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FALSE BREAKOUTS | SPOT/AVOID/TRADE THEM LIKE PRO📈📉 FALSE BREAKOUTS | SPOT/AVOID/TRADE THEM LIKE PRO📈📉 How often have you opened a key level breakout trade, and then the price turned against you? False breakout happens quite often and it is a problem for many traders who buy at highs and sell at lows. ❗️Breakout trading is a fairly popular and viable trading strategy. However, some breakouts often turn out to be false. This can be quite frustrating, not to mention that it can often lead to a losing trade. However, in many cases, an experienced trader can analyze the market situation and react to it accordingly. False breakouts can make a profit if you know how to trade them correctly. ⚠️A false breakdown is a situation when the price violates an obvious level, but then suddenly changes direction. When the initial breakout of the level occurs, many traders open a trade in the direction of the breakdown. These traders are trapped when the price reverses, which triggers a series of stop losses. New traders are also entering the market, and this puts additional pressure on the price. This often turns the price into a new trend, the opposite of the initial breakout. A breakout that turns out to be false is a sign of strength in a downtrend or weakness in an uptrend. As you can see, a false breakout can easily cause significant losses for any trader. Some traders develop their entire strategy around trading false breakouts, as this can be a very powerful trading approach. Some of the best trades happen when market players fall into a trap and their stops start to work. ✅How to find patterns of false breakouts? 🟢If you do not learn how to correctly identify false breakouts, you will not be able to trade them profitably. For example, there will be situations when the price returns to the breakout point, and only then continues its movement. 🟢One of the ways to detect false breakouts is to monitor the volume. Real breakouts are usually accompanied by strong indications of trading volume at the time of the breakout. When this volume is absent, there is a higher probability that the breakout will not happen. 🟢Thus, if the trading volume is low or it decreases during the breakout, a false breakout is likely to occur. In contrast, if the volume is large or it increases, a real breakdown is likely. 🟢It is also useful to monitor not only the trading volume but also the price movement on the lower timeframe. In many cases, you will see that the price makes a very sharp pullback on the lower timeframe, which is not visible on the higher timeframe. ✅False Breakout Trap 🔴After all, many trading textbooks say that a breakout can be considered confirmed when a candle closes above the resistance level. However, the price moves in your direction for a while and then turns 180 degrees. As a result, you have a stop loss triggered. 🔴The false breakout trap includes several candlesticks, usually 1-4, that go beyond the key support or resistance level. Such breakouts occur after a strong movement, as the market has reached an important level, but the price momentum still retains its strength. Have you ever been trapped by a false breakout?
BITFINEX:BTCUSDEducation
by TopTradingSignals
8
How to trade levels? How to play price? How I made 30x in 2 yrs!In this video: I draw out a hypothetical initial investment. I should how you can multiply your net profit by trading out and back in along the way to your final projected target. This video is all about trading levels, a strategy I have developed from years of experience that has helped my to multiply my crypto profits exponentially. I have 30x'ed my initial cash reserves over the period of 2 years. I think you can too. I am going to show you how I did this.
COINBASE:UMAUSDEducation
by stewdamus
4
PRICE ACTION TRADING | RISING WEDGE PATTERN 🔰 Hey traders, Rising wedge pattern is one of the most accurate price action patterns. Being relatively simple to recognize, it is applied in various trading strategies. ⭐️The pattern itself signifies the exhaustion of bulls. Even though the asset keeps growing in value, the price action legs contract forming a narrowing channel. Being stuck between two contracting trend lines, one serving as support and one serving as resistance, the price forms a wedge pattern. 🔔The trigger that we are looking for to sell the market is a bearish breakout of the support of the wedge (candle close below). To not be caught by a false breakout, it is highly recommendable to wait for a bearish violation of the last higher low level as well. Only then the wedge breakout is confirmed. ⚡️Trading the market aggressively, one opens a short position on spot just after the candle closes. ⚡️The conservative trader will wait for a retest of the broken support of the wedge though for a safer entry. ✔️Safest stop will lie strictly above the highest wick within the wedge. ✔️Initial target will be based on the closest key structure support. Learn to recognize this pattern and be disciplined to wait for its confirmed breakout. Only then a high trading performance will be achieved. What price action pattern do you want to learn in the next post? ❤️Please, support this idea with like and comment!❤️
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COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
122
price action patterns you need to know ( part 3 ) hi my friends , i'll share with you some patterns which can help you in trading and make it easy . we find double bottom in downtrend and this pattern mean that price will change to the opposite direction ( long ) and we can use the line as a confirmation . double top appear in uptrend as signal of price change ( short ) and we can use the line as a confirmation . note : both of them ar reversal patterns please support me with like and follow me for more ideas .
