point and possible reversal, which potentially promises you good profits.
Identification
The engulfing pattern looks like two candles, the first of which is small, and the second is large and its body will be larger than that of the first, and the candle is directed in the opposite direction.
The logic of this model is simple - there is no more strength left in the market to push the price - the first candle, after which a large one is formed and uses weakness to push the market in the opposite direction.
A couple of important conditions:
There must be a trend before the pattern.
The second candle should be large and have the opposite direction.
In addition, the first candle should close almost without a shadow, that is, at its maximum.
Trading in a flat can bring a lot of losses, since a lot of false signals appear in such a market.
Trade
The entry into the market is made after the level of the first candle is broken - that is, the market has swallowed the candle and goes in the opposite direction.
The stop loss is placed beyond the high of the first candle.
Take profit . There are several ways to set a take profit.
You can set it at a ratio of 3:1 or more to your stop loss.
Another way is to set a take profit in the area of the next level. This method can bring more profit, while it is worth remembering that the market may not reach the level.
Timeframes
The choice of timeframe depends on your trading style, as this pattern occurs on all timeframes.
But it should be understood that the lower the timeframe, the worse the figure will be worked out.
The ideal time frame for trading is 4 hours.
You can choose the one that suits you.
Conclusions
This pattern, like all the others, provides a guide for trading, but this does not mean that the market will definitely go in the direction you need.
When analyzing, it is worth analyzing the whole picture, do not rely on only one pattern, use indicators.
When trading from the level, this model will be worked out more often.
Use patterns correctly.
Good luck!
TRIPLE TOPHello everyone
Today I want to share with you a figure of technical analysis called the TRIPLE TOP.
This figure occurs quite often and brings excellent profit.
What does it look like?
The figure looks like three maxima, approximately at the same level.
These peaks are formed because the buyers' forces are drying up and with each new peak, the bears are getting stronger.
Very often, the third peak will be higher than the previous two - this is the last gasp of buyers, before capitulation.
How to trade?
The main criterion is the formation of three peaks, after a strong uptrend.
After that, the price makes the last spurt (the third peak) and breaks through the support.
This breakout is the first possible entry point .
Often you will observe how the price makes a retest of the level, after which it turns down.
The second possible entry point will be this retest of the level.
To calculate the potential profit point , you need to measure the height from the minimum to the maximum of the vertices.
This value, plotted below the breakout, will be a potential profit point.
The stop loss is set above the maximum of the vertices.
Conclusion
The figure is very profitable and often found.
In addition, you can find a triple bottom on the chart, which trades in the same way as a triple top, only in the opposite direction.
Very often, after a triple top, a strong downtrend begins and holding a part of the position can bring big profits.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩
FLAG and PENNANTHello everyone!
I want to tell you a little about such figures as Flag and Pennant.
These patterns are quite common on the chart, so every trader should know how to trade them.
What does the flag look like?
After a strong movement (flagpole), the price begins to correct in the form of a rectangle, which corrects against the previous trend (flag).
What does a pennant look like?
Just like a flag, a pennant appears after a strong trend.
After that, the correction begins in the form of a narrowing triangle.
How to trade the flag?
A bullish flag is a flag that has formed after a strong upward movement.
The entry point for a bullish flag will be a breakout and anchoring the resistance of the rectangle (flag).
The stop is placed at the low of the flag.
To calculate a possible profit target, it is worth measuring the flagpole of the flag - this value superimposed above the breakout will be the target for your profit.
How to trade a pennant?
A bullish pennant forms after a strong bullish move.
To find an entry point, you need to wait until the resistance of the triangle is broken and the price fixes above the level.
Stop loss is usually placed below the nearest minimum.
To get an approximate profit target, you need to measure the length of the bullish move in front of the triangle - this value will be your target above the break.
Conclusion
These patterns are very common and give an excellent risk / reward ratio, usually greater than 1: 3.
With correct trading, the profit value will be even higher.
