Money Supply Index (MSI) by zdmreThe primary objective of the states monetary policy is to maintain price stability with sustainable maximum economic growth. In anticipation of higher inflation , the Central Banks raise short-term interest rate thereby to reduce money supply. Conversely, the Central Banks reduce short-term interest rate to inject additional money into the economy in apprehension of unleashing recessionary forces. The stock markets usually respond negatively to interest rate increases and positively to interest rate decreases. The linkages between money market and stock market a wealth effect due to a change in money supply disturbs the equilibrium in the portfolio of investors.
This index indicates the long-run and short-run dynamic effects of broad money supply (M2) on U.S. stock market (this symbol is optional (Bitcoin, Gold or Oil or other markets etc.)).
#DYOR
Bands and Channels
RSI+OBVthis strategy works on the basis of crossovers of RSI at different period and OBV at different periods (separately). I am using it for Nifty and Bank Nifty. Entry for long can be taken when green bar appears; and exit has to be done when it disappears. Entry for short has to be taken when red bar appears; and exit has to be done when it disappears.
With little help from price action good results can be achieved.
VWAP Bollinger BandsWhat makes this different from vwap bands / bollinger bands?
This indicator takes a bit of inspiration from bollinger but instead of utilizing built in pine script std dev that uses simple moving average internally, this version replaces that with vwap.
Also instead of traditional bollinger band basis of 20 period simple moving average, the basis here for the bands is the vwap.
How to use it?
Usage is similar to vwap itself, though the standard deviation bands will expand and contract like normal bollinger bands instead of vwap bands that just widen as the market movement continues. The bands tell a slightly different story from bollinger bands as the underlying data utilized is the vwap itself.
Which markets is this meant for?
Any market.
What conditions?
This aids in finding conditions of entry standard to vwap, but the bands could give key areas of focus for entries and exits better than standard bollinger bands or vwap bands.
Market Signals ComplexMIC is an indicator made from some standard deviations of Bollinger Bands, an EMA ribbon, some oscillators like the RSI, and some candlestick patterns like Bearish and Bullish Engulfing candles. It uses these parameters to help you trade/find high-interest zones in the short time as well as the long term. It can be used in any market.
BB-EMA-MAWikipedia: Bollinger Bands are a type of statistical chart characterizing the prices and volatility over time of a financial instrument or commodity, using a formulaic method propounded by John Bollinger in the 1980s. Financial traders employ these charts as a methodical tool to inform trading decisions, control automated trading systems, or as a component of technical analysis. Bollinger Bands display a graphical band (the envelope maximum and minimum of moving averages, similar to Keltner or Donchian channels) and volatility (expressed by the width of the envelope) in one two-dimensional chart.
If you set Type = 2 then it will use EMA average for Bollinger bands .
If you set Type = 1 then it will use MA average for Bollinger bands .
Default settings is moving average with period 50
When price move to standard Deviation (std) +2 and std +3 is signal for sell ( selling zone)
When price move to standard Deviation (std) -2 and std -3 is signal for sell ( buying zone)
BB HMA WidthThe built-in Bollinger Band Width script modified to use the Hull Moving Average as the basis.
Hull Moving Averages have much less lag than a regular moving average.
Do not assume that regular BB interpretation rules apply to this.
This is an experimental indicator at this time.
Bollinger Bands %B using HMAThe built-in Bollinger Band %b script modified to use the Hull Moving Average as the basis.
Hull Moving Averages have much less lag than a regular moving average.
Do not assume that regular BB interpretation rules apply to this.
This is an experimental indicator at this time.
Bollinger Bands with HMAThe built-in Bollinger Band script modified to use the Hull Moving Average as the basis.
Hull Moving Averages have much less lag than a regular moving average.
Do not assume that regular BB interpretation rules apply to this.
This is an experimental indicator at this time.
ATR Trend FollowingThe script filters stocks on the basis of ATR. If the stock has moved above 7 times the ATR from the lows, the system generates buy signal and continues till the stock drops by 2 ATR. It is a good system in trending markets however in sideways consolidating markets, the system must be avoided. In trending markets it can generate good returns with significant Risk to Reward Ratio. Use it in confirmation with other trend depicting indicators is expected to generate better results.