Education
by Diamond_Chart
Education excerpt: Classic Chart FormationsIntroduction The part of technical analysis studies chart patterns. Rationale behind this practice is that chart patterns have fractal nature which represents ability of a trend to act similarly over different time periods. Chart patterns are basically configuration of price that is bounded above and below. Boundaries are commonly derived either from a line or a curve. Lines, for example, can be represented by simple horizontal lines or trend lines. Curve, on the other hand, is rather reminiscent of an arc or a bow in its shape. Boundaries in chart patterns can often act as support or resistance. All chart patterns have their development stages. There is first stage which describes the trend preceding the formation and then there is second stage which usually triggers the signal for action. In the first stage of pattern formation analyst merely observes price action and waits for signal to be triggered. This stage can also be called setup. The second stage then begins with signal being triggered. Trigger can, for example, come in a form of a crossover (by indicator, price, etc.) or breakout. In this stage analyst takes action and either enters or exits the market. Entry can be placed from above or from below. Similarly, exit can be downward or upward. The variables of entries and exits are statistically important because some combinations of entries and exits tend to produce better results than other combinations of entries and exits. The chart patterns can be subdivided in two groups: continuation patterns and reversal patterns. Continuation patterns are associated with continuation of trend that was present prior to the formation of a continuation pattern. On the other hand, reversal patterns are associated with reversal of trend that was in place prior to the formation of a reversal pattern. Double Top and Double Bottom Double top and double bottom formation is very simple pattern that is well known to many professional and retail traders. It consists of three reversal points. For double top these reversal points are: two peaks and one trough. Opposite to that, for double bottom formation reversal points are: two troughs and one peak. Price enters double top formation from below and double bottom formation from above. Peaks in double top and troughs in double bottom should not be apart from each other’s price level more than 5%. Double top and double bottom normally forms over two to six weeks. If formation takes longer then it starts becoming less reliable. Double top is valid only when point separating two peaks was penetrated. Similarly, double bottom is valid only when point isolating two troughs was penetrated. Illustration 1.01 Picture above depicts graph of General Motors stock on daily timeframe. It is observable that price touched resistance line twice before reversing to the downside. Rectangle Rectangle is simple pattern that is bound by two horizontal lines that are parallel to each other. These lines acting as boundaries are called: support and resistance. Each boundary must also be a trend line. That means it must touch approximately same price reversal level at least twice. This particular requirement is what separates it from a double bottom or a double top formation. Price tends to oscillate between two bounds in the rectangle pattern. Then trigger comes in a form of breakout above resistance or below support. Illustration 1.02 Picture above depicts graph of Pepsico stock on daily timeframe. It is observable that price action is sideways in this example. Price oscillates between resistance and support lines with occasional false breakouts below support. Triple Top and Triple Bottom The triple top and bottom pattern is bounded by horizontal line similarly like double top and bottom formation. However, this pattern differs from double formation in that it has three touches to the support or resistance line instead of just two touches. Triple top and bottom tends to occur with lower frequency in comparison to the rectangle and double formation. In triple top each peak should be roughly at the same level and each peak should have similar shape. Confirmation for triple top comes once troughs are penetrated to the upside. Triple bottom is basically mirror image of triple top and confirmation comes once breakout above peaks takes place. Pullbacks are very common for this formation and they tend to reduce breakout potential. Standard Triangle Triangle pattern is bounded by two lines that are crossing each other when they are extended to the future. Triangle pattern has its base and apex. Point of collision between two lines is called apex while base is basically a distance between the first high reversal point and the first low reversal point within triangle pattern. This pattern should consist of least two touches to the support line and another two touches to the resistance line. Standard triangle can be either symmetrical or ascending, or descending. Symmetrical triangle is considered to be continuation pattern while ascending and descending triangle is mostly regarded as reversal pattern. In symmetrical triangle both boundaries are at slope. In ascending triangle only lower bound is at slope while upper bound is horizontal. Contrary to that, in descending triangle upper