Do not forget that these shapes are continuation shapes.
And don't forget to set your stop loss.
Good luck to you!
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩
HEAD AND SHOULDERSThere is probably no more famous figure than the HEAD AND SHOULDERS.
Head and shoulders - gives a very profitable signal about the market reversal.
Thanks to this figure, you will be able to open a position at the beginning of a new trend.
What does it look like?
The appearance of the Head and shoulders figure consists of five stages:
1. Uptrend;
2. Left shoulder;
3. Head;
4. Right shoulder;
5. Neck line.
First, we need to find an uptrend on which the left shoulder will form.
After that, the price makes the last rise, forming a head, after which the fall begins.
The right shoulder appears on a downward movement, and the neck line can be drawn after the formation of the right shoulder.
How to trade?
The entry point is the breaking of the neck line.
It is at this moment that the signal of the figure is confirmed.
Some traders are in a hurry and open positions at the peak of the right shoulder, which is very dangerous.
Always wait for the confirmation of the figure.
Don't worry if you missed the first entry point, there is always an opportunity to open a position after the neck line retest.
What about setting a stop loss?
Stop loss is usually placed above the right shoulder.
If the price went above the right shoulder, then the figure did not work, and it's time to exit the deal.
Where will the profit target be?
To calculate possible targets, the following method is used.
It is necessary to measure the distance from the neck line to the maximum of the head, the resulting value is imposed below the penetration of the neck line, after the right shoulder, this will be your goal.
Conclusions
The Head and shoulders figure can bring you a lot of profit when trading correctly.
It is worth noting that there is an inverted head and shoulders figure - and this figure signals a reversal and the imminent beginning of a bullish trend.
The rules of trading are the same as when trading Head and shoulders, but only in a different direction.
Trade using not only your shoulders, but also your head !
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩
Ascending & Descending Triangle Triangles are very often found on the chart, but not everyone knows how to trade them.
Today we will try to learn how to trade triangles correctly.
What does it look like?
The ascending and descending triangle have two sides: one side is flat and horizontal, the second is inclined and moves towards the first.
The ascending triangle has an upper flat horizontal side, and the lower one is inclined.
When you see this figure, you have to wait for a bullish movement.
The descending triangle is a mirror image of the ascending triangle.
With a descending triangle, there is a flat lower line and an upper inclined one, which moves in the direction of a flat one.
If you see this pattern, expect a bearish breakout.
Opening a position
There are three techniques for opening a position:
1. Stop order at the level.
2. Fixing the level.
3. Retest of the triangle trend line.
Each method is good in its own way, but the logic is the same everywhere – a breakthrough of a flat line and further movement towards a breakthrough.
Therefore, if the price starts moving against the breakout, most likely the figure did not work, and in order not to lose money in such situations, set a stop loss.
Stop Loss
You need to set a stop loss in a place where it will be clear for sure that the figure did not work.
Usually this point is located behind the inclined line of the triangle.
Profit taking
There are two ways to fix profits:
1. Trailing stop.
2. Graphical projection of the price.
The trailing stop is set according to your trading strategy and there shouldn't be many questions if you have a strategy.
It is easy to calculate the fixation point from the graphical projection: it is enough to measure the width of the base of the triangle and put the resulting value below the punched flat line – this will be your goal.
Conclusion
These figures are quite common, so it is important to know how to trade them.
Do not forget that nothing works in the market 100% of the time, so set a stop loss.
Good luck!!
Seasonal Futures Trading Patterns S&P 500 Hey traders today I wanted to go over what I believe are the best Seasonal Futures and Forex trades during the year. There are many markets that have seasonal patterns. Such as Forex, Stocks, Futures, and Commodities. Knowing the best time to trade to look for these Seasonal Futures and Forex opportunities will help you in your trading. This series on Seasonal Futures and Forex will be ongoing with several videos. The first video will be about the S&P 500 futures and how to trade them seasonally.
Enjoy!
Trade Well,
Clifford