Supertrend Filtered with MA ADX,Vol & RSI,RVSItest script that combines Supertrend Filtered with MA ADX,Vol & RSI,RVSI
Wavetrend Moving Average (WTMA) [Loxx]Wavetrend Moving Average (WTMA) is a Wavetrend indicator morphed into a moving average. Use this indicator as you would any other moving average.
What is the Wavetrend indicator?
Wavetrend's original name was TCI created by the The Trading Center. The TCI (Trading Channel Index) displays the ratio between the average daily price and the smoothed averaged value of the average daily price.
You can read about TCI here: tradingcenter.org
How do you morph Wavetrend into a moving average?
1. Calculate Wavetrend
2. Normalize Wavetrend from a range of -1 to 1 to a range of 0 to 1
3. Find high/low values of X bars back of Wavetrend,
4. Subtract high from low to find the simple range of Wavetrend
5. Calculate upper and lower boundaries
6. Calculate the HL2 of using these new boundaries
Included:
Bar coloring
Signals
Alerts
Loxx's Expanded Source Types
Possible RSI [Loxx]Possible RSI is a normalized, variety second-pass normalized, Variety RSI with Dynamic Zones and optionl High-Pass IIR digital filtering of source price input. This indicator includes 7 types of RSI.
High-Pass Fitler (optional)
The Ehlers Highpass Filter is a technical analysis tool developed by John F. Ehlers. Based on aerospace analog filters, this filter aims at reducing noise from price data. Ehlers Highpass Filter eliminates wave components with periods longer than a certain value. This reduces lag and makes the oscialltor zero mean. This turns the RSI output into something more similar to Stochasitc RSI where it repsonds to price very quickly.
First Normalization Pass
RSI (Relative Strength Index) is already normalized. Hence, making a normalized RSI seems like a nonsense... if it was not for the "flattening" property of RSI. RSI tends to be flatter and flatter as we increase the calculating period--to the extent that it becomes unusable for levels trading if we increase calculating periods anywhere over the broadly recommended period 8 for RSI. In order to make that (calculating period) have less impact to significant levels usage of RSI trading style in this version a sort of a "raw stochastic" (min/max) normalization is applied.
Second-Pass Variety Normalization Pass
There are three options to choose from:
1. Gaussian (Fisher Transform), this is the default: The Fisher Transform is a function created by John F. Ehlers that converts prices into a Gaussian normal distribution. The normaliztion helps highlights when prices have moved to an extreme, based on recent prices. This may help in spotting turning points in the price of an asset. It also helps show the trend and isolate the price waves within a trend.
2. Softmax: The softmax function, also known as softargmax: or normalized exponential function, converts a vector of K real numbers into a probability distribution of K possible outcomes. It is a generalization of the logistic function to multiple dimensions, and used in multinomial logistic regression. The softmax function is often used as the last activation function of a neural network to normalize the output of a network to a probability distribution over predicted output classes, based on Luce's choice axiom.
3. Regular Normalization (devaitions about the mean): Converts a vector of K real numbers into a probability distribution of K possible outcomes without using log sigmoidal transformation as is done with Softmax. This is basically Softmax without the last step.
Dynamic Zones
As explained in "Stocks & Commodities V15:7 (306-310): Dynamic Zones by Leo Zamansky, Ph .D., and David Stendahl"
Most indicators use a fixed zone for buy and sell signals. Here’ s a concept based on zones that are responsive to past levels of the indicator.
One approach to active investing employs the use of oscillators to exploit tradable market trends. This investing style follows a very simple form of logic: Enter the market only when an oscillator has moved far above or below traditional trading lev- els. However, these oscillator- driven systems lack the ability to evolve with the market because they use fixed buy and sell zones. Traders typically use one set of buy and sell zones for a bull market and substantially different zones for a bear market. And therein lies the problem.