boundary is at slope and lower bound is horizontal. These patterns are validated once breakout above or below boundary takes place. Another form of confirmation comes when breakout from an apex of triangle occurs. Illustration 1.03 Picture above shows daily graph of TSLA stock. Formation of symmetrical triangle is observable. Diamond top Diamond top formation is rare broadening pattern that is very difficult to observe. It combines two triangles and can be imagined as mirror image of triangle pattern followed by triangle pattern. Price range increases and then decreases throughout this formation. Wedge A wedge pattern is simply a triangle pattern with both trend lines being at slope and pointing to the same direction. There are two types of wedges: a rising wedge and a declining wedge. A rising wedge consists of trend lines that point upwards while declining wedge contains trend lines that point downwards. Illustration 1.04 Illustration above shows daily graph of DAL stock. It is visible that confirmation came after breakout above upper bound. After that price continued to rise. This pattern is very bullish once confirmation occurs. Rounding Top and Rounding Bottom Rounding top and bottom patterns are longer term formations that are bounded rather by an arc than horizontal line. Rounding of the pattern usually spans over long time and it tends to contain short term trends within its formation. Another interchangeable name for these formations is: saucer or bowl, or cup. There is also variation of this pattern that develops over shorter period of time and it is called scallop. Volume in rounding top tends to gradually increase as price increases towards the peak of the formation. Then it tends to fall as price decreases from the peak. Similarly, in rounding bottom volume tends to decrease as price is approaching a low. After that volume tends to increase as price starts to rise from a low. Head and shoulders Head and shoulder pattern is one of the most famous chart patterns with statistical significance and very high profitability. It is complex pattern that combines trend lines, support or resistance lines, and rounding. Head and shoulders pattern is normally preceded by uptrend while inverted head and shoulder formation is preceded by downtrend. This pattern is considered to be reversal pattern where head and shoulders is topping formation and inverted head and shoulders is bottoming formation. Pattern's structure consists of head, shoulders and neckline. Head is either high in topping formation or low in the bottoming formation. Neckline in topping pattern is simply trend line which connects two troughs that separate head and shoulders. In bottoming formation neckline connects two peaks that separate head and shoulders. Illustration 1.05 Picture above shows daily graph of Pepsico stock. Inverted head and shoulders pattern is obsrvable bottoming head and shoulder pattern is formed by three troughs. The second trough must belower than the first and the third trough. The first trough is called left shoulder and third trough is called right shoulder. Middle trough is called head. Shoulders do not have to be the same height. Because of that neckline can be at slope in head and shoulder formation. Confirmation in this pattern comes once neckline is penetrated. Disclaimer: This content is just an excerpt from full document that will be available later with full range of illustrations and more detail. Purpose of this content is education.
NYSE:DALEducation
by Tradersweekly
8
Unique Pattern BTCThis is the strongest Bitcoin Pattern. Its called the Ladel Pattern, and it Starts when BTC reaches All-time high. The Ladel pattern has been consistently appearing at every major all-time high of BTC. And the accuracy of this pattern is pretty high as you’ll see in this video. People are used to “One Size Fits All Patterns”. The ladle pattern is proof that each Currency/Stock does have their own unique patterns that cannot be found in the traditional textbook pattern list.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by MoonBets
9
Success Rate of Popular PatternsRemember Do not trade solely on Patterns only. Ultimately, traders should seek out the best combination of patterns and price action to create an analysis strategy that works for them. Experiment with different approaches and combinations until you discover a method that suits your trading strategy and goals. Here are the success rates for these patterns: Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern (83.44%) Head and Shoulders Pattern (83.04%) Bearish Rectangle Pattern (79.51%) Bullish Rectangle Pattern (78.23%) Triple Bottom Pattern (79.33%) Triple Top Pattern (77.59%) Double Bottom Pattern (78.55%) Double Top Pattern (75.01%) Ascending Channel Pattern (73.03%) Descending Triangle Pattern (72.93%) Ascending Triangle Pattern (72.77%) Bull Flag Pattern (67.13% Success) Bear Flag Pattern (67.72% Success) Bullish Pennant Pattern (54.87%) Bearish Pennant Pattern (55.19%) These success rates presented are the result of a study conducted by a group of professional traders. They studied 10 different patterns independently from one another in 5 different markets (Forex, Futures , Equities, Crypto and Bonds), for a time period of 22 months with more than 50 case studies for each and every single pattern.
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BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by MoonBets
86
Triangle patterns - All you need to knowToday, we will explain the most important concepts behind triangle patterns. The first thing you have to know is that triangle patterns are composed of 5 waves which we can define using letters "a,b,c,d,e" This concept was created by Ralph Nelson Elliott, one of the fathers of modern technical analysis and mainly known because of the "Elliott Wave Principle." Most of the times , we are used to observing corrections with Zig-Zag shapes These are really easy to spot because C always goes below A, and we can say, "NOW is finished." However, with triangle patterns, we need more patience, its not that easy to say "now is ready" because we never have waves that go above or below the other ones; it's a constant compression. That's the reason it is imperative to wait for 5 clear waves. Another important concept of triangle patterns is that we can start drawing these two lines that will intersect in the future. These two lines will tend to contain the pattern until the breakout or the cancelation of it. Ok, let's assume that you had the patience to spot a clear triangle pattern. How should I trade them? ENTRY LEVEL: ALWAYS above "D" but much better above "B." Why? Because at that level, the price would have broken 2 resistances zones which is a strong sign for the bullish thesis. STOP LEVEL: ALWAYS below A that was the main support of the structure, so we want to exit our position if the price goes below that level TAKE PROFIT LEVELS: USE fibo extensions on the previous impulse and pay attention to two levels, 1.27 and 1.68 Important concept: Remember that context IS EVERYTHING. You don't want to trade isolated structures; you want to trade a structure and a macro context aligned with the view you have. Final idea: Here, we have used a Real example on TSLA. We think that the best way to show these theoretical concepts is by looking for real scenarios and testing them. Here we think that the corrective pattern is not finished, and we want to observe a clear ABDE before setting confirmation areas. It's important to know also that technical analysis is not mathematic; it's closer to soft sciences/disciplines. This means that Technical Analysis is not a fundamental science that explains all the movements of the market; that would be nonsense; technical analysis provides us with statistical guidance that can help us project a probabilistic scenario which can happen or not. Thanks for reading! Feel free to share your vision and ideas in the comment box.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by ThinkingAntsOk
5
HOW TO SET PROPER TAKE PROFITS AND STOP LOSSES 🧙‍♂️Knowing patterns is one thing and using them to the fullest potential is another. Above, we've depicted 3 major patterns commonly used by traders during a technical analysis (wedges and pennants will be covered next week). We all know how to notice them on the charts and general shapes. However, a lot of traders don't know how to act once they notice these patterns and we're here to clarify that. First, let's look at the proper entry points for these patterns. A general rule of thumb would be to enter the trade at the neckline once we get a closure below/above it. This way we can increase the probability of a trade and make sure the pattern is still valid. What about the take profit? Well, from tons of observations by a lot of talented traders there is a theory that the move following these patterns would be: 1) Double TOP/BOTTOM: the same as the distance from the neckline to the top or bottom 2) Head and Shoulders: the same as the distance from the neckline to the head 3)Rectangle: the same as the range of the rectangle This way we can maximize our profits made from the trades based on these patterns. Lastly, let's look at the Stop Losses for our trades. This one really depends on your trading style. More conservative traders (for instance, we like to keep our SLs tight as possible) would go with the mid-range of the pattern ensuring at least a 1:2+ Risk-Reward Ratio. However, if you're using this pattern as an indication that the price will follow further than the expected TP1, you may as well slightly increase your stop loss (not advised). This is pretty much what you have to do once you notice one of the patterns above and you want to capitalize on the opportunity. Safe trades and stay tuned for more posts! Ah also, it's Investroy's birthday this weekend, so if you have time, stop by and wish the HAPPY BIRTHDAY to the team :)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Investroy
24
Bullflag -The Bullish patternThe Flag pattern is one of the best-known continuation pattern in trading which happen after an uptrend.On-chart you can see a good pump and after a minor consolidation zone.This consolidation zone is important to calm down slowly indicators and calm volume,after this step we can see a growth of volume and a breakout What is the target of a bullflag? The first target of confirmed can be derived from measured move tehnique.The first target of bullflag is the vertical distance between the lower and the uper point of flag The second target is the size of the FLAGPOLE(measure the flagpole size and you will put this size at the breaking point from the bullflag It s important to book some profit also after the first target(size of flag). If the flag during too much will fail.Keep your eyes on it all time and have a stop-loss Have fun and good luck!