Once traders begin introducing their market opinions into trading equations, by changing the zones, they negate the system’s mechanical nature. The objective is to have a system automatically define its own buy and sell zones and thereby profitably trade in any market — bull or bear. Dynamic zones offer a solution to the problem of fixed buy and sell zones for any oscillator-driven system.
An indicator’s extreme levels can be quantified using statistical methods. These extreme levels are calculated for a certain period and serve as the buy and sell zones for a trading system. The repetition of this statistical process for every value of the indicator creates values that become the dynamic zones. The zones are calculated in such a way that the probability of the indicator value rising above, or falling below, the dynamic zones is equal to a given probability input set by the trader.
To better understand dynamic zones, let's first describe them mathematically and then explain their use. The dynamic zones definition:
Find V such that:
For dynamic zone buy: P{X <= V}=P1
For dynamic zone sell: P{X >= V}=P2
where P1 and P2 are the probabilities set by the trader, X is the value of the indicator for the selected period and V represents the value of the dynamic zone.
The probability input P1 and P2 can be adjusted by the trader to encompass as much or as little data as the trader would like. The smaller the probability, the fewer data values above and below the dynamic zones. This translates into a wider range between the buy and sell zones. If a 10% probability is used for P1 and P2, only those data values that make up the top 10% and bottom 10% for an indicator are used in the construction of the zones. Of the values, 80% will fall between the two extreme levels. Because dynamic zone levels are penetrated so infrequently, when this happens, traders know that the market has truly moved into overbought or oversold territory.
Calculating the Dynamic Zones
The algorithm for the dynamic zones is a series of steps. First, decide the value of the lookback period t. Next, decide the value of the probability Pbuy for buy zone and value of the probability Psell for the sell zone.
For i=1, to the last lookback period, build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. Then find the value Vi1 such that the probability of the price less than or equal to Vi1 during the lookback period i is equal to Pbuy. Find the value Vi2 such that the probability of the price greater or equal to Vi2 during the lookback period i is equal to Psell. The sequence of Vi1 for all periods gives the buy zone. The sequence of Vi2 for all periods gives the sell zone.
In the algorithm description, we have: Build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. The distribution here is empirical namely, how many times a given value of x appeared during the lookback period. The problem is to find such x that the probability of a price being greater or equal to x will be equal to a probability selected by the user. Probability is the area under the distribution curve. The task is to find such value of x that the area under the distribution curve to the right of x will be equal to the probability selected by the user. That x is the dynamic zone.
7 Types of RSI
See here to understand which RSI types are included:
Included:
Bar coloring
4 signal types
Alerts
Loxx's Expanded Source Types
Loxx's Variety RSI
Loxx's Dynamic Zones
Moving Average ChannelThe Moving Average Channel (MAC) is a concept developed by Jake Bernstein, Speaker at Wealth365®, where the 10 period SMA of the High and the 8 period SMA of the Low are plotted to create a channel. As the channel begins expanding, the current trend is getting stronger. However, when the expansion is too large, the trend may make a pullback to the channel (upper or lower), which act as support and resistance lines. This concept is the foundation for the Expansion Contraction Indicator (XC) developed by Brian Latta, Author of “The Book on Trading”.
Roger & Satchell Estimator Historical Volatility Bands [Loxx]Roger & Satchell Estimator Historical Volatility Bands are constructed using:
Average as the middle line.
Upper and lower bands using theRoger & Satchell Estimator Historical Volatility Bands for bands calculation.
What is Roger & Satchell Estimator Historical Volatility?
The Rogers–Satchell estimator does not handle opening jumps; therefore, it underestimates the volatility. It accurately explains the volatility portion that can be attributed entirely to a trend in the price evolution. Rogers and Satchell try to embody the frequency of price observations in the model in order to overcome the drawback. They claim that the corrected estimator outperforms the uncorrected one in a study based on simulated data.
RSEHV = sqrt((Z/n) * sum((log(high/close)*log(high/open)) + (log(low/close)*log(low/open))))
The color of the middle line, unlike the bands colors, has 3 colors. When colors of the bands are the same, then the middle line has the same color, otherwise it's white.