Education
by Rowhales
How To Lose Money With CONFUSION (timeframe mixing) The issue for many new traders is understanding the correlation between timeframes. We often get caught up in indicators, news hype, chat room posts, and various other things. One of the biggest challenges I see when talking to new traders is simply the lack of "experience" in reading multiple timeframes. This causes confusion and even self-doubt. The issue with the internet being so vast is there is a lot of info - but what do you go with & why? In this post I have tried to "dumb it down" - the simple idea is to pick your timeframes based on your trading style. Now if work gets in the way and you need to trade end of day or even swing (Longer-term) then really, you shouldn't stress so much about a 15 minute candle. A lot can happen throughout the day. But on the opposite side of the spectrum, if you are sat in front of your screen every minute the market is open. (scalping) then trying to work out what the monthly is doing whilst you hold a trade for an hour is not going to affect your trade (in general). To give you a great example of this - I trade COT data as it's swing, with Monthly and weekly bias. I will have a mentee say something like "COT is a buy, but the price has dropped". Yes if you're looking at the 4-hour candle. If you think what institutional players can manage in terms of drawdown, especially using hedging techniques. It's far greater than the guy investing £5k of savings into Bitcoin. If a hedge fund buys Bitcoin at 45k and the price drops to 22.5k - the likelihood is they have a hedged position & will be buying it all back at fair value. Whereas Mr £5k has lost some sleep & half of his capital - bailed, only to see the price shoot back up above his original entry. You think of someone like Elon Musk - if his entry of a Billion Dollars was at 40k (example) and price drops to 20k, he has a paper loss of 500m for sure, it will hurt. But again if the Tesla share price drops from 800 to 700, he has a paper loss of (say 20 Billion) - a 500m loss on paper is less of a concern. *** You get the picture. Investors & traders know that things don't just moon! they have dips, impulsive moves and so on. So take the charts into account - You have an idea of what timeframes to pick based on your own personal availability or your style you have already identified. As a scalper it's easy to use 4 hour or even a 1 hour candle for your bias - a 15minute for a local area of interest & an entry on a 1m - 5m chart. (example only). If you trade swing trades (depending on the overall time & expectations) a weekly bias, a daily interest and a 4hour trigger could be what you look for. Here are some examples; In these examples - all I have done is used 1 tool. This is only to show the idea - If stochastic is up then I want to be Bullish, if down I'll consider Bearish moves. Keep in mind this could be anything from above/below a moving average, a key price level or a magnitude of other things. Even other tools like RSI for example. Example of step down The idea is this gives you a directional bias. Then we look at the area of interest. And finally - we want to look down on the next timeframe for the trigger (entry) Traders can easily get confused with one timeframe saying one thing and the next timeframe up or down saying something else. If you can treat it like a tick sheet, you can step down with confidence and work on a strategy favouring your directional bias & that's in confluence with the time period & your expectations. This really is an oversimplified breakdown. Just to give a general idea. Have a great week! Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
Education
by Mayfair_Ventures
10
Chart Patterns Cheat SheetHello, traders! Here is a cheat sheet which help you to identify the most frequent and reliable chart paterns. I should tell you that the patterns from the group "indefinite" are classified as bullish or bearish in classical literature, but in practice we should be careful using it in trading decisions. BULLISH PATTERNS Inverted Head & Shoulders , Double and Triple bottom are the most simple, frequent and reliable bullish pattern. Let's talk about bullish flag . It usually occur on the uptrend. The volume is high at the beginning of the flag and decrease to the end until the massive breakout to the upside with high volume. The cup & handle is rare pattern and usually play out at the bigger timeframes. INDEFINITE PATTERNS The different types of triangles and wedges are very popular patterns and can be seen at the different timeframes. In classical books about TA rising wedge and descending triangle are bearish patterns, falling wedge and ascending triangle are bullish. But in practice it is very important to observe the side of it's breakout, as a result they can be bullish or bearish like the symmetric triangle . We should wait for the proper breakout confirmation to make a correct trading decision. BEARISH PATTERNS This patterns are the opposite to the bullish pattern, but work at the same way. If you want to learn more about some pattern please give us to know it in comments. DISCLAMER: Information is provided only for educational purposes. Do your own study before taking any actions or decisions.
Education
by Skyrexio
16
Bullish patterns in tradingToday there are several popular bullish patterns on the Forex market. 1. Flag - trend continuation. Has a strong price movement (flag staff), then a correction zone (flag cloth). The correction zone can be located both horizontally and inclined to the "shaft". 2. Cup Or else "cup with handle. U-shape + corrective movement (" handle ") within 1/3 of the" cup. "Formation of the" handle "is the process of price consolidation towards the line. After the pattern is formed, the price continues to move in the direction of the cup. 3. Symmetric triangle It can be either a reversal or a continuing trend. Formed between two converging support and resistance lines. You can start trading after the breakout of the pattern (depending on the breakout, either buy or sell). 4. Diamond Reversal pattern formed at local highs and lows of the price chart. The basis is either an uptrend or a downtrend. Completion options - correction or global trend reversal. 5. Double bottom. It is based on a downward movement + two chart lows and a high point between them. Completes the formation after breaking through the base line. Further - the price growth from the base line in the volume of the figure size. 6. Pennant Continuation of the main trend. Price gaps are possible prior to the formation of the pattern. In a bullish scenario, the pattern is preceded by an uptrend. Completion of the pattern formation - a breakout in the direction of the previous trend. -------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with likes. Thank you for your support!
Education
by DeGRAM
13
Trend Continuation Patterns & Reversal Patterns🚀💣Hi, friends! Let's keep learning?😉 Today we are talking about <> and <> of Technical Analysis 😊 - this girls try to tell You more details😉 Hope, It would be helpful for You♥️ 🐂Bull flag🐂 The principle of bullish flag trading, like all technical analysis figures, is the same - a breakout of the control point is required. As soon as a breakdown has occurred, you can immediately post the target. The target in a bull flag will be the height of the pole. There is one more feature of this figure - the canvas of the flag should be tilted against the main trend. 🐻Bear flag🐻 For the most profitable entry, it is better to enter into a deal with a pending order. As soon as the trade is entered, the take profit is placed at the height of the pole from the breakout point of the pattern. 🐂Bullish pennant🐂 The pattern trading rules are identical to the bull flag trading rules. 🐻Bearish pennant🐻 The trading rules are the same as for the bear flag . 💥Head & Shoulders Pattern💥 After the pattern has become clearly visible, namely, the right shoulder is clearly visible, the trader needs to wait for the neckline breakout. Breakouts occur on strong impulses with a sharp increase in volume . Therefore, in order not to miss the entry and enter at the best price, it's better to use a sell stop order. To calculate where the price will go after the breakout of the pattern, it is enough to measure the height of the pattern (vertical from the maximum of the head to the neckline) and postpone it to the breakout point. 💥Inverted Head & Shoulders Pattern💥 An inverted head and shoulders pattern occurs in a downtrend and heralds an uptrend. The rules for working on a figure are similar to the previous ones. It is worth noting that the head and shoulders pattern is rarely encountered in its pure form. Be careful! 💥 Double Bottom Pattern 💥 After you have identified the pattern on the price chart, you need to wait for the breakout of its resistance line. If the price has broken through the resistance, then the target will be the width of the pattern's range - the distance from the lowest point to the resistance. 💥Double Top Pattern 💥 A double top is similar to a double bottom . The only difference is that this pattern is reversed and occurs on uptrends. The number of extrema in a pattern can be not only double, but also triple, and even more. But the rules of work will be identical for everyone - enter on a breakout, postpone the target to the height of the figure and wait for its execution. 💥Diamond💥 We measure the height and wait for the breakdown of the diamond. If a breakout has occurred, then the price movement target will be the height of the pattern from the breakout point. 💥Cup & Handle💥 Trades are opened on the breakdown of the "handle" upwards. Target is the height of the figure. Thanks for Your attention🙏🏻 Stay in touch🧡 Sincerely yours Rocket Bomb🚀💣
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by RocketBomb
10
Documenting Your Trades (For Fun and Profit)How do you document your trades? In a spreadsheet? In a trading journal? Directly on the chart? How much is too much? How little is not enough? I say you need to document enough to tell the story properly. Every trade tells a story. As with all good stories you have a protagonist and an antagonist. Good guys and bad guys. The hero and the villain. And then, there's the journey. In the markets you are the hero and the market is the villain. One way I make trading "fun" and what helps me "tell the story of the trade" is to "Trade Like a Pirate" and use the vocabulary of Jack Sparrow. I have already written on this topic when it comes to analyzing profit targets (seizing treasure and plunder) but let's look at how we learn what we did on a trade by trade basis. When