Included
Alerts
Signals
Loxx's Expanded Source Types
Bar coloring
Garman-Klass-Yang-Zhang Historical Volatility Bands [Loxx]Garman-Klass-Yang-Zhang Historical Volatility Bands are constructed using:
Average as the middle line.
Upper and lower bands using the Garman-Klass-Yang-Zhang Historical Volatility Bands for bands calculation.
What is Garman-Klass-Yang-Zhang Historical Volatility?
Yang and Zhang derived an extension to the Garman Klass historical volatility estimator that allows for opening jumps. It assumes Brownian motion with zero drift. This is currently the preferred version of open-high-low-close volatility estimator for zero drift and has an efficiency of 8 times the classic close-to-close estimator. Note that when the drift is nonzero, but instead relative large to the volatility, this estimator will tend to overestimate the volatility. The Garman-Klass-Yang-Zhang Historical Volatility calculation is as follows:
GKYZHV = sqrt((Z/n) * sum((log(open(k)/close(k-1)))^2 + (0.5*(log(high(k)/low(k)))^2) - (2*log(2) - 1)*(log(close(k)/open(2:end)))^2))
The color of the middle line, unlike the bands colors, has 3 colors. When colors of the bands are the same, then the middle line has the same color, otherwise it's white.
Included
Alerts
Signals
Loxx's Expanded Source Types
Bar coloring
Related Indicators
Garman & Klass Estimator Historical Volatility Bands
Garman & Klass Estimator Historical Volatility Bands [Loxx]Garman & Klass Estimator Historical Volatility Bands are constructed using:
Average as the middle line.
Upper and lower bands using the Garman & Klass Estimator Historical Volatility (instead of "regular" Historical Volatility ) for bands calculation.
What is Garman & Klaus Historical Volatility?
Garman Klass is a volatility estimator that incorporates open, low, high, and close prices of a security. The Garman and Klass estimator for estimating historical volatility assumes Brownian motion with zero drift and no opening jumps (i.e. the opening = close of the previous period). This estimator is 7.4 times more efficient than the close-to-close estimator. Garman-Klass volatility extends Parkinson's volatility by taking into account the opening and closing price. As markets are most active during the opening and closing of a trading session, it makes volatility estimation more accurate. Garman and Klass also assumed that the process of price change is a process of continuous diffusion (geometric Brownian motion). However, this assumption has several drawbacks. The method is not robust for opening jumps in price and trend movements. Despite its drawbacks, the Garman-Klass estimator is still more effective than the basic formula since it takes into account not only the price at the beginning and end of the time interval but also intraday price extremums.
The Garman & Klass Estimator is as follows:
GKE = sqrt((Z/n)* sum((0.5*(log(high./low)).^2) - (2*log(2) - 1).*(log(close./open)).^2))
The color of the middle line, unlike the bands colors, has 3 colors. When colors of the bands are the same, then the middle line has the same color, otherwise it's white.
Included
Alerts
Signals
Loxx's Expanded Source Types
Bar coloring
Related indicators:
Parkinson's Historical Volatility Bands
High/Low Historical Volatility Bands [Loxx]High/Low Historical Volatility Bands are constructed using:
Average as the middle line.
Upper and lower bands using the Historical Volatility high/low (instead of "regular" Historical Volatility) for bands calculation.
What is Historical Volatility?
Historical Volatility (HV) is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns for a given security or market index over a given period of time. Generally, this measure is calculated by determining the average deviation from the average price of a financial instrument in the given time period. Using standard deviation is the most common, but not the only, way to calculate Historical Volatility .
The higher the Historical Volatility value, the riskier the security. However, that is not necessarily a bad result as risk works both ways - bullish and bearish , i.e: Historical Volatility is not a directional indicator and should not be used as other directional indicators are used. Use to to determine the rising and falling price change volatility .
SH is stock's High price in t day.
SL is stock's Low price in t day.
High/Low Return (xt^HL) is calculated as the natural logarithm of the ratio of a stock's High price to stock's Low price.