you do an after-the-trade analysis (what I call a postmortem) you should be able to see what you did right, what you could have done better, but most importantly, what you may have done wrong; not to beat yourself up, but to make sure that you *never* make that mistake or repeat that behavior again. (Fool me once, shame on you... fool me twice, shame on me!) For instance, I once lost three trades in a row and asked "How the heck did that happen?" and later when I looked at the actual trade screenshots I realized that both my trading timeframe and trend timeframe was the same! Somehow instead of having my charts on the 60-15 minute charts they were *both* 15 and I realized if I had my chart timeframes right I would have never entered those particular trades, saving me from experiencing those losing positions. Thanks to those trades, though, and thanks to my post-mortem analysis, the first item on my "pre-flight checklist" is now "Verify Trade Timeframes." Thanks to journaling and the postmortem process I'm *never* going to make *that* mistake again. But what about the *psychology* of the trade? *Why* did you enter it, *what* were you thinking once you were in it, *why* did you adjust your stop, *why* did you choose your target, *what* might you have done out of fear that got you out of the trade early or prevented you from realizing as much profit as you could have? Journaling your trade, or documenting the trade *properly* will help you with that. In the example above you can see a recent trade that presented itself to me and my pirate "Crew" in the Gasoline Futures market. I talk about the "weather conditions" before getting into the trade (the wind and the tide), other environmental factors like the "shark feeding frenzy area" helping me decide where I will target my profit (there be treasure *here*), what was going on when the trade actually entered, and finally, managing the trade to my target. In addition, during the postmortem I found an opportunity where if I had used a trailing stop, I could have gotten an additional 42% profit, or 'treasure'. As I mentioned in my Backtesting series, one of the reasons you backtest is that through repetition, you can often find patterns in your system that will prompt you to tweak it to either *improve* results or *eliminate* inefficiencies. In this same manner, through repetition in documenting your trades you may very well find a pattern of behavior that is holding you back from your full potential. For example, In the trade above, after securing 3R, (the minimum I am willing to take in a trade), if I followed price using my trailing stop strategy instead of a target, I found that I could have made an additional 2-3R profit. What if after documenting 20, 30, 40+ trades I find a similar pattern, that I am often "leaving money on the table"? I can then test several exit strategies to see which ones would give me the biggest bang for my buck and increase my R per trade. The other big benefit of having your trade journal "tell a story" rather than "state facts" is you begin to *personify* the market and see it as someone who exhibits certain behavior patterns, and that is what the markets present to us every day: PATTERNS. And if you can determine someone's patterns, you can predict their behavior. If I know that whenever my wife is browsing through a jewelry catalog and consistently goes "ooh" or "aah" over earrings with blue stones in them, I can guess with a high degree of accuracy that if I buy her a set of sapphire earrings she (and consequently*I*) will be a happy person. Likewise, if I can predict with a high degree what "Mister Market" is going to do based on certain patterns, I can keep setting sail, with confidence, day after day and see gains in my trading account (which makes me, my crew, and most importantly the missus, HAPPY! (Because when momma's happy, everybody's happy!). Trade well! (And Journal Well!) PS: Let me know how your journaling journey goes in the comments! I'd love to know how it "upped your trading game!" You can only improve what you analyze! -Anthony
NYMEX:RBF2021Education
by ocaptain
8
How to use Corrective Structures to develop a SetupGreat day to learn something, today; we will understand how to use corrective structures to develop a setup on any chart. a) There are 3 types of Corrective Structures, Zig-Zag (first example), Flat (Second Example), Triangles (third example). Use them as an archetype to spot them on a chart. b) Now that you understand the types of corrective structures is time to look at one on the chart ( you can see a Flag Pattern on the real chart) c) Should I trade all the corrective structures I see? NO, YOU DONT! You need Context. Your corrective structure must be well-positioned on the chart, it can be a Trendline, or it can be a Support. Never trade isolated patterns. d) Then you need a clear path in the direction you are expecting. In this case, we are at All-time Highs, so we don't have any Resistance e) How can I calculate my target? Use Fibonacci Extensions. Draw it from the base of the impulse towards its top (where the corrective structure starts) and then take it back to the impulse's bottom. Pay attention to 2 levels only 1.27 for Break Even, and 1.618 for Target f) Only take setups with a risk-reward ratio higher than 1.5 Have a Great Day!!!
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NYSE:CRMEducation
by ThinkingAntsOk
28