Return:
And Parkinson's number: 1 / (4 * math.log(2)) * 252 / n * Σ (n, t =1) {math.log(Ht/Lt)^2}
An important use of the Parkinson's number is the assessment of the distribution prices during the day as well as a better understanding of the market dynamics. Comparing the Parkinson's number and periodically sampled volatility helps traders understand the tendency towards mean reversion in the market as well as the distribution of stop-losses.
The color of the middle line, unlike the bands colors, has 3 colors. When colors of the bands are the same, then the middle line has the same color, otherwise it's white.
Included
Alerts
Signals
Loxx's Expanded Source Types
Bar coloring
Related indicators:
Parkinson's Historical Volatility Bands
Historical Volatility Bands
Parkinson's Historical Volatility Bands [Loxx]Parkinson's Historical Volatility Bands are constructed using:
Average as the middle line.
Upper and lower bands using the Parkinson's historical volatility (instead of "regular" Historical Volatility) for bands calculation.
What is Parkinson's Historical Volatility?
The Parkinson's number, or High Low Range Volatility developed by the physicist, Michael Parkinson in 1980, aims to estimate the Volatility of returns for a random walk using the High and Low in any particular period. IVolatility.com calculates daily Parkinson values. Prices are observed on a fixed time interval: n = 10, 20, 30, 60, 90, 120, 150, 180 days.
SH is stock's High price in t day.
SL is stock's Low price in t day.
High/Low Return (xt^HL) is calculated as the natural logarithm of the ratio of a stock's High price to stock's Low price.
Return:
And Parkinson's number: 1 / (4 * math.log(2)) * 252 / n * Σ (n, t =1) {math.log(Ht/Lt)^2}
An important use of the Parkinson's number is the assessment of the distribution prices during the day as well as a better understanding of the market dynamics. Comparing the Parkinson's number and periodically sampled volatility helps traders understand the tendency towards mean reversion in the market as well as the distribution of stop-losses.
The color of the middle line, unlike the bands colors, has 3 colors. When colors of the bands are the same, then the middle line has the same color, otherwise it's white.
Included
Alerts
Signals
Loxx's Expanded Source Types
Bar coloring
Historical Volatility Bands [Loxx]Historical Volatility Bands are constructed using:
Average as the middle line.
Upper and lower bands using the Historical Volatility for bands calculation.
What is Historical Volatility?
Historical Volatility (HV) is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns for a given security or market index over a given period of time. Generally, this measure is calculated by determining the average deviation from the average price of a financial instrument in the given time period. Using standard deviation is the most common, but not the only, way to calculate Historical Volatility.
The higher the Historical Volatility value, the riskier the security. However, that is not necessarily a bad result as risk works both ways - bullish and bearish, i.e: Historical Volatility is not a directional indicator and should not be used as other directional indicators are used. Use to to determine the rising and falling price change volatility.
The color of the middle line, unlike the bands colors, has 3 colors. When colors of the bands are the same, then the middle line has the same color, otherwise it's white.
Included
Alerts
Signals
Loxx's Expanded Source Types
Bar coloring
FDI-Adaptive Supertrend w/ Floating Levels [Loxx]FDI-Adaptive Supertrend w/ Floating Levels is a Fractal Dimension Index adaptive Supertrend indicator. This allows Supertrend to better adaptive to volatility of the market. This also includes floating levels that act as support and resistance, stop loss or take profit, or indication of market reversal. Additional signal types will be added in the future based on these floating levels.
What is the Fractal Dimension Index?
The goal of the fractal dimension index is to determine whether the market is trending or in a trading range. It does not measure the direction of the trend. A value less than 1.5 indicates that the price series is persistent or that the market is trending. Lower values of the FDI indicate a stronger trend. A value greater than 1.5 indicates that the market is in a trading range and is acting in a more random fashion.
What is the Supertrend?
Supertrend indicator was created by Olivier Seban to work on different time frames. It works for futures , forex, and equities. It is used in 15 minutes, hourly, weekly, and daily charts . Based on the parameters of multiplier and period, the indicator normally uses 3 for multiplier and 7 for the ATR period as default values. Average True Range is represented by the number of days while the multiplier is the value by which the range is multiplied.
Included:
Bar coloring
Alerts
